VGI Public Company (VGI) Fair Value & Analysis
Industrials · TH · Market cap 21.7B THB
Fair value as of: Jul 18, 2026
From 3 valuation models · updated 23 days ago
Share price −2.0% over the past month.
Below-average quality, and screening another 76% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (0.4165 THB). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Weak quality (29/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
- The model range is unusually wide (0.1020 THB to 0.4165 THB). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution.
- The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 18, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range 0.7800 THB – 6.79 THB · fair‑value band 0.1020 THB – 0.4165 THB · the 0.9900 THB price screens above the 0.2380 THB fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 18, 2026.
Analysis
VGI Public Company (VGI) currently trades at 0.9900 THB, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 0.2380 THB, implying the stock looks roughly 76.0% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 29/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: low).
Over the trailing twelve months, VGI Public Company generated revenue of 4.6B THB at a net margin of -22.9%. Revenue declined 8.5% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -3.6%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of 17.5B THB. Fundamentals as of Jul 18, 2026
Our scenario range runs from 0.1020 THB (bear case) to 0.4165 THB (bull case); at 0.9900 THB, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 57% below its 52-week high and 29% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at -14% fair-value upside, at -76%, VGI screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 3 models by family
Widest divergence: Asset-Based (1.11 THB) versus Dividend Discount (0.1900 THB). Highest evidence: Gordon GGM (70).
Notify me when VGI reaches fair value
Free. You confirm by email (double opt-in) and can unsubscribe anytime in one click.
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 18, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 32 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 34
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
VGI Public Company Limited, together with its subsidiaries, provides advertising services in Thailand. It operates through four segments: Transportation System, Digital Services, Distribution, and Other.
Full company description
VGI Public Company Limited, together with its subsidiaries, provides advertising services in Thailand. It operates through four segments: Transportation System, Digital Services, Distribution, and Other. The company offers offline advertising services in BTS trains, stations, and junctions; LCD screens, office buildings, and condominium residents; and events. It also provides online advertising services, including data targeting and network, media planning, artwork adaptation, and optimization and reporting; data management; and electronic payment and other financial services, such as stored valued cards, insurance brokerage, and digital lending services. In addition, the company manages and distributes technology equipment under the Fanslink and Jaymart brand names. Further, it is involved in securities investing; management consulting; public relations services; retail business; leasing of retail and commercial spaces; and production and distribution of printed materials. The company was formerly known as VGI Global Media Public Company Limited and changed its name to VGI Public Company Limited in July 2019. VGI Public Company Limited was founded in 1995 and is based in Bangkok, Thailand.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2022 – FY2026 · reported fiscal years
VGI Public Company reported revenue of 4.3B THB in FY2026 versus 3.8B THB in FY2022, a compound +3.2%/yr. Reported net income was −1.1B THB in FY2026.
VGI screens 76% overvalued. Compare with CITIC Limited →
Peer Group
Conglomerates · 369 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Conglomerates median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Conglomerates stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 18, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| CITIC Limited 0267 | HK$11.28 | HK$22.56 | +100% |
| SK Inc 034730 | 580,000 KRW | 497,919 KRW | -14% |
| PT Astra International Tbk, ASII | 4,810 IDR | 9,620 IDR | +100% |
| The Siam Cement Public Company SCC | 254.00 THB | 199.40 THB | -21% |
| SRF Limited SRF | ₹2,875 | ₹1,053 | -63% |
| Empresas Copec