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TVS Holdings (TVSHLTD) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Oct 1, 2026: fair value of TVS Holdings ₹18,439, price ₹11,886, upside +55.1%, quality 43 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
- Fair value above price? Yes
- Good quality? No
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Some data
Oct 1, 2026
TVS Holdings
TVSHLTD · BSECheap, value-trap riskThe stock looks deeply undervalued, but low quality raises value-trap risk.
Fair value ₹18,439 · Strongly undervalued (+55.1%)
Quality 43/100
Mixed Growth (revenue 5y +22.4 %/yr in INR)
Thin margins · 3.6% net margin (TTM)
Some data
High debt
Negative free cash flow
Narrow moat 44/100
⟳ Cyclical
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What runs behind every stock
26
valuation models
8 families, DCF to NCAV
37
quality factors
margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt
6
AI factors
moat, what no ratio measures
2,000+
data points
verified, per stock, median
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Oct 1, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range ₹3,171 – ₹15,627 · fair‑value band ₹13,023 – ₹23,048 · the ₹11,886 price screens below the ₹18,439 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Oct 1, 2026.
Company profile
TVS Holdings Limited engages in the business of investing in securities. The company also trades in automotive spare parts. The company was formerly known as Sundaram-Clayton Limited and changed its name to TVS Holdings Limited in July 2023. TVS Holdings Limited was incorporated in 1962 and is based in Chennai, India.
Stock analysis
TVS Holdings (TVSHLTD) currently trades at ₹11,886, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ₹18,439, implying the stock looks roughly 35.5% undervalued today.
Show more
Valuation
Bull case: the Growth Earnings group reads highest at a median of ₹38,939 per share, and 11 of the 17 models we run sit above the ₹11,886 price.
Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at ₹2,141, and 6 of the 17 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is medium.
Scenario range: ₹13,023 (bear) to ₹23,048 (bull), the price of ₹11,886 sits below it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 43/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector.
Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
TVS Holdings reported revenue of ₹557B in FY2026 versus ₹256B in FY2022, a compound +21.4%/yr. Reported net income was ₹17.0B in FY2026, compounding +40.1%/yr from FY2022.
Key figures
Market cap ₹240B (≈ $2.5B) · P/E ratio 12.2 · P/S ratio 0.37 · EPS (TTM) ₹973.61 · Dividend yield 1.8% · Net margin 3.0% · Return on equity 29.4% · Return on assets (EBIT) 8.2%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 42 out of 100 (medium confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 24% below its 52-week high and at its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at −27% fair-value upside, at 55%, TVSHLTD screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear ₹13,023
Fair Value ₹18,439
Bull ₹23,048
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2026 figures (about 6 months old). Earnings retained since then (₹498.81 per share) are deliberately not added.
Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.
Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
EPV
₹8,308
₹10,814
₹12,976
73
ROIC Compounder
₹13,259
₹22,657
₹29,602
68
EV/EBITDA
₹13,023
₹19,885
₹26,747
66
All 17 models by family
DCF Models
Owner Earnings
₹6,562
₹23,741
₹58,480
64
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd
₹5,699
₹39,745
₹55,777
61
Lynch FV
₹20,534
₹29,334
₹38,134
59
PEG = 1.0
₹20,534
₹29,334
₹38,134
55
EPV
₹8,308
₹10,814
₹12,976
73
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM
₹993.51
₹1,980
₹2,998
64
DDM Multi-Stage
₹993.51
₹1,711
₹2,090
65
Multiples
P/E Multiple
₹13,829
₹18,439
₹23,048
63
P/S Multiple
₹10,686
₹14,248
₹17,810
57
P/B Multiple
₹9,587
₹12,783
₹15,979
55
EV/EBIT
₹18,624
₹27,353
₹36,082
64
EV/EBITDA
₹13,023
₹19,885
₹26,747
66
EV/Revenue
₹3,995
₹8,948
₹13,901
50
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham)
₹1,598
₹2,141
₹3,196
53
Economic Profit
Residual Income
₹5,321
₹8,272
₹19,552
66
ROIC Compounder
₹13,259
₹22,657
₹29,602
68
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E
₹27,257
₹38,939
₹50,621
65
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Set up alert →Quality Score breakdown
Overall quality
43/100
Of which business quality 41 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 40
Profitability
53
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth
69
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow
9
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength
23
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment
30
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility
85
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum
27
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum
12
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance
82
Share count: buybacks or dilution?
Revenue & earnings trend
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.
55/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Revenue growth 1 year
+28.2%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+22.4%
Start year 2021 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +15.1% a year
Revenue growth 10 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+15.1%
’16
’17
’18
’19
’20
’21
’22
’24
’25
’26
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years), in INR (mathematically smoothed) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Smoothed = median of all growth paths between the years of the window (trend line on the logarithm of earnings per share): a single extreme year cannot distort the rate. The reported figure stays in the tooltip. Measured in INR: this currency has depreciated against the euro and dollar over the long run, so part of the nominal rate is currency erosion that never reaches a EUR/USD investor.
+41.1%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+39.3%
Dividend (yield on the price)1.8%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.38.1% vs 17.8%, picking up
Profit margin 2021 to 2026 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.9% → 14%
2026 sits 112% above its own trend. The rate follows the median trend of the last 5 years, not that single year.
Start year 2021 (pandemic)
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Auto Parts · 655 stocks
Beats the industry median on 5/13 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation Multiplesvs Auto Parts median · lower = cheaper
Context: sector, industry, market
- Is the Consumer Discretionary sector expensive or cheap?
