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Data-driven stock valuation

Universal Security Instruments Inc (UUU) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Oct 23, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of Universal Security Instruments Inc stock $3.16, price $3.74, that is 15.5% below the price, quality 41 out of 100. Rating: overvalued. Calculated from audited financials with 7 of our 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

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Industrials US

US Universal Security Instruments Inc logo Thin data Nov 4, 2026

Universal Security Instruments Inc

UUU · US
Expensive, weak quality

Our calculation puts a fair price 15% below what the stock costs today.

Low debt
Generates free cash flow
Quality 41/100
Insiders bought $94.2M (6M)
Profit last quarter 73% below a year ago.
Fair value $3.16 · Overvalued
Weak Growth (revenue 5y −22.7 %/yr in USD)
Loss-making · -51.3% net margin (FY2026)
Trails peers (2/11)
Narrow moat 10/100 · thin data
Thin data
⚠ Dilution
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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

$7.48 $0.9515 Fair Value $3.16 Jul 2021 Oct 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Nov 4, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $0.9515 – $7.48 · fair‑value band $2.70 – $4.03 · the $3.74 price screens above the $3.16 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). As of Nov 4, 2026.

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Company profile

Universal Safety Products, Inc., together with its subsidiary, engages in the marketing and distribution of safety and security products in the United States.

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It offers a line of safety alarms units, including replaceable batteries, sealed batteries, and battery backup alarms; and smoke alarms, which include hearing impaired and heat alarms, as well as carbon monoxide alarms, door chimes, ventilation products, ground fault circuit interrupters, and other electrical devices under the UNIVERSAL and USI Electric trade names.

The company also provides its products to wholesale distributors; chain, discount, television retailers; home center stores; catalog and mail order companies; electrical and lighting distributors, and manufactured housing companies; and other distributors.

It sells its products through independent sales organizations and sales representatives, as well as through its own sales catalogs and brochures, and website. The company was formerly known as Universal Security Instruments, Inc. and changed its name to Universal Safety Products, Inc in April 2025.

Universal Safety Products, Inc. was incorporated in 1969 and is headquartered in Owings Mills, Maryland.

Stock analysis

Universal Security Instruments Inc (UUU) currently trades at $3.74, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $3.16, 15% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the Growth DCF group reads highest at a median of $4.14 per share, and 3 of the 7 models we run sit above the $3.74 price.

Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at $1.07, and 4 of the 7 models stay below the price. Data coverage for this calculation is low.

Scenario range: $2.70 (bear) to $4.03 (bull), the price of $3.74 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 41/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector.

Weak Growth: Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.

Universal Security Instruments Inc reported revenue of $4.8M in FY2026 versus $19.5M in FY2022, a compound −29.4%/yr. Reported net income was −$2.5M in FY2026.

Key figures

Market cap $16.0M Micro · P/S ratio 14.1 · EPS (TTM) $−2.05 · Net margin −51.3% · Return on equity −95.0% · Return on assets (EBIT) −18.8% (5-year average) · Operating margin −673% · Revenue growth (YoY) −97.1%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 10 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 50% below its 52-week high and 20% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at −34% fair-value upside, at −15%, UUU screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear $2.70 Fair Value $3.16 Bull $4.03
Price $3.74 · Downside -15.5%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds. Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Best data coverage
FCF DCF $3.57 $4.43 $5.95 82
Growth DCF $3.67 $4.49 $5.84 80
5Y Revenue Exit $3.01 $3.72 $4.74 74
All 7 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF $3.57 $4.43 $5.95 82
5Y Revenue Exit $3.01 $3.72 $4.74 74
10Y Revenue Exit $3.18 $3.72 $4.28 68
Multiples
EV/Revenue $2.56 $3.25 $3.94 54
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $0.7100 $1.07 $1.34 55
Growth DCF
Growth DCF $3.67 $4.49 $5.84 80
Rev-Margin DCF $3.01 $3.78 $4.73 74

The fair value above starts from this blend and is adjusted for dilution from new shares.

Open the full fair value analysis →

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 41/100

It rates the business: profits, how they develop, real cash, balance sheet, investing and share count.

