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Television Broadcasts Ltd (TVBCY) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Oct 2, 2026: fair value of Television Broadcasts Ltd $0.55, price $0.69, upside -20.3%, quality 55 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? No
  2. Good quality? Yes
  3. Add to watchlist

Communication Services · US · Home Hong Kong · ISIN US8795313092

TB Television Broadcasts Ltd logo Thin data Sep 24, 2026

Television Broadcasts Ltd

TVBCY · US

Overvalued / MonitorQuality is not strong enough to offset the price risk.

!Fair value $0.5500 · Overvalued (−20.3%)
!Quality 55/100
!Weak Growth (revenue 5y +3.2 %/yr)
!Thin margins · 1.9% net margin (TTM)
✓Low debt · generates free cash flow
!Mixed vs. peers (8/14)
!Narrow moat 27/100
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain
!Weak on past: 3 out of 100

What runs behind every stock

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

$4.05 $0.5700 Fair Value $0.5500 Jul 2021 Oct 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $0.5700 – $4.05 · fair‑value band $0.4100 – $0.7000 · the $0.6900 price screens above the $0.5500 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.

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Company profile

Television Broadcasts Limited, together with its subsidiaries, engages in terrestrial television broadcasting, digital media services, and other television-related activities. It operates through TV Broadcasting; Digital Media; Chinese Mainland Operations; and International Operations segments.

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Television Broadcasts Limited, together with its subsidiaries, engages in terrestrial television broadcasting, digital media services, and other television-related activities. It operates through TV Broadcasting; Digital Media; Chinese Mainland Operations; and International Operations segments. The TV Broadcasting segment is involved in the broadcasting of television programmes and commercials on terrestrial TV platforms; production of programmes; music entertainment, and operation of e-Commerce business. The Digital Media segment operates myTV SUPER OTT service, online social media platform, digital marketing, and other digital-related businesses in Hong Kong. The Chinese Mainland Operations segment co-produces dramas; and distributes television programmes and channels to telecast, video, and media operators in Mainland China. The International Operations segment offers pay television and OTT services to subscribers; and distributes television programmes and channels to telecast, video, and media operators in Malaysia, Singapore, and internationally. The company also produces motion pictures for theatrical release and distribution; artiste management; and produces, sells, and licenses musical works and sound recordings. In addition, it provides event and digital marketing; artistes consultancy, management, and agency services; programme licensing services; programmes and marketing materials; film licensing and distribution services; agency services for design, production, and exhibition of advertisements, as well as film rights and management services; cultural and art development, software and IT services, and corporate finance services; and satellite and subscription television programs. Further, the company engages in digital new media and trading; online sale of groceries; e-commerce business trading; and property investment activities. Television Broadcasts Limited was incorporated in 1965 and is based in Kowloon, Hong Kong.

Stock analysis

Television Broadcasts Ltd (TVBCY) currently trades at $0.6900, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $0.5500, 20.3% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of $1.09 per share, and 16 of the 22 models we run sit above the $0.6900 price.

Bear case: the Earnings-Based group reads lowest at $0.2700, and 6 of the 22 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.

Scenario range: $0.4100 (bear) to $0.7000 (bull), the price of $0.6900 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 55/100 (solid quality), in the Communication Services sector.

Weak Growth: Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.

Television Broadcasts Ltd reported revenue of HK$3.2B in FY2025 versus HK$2.9B in FY2021, a compound +2.4%/yr. Reported net income was HK$59.2M in FY2025.