- P/E, EV/EBITDA and margins by industry (reference tables)
- Undervalued stocks: Indian Stocks
- Valuation of the India market
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
None of the checked exposures detected
Similar stocks
10 more Auto Parts stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| O'Reilly Automotive, Inc ORLY | $86.07 | $49.20 | −43% |
| AutoZone, Inc AZO | $2,819 | $2,468 | −12% |
| Hyundai Mobis Co 012330 | 383,500 KRW | 638,183 KRW | +66% |
| Fuyao Glass Industry Group 600660 | ¥52.47 | ¥78.11 | +49% |
| Knorr-Bremse AG KBX | €99.20 | €72.88 | −27% |
| Samvardhana Motherson International Limited MOTHERSON | ₹165.71 | ₹96.97 | −41% |
| Genuine Parts Company GPC | $126.95 | $57.98 | −54% |
| Magna International Inc MGA | $64.46 | $69.37 | +8% |
| Bosch Limited BOSCHLTD | ₹48,250 | ₹25,213 | −48% |
| Ningbo Tuopu Group 601689 | ¥46.44 | ¥28.28 | −39% |
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Frequently asked questions
Is TVS Holdings (TVSHLTD) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Oct 1, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ₹18,439 versus a price of ₹11,886, about +55% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of TVSHLTD?
Our model-based fair value for TVS Holdings is ₹18,439 (as of Oct 1, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: ₹11,886.
What is the quality score of TVSHLTD?
TVS Holdings has a Quality Score of 43/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for TVS Holdings (TVSHLTD)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of ₹18,439 (as of Oct 1, 2026) from 17 valuation models. Cautious scenario ₹13,023, optimistic scenario ₹23,048. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the TVS Holdings stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at ₹18,439, about +55% upside versus a price of ₹11,886 (undervalued). Cautious scenario ₹13,023, optimistic scenario ₹23,048. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of TVS Holdings (TVSHLTD)?
TVS Holdings reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about ₹541B (latest available figure, as of Oct 1, 2026).
Does TVS Holdings pay a dividend?
TVS Holdings currently shows a dividend yield of about 1.84% relative to its recent price (as of Oct 1, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of TVS Holdings (TVSHLTD)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For TVS Holdings it is ₹18,439 per share (as of Oct 1, 2026), against a price of ₹11,886. It is the blended result of 17 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is TVS Holdings stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Oct 1, 2026, TVSHLTD trades below its calculated fair value: price ₹11,886, fair value ₹18,439, a gap of about +55% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of TVSHLTD?
No. The price is what the market pays today (₹11,886); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (₹18,439). For TVS Holdings the two are ₹6,553 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is TVS Holdings worth?
The market values TVS Holdings at about ₹240B (market capitalisation, as of Oct 1, 2026). Per share that is ₹11,886; our models calculate a fair value of ₹18,439 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about TVSHLTD?
Our models span a range for TVS Holdings: cautious scenario ₹13,023, base ₹18,439, optimistic ₹23,048 per share (as of Oct 1, 2026, price ₹11,886). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of TVSHLTD?
TVS Holdings trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 12.2 (as of Oct 1, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of ₹18,439 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 3.8, P/S 0.9, EV/EBITDA 117.9.
How solid is the balance sheet of TVS Holdings (TVSHLTD)?
Balance-sheet figures for TVS Holdings (as of Oct 1, 2026): return on equity 29.4%, debt of 5.45 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 43/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is TVSHLTD from its 52-week high?
TVS Holdings trades at ₹11,886, about 24% below its 52-week high of ₹15,627 and at the low of ₹11,886 (as of Oct 1, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of ₹18,439 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to TVS Holdings?
From the same area (Consumer Cyclical) we also value O'Reilly Automotive, Inc, AutoZone, Inc, Hyundai Mobis Co, Fuyao Glass Industry Group, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is TVS Holdings stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Oct 1, 2026: price ₹11,886, calculated fair value ₹18,439 (+55%), Quality Score 43/100, from 17 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of TVSHLTD calculated?
We run TVS Holdings through 17 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of ₹18,439, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.9 % above its aggregate fair value. TVS Holdings currently trades 36 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of TVS Holdings (TVSHLTD)?
The closing price on Oct 1, 2026 was ₹11,886. Our model-based fair value is ₹18,439, about +55% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with TVS Holdings right now?
The large discount to fair value meets weak quality (43/100). That raises the risk this is a value trap rather than a bargain. The price is below even our cautious bear case (₹13,023). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
Key figures of TVS Holdings
How large is the market capitalisation of TVS Holdings (TVSHLTD)?
The market capitalisation of TVS Holdings is ₹240B (≈ $2.5B). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of TVS Holdings (TVSHLTD)?
The price-to-sales ratio of TVS Holdings is 0.37 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of TVS Holdings (TVSHLTD)?
Earnings per share at TVS Holdings are ₹973.61 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 12.2). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of TVS Holdings (TVSHLTD)?
The dividend yield of TVS Holdings is 1.8% (payout 22.4%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of TVS Holdings (TVSHLTD)?
The net margin of TVS Holdings is 3.0% (fiscal year 2026). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of TVS Holdings (TVSHLTD)?
The return on equity (ROE) of TVS Holdings is 29.4% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of TVS Holdings (TVSHLTD)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of TVS Holdings is 8.2% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of TVS Holdings (TVSHLTD)?
The operating margin of TVS Holdings is 0.2% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at TVS Holdings (TVSHLTD)?
Revenue at TVS Holdings is growing +35.7% versus a year earlier (3y avg +199%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at TVS Holdings (TVSHLTD)?
Earnings per share at TVS Holdings are growing +81.9% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does TVS Holdings (TVSHLTD) generate?
The free cash flow of TVS Holdings is −₹21.6B (fiscal year 2026). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does TVS Holdings (TVSHLTD) carry?
The net debt of TVS Holdings is ₹306B (fiscal year 2026). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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