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Velocity Energy Inc (VCYE) Fair Value & Analysis

Energy · US · Market cap $57.2K

VE Velocity Energy Inc logo Velocity Energy Inc VCYE · US
Price$0.0001
Fair Value$0.0001
Upside+0.0%
Quality51/100
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Weak Growth
Negative equity (buybacks among others) · negative free cash flow
Ranks above peers (5/7)
Narrow moat 12/100
Evidence: Low Range $0.0001 – $0.0001 Share as image

Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026

From 2 valuation models · updated 4 days ago

A solid business, currently priced close to our fair value.

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What matters now

  • The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension.
  • Evidence is limited here (fewer models, shorter history), so the fair value is a rougher estimate than usual.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

$0.0950 $0.0001 Fair Value $0.0001 Apr 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $0.0001 – $0.0950 · the $0.0001 price screens below the $0.0001 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

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Analysis

Velocity Energy Inc (VCYE) currently trades at $0.0001, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $0.0001, implying the stock looks roughly 0.0% fairly valued today. The Quality Score stands at 51/100 (solid quality), in the Energy sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: low), always confirm before acting.

Trailing-twelve-month revenue stands at $240K. Net debt stands at $10.6M. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026

The share trades near its 52-week high, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Energy peers we cover trades at -35% fair-value upside, at 0%, VCYE screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth-Adj P/E $0.0001 $0.0001 68
P/E Multiple $0.0001 $0.0001 $0.0001 63
All 2 models by family
Multiples
P/E Multiple $0.0001 $0.0001 $0.0001 63
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E $0.0001 $0.0001 68

Widest divergence: Multiples ($0.0001) versus Multiples ($0.0001). Highest evidence: Growth-Adj P/E (68).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) $240K
Revenue growth (YoY) -92.0%
Net margin 521%
Free cash flow −$6.1M FY2008
Operating margin -2,347%
Net debt $10.6M FY2008

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 51/100

Of which business quality 54 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 56

Profitability 53
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 80
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 75
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 2
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 20
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 100
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 40
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 33
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 100
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Velocity Energy Inc., an independent energy company, engages in the acquisition, exploration, development, and production of oil and natural gas. The company's operations are located in Matagorda Bay, Calhoun County, Texas. It also focuses on the exploration of oil and natural gas in the Appalachian Basin. Velocity Energy Inc.

Full company description

Velocity Energy Inc., an independent energy company, engages in the acquisition, exploration, development, and production of oil and natural gas. The company's operations are located in Matagorda Bay, Calhoun County, Texas. It also focuses on the exploration of oil and natural gas in the Appalachian Basin. Velocity Energy Inc. was formerly known as Sonterra Resources, Inc. and changed its name to Velocity Energy Inc. in March 2009. The company is based in Houston, Texas.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2006 – FY2010 · reported fiscal years

Velocity Energy Inc reported revenue of $352K in FY2010 versus $0 in FY2006. Reported net income was $297K in FY2010.

Growth Quality 15/100
Revenue growth is weak, negative or inconsistent.
Latest Revenue (FY 2010)
$352K
Latest YoY
+90.9%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−49.6%
Revenue
FY06 $0
FY07 $2.8M
FY08 $725K
FY09 $184K
FY10 $352K
Net income
FY06 −$847K
FY07 −$579K
FY08 −$6.3M
FY09 −$13.7M
FY10 $297K

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Velocity Energy Inc Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/VCYE

Peer Group

Oil & Gas E&P · 318 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 51 · Above median
Fair Value upside +0% · Above median
Return on assets -17% · Bottom 25%
Revenue growth -92% · Bottom 25%

Valuation Multiples vs Oil & Gas E&P median · lower = cheaper

P/S (TTM) 0.24× · Cheaper than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 33 · sector 10
FUTURE 0 · sector 0
PAST 0 · sector 0
HEALTH 100 · sector 87
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 66

PAST 0: with negative equity (buybacks among others) return on equity is not meaningfully computable.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

Oil & gas

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Oil & Gas E&P stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
CNOOC Limited 600938 ¥32.85 ¥32.55 -1%
ConocoPhillips explores for, COP $126.78 $90.15 -29%
Canadian Natural Resources Limited CNQ $47.57 $31.14 -35%
EOG Resources, Inc EOG $143.14 $130.19 -9%
Occidental Petroleum Corporation OXY $58.55 $30.06 -49%
Diamondback Energy, Inc FANG $201.71 $105.24 -48%
Devon Energy Corporation DVN $44.86 $27.06 -40%
Woodside Energy Group WDS A$32.55 A$20.71 -36%
EQT Corporation EQT $54.06 $42.85 -21%
Texas Pacific Land Corporation TPL $342.77 $77.26 -77%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Velocity Energy Inc (VCYE) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 13, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $0.0001 versus a price of $0.0001, about +0% (fairly valued).
What is the fair value of VCYE?
Our model-based fair value for Velocity Energy Inc is $0.0001 (as of Aug 13, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is $0.0001.
What is the quality score of VCYE?
Velocity Energy Inc has a Quality Score of 51/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Velocity Energy Inc (VCYE)?
Velocity Energy Inc reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $240K (latest available figure, as of Aug 13, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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