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Vår Energi ASA (VARRY) Fair Value & Analysis

Energy · US · Market cap $10.6B

VE Vår Energi ASA logo Vår Energi ASA VARRY · US
Price$9.89
Fair Value$9.49
Upside-4.0%
Quality54/100
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Expensive Growth
Thin margins · 8.7% net margin
High debt · generates free cash flow
11.31% dividend yield
Ranks above peers (11/14)
Wide moat 69/100
Evidence: High Range $7.12 – $11.87 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 22, 2026

From 26 valuation models · updated 19 days ago

Share price +16.4% over the past month.

A solid business, currently priced close to our fair value.

What matters now

  • The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension.
  • Our model range runs from $7.12 (bear) to $11.87 (bull), base $9.49. The closer the price sits to the lower half, the larger the margin of safety.
  • Quality 54/100 (solid quality) with high evidence: the data supports the verdict.
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Price vs Fair Value (3 years)

$10.90 $3.18 Fair Value $9.49 May 2023 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 22, 2026.

How to read this chart

39‑month range $3.18 – $10.90 · fair‑value band $7.12 – $11.87 · the $9.89 price screens above the $9.49 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 22, 2026.

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Analysis

Vår Energi ASA (VARRY) currently trades at $9.89, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $9.49, implying the stock looks roughly 4.0% fairly valued today. The Quality Score stands at 54/100 (solid quality), in the Energy sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Over the trailing twelve months, Vår Energi ASA generated revenue of $8.8B at a net margin of 8.7%. Revenue grew 45.0% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 97.5%. Net debt stands at $5.3B. Fundamentals as of Jul 22, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $7.12 (bear case) to $11.87 (bull case); at $9.89, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 9% below its 52-week high and 83% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Energy peers we cover trades at -26% fair-value upside, at -4%, VARRY screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF $12.57 $24.27 $43.63 80
Residual Income $1.61 $1.93 $10.28 76
Rev-Margin DCF $4.87 $9.49 $15.35 74
All 26 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF $12.59 $25.04 $46.03 38
Owner Earnings $2.08 $6.70 $14.49 31
5Y Revenue Exit $4.87 $9.38 $15.11 39
5Y EBITDA Exit $15.14 $30.06 $48.50 41
5Y P/E Exit $5.72 $11.09 $16.94 38
10Y Revenue Exit $7.20 $12.26 $19.27 36
10Y EBITDA Exit $14.12 $27.22 $46.59 37
10Y P/E Exit $7.93 $13.49 $20.76 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd $4.61 $19.65 $26.84 54
Lynch FV $5.02 $7.17 $9.32 50
PEG = 1.0 $5.02 $7.17 $9.32 46
EPV $17.06 $20.59 $23.68 59
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM $8.61 $17.90 $28.39 70
DDM Multi-Stage $8.61 $15.09 $18.78 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple $7.12 $9.49 $11.87 63
P/S Multiple $5.74 $7.66 $9.57 58
P/B Multiple $0.6100 $0.8100 $1.01 55
EV/EBIT $16.99 $24.03 $31.07 53
EV/EBITDA $18.31 $25.79 $33.28 54
EV/Revenue $1.23 $3.53 $5.82 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $0.2200 $0.3000 $0.4500 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF $12.57 $24.27 $43.63 80
Rev-Margin DCF $4.87 $9.49 $15.35 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income $1.61 $1.93 $10.28 76
ROIC Compounder $18.83 $24.86 $31.77 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E $6.83 $9.76 $12.69 68

Widest divergence: Dividend Discount ($15.09) versus Asset-Based ($0.3000). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) $8.8B
Revenue growth (YoY) +45.0%
Net margin 8.7%
Return on equity 97.5%
Free cash flow $1.7B FY2025
P/E ratio 15.8
More key figures
Operating margin 49.0%
EPS (TTM) $0.5400
Dividend yield 11.3%
EPS growth (YoY) -18.5%
Net debt $5.3B FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 22, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 54/100

Of which business quality 51 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 70

Profitability 45
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 36
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 72
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 27
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 47
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 50
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 71
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 90
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 82
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Vår Energi ASA operates as an independent upstream oil and gas company on the Norwegian continental shelf in Norway. The company produces crude oil and natural gas liquids. It also engages in the production, development, and exploration assets on the Norwegian Continental Shelf (NCS).

