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Union Jack Oil plc (UJO) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Sep 24, 2026: fair value of Union Jack Oil plc £0.03, price £0.03, upside -16.6%, quality 23 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? No
  2. Good quality? No
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Energy · GB · ISIN GB00BLH1S316

UJ Thin data Sep 23, 2026

Union Jack Oil plc

UJO · LSE

Weak valuationQuality is weak on top of the rich price.

!Fair value £0.0252 · Overvalued (−17%)
!Quality 23/100
!Weak Growth (revenue 5y +73.6 %/yr)
!negative free cash flow
!Trails peers (3/10)
!Narrow moat 10/100
!Insider activity 45/100
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain
!Weak on valuation: 11 out of 100
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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

£0.4844 £0.0220 Fair Value £0.0252 Jul 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range £0.0220 – £0.4844 · fair‑value band £0.0227 – £0.0327 · the £0.0302 price screens above the £0.0252 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). 2 fiscal years are left out: there the valuation rested on only a fraction of the usual models. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.

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Company profile

Union Jack Oil plc operates as an onshore oil and gas company in the United Kingdom and the United States. The company focuses on production, drilling, development, and investment in hydrocarbon production projects. Its flagship project is the 40% owned Wressle Oilfield project PEDL180 and PEDL182 located in Lincolnshire.

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Union Jack Oil plc operates as an onshore oil and gas company in the United Kingdom and the United States. The company focuses on production, drilling, development, and investment in hydrocarbon production projects. Its flagship project is the 40% owned Wressle Oilfield project PEDL180 and PEDL182 located in Lincolnshire. The company was incorporated in 2011 and is based in Bath, United Kingdom.

Stock analysis

Union Jack Oil plc (UJO) currently trades at £0.0302, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is £0.0252, implying the stock looks roughly 19.8% overvalued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the Asset-Based group reads highest at a median of £0.0800 per share, and 1 of the 3 models we run sit above the £0.0302 price.

Bear case: the Dividend Discount group reads lowest at £0.0300, and 2 of the 3 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.

Scenario range: £0.0227 (bear) to £0.0327 (bull), the price of £0.0302 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 23/100 (below-average quality), in the Energy sector.

Weak Growth: Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.

Union Jack Oil plc reported revenue of £2.5M in FY2025 versus £1.9M in FY2021, a compound +7.1%/yr. Reported net income was −£7.0M in FY2025.

Key figures

Market cap 5.3M GBX · P/S ratio 2.13 · EPS (TTM) £−0.0600 · Dividend yield 5.0% · Net margin −282% · Return on equity −36.3% · Return on assets (EBIT) 1.0% · Operating margin −98.3%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 38 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 44% below its 52-week high and 37% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Energy peers we cover trades at 10% fair-value upside, at −17%, UJO screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear £0.0227 Fair Value £0.0252 Bull £0.0327
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
DDM Multi-Stage £0.0200 £0.0300 £0.0300 64
Gordon GGM £0.0200 £0.0300 £0.0500 63
NCAV (Graham) £0.0600 £0.0800 £0.1100 52
All 3 models by family
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM £0.0200 £0.0300 £0.0500 63
DDM Multi-Stage £0.0200 £0.0300 £0.0300 64
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) £0.0600 £0.0800 £0.1100 52

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 23/100

Of which business quality 26 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 26

Profitability 1
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 7
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 0
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 67
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 67
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 50
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 18
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 13
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 28
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 21/100
Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.
Revenue growth 1 year
−36.6%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−33.6%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+73.6%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
Revenue growth 9 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+69.0%
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
−1,124.8% (2020) → −71.7% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed

UJO screens 20% overvalued. Compare with CNOOC Limited →

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Oil & Gas E&P · 306 stocks

Beats the industry median on 3/9 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 23 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside −15% · Below median
Profitability
Return on assets −5% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) −98% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth −24% · Bottom 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 5.0% · Above median

Valuation Multiplesvs Oil & Gas E&P median · lower = cheaper

P/B 0.42× · Cheapest 25%
P/S (TTM) 2.83× · Pricier than median
PEG 0.07× · Cheapest 25%

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)11 · sector 28
FUTURE (revenue growth)0 · sector 12
PAST (return on equity)0 · sector 10
HEALTH (low debt)0 · sector 85
DIVIDEND (yield)100 · sector 74

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

Oil & gas

Similar stocks

10 more Oil & Gas E&P stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
CNOOC Limited 0883 HK$23.34 HK$39.89 +71%
ConocoPhillips explores for, COP $128.09 $90.15 −30%
Canadian Natural Resources Limited CNQ $47.64 $52.40 +10%
EOG Resources, Inc EOG $141.84 $165.02 +16%
Occidental Petroleum Corporation OXY $57.36 $33.34 −42%
Diamondback Energy, Inc FANG $185.65 $242.64 +31%
Devon Energy Corporation DVN $48.04 $52.84 +10%
Woodside Energy Group WDS A$31.13 A$23.59 −24%
EQT Corporation EQT $51.06 $56.17 +10%
Texas Pacific Land Corporation TPL $335.74 $318.28 −5%

