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thyssenkrupp AG (TYEKF) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Oct 2, 2026: fair value of thyssenkrupp AG $20.69, price $16.48, upside +25.6%, quality 59 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
- Fair value above price? Yes
- Good quality? Yes
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Some data
Oct 2, 2026
Some data
Oct 2, 2026
thyssenkrupp AG
TYEKF · USUndervaluedThe stock appears undervalued with acceptable quality.
✓Fair value $20.69 · Undervalued (+25.6%)
!Quality 59/100
!Weak Growth (revenue 5y +5.9 %/yr)
!Thin margins · 0.0% net margin (TTM)
✓Low debt · generates free cash flow
✓0.9% dividend yield · Well covered
!Narrow moat 28/100
!Evidence only medium, so the estimate is less certain
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What runs behind every stock
26
valuation models
8 families, DCF to NCAV
37
quality factors
margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt
6
AI factors
moat, what no ratio measures
2,000+
data points
verified, per stock, median
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Oct 2, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $2.96 – $29.55 · fair‑value band $15.52 – $25.86 · the $16.48 price screens below the $20.69 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Oct 2, 2026.
Company profile
thyssenkrupp AG, together with its subsidiaries, provides industrial and technology solutions and services in Germany and internationally. The company operates in five segments: Automotive Technology, Decarbon Technologies, Materials Services, Steel Europe, and Marine Systems.
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thyssenkrupp AG, together with its subsidiaries, provides industrial and technology solutions and services in Germany and internationally. The company operates in five segments: Automotive Technology, Decarbon Technologies, Materials Services, Steel Europe, and Marine Systems. It offers axle assembly and logistics, body in white, camshafts and electric engine components, carValoo, dampers, dies, plant engineering for batteries and powertrain, prototypes, serial production, springs and stabilizers, steering, crankshafts and conrods, thermal management, and undercarriages, as well as systems, automation, and mechatronic solutions; and slewing bearings and rings, chemical plants, coke plant technologies, green ammonia, methanol, and hydrogen, high-pressure processing, refinery services and cement plants. The company also provides alloys, logistics services, industrial minerals, material services, nonferrous metals, plastics, and stainless steel; composite materials, cut-to-length sheet products, electrical and packaging steel, hot and precision steel strips, organic coated strips and sheets, and sheet and coated products; and naval services, surface vessels, and submarines. It serves automotive, chemicals, energy generation and distribution, food and beverages, white goods, aerospace, mechanical and plant engineering, oil and gas, shipbuilding, and special vehicles, as well as construction, infrastructure, and buildings industries. The company was founded in 1811 and is headquartered in Essen, Germany.
Stock analysis
thyssenkrupp AG (TYEKF) currently trades at $16.48, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $20.69, implying the stock looks roughly 20.4% undervalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Growth DCF group reads highest at a median of $29.97 per share, and 6 of the 11 models we run sit above the $16.48 price.
Bear case: the Dividend Discount group reads lowest at $2.09, and 5 of the 11 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is medium.
Scenario range: $15.52 (bear) to $25.86 (bull), the price of $16.48 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 59/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector.
Weak Growth: Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.
thyssenkrupp AG reported revenue of €38.5B in FY2025 versus €34.0B in FY2021, a compound +3.2%/yr. Reported net income was €546M in FY2025.
Key figures
Market cap $10.3B · P/S ratio 0.23 · EPS (TTM) $0.0100 · Dividend yield 0.9% · Net margin 1.4% · Return on equity 0.5% · Return on assets (EBIT) −1.1% · Operating margin 0.7%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 42 out of 100 (medium confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 5% below its 52-week high and 106% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at 2% fair-value upside, at 26%, TYEKF screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear $15.52
Fair Value $20.69
Bull $25.86
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model.
Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.
Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
Growth DCF
$25.40
$29.97
$38.20
80
Owner Earnings
$24.69
$29.32
$38.46
78
Residual Income
$15.74
$15.93
$16.66
76
All 11 models by family
DCF Models
Owner Earnings
$24.69
$29.32
$38.46
78
5Y P/E Exit
$24.16
$30.15
$37.60
72
10Y P/E Exit
$24.33
$29.12
$33.96
65
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd
$6.71
$10.94
$13.23
67
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM
$1.73
$2.09
$2.46
69
DDM Multi-Stage
$1.73
$2.27
$2.93
67
Multiples
P/E Multiple
$15.54
$20.72
$25.90
63
P/B Multiple
$12.58
$16.77
$20.97
55
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham)
$10.36
$13.89
$20.73
54
Growth DCF
Growth DCF
$25.40
$29.97
$38.20
80
Economic Profit
Residual Income
$15.74
$15.93
$16.66
76
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Set up alert →Quality Score breakdown
Overall quality
59/100
Of which business quality 57 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 70
Profitability
35
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth
64
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow
37
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength
56
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment
95
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility
9
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum
97
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum
96
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance
82
Share count: buybacks or dilution?
Revenue & earnings trend
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.
40/100
Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.
Revenue growth 1 year
+10.0%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−2.2%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+5.9%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: −1.0% a year
Revenue growth 26 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+1.0%
’14
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
−42.7%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−43.6%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.9%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.−43.6% vs 5.3%, slowing
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.−18% → −2%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
⚠ Revenue per share shrinking 2.2%/yr over ~10Y (margins eroding too) ⓘStructural-decline marker: revenue PER SHARE has fallen over the last decade (robust median trend, not a single year). Backtested across 2005 to 2017, such businesses trailed the market by about 2.5 percentage points per year. Display only: it does not change the fair value or the quality score.
Growth Forecast
A lot of optimism in the price
The price assumes more growth than the company has delivered so far and more than analysts expect.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+15.7%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect ⓘAnalysts publish sales forecasts for the next two fiscal years. For the years after that, growth slows evenly to 2 % a year by year ten (2 % is the long-run rate our models use). Projected years are marked as such.
−5.8%
Yearly sales growth analysts expect, extended to five years.
After inflation (figures in EUR, euro area: IMF forecast 2.2% a year to 2030, 2.6% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +13.2% a year for the price and −7.8% for the forecasts.
Forecast 2026 (sales)−7.2%
Forecast 2027 (sales)−7.2%
Projected 2028 (sales)−6.0%
Projected 2029 (sales)−4.9%
Projected 2030 (sales)−3.7%
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Recent news
News mood ⓘNews mood, the average tone of recent news (97 articles), rated against how stocks are usually covered. 🚀 Hype = unusually upbeat · 🙂 Positive = above average · 😐 Neutral = typical · 🙁 Negative = below average · 😨 Very negative = unusually downbeat. It reflects the tone of coverage, not our valuation.
Negative
Recent news coverage is more negative than average.
- Jacobs wins contract extension for thyssenkrupp direct reduction plant in Germany
- thyssenkrupp AG (TKAMY) (Q3 2026) Earnings Call Highlights: Steel Write-Ups and Restructuring ...
- German steel giant Thyssenkrupp weighs options as Rhine drops
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Conglomerates · 361 stocks
Beats the industry median on 4/13 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation Multiplesvs Conglomerates median · lower = cheaper
Context: sector, industry, market
- Is the Industrials sector expensive or cheap?
- P/E, EV/EBITDA and margins by industry (reference tables)
- Undervalued stocks: Industrials
- Undervalued stocks: US Stocks
- Valuation of the USA market
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
None of the checked exposures detected
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Frequently asked questions
Is thyssenkrupp AG (TYEKF) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Oct 2, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $20.69 versus a price of $16.48, about +26% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of TYEKF?
Our model-based fair value for thyssenkrupp AG is $20.69 (as of Oct 2, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $16.48.
What is the quality score of TYEKF?
thyssenkrupp AG has a Quality Score of 59/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for thyssenkrupp AG (TYEKF)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $20.69 (as of Oct 2, 2026) from 11 valuation models. Cautious scenario $15.52, optimistic scenario $25.86. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the thyssenkrupp AG stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $20.69, about +26% upside versus a price of $16.48 (undervalued). Cautious scenario $15.52, optimistic scenario $25.86. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of thyssenkrupp AG (TYEKF)?
thyssenkrupp AG reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about €32.0B (latest available figure, as of Oct 2, 2026).
Does thyssenkrupp AG pay a dividend?
thyssenkrupp AG currently shows a dividend yield of about 0.91% relative to its recent price (as of Oct 2, 2026).
