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Usio, Inc (USIO) Fair Value & Analysis

Technology · US · Market cap $59.6M

UI Usio, Inc logo Usio, Inc USIO · US
Price$2.32
Fair Value$0.8200
Upside-64.7%
Quality28/100
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Mixed Growth
Loss-making · -2.4% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
Trails peers (3/12)
Narrow moat 13/100
Evidence: Low Range $0.6200 – $1.17 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 27, 2026

From 3 valuation models · updated 14 days ago

Share price +10.5% over the past month.

Below-average quality, and screening another 65% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($1.17). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Weak quality (28/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
  • The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
  • A fairly wide model range ($0.6200 to $1.17) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

$8.26 $1.05 Fair Value $0.8200 Apr 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 27, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $1.05 – $8.26 · fair‑value band $0.6200 – $1.17 · the $2.32 price screens above the $0.8200 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 27, 2026.

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Analysis

Usio, Inc (USIO) currently trades at $2.32, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $0.8200, implying the stock looks roughly 64.7% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 28/100 (below-average quality), in the Technology sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: low).

Over the trailing twelve months, Usio, Inc generated revenue of $88.9M at a net margin of -2.4%. Revenue grew 15.7% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -11.6%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of $3.5M. Fundamentals as of Jul 27, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $0.6200 (bear case) to $1.17 (bull case); at $2.32, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades near its 52-week high and 125% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at -50% fair-value upside, at -65%, USIO screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF $0.6600 $0.9100 $1.35 80
Rev-Margin DCF $0.6400 $1.02 $1.72 74
NCAV (Graham) $0.3200 $0.4300 $0.6500 50
All 3 models by family
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $0.3200 $0.4300 $0.6500 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF $0.6600 $0.9100 $1.35 80
Rev-Margin DCF $0.6400 $1.02 $1.72 74

Widest divergence: Growth DCF ($0.9100) versus Asset-Based ($0.4300). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) $88.9M
Revenue growth (YoY) +15.7%
Net margin -2.4%
Return on equity -11.6%
Free cash flow $1.1M FY2025
Operating margin 0.9%
More key figures
EPS (TTM) $-0.0800
EPS growth (YoY) -63.3%
Net cash $3.5M FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 27, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 28/100

Of which business quality 29 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 69

Profitability 17
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 17
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 34
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 18
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 67
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 17
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 93
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 87
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 39
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Usio, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, provides integrated electronic payment processing services to merchants and businesses in the United States. The company offers various types of automated clearing house (ACH) processing for fund transfers; and credit, prepaid card, and debit card-based processing services.

Full company description

Usio, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, provides integrated electronic payment processing services to merchants and businesses in the United States. The company offers various types of automated clearing house (ACH) processing for fund transfers; and credit, prepaid card, and debit card-based processing services. Its ACH transaction processing services includes represented check and check conversion for electronic payment facilitation. In addition, the company offers integrated electronic payment processing services to merchants and businesses, including credit, and debit card-based processing services and electronic funds transfer through the ACH network. In addition, it offers merchant account services for the processing of card-based transactions through the VISA, MasterCard, American Express, and Discover supported by online and physical terminal access. Further, it provides a proprietary platform, enabling businesses to handle both e-checks and card payments; and an interactive voice response telephone system to companies, which accept payments directly from consumers over the telephone using e-checks or credit cards. Additionally, the company offers prepaid and incentive card issuance services; and operates a payment facilitation platform, as well as provides additional services, such as electronic bill presentment, document composition, document decomposition, and printing and mailing services for various industry verticals, including utilities and financial institutions. It markets and sells ACH products and services primarily through resellers; and prepaid card program directly to government entities, corporations, and to consumers through the internet. The company was formerly known as Payment Data Systems, Inc. and changed its name to Usio, Inc. in June 2019. Usio, Inc. was incorporated in 1998 and is headquartered in San Antonio, Texas.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Usio, Inc reported revenue of $85.4M in FY2025 versus $61.9M in FY2021, a compound +8.4%/yr. Reported net income was −$2.5M in FY2025.

Growth Quality 54/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
$85.4M
Latest YoY
+3.0%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+7.1%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+21.5%
Avg. growth/yr (26Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+32.6%
Revenue +8.4%/yr
FY21 $61.9M
FY22 $69.4M
FY23 $82.6M
FY24 $82.9M
FY25 $85.4M
Net income
FY21 −$322K
FY22 −$5.5M
FY23 −$475K
FY24 $3.3M
FY25 −$2.5M

USIO screens 65% overvalued. Compare with Microsoft Corporation →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Usio, Inc Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/USIO

Peer Group

Software - Infrastructure · 370 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 26 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside −65% · Below median
Return on assets -1% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) -2% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM) 1% · Below median
Revenue growth 16% · Above median
Debt / equity 0.06× · Higher than median

Valuation Multiples vs Software - Infrastructure median · lower = cheaper

P/B 3.33× · Pricier than median
P/S (TTM) 0.67× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/FCF 55.3× · Pricier than 75% of peers
PEG 0.95× · Cheaper than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 · sector 0
FUTURE 79 · sector 46
PAST 0 · sector 15
HEALTH 97 · sector 98
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 28

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Insider activity: 35/100

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Software - Infrastructure stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 27, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Microsoft Corporation MSFT $384.00 $274.17 -29%
Oracle Corporation ORAC C$9.08 C$2.94 -68%
Fortinet, Inc FTNT $160.78 $44.96 -72%
Synopsys, Inc 1SNPS €354.50 €93.61 -74%
Block, Inc XYZ A$114.53 A$70.69 -38%
CoreWeave, Inc CRWV $79.94 $44.89 -44%
Range Intelligent Computing Technology Group 300442 ¥71.60 ¥34.00 -53%
Oracle Financial Services Software Limited OFSS ₹11,651 ₹5,821 -50%
360 Security Technology Inc 601360 ¥9.64 ¥5.05 -48%
One97 Communications Limited PAYTM ₹1,342 ₹181.50 -86%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Usio, Inc (USIO) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 27, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $0.8200 versus a price of $2.32, about −65% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of USIO?
Our model-based fair value for Usio, Inc is $0.8200 (as of Jul 27, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is $2.32.
What is the quality score of USIO?
Usio, Inc has a Quality Score of 28/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Usio, Inc (USIO)?
Usio, Inc reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $88.9M (latest available figure, as of Jul 27, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of USIO?
The net profit margin of Usio, Inc is about -2.4%, meaning it is currently running at a net loss. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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