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Data-driven stock valuation

Agro Bahari Nusantara Tbk. (UDNG) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Nov 10, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of Agro Bahari Nusantara Tbk. stock IDR 127, price IDR 226, that is 44.0% below the price, quality 42 out of 100. Rating: strongly overvalued. The value is an estimate: none of our valuation models currently carries, it draws on revenue and assets compared with similar companies. Updated daily.

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Consumer Defensive ID

AB Agro Bahari Nusantara Tbk. logo Thin data Nov 10, 2026

Agro Bahari Nusantara Tbk.

UDNG · JK
Very expensive, weak quality

Our calculation puts a fair price 44% below what the stock costs today.

Quality 42/100
Mixed Growth (revenue 3y +75.7 %/yr in IDR)
Revenue last quarter 8% below a year ago.
Fair value 126.60 IDR · Strongly overvalued
Loss-making · -35.0% net margin (TTM)
Negative free cash flow
Trails peers (0/9)
Narrow moat 9/100
Thin data
⟳ CyclicalEstimate
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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

5,200 IDR 38.00 IDR Fair Value 126.60 IDR Oct 2023 Nov 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Nov 10, 2026.

How to read this chart

36‑month range 38.00 IDR – 5,200 IDR · fair‑value band 94.95 IDR – 158.25 IDR · the 226.00 IDR price screens above the 126.60 IDR fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). As of Nov 10, 2026.

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Company profile

PT Agro Bahari Nusantara Tbk, together with its subsidiary, an aquaculture company, engages in the shrimp farming business. The company is involved in the brackish water crustacean rearing. PT Agro Bahari Nusantara Tbk was founded in 2019 and is headquartered in Tangerang, Indonesia.

Stock analysis

Agro Bahari Nusantara Tbk. (UDNG) currently trades at 226.00 IDR, while our estimate is 126.60 IDR, 44% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.

Show more

Valuation

None of our valuation models currently carries for this company, usually because of losses or heavy investment. The estimate draws on revenue and assets compared with similar companies and is less precise than a model-based fair value.

Scenario range: 94.95 IDR (bear) to 158.25 IDR (bull), the price of 226.00 IDR sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 42/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector.

Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.

Agro Bahari Nusantara Tbk. reported revenue of 21.6B IDR in FY2025 versus 6.0B IDR in FY2021, a compound +38.1%/yr. Reported net income was −3.4B IDR in FY2025.

Key figures

Market cap 441B IDR (≈ $24.5M) Micro · P/S ratio 21.4 · EPS (TTM) −3.73 IDR · Net margin −35.0% · Return on equity −13.9% · Return on assets (EBIT) −2.1% (5-year average) · Operating margin −30.8% · Revenue (TTM) 20.6B IDR.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 9 out of 100 (medium confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 96% below its 52-week high and 1% above its 52-week low.

For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at 10% fair-value upside, at −44%, UDNG screens richer than that median.

Fair Value

Bear 94.95 IDR Fair Value 126.60 IDR Bull 158.25 IDR
Price 226.00 IDR · Downside -44.0%
Estimate. None of our valuation models currently carries for this company, usually because of losses or heavy investment. The estimate draws on revenue and assets compared with similar companies and is less precise than a model-based fair value.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 42/100

It rates the business: profits, how they develop, real cash, balance sheet, investing and share count.

Profitability 4
How much profit the company makes from its sales and capital
Quality Growth 91
Are margins and returns getting better?
Cashflow 6
Do the profits arrive as real cash?
Financial strength 79
Debt, balance sheet and risk of trouble
Investment 0
Does it invest with discipline instead of growing at any price?
Low Volatility 0
How calm the share price moves, does not count
Price momentum 0
Price momentum of the last 3 to 12 months, does not count
Near the 52-week high 0
Distance to the 52-week high, does not count
New shares 82
Buys back shares or issues new ones?

Open the full quality analysis →

Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 30/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
2.1% (2021) → −18.7% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed

UDNG screens overvalued: fair value 44% below the price. Compare with Muyuan Foods Group →

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Farm Products · 302 stocks

Beats the industry median on 0/8 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 42 · Below median
Fair Value upside −44.0% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on assets −6.1% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (12 months) −35.0% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (12 months) −30.8% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY) −8.3% · Bottom 25%

Valuation Multiplesvs Farm Products median · lower = cheaper

P/B 8.51× · Priciest 25%
P/S (12 months) 21.44× · Priciest 25%

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Farm Products stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value Compare
Charoen Pokphand Foods Public Company CPF 20.10 THB 40.78 THB +103% vs UDNG
Tyson Foods, Inc TSN $60.29 $73.24 +21% vs UDNG
Mowi ASA MOWI kr 225.20 kr 273.41 +21% vs UDNG
Muyuan Foods Group 002714 ¥44.57 ¥53.02 +19% vs UDNG
United Plantations Berhad 2089 30.40 MYR 33.42 MYR +10% vs UDNG
Archer-Daniels-Midland Company ADM $69.30 $61.55 −11% vs UDNG
Wens Foodstuff Group 300498 ¥16.83 ¥12.08 −28% vs UDNG
Fujian Wanchen Food Group 300972 ¥131.00 ¥88.62 −32% vs UDNG
Bunge Global SA BG $99.42 $56.81 −43% vs UDNG
SalMar ASA SALM kr 592.00 kr 260.28 −56% vs UDNG