Profitability 23
How much profit the company makes from its sales and capital
Quality Growth 0
Are margins and returns getting better?
Cashflow 67
Do the profits arrive as real cash?
Financial strength 87
Debt, balance sheet and risk of trouble
Investment 100
Does it invest with discipline instead of growing at any price?
Low Volatility 50
How calm the share price moves, does not count
Price momentum 35
Price momentum of the last 3 to 12 months, does not count
Near the 52-week high 10
Distance to the 52-week high, does not count
New shares 0
Buys back shares or issues new ones?

Open the full quality analysis →

Insider trades

In the last 6 months, one officer or director bought shares worth $94.2M, on Sep 30, 2026.

  • BuyMilton C Ault IIIDirector, 10% owner40× since Nov 20, 2025: 1,130,289 shares, avg. $87.29$98.7MSep 30, 2026

Sales are often planned (taxes, diversification, 10b5-1 plans). Purchases with their own money are seen as the stronger sign. For information only: not part of the quality score or Fair Value.

Source: SEC Form 4, as of Nov 9, 2026. All filings at the SEC ↗

Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 23/100
Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.
Revenue growth 1 year
−79.4%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−39.8%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−22.7%
Start year 2021 (pandemic). Over 10 years: −9.9% a year
Revenue growth 40 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−3.2%
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
0.8% (2021) → −96.0% (2026)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2026 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed

Growth Forecast

A lot of optimism in the price
The price assumes more growth than the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+4.5%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
After inflation (USA: IMF forecast 2.4% a year to 2030, 3.1% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +2.1% a year for the price.

UUU screens overvalued: fair value 15% below the price. Compare with Johnson Controls International plc →

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Building Products & Equipment · 255 stocks

Beats the industry median on 1/9 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 41 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside −15.5% · Above median
Profitability
Return on assets −55.2% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (12 months) −51.3% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY) −97.1% · Bottom 25%
Dividend yield (12 months) 0.0% · Bottom 25%

Valuation Multiplesvs Building Products & Equipment median · lower = cheaper

P/B 4.95× · Priciest 25%
P/S (12 months) 14.15× · Priciest 25%
Price / free cash flow (fiscal year) 29.9× · Pricier than median

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)13 · sector 13
FUTURE (revenue growth)0 · sector 24
PAST (return on equity)0 · sector 24
HEALTH (low debt)100 · sector 95
DIVIDEND (yield)0 · sector 42

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Building Products & Equipment stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value Compare
Compagnie de Saint-Gobain S.A SGO €74.94 €93.79 +25% vs UUU
Carlisle Companies Incorporated CSL $396.61 $347.14 −12% vs UUU
Madison Air Solutions Corporation MAIR $24.53 $20.32 −17% vs UUU
Kingspan Group KRX €95.45 €68.99 −28% vs UUU
Masco Corporation MAS $85.92 $56.97 −34% vs UUU
Trane Technologies plc TT $420.56 $223.94 −47% vs UUU
Johnson Controls International plc JCI $141.49 $73.99 −48% vs UUU
Geberit AG GEBN CHF 586.60 CHF 303.40 −48% vs UUU
Carrier Global Corporation CARR $53.33 $19.35 −64% vs UUU
BELIMO Holding BEAN CHF 756.00 CHF 236.88 −69% vs UUU

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Universal Security Instruments Inc: fair value per Fair Value Calculator

Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Universal Security Instruments Inc Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/UUU