What growth is priced into thyssenkrupp AG (TYEKF)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, thyssenkrupp AG would have to grow free cash flow by +15.7 % per year for five years (discount rate 11.1 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +5.9 % per year. As of Oct 2, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of TYEKF use?
Our models discount thyssenkrupp AG at 11.1 %: a base by market capitalisation (mid), damped by beta 1.56, country premium for USA. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For thyssenkrupp AG that is +15.7 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (11.1 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has thyssenkrupp AG (TYEKF) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at thyssenkrupp AG grew +5.9 % a year. The price currently implies +15.7 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of thyssenkrupp AG (TYEKF) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +7.2 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into thyssenkrupp AG (+15.7 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of thyssenkrupp AG (TYEKF)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 1.56 %: that much free cash flow thyssenkrupp AG produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (11.1 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of thyssenkrupp AG (TYEKF)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For thyssenkrupp AG it is $20.69 per share (as of Oct 2, 2026), against a price of $16.48. It is the blended result of 11 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is thyssenkrupp AG stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Oct 2, 2026, TYEKF trades below its calculated fair value: price $16.48, fair value $20.69, a gap of about +26% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of TYEKF?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($16.48); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($20.69). For thyssenkrupp AG the two are $4.21 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is thyssenkrupp AG worth?
The market values thyssenkrupp AG at about $10.3B (market capitalisation, as of Oct 2, 2026). Per share that is $16.48; our models calculate a fair value of $20.69 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about TYEKF?
Our models span a range for thyssenkrupp AG: cautious scenario $15.52, base $20.69, optimistic $25.86 per share (as of Oct 2, 2026, price $16.48). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the PEG ratio of TYEKF?
The PEG ratio of thyssenkrupp AG is 145.32 (P/E divided by earnings growth, as of Oct 2, 2026). That is above 1, so the growth is already paid for in the price.
How solid is the balance sheet of thyssenkrupp AG (TYEKF)?
Balance-sheet figures for thyssenkrupp AG (as of Oct 2, 2026): return on equity 0.5%, debt of 0.00 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 59/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is TYEKF from its 52-week high?
thyssenkrupp AG trades at $16.48, about 5% below its 52-week high of $17.30 and 106% above the low of $8.01 (as of Oct 2, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $20.69 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to thyssenkrupp AG?
From the same area (Industrials) we also value 3M Company, Honeywell International Inc, CITIC Limited, Swire Pacific Limited, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is thyssenkrupp AG stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Oct 2, 2026: price $16.48, calculated fair value $20.69 (+26%), Quality Score 59/100, from 11 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of TYEKF calculated?
We run thyssenkrupp AG through 11 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $20.69, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.5 % above its aggregate fair value. thyssenkrupp AG currently trades 20 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of thyssenkrupp AG (TYEKF)?
The closing price on Oct 2, 2026 was $16.48. Our model-based fair value is $20.69, about +26% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with thyssenkrupp AG right now?
Solid quality (59/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality. The price sits in the lower half of our model range, the side with the larger margin of safety. Read the verdict with care: some models are missing inputs, so the estimate scatters more than usual.
Key figures of thyssenkrupp AG
How large is the market capitalisation of thyssenkrupp AG (TYEKF)?
The market capitalisation of thyssenkrupp AG is $10.3B. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of thyssenkrupp AG (TYEKF)?
The price-to-sales ratio of thyssenkrupp AG is 0.23 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of thyssenkrupp AG (TYEKF)?
Earnings per share at thyssenkrupp AG are $0.0100. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of thyssenkrupp AG (TYEKF)?
The dividend yield of thyssenkrupp AG is 0.9%. Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of thyssenkrupp AG (TYEKF)?
The net margin of thyssenkrupp AG is 1.4% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of thyssenkrupp AG (TYEKF)?
The return on equity (ROE) of thyssenkrupp AG is 0.5% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of thyssenkrupp AG (TYEKF)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of thyssenkrupp AG is −1.1% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of thyssenkrupp AG (TYEKF)?
The operating margin of thyssenkrupp AG is 0.7% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at thyssenkrupp AG (TYEKF)?
Revenue at thyssenkrupp AG is growing −2.3% versus a year earlier (3y avg −2.2%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How much net cash does thyssenkrupp AG (TYEKF) hold?
thyssenkrupp AG holds more cash than debt, €4.8B net (fiscal year 2025). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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