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Agro Bahari Nusantara Tbk.: fair value per Fair Value Calculator

Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Agro Bahari Nusantara Tbk. Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/UDNG

Frequently asked questions

Is Agro Bahari Nusantara Tbk. (UDNG) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Nov 10, 2026, our estimate of fair value is 126.60 IDR versus a price of 226.00 IDR, about 44% lower (overvalued).
What is the fair value of UDNG?
Our estimate for Agro Bahari Nusantara Tbk. is 126.60 IDR (as of Nov 10, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 226.00 IDR.
What is the quality score of UDNG?
Agro Bahari Nusantara Tbk. has a Quality Score of 42/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Agro Bahari Nusantara Tbk. (UDNG)?
Our calculated price target is the estimate of 126.60 IDR (as of Nov 10, 2026). Cautious scenario 94.95 IDR, optimistic scenario 158.25 IDR. It is an estimate from revenue and assets compared with similar companies, because none of our valuation models currently carries, not an analyst target.
What is the Agro Bahari Nusantara Tbk. stock forecast for 2026?
Our estimate puts fair value at 126.60 IDR, about 44% lower versus a price of 226.00 IDR (overvalued). Cautious scenario 94.95 IDR, optimistic scenario 158.25 IDR. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Agro Bahari Nusantara Tbk. (UDNG)?
Agro Bahari Nusantara Tbk. reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 20.6B IDR (latest available figure, as of Nov 10, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Agro Bahari Nusantara Tbk. (UDNG)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Agro Bahari Nusantara Tbk. it is 126.60 IDR per share (as of Nov 10, 2026), against a price of 226.00 IDR.
Is Agro Bahari Nusantara Tbk. stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Nov 10, 2026, UDNG trades above its calculated fair value: price 226.00 IDR, fair value 126.60 IDR, a gap of about −44% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of UDNG?
No. The price is what the market pays today (226.00 IDR); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (126.60 IDR). For Agro Bahari Nusantara Tbk. the two are 99.40 IDR per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Agro Bahari Nusantara Tbk. worth?
The market values Agro Bahari Nusantara Tbk. at about 441B IDR (market capitalisation, as of Nov 10, 2026). Per share that is 226.00 IDR; our models calculate a fair value of 126.60 IDR per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about UDNG?
Our models span a range for Agro Bahari Nusantara Tbk.: cautious scenario 94.95 IDR, base 126.60 IDR, optimistic 158.25 IDR per share (as of Nov 10, 2026, price 226.00 IDR). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Agro Bahari Nusantara Tbk. (UDNG)?
Balance-sheet figures for Agro Bahari Nusantara Tbk. (as of Nov 10, 2026): return on equity −13.9%. They feed the Quality Score of 42/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is UDNG from its 52-week high?
Agro Bahari Nusantara Tbk. trades at 226.00 IDR, about 96% below its 52-week high of 5,200 IDR and 1% above the low of 224.00 IDR (as of Nov 10, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of 126.60 IDR is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Agro Bahari Nusantara Tbk.?
From the same area (Consumer Defensive) we also value Muyuan Foods Group, Archer-Daniels-Midland Company, Tyson Foods, Inc, Bunge Global SA, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Agro Bahari Nusantara Tbk. stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Nov 10, 2026: price 226.00 IDR, calculated fair value 126.60 IDR (−44%), Quality Score 42/100. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 15.1% above its aggregate fair value. Agro Bahari Nusantara Tbk. itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Agro Bahari Nusantara Tbk. (UDNG)?
The closing price on Nov 10, 2026 was 226.00 IDR. Our estimate is 126.60 IDR, about 44% lower (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Agro Bahari Nusantara Tbk. right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (158.25 IDR). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (42/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.

Key figures of Agro Bahari Nusantara Tbk.

How large is the market capitalisation of Agro Bahari Nusantara Tbk. (UDNG)?
The market capitalisation of Agro Bahari Nusantara Tbk. is 441B IDR (≈ $24.5M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Agro Bahari Nusantara Tbk. (UDNG)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Agro Bahari Nusantara Tbk. is 21.4 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Agro Bahari Nusantara Tbk. (UDNG)?
Earnings per share at Agro Bahari Nusantara Tbk. are −3.73 IDR. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Agro Bahari Nusantara Tbk. (UDNG)?
The net margin of Agro Bahari Nusantara Tbk. is −35.0% (last twelve months). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Agro Bahari Nusantara Tbk. (UDNG)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Agro Bahari Nusantara Tbk. is −13.9% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Agro Bahari Nusantara Tbk. (UDNG)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Agro Bahari Nusantara Tbk. is −2.1% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Agro Bahari Nusantara Tbk. (UDNG)?
The operating margin of Agro Bahari Nusantara Tbk. is −30.8% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Agro Bahari Nusantara Tbk. (UDNG)?
Revenue at Agro Bahari Nusantara Tbk. is growing −8.3% versus a year earlier (3y avg +75.7%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How much free cash flow does Agro Bahari Nusantara Tbk. (UDNG) generate?
The free cash flow of Agro Bahari Nusantara Tbk. is −5.0B IDR (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
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