Frequently asked questions

Is Universal Security Instruments Inc (UUU) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Nov 4, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $3.16 versus the last price from Oct 23, 2026 of $3.74, about 15% lower (overvalued).
What is the fair value of UUU?
Our model-based fair value for Universal Security Instruments Inc is $3.16 (as of Nov 4, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. Last price (from Oct 23, 2026): $3.74.
What is the quality score of UUU?
Universal Security Instruments Inc has a Quality Score of 41/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Universal Security Instruments Inc (UUU)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $3.16 (as of Nov 4, 2026) from 7 valuation models. Cautious scenario $2.70, optimistic scenario $4.03. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Universal Security Instruments Inc stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $3.16, about 15% lower versus the last price from Oct 23, 2026 of $3.74 (overvalued). Cautious scenario $2.70, optimistic scenario $4.03. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What growth is priced into Universal Security Instruments Inc (UUU)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Universal Security Instruments Inc would have to grow free cash flow by +4.5 % per year for five years (discount rate 9.7 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew -22.7 % per year. As of Nov 4, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of UUU use?
Our models discount Universal Security Instruments Inc at 9.7 %: a base by market capitalisation (nano), country premium for USA. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Universal Security Instruments Inc that is +4.5 % per year for five years, then slowing evenly to 2 % by year ten, using the same discount rate (9.7 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Universal Security Instruments Inc (UUU) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Universal Security Instruments Inc grew -22.7 % a year. The price currently implies free-cash-flow growth of +4.5 % per year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Universal Security Instruments Inc (UUU) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +11.4 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Universal Security Instruments Inc (+4.5 % per year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Universal Security Instruments Inc (UUU)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 4.88 %: that much free cash flow Universal Security Instruments Inc produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (9.7 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Universal Security Instruments Inc (UUU)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Universal Security Instruments Inc it is $3.16 per share (as of Nov 4, 2026), against a price of $3.74. It is the blended result of 7 valuation models in 4 families (DCF Models, Multiples, Asset-Based, Growth DCF).
Is Universal Security Instruments Inc stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Nov 4, 2026, UUU trades above its calculated fair value: price $3.74, fair value $3.16, a gap of about −15% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of UUU?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($3.74); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($3.16). For Universal Security Instruments Inc the two are $0.5780 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Universal Security Instruments Inc worth?
The market values Universal Security Instruments Inc at about $16.0M (market capitalisation, as of Nov 4, 2026). Per share that is $3.74; our models calculate a fair value of $3.16 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about UUU?
Our models span a range for Universal Security Instruments Inc: cautious scenario $2.70, base $3.16, optimistic $4.03 per share (as of Nov 4, 2026, price $3.74). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Universal Security Instruments Inc (UUU)?
Balance-sheet figures for Universal Security Instruments Inc (as of Nov 4, 2026): return on equity −95.0%. They feed the Quality Score of 41/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is UUU from its 52-week high?
Universal Security Instruments Inc trades at $3.74, about 50% below its 52-week high of $7.48 and 20% above the low of $3.12 (as of Oct 23, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $3.16 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Universal Security Instruments Inc?
From the same area (Industrials) we also value Johnson Controls International plc, Trane Technologies plc, Carrier Global Corporation, Compagnie de Saint-Gobain S.A, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Universal Security Instruments Inc stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Nov 4, 2026: price $3.74, calculated fair value $3.16 (−15%), Quality Score 41/100, from 7 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of UUU calculated?
We run Universal Security Instruments Inc through 7 models from 4 families: DCF Models, Multiples, Asset-Based, Growth DCF. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the fair value of $3.16 builds on their evidence-weighted average, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.7% above its aggregate fair value. Universal Security Instruments Inc itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Universal Security Instruments Inc (UUU)?
The latest price we hold is from Oct 23, 2026 and stands at $3.74. Our model-based fair value is $3.16, about 15% lower (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Universal Security Instruments Inc right now?
Weak quality (41/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. Evidence is limited here (fewer models, shorter history), so the fair value is a rougher estimate than usual.

Key figures of Universal Security Instruments Inc

How large is the market capitalisation of Universal Security Instruments Inc (UUU)?
The market capitalisation of Universal Security Instruments Inc is $16.0M. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Universal Security Instruments Inc (UUU)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Universal Security Instruments Inc is 14.1 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Universal Security Instruments Inc (UUU)?
Earnings per share at Universal Security Instruments Inc are $−2.05. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Universal Security Instruments Inc (UUU)?
The net margin of Universal Security Instruments Inc is −51.3% (fiscal year 2026). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Universal Security Instruments Inc (UUU)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Universal Security Instruments Inc is −95.0% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Universal Security Instruments Inc (UUU)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Universal Security Instruments Inc is −18.8% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Universal Security Instruments Inc (UUU)?
The operating margin of Universal Security Instruments Inc is −673% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Universal Security Instruments Inc (UUU)?
Revenue at Universal Security Instruments Inc is growing −97.1% versus a year earlier (3y avg −39.8%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Universal Security Instruments Inc (UUU)?
Earnings per share at Universal Security Instruments Inc are growing −72.9% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net cash does Universal Security Instruments Inc (UUU) hold?
Universal Security Instruments Inc holds more cash than debt, $2.9M net (fiscal year 2026). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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