Key figures

Market cap $161M · P/E ratio 23.0 · P/S ratio 0.43 · EPS (TTM) $0.0300 · Net margin 1.9% · Return on equity 0.8% · Return on assets (EBIT) −6.0% · Operating margin 11.8%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 32 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 31% below its 52-week high and 21% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Communication Services peers we cover trades at 25% fair-value upside, at −20%, TVBCY screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear $0.4100 Fair Value $0.5500 Bull $0.7000
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then ($0.0227 per share) are deliberately not added. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
FCF DCF $1.12 $1.45 $1.98 81
Growth DCF $1.15 $1.46 $1.92 80
Owner Earnings $1.09 $1.41 $1.92 77
All 22 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF $1.12 $1.45 $1.98 81
Owner Earnings $1.09 $1.41 $1.92 77
5Y Revenue Exit $0.7500 $1.00 $1.37 73
5Y EBITDA Exit $1.22 $1.82 $2.61 75
5Y P/E Exit $0.7000 $0.9100 $1.17 72
10Y Revenue Exit $0.9100 $1.09 $1.27 68
10Y EBITDA Exit $1.17 $1.52 $1.90 70
10Y P/E Exit $0.8900 $1.04 $1.18 65
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd $0.2200 $0.2700 $0.3000 67
EPV $0.2800 $0.3400 $0.3800 74
Multiples
P/E Multiple $0.5300 $0.7100 $0.8900 63
P/S Multiple $0.4100 $0.5500 $0.6900 58
P/B Multiple $0.4100 $0.5500 $0.6900 55
EV/EBIT $0.6600 $0.9200 $1.19 65
EV/EBITDA $1.56 $2.13 $2.69 67
EV/Revenue $0.4600 $0.7200 $0.9800 53
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $0.6400 $0.8500 $1.27 54
Growth DCF
Growth DCF $1.15 $1.46 $1.92 80
Rev-Margin DCF $0.7500 $1.04 $1.41 73
Economic Profit
Residual Income $0.8300 $0.8000 $0.7800 71
ROIC Compounder $0.2800 $0.3400 $0.3800 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E $0.3800 $0.5400 $0.7000 67

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 55/100

Of which business quality 53 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 40

Profitability 30
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 65
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 62
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 38
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 100
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 58
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 43
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 14
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 50
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 40/100
Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.
Revenue growth 1 year
−2.2%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−3.9%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+3.2%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: −3.3% a year
Revenue growth 26 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−0.1%
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
−21.5% (2020) → 3.8% (2025)

Growth Forecast

Price in line with expectations
The price assumes about as much growth as the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+5.5%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
After inflation (figures in HKD, Hong Kong: IMF forecast 2.1% a year to 2030, 1.8% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +3.3% a year for the price.

TVBCY screens overvalued: fair value 20% below the price. Compare with Nexstar Media Group →

Compare Television Broadcasts Ltd with another stock

Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Broadcasting · 63 stocks

Beats the industry median on 8/14 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 55 · Above median
Fair Value upside +36.0% · Above median
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM) 0.8% · Below median
Return on assets 1.5% · Above median
Net margin (TTM) 1.9% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM) 11.8% · Top 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth −2.9% · Below median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 0.45× · Above median

Valuation Multiplesvs Broadcasting median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 23.0× · Pricier than median
P/B 0.54× · Cheaper than median
P/S (TTM) 0.40× · Cheaper than median
P/FCF 5.8× · Cheaper than median
EV/EBITDA 5.5× · Cheaper than median
PEG 2.71× · Pricier than median

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)81 · sector 62
FUTURE (revenue growth)0 · sector 13
PAST (return on equity)3 · sector 8
HEALTH (low debt)77 · sector 95
DIVIDEND (yield)0 · sector 87

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Broadcasting stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Nexstar Media Group NXST $162.10 $178.31 +10%
Sun TV Network Limited SUNTV ₹605.00 ₹586.58 −3%
Jiangsu Broadcasting Cable Information Network Corporation 600959 ¥3.11 ¥1.72 −45%
SES S.A SESG €4.32 €10.08 +133%
MFE-Mediaforeurope N.V MFEA €2.21 €5.62 +154%
MBC Group 4072 19.03 SAR 8.97 SAR −53%
Métropole Télévision S.A MMT €10.76 €15.98 +49%
Beijing Gehua Catv Network Co 600037 ¥7.07 ¥3.62 −49%
PT Elang Mahkota Teknologi Tbk, through its subsidiaries, EMTK 384.00 IDR 782.48 IDR +104%
Sinclair, Inc SBGI $12.51 $15.59 +25%

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Television Broadcasts Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/TVBCY

