Vintage Energy Ltd (VEN) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Oct 1, 2026: fair value of Vintage Energy Ltd A$0.00, price A$0.00, upside +20.0%, quality 26 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 27, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range A$0.0010 – A$0.1250 · the A$0.0015 price screens below the A$0.0018 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 27, 2026.
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Vintage Energy Limited explores, acquires, and develops energy assets in Australia. The company primarily focuses on proven petroleum basins.
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Vintage Energy Limited explores, acquires, and develops energy assets in Australia. The company primarily focuses on proven petroleum basins. It holds petroleum exploration licenses in the Cooper/Eromanga basins, South Australia and Queensland; the Otway Basin, onshore South Australia and Victoria; the Galilee Basin, Queensland; and the Bonaparte Basin, Northern Territory. Vintage Energy Limited was incorporated in 2015 and is based in Goodwood, Australia.
Stock analysis
Vintage Energy Ltd (VEN) currently trades at A$0.0015, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is A$0.0018, implying the stock looks roughly 16.7% undervalued today.
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Valuation
How firm this estimate is: it rests on 1 models at a data quality of 95/100, which puts the evidence level at low.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 26/100 (below-average quality), in the Energy sector.
Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Vintage Energy Ltd reported revenue of A$4.7M in FY2025 versus A$0 in FY2021. Reported net income was −A$4.4M in FY2025.
Key figures
Market cap A$4.9M (≈ $3.4M) · P/S ratio 1.19 · EPS (TTM) A$−0.0200 · Net margin −94.2% · Return on equity −329% · Return on assets (EBIT) −8.1% · Operating margin −105% · Revenue (TTM) A$4.1M.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 38 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 70% below its 52-week high and 50% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Energy peers we cover trades at 10% fair-value upside, at 20%, VEN screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear A$0.0018Fair Value A$0.0018Bull A$0.0018
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.17/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Revenue growth 1 year
−9.6%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+69.9%
’22
’23
’24
’25
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
−624.6% (2022) → −37.8% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Oil & Gas E&P · 264 stocks
Beats the industry median on 3/8 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score27 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside+20.0% · Above median
Profitability
Return on assets−6.7% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM)−94.2% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM)−105.4% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth−24.7% · Bottom 25%
Valuation Multiplesvs Oil & Gas E&P median · lower = cheaper
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Vintage Energy Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/VEN
Frequently asked questions
Is Vintage Energy Ltd (VEN) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 27, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of A$0.0018 versus a price of A$0.0015, about +20% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of VEN?
Our model-based fair value for Vintage Energy Ltd is A$0.0018 (as of Sep 27, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: A$0.0015.
What is the quality score of VEN?
Vintage Energy Ltd has a Quality Score of 26/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Vintage Energy Ltd (VEN)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of A$0.0018 (as of Sep 27, 2026) from 1 valuation models. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Vintage Energy Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at A$0.0018, about +20% upside versus a price of A$0.0015 (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Vintage Energy Ltd (VEN)?
Vintage Energy Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about A$4.1M (latest available figure, as of Sep 27, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Vintage Energy Ltd (VEN)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Vintage Energy Ltd it is A$0.0018 per share (as of Sep 27, 2026), against a price of A$0.0015. It is the blended result of 1 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Vintage Energy Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 27, 2026, VEN trades below its calculated fair value: price A$0.0015, fair value A$0.0018, a gap of about +20% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of VEN?
No. The price is what the market pays today (A$0.0015); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (A$0.0018). For Vintage Energy Ltd the two are A$0.0003 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Vintage Energy Ltd worth?
The market values Vintage Energy Ltd at about A$4.9M (market capitalisation, as of Sep 27, 2026). Per share that is A$0.0015; our models calculate a fair value of A$0.0018 per share.
How solid is the balance sheet of Vintage Energy Ltd (VEN)?
Balance-sheet figures for Vintage Energy Ltd (as of Sep 27, 2026): return on equity −328.6%. They feed the Quality Score of 26/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is VEN from its 52-week high?
Vintage Energy Ltd trades at A$0.0015, about 70% below its 52-week high of A$0.0050 and 50% above the low of A$0.0010 (as of Oct 1, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of A$0.0018 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Vintage Energy Ltd?
From the same area (Energy) we also value ConocoPhillips explores for,, CNOOC Limited, Canadian Natural Resources Limited, EOG Resources, Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Vintage Energy Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 27, 2026: price A$0.0015, calculated fair value A$0.0018 (+20%), Quality Score 26/100, from 1 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of VEN calculated?
We run Vintage Energy Ltd through 1 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of A$0.0018, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.5 % above its aggregate fair value. Vintage Energy Ltd currently trades 17 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Vintage Energy Ltd (VEN)?
The closing price on Oct 1, 2026 was A$0.0015. Our model-based fair value is A$0.0018, about +20% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Vintage Energy Ltd right now?
The price is below even our cautious bear case (A$0.0018). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario. Evidence is limited here (fewer models, shorter history), so the fair value is a rougher estimate than usual.
Key figures of Vintage Energy Ltd
How large is the market capitalisation of Vintage Energy Ltd (VEN)?
The market capitalisation of Vintage Energy Ltd is A$4.9M (≈ $3.4M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Vintage Energy Ltd (VEN)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Vintage Energy Ltd is 1.19 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Vintage Energy Ltd (VEN)?
Earnings per share at Vintage Energy Ltd are A$−0.0200. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Vintage Energy Ltd (VEN)?
The net margin of Vintage Energy Ltd is −94.2% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Vintage Energy Ltd (VEN)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Vintage Energy Ltd is −329% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Vintage Energy Ltd (VEN)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Vintage Energy Ltd is −8.1% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Vintage Energy Ltd (VEN)?
The operating margin of Vintage Energy Ltd is −105% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Vintage Energy Ltd (VEN)?
Revenue at Vintage Energy Ltd is growing −24.7% versus a year earlier (3y avg +69.9%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How much free cash flow does Vintage Energy Ltd (VEN) generate?
The free cash flow of Vintage Energy Ltd is −A$6.6M (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Vintage Energy Ltd (VEN) carry?
The net debt of Vintage Energy Ltd is A$6.9M (fiscal year 2025). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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