Full company description

Vår Energi ASA operates as an independent upstream oil and gas company on the Norwegian continental shelf in Norway. The company produces crude oil and natural gas liquids. It also engages in the production, development, and exploration assets on the Norwegian Continental Shelf (NCS). The company was formerly known as Eni Norge AS and changed its name to Vår Energi AS in December 2018. The company was incorporated in 1965 and is headquartered in Sandnes, Norway. Vår Energi ASA is a subsidiary of Eni International B.V.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Vår Energi ASA reported revenue of $8.0B in FY2025 versus $6.0B in FY2021, a compound +7.1%/yr. Reported net income was $846M in FY2025, compounding +6.6%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 62/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
$8.0B
Latest YoY
+8.0%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
−6.6%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
+22.7%
Revenue +7.1%/yr
FY21 $6.0B
FY22 $9.8B
FY23 $6.8B
FY24 $7.4B
FY25 $8.0B
Net income +6.6%/yr
FY21 $654M
FY22 $936M
FY23 $610M
FY24 $327M
FY25 $846M

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Vår Energi ASA Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/VARRY

Earlier news

External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.

Peer Group

Oil & Gas E&P · 315 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 54 · Above median
Fair Value upside −4% · Above median
Return on equity (TTM) 97% · Top 25%
Return on assets 11% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM) 9% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM) 49% · Top 25%
Revenue growth 45% · Top 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 11.3% · Top 25%
Debt / equity 10.43× · Higher than 75% of peers

Valuation Multiples vs Oil & Gas E&P median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 15.8× · Pricier than median
P/B 18.99× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 1.21× · Cheaper than median
P/FCF 6.4× · Cheaper than median
EV/EBITDA 2.2× · Cheaper than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 28 · sector 14
FUTURE 100 · sector 0
PAST 100 · sector 0
HEALTH 0 · sector 87
DIVIDEND 100 · sector 66

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

Oil & gas

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Oil & Gas E&P stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 22, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
CNOOC Limited 600938 ¥28.97 ¥32.55 +12%
ConocoPhillips explores for, COP $109.04 $91.79 -16%
Canadian Natural Resources Limited CNQ $42.86 $31.54 -26%
EOG Resources, Inc EOG $139.89 $130.19 -7%
Occidental Petroleum Corporation OXY $54.86 $30.68 -44%
Diamondback Energy, Inc FANG $183.39 $106.12 -42%
Devon Energy Corporation DVN $43.83 $27.06 -38%
Woodside Energy Group WDS A$30.46 A$20.71 -32%
EQT Corporation EQT $48.85 $42.85 -12%
Texas Pacific Land Corporation TPL $415.70 $79.20 -81%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Vår Energi ASA (VARRY) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 22, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $9.49 versus a price of $9.89, about −4% (fairly valued).
What is the fair value of VARRY?
Our model-based fair value for Vår Energi ASA is $9.49 (as of Jul 22, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is $9.89.
What is the quality score of VARRY?
Vår Energi ASA has a Quality Score of 54/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Vår Energi ASA (VARRY)?
Vår Energi ASA reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $8.8B (latest available figure, as of Jul 22, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of VARRY?
The net profit margin of Vår Energi ASA is about 8.7%, meaning it keeps roughly 8.7% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Vår Energi ASA pay a dividend?
Vår Energi ASA currently shows a dividend yield of about 11.31% relative to its recent price (as of Jul 22, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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