Frequently asked questions

Is Television Broadcasts Ltd (TVBCY) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $0.5500 versus a price of $0.6900, about −20% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of TVBCY?
Our model-based fair value for Television Broadcasts Ltd is $0.5500 (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $0.6900.
What is the quality score of TVBCY?
Television Broadcasts Ltd has a Quality Score of 55/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Television Broadcasts Ltd (TVBCY)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $0.5500 (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 22 valuation models. Cautious scenario $0.4100, optimistic scenario $0.7000. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Television Broadcasts Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $0.5500, about −20% upside versus a price of $0.6900 (overvalued). Cautious scenario $0.4100, optimistic scenario $0.7000. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Television Broadcasts Ltd (TVBCY)?
Television Broadcasts Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about HK$3.2B (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
What growth is priced into Television Broadcasts Ltd (TVBCY)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Television Broadcasts Ltd would have to grow free cash flow by +5.5 % per year for five years (discount rate 12.4 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +3.2 % per year. As of Sep 24, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of TVBCY use?
Our models discount Television Broadcasts Ltd at 12.4 %: a base by market capitalisation (micro), damped by beta 0.91, country premium for USA. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Television Broadcasts Ltd that is +5.5 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (12.4 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Television Broadcasts Ltd (TVBCY) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Television Broadcasts Ltd grew +3.2 % a year. The price currently implies +5.5 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Television Broadcasts Ltd (TVBCY) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +2.9 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Television Broadcasts Ltd (+5.5 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Television Broadcasts Ltd (TVBCY)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 17.37 %: that much free cash flow Television Broadcasts Ltd produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (12.4 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Television Broadcasts Ltd (TVBCY)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Television Broadcasts Ltd it is $0.5500 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of $0.6900. It is the blended result of 22 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Television Broadcasts Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, TVBCY trades above its calculated fair value: price $0.6900, fair value $0.5500, a gap of about −20% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of TVBCY?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($0.6900); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($0.5500). For Television Broadcasts Ltd the two are $0.1400 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Television Broadcasts Ltd worth?
The market values Television Broadcasts Ltd at about $161M (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is $0.6900; our models calculate a fair value of $0.5500 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about TVBCY?
Our models span a range for Television Broadcasts Ltd: cautious scenario $0.4100, base $0.5500, optimistic $0.7000 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price $0.6900). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of TVBCY?
Television Broadcasts Ltd trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 23.0 (as of Sep 24, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of $0.5500 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: PEG 2.7, P/B 0.5, P/S 0.4, EV/EBITDA 5.5.
What is the PEG ratio of TVBCY?
The PEG ratio of Television Broadcasts Ltd is 2.71 (P/E divided by earnings growth, as of Sep 24, 2026). That is above 1, so the growth is already paid for in the price.
How solid is the balance sheet of Television Broadcasts Ltd (TVBCY)?
Balance-sheet figures for Television Broadcasts Ltd (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity 0.8%, debt of 0.45 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 55/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is TVBCY from its 52-week high?
Television Broadcasts Ltd trades at $0.6900, about 31% below its 52-week high of $1.00 and 21% above the low of $0.5700 (as of Oct 2, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $0.5500 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Television Broadcasts Ltd?
From the same area (Communication Services) we also value Nexstar Media Group, Sun TV Network Limited, Jiangsu Broadcasting Cable Information Network Corporation, SES S.A, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Television Broadcasts Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price $0.6900, calculated fair value $0.5500 (−20%), Quality Score 55/100, from 22 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of TVBCY calculated?
We run Television Broadcasts Ltd through 22 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $0.5500, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.5 % above its aggregate fair value. Television Broadcasts Ltd itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Television Broadcasts Ltd (TVBCY)?
The closing price on Oct 2, 2026 was $0.6900. Our model-based fair value is $0.5500, about −20% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Television Broadcasts Ltd right now?
Solid but not exceptional quality (55/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder. Evidence is limited here (fewer models, shorter history), so the fair value is a rougher estimate than usual.

Key figures of Television Broadcasts Ltd

How large is the market capitalisation of Television Broadcasts Ltd (TVBCY)?
The market capitalisation of Television Broadcasts Ltd is $161M. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Television Broadcasts Ltd (TVBCY)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Television Broadcasts Ltd is 0.43 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Television Broadcasts Ltd (TVBCY)?
Earnings per share at Television Broadcasts Ltd are $0.0300 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 23.0). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Television Broadcasts Ltd (TVBCY)?
The net margin of Television Broadcasts Ltd is 1.9% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Television Broadcasts Ltd (TVBCY)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Television Broadcasts Ltd is 0.8% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Television Broadcasts Ltd (TVBCY)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Television Broadcasts Ltd is −6.0% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Television Broadcasts Ltd (TVBCY)?
The operating margin of Television Broadcasts Ltd is 11.8% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Television Broadcasts Ltd (TVBCY)?
Revenue at Television Broadcasts Ltd is growing −2.9% versus a year earlier (3y avg −3.9%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Television Broadcasts Ltd (TVBCY)?
Earnings per share at Television Broadcasts Ltd are growing +5.6% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does Television Broadcasts Ltd (TVBCY) carry?
The net debt of Television Broadcasts Ltd is HK$1.3B (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 6.1 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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