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Union Jack Oil plc · Fair Value
£0.0252 −20%Fair Value
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Union Jack Oil plc Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/UJO

Frequently asked questions

Is Union Jack Oil plc (UJO) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 23, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of £0.0252 versus a price of £0.0302, about −17% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of UJO?
Our model-based fair value for Union Jack Oil plc is £0.0252 (as of Sep 23, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: £0.0302.
What is the quality score of UJO?
Union Jack Oil plc has a Quality Score of 23/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Union Jack Oil plc (UJO)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of £0.0252 (as of Sep 23, 2026) from 3 valuation models. Cautious scenario £0.0227, optimistic scenario £0.0327. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Union Jack Oil plc stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at £0.0252, about −17% upside versus a price of £0.0302 (overvalued). Cautious scenario £0.0227, optimistic scenario £0.0327. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Union Jack Oil plc (UJO)?
Union Jack Oil plc reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about £2.5M (latest available figure, as of Sep 23, 2026).
Does Union Jack Oil plc pay a dividend?
Union Jack Oil plc currently shows a dividend yield of about 5.01% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 23, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Union Jack Oil plc (UJO)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Union Jack Oil plc it is £0.0252 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026), against a price of £0.0302. It is the blended result of 3 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Union Jack Oil plc stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 23, 2026, UJO trades above its calculated fair value: price £0.0302, fair value £0.0252, a gap of about −17% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of UJO?
No. The price is what the market pays today (£0.0302); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (£0.0252). For Union Jack Oil plc the two are £0.0050 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Union Jack Oil plc worth?
The market values Union Jack Oil plc at about 5.3M GBX (market capitalisation, as of Sep 23, 2026). Per share that is £0.0302; our models calculate a fair value of £0.0252 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about UJO?
Our models span a range for Union Jack Oil plc: cautious scenario £0.0227, base £0.0252, optimistic £0.0327 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026, price £0.0302). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the PEG ratio of UJO?
The PEG ratio of Union Jack Oil plc is 0.07 (P/E divided by earnings growth, as of Sep 23, 2026). That is below 1, so growth is priced more cheaply than the earnings multiple alone suggests.
How solid is the balance sheet of Union Jack Oil plc (UJO)?
Balance-sheet figures for Union Jack Oil plc (as of Sep 23, 2026): return on equity −36.3%. They feed the Quality Score of 23/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is UJO from its 52-week high?
Union Jack Oil plc trades at £0.0302, about 44% below its 52-week high of £0.0536 and 37% above the low of £0.0220 (as of Sep 24, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of £0.0252 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Union Jack Oil plc?
From the same area (Energy) we also value CNOOC Limited, ConocoPhillips explores for,, Canadian Natural Resources Limited, EOG Resources, Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Union Jack Oil plc stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 23, 2026: price £0.0302, calculated fair value £0.0252 (−17%), Quality Score 23/100, from 3 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of UJO calculated?
We run Union Jack Oil plc through 3 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of £0.0252, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.0 % above its aggregate fair value. Union Jack Oil plc itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Union Jack Oil plc (UJO)?
The closing price on Sep 24, 2026 was £0.0302. Our model-based fair value is £0.0252, about −17% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Union Jack Oil plc right now?
Weak quality (23/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. Evidence is limited here (fewer models, shorter history), so the fair value is a rougher estimate than usual.

Key figures of Union Jack Oil plc

How large is the market capitalisation of Union Jack Oil plc (UJO)?
The market capitalisation of Union Jack Oil plc is 5.3M GBX. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Union Jack Oil plc (UJO)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Union Jack Oil plc is 2.13 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Union Jack Oil plc (UJO)?
Earnings per share at Union Jack Oil plc are £−0.0600. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Union Jack Oil plc (UJO)?
The dividend yield of Union Jack Oil plc is 5.0%. Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Union Jack Oil plc (UJO)?
The net margin of Union Jack Oil plc is −282% (last twelve months). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Union Jack Oil plc (UJO)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Union Jack Oil plc is −36.3% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Union Jack Oil plc (UJO)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Union Jack Oil plc is 1.0% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Union Jack Oil plc (UJO)?
The operating margin of Union Jack Oil plc is −98.3% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Union Jack Oil plc (UJO)?
Revenue at Union Jack Oil plc is growing −24.4% versus a year earlier (3y avg −33.6%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Union Jack Oil plc (UJO)?
Earnings per share at Union Jack Oil plc are growing +45.1% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Union Jack Oil plc (UJO) generate?
The free cash flow of Union Jack Oil plc is −3.2M GBX (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net cash does Union Jack Oil plc (UJO) hold?
Union Jack Oil plc holds more cash than debt, 1.5M GBX net (fiscal year 2025). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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