Universal Security Instruments Inc (UUU) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 24, 2026: fair value of Universal Security Instruments Inc $2.79, price $5.07, upside -45.0%, quality 64 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $0.9515 – $7.92 · fair‑value band $2.09 – $3.51 · the $5.07 price screens above the $2.79 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.
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Universal Safety Products, Inc., together with its subsidiary, engages in the marketing and distribution of safety and security products in the United States.
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Universal Safety Products, Inc., together with its subsidiary, engages in the marketing and distribution of safety and security products in the United States. It offers a line of safety alarms units, including replaceable batteries, sealed batteries, and battery backup alarms; and smoke alarms, which include hearing impaired and heat alarms, as well as carbon monoxide alarms, door chimes, ventilation products, ground fault circuit interrupters, and other electrical devices under the UNIVERSAL and USI Electric trade names. The company also provides its products to wholesale distributors; chain, discount, television retailers; home center stores; catalog and mail order companies; electrical and lighting distributors, and manufactured housing companies; and other distributors. It sells its products through independent sales organizations and sales representatives, as well as through its own sales catalogs and brochures, and website. The company was formerly known as Universal Security Instruments, Inc. and changed its name to Universal Safety Products, Inc in April 2025. Universal Safety Products, Inc. was incorporated in 1969 and is headquartered in Owings Mills, Maryland.
Stock analysis
Universal Security Instruments Inc (UUU) currently trades at $5.07, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $2.79, implying the stock looks roughly 81.7% overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Growth Earnings group reads highest at a median of $3.66 per share, and 0 of the 13 models we run sit above the $5.07 price.
Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at $1.14, and 13 of the 13 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: $2.09 (bear) to $3.51 (bull), the price of $5.07 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 64/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector.
Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Universal Security Instruments Inc reported revenue of $23.6M in FY2025 versus $17.5M in FY2021, a compound +7.7%/yr. Reported net income was $501K in FY2025, compounding +16.9%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap $14.1M · P/S ratio 1.30 · EPS (TTM) $−0.0700 · Net margin 2.1% · Return on equity −5.4% · Return on assets (EBIT) 2.3% · Operating margin −9,700% · Revenue (TTM) $10.8M.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 37 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 32% below its 52-week high and 63% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at −20% fair-value upside, at −45%, UUU screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear $2.09Fair Value $2.79Bull $3.51
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.48/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Revenue growth 1 year
+20.7%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+6.4%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+9.7%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +9.1% a year
Revenue growth 39 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+0.7%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
+13.3%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+13.3%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.0%
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.−11% → 2%
Compare Universal Security Instruments Inc with another stock
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Building Products & Equipment · 253 stocks
Beats the industry median on 1/7 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score64 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside−45% · Below median
Profitability
Return on assets−22% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM)−2% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Dividend yield (TTM)0.0% · Bottom 25%
Valuation Multiplesvs Building Products & Equipment median · lower = cheaper
P/B2.73× · Pricier than median
P/S (TTM)1.30× · Pricier than median
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
This stockSector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0· sector 12
FUTURE (revenue growth)0· sector 11
PAST (return on equity)0· sector 23
HEALTH (low debt)100· sector 95
DIVIDEND (yield)0· sector 42
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Is Universal Security Instruments Inc (UUU) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 23, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $2.79 versus a price of $5.07, about −45% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of UUU?
Our model-based fair value for Universal Security Instruments Inc is $2.79 (as of Sep 23, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $5.07.
What is the quality score of UUU?
Universal Security Instruments Inc has a Quality Score of 64/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Universal Security Instruments Inc (UUU)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $2.79 (as of Sep 23, 2026) from 13 valuation models. Cautious scenario $2.09, optimistic scenario $3.51. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Universal Security Instruments Inc stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $2.79, about −45% upside versus a price of $5.07 (overvalued). Cautious scenario $2.09, optimistic scenario $3.51. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Universal Security Instruments Inc (UUU)?
Universal Security Instruments Inc reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $10.8M (latest available figure, as of Sep 23, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Universal Security Instruments Inc (UUU)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Universal Security Instruments Inc it is $2.79 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026), against a price of $5.07. It is the blended result of 13 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Universal Security Instruments Inc stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 23, 2026, UUU trades above its calculated fair value: price $5.07, fair value $2.79, a gap of about −45% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of UUU?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($5.07); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($2.79). For Universal Security Instruments Inc the two are $2.28 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Universal Security Instruments Inc worth?
The market values Universal Security Instruments Inc at about $14.1M (market capitalisation, as of Sep 23, 2026). Per share that is $5.07; our models calculate a fair value of $2.79 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about UUU?
Our models span a range for Universal Security Instruments Inc: cautious scenario $2.09, base $2.79, optimistic $3.51 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026, price $5.07). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Universal Security Instruments Inc (UUU)?
Balance-sheet figures for Universal Security Instruments Inc (as of Sep 23, 2026): return on equity −5.4%. They feed the Quality Score of 64/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is UUU from its 52-week high?
Universal Security Instruments Inc trades at $5.07, about 32% below its 52-week high of $7.48 and 63% above the low of $3.12 (as of Sep 24, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $2.79 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Universal Security Instruments Inc?
From the same area (Industrials) we also value Trane Technologies plc, Johnson Controls International plc, Carrier Global Corporation, Compagnie de Saint-Gobain S.A, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Universal Security Instruments Inc stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 23, 2026: price $5.07, calculated fair value $2.79 (−45%), Quality Score 64/100, from 13 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of UUU calculated?
We run Universal Security Instruments Inc through 13 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $2.79, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.0 % above its aggregate fair value. Universal Security Instruments Inc itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Universal Security Instruments Inc (UUU)?
The closing price on Sep 24, 2026 was $5.07. Our model-based fair value is $2.79, about −45% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Universal Security Instruments Inc right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($3.51). The favourable scenario is already priced in. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. Solid but not exceptional quality (64/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
Key figures of Universal Security Instruments Inc
How large is the market capitalisation of Universal Security Instruments Inc (UUU)?
The market capitalisation of Universal Security Instruments Inc is $14.1M. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Universal Security Instruments Inc (UUU)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Universal Security Instruments Inc is 1.30 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Universal Security Instruments Inc (UUU)?
Earnings per share at Universal Security Instruments Inc are $−0.0700. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Universal Security Instruments Inc (UUU)?
The net margin of Universal Security Instruments Inc is 2.1% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Universal Security Instruments Inc (UUU)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Universal Security Instruments Inc is −5.4% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Universal Security Instruments Inc (UUU)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Universal Security Instruments Inc is 2.3% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Universal Security Instruments Inc (UUU)?
The operating margin of Universal Security Instruments Inc is −9,700% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast are earnings growing at Universal Security Instruments Inc (UUU)?
Earnings per share at Universal Security Instruments Inc are growing −72.9% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Universal Security Instruments Inc (UUU) generate?
The free cash flow of Universal Security Instruments Inc is −$1.0M (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Universal Security Instruments Inc (UUU) carry?
The net debt of Universal Security Instruments Inc is $1.8M (fiscal year 2025). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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Thin data
Sep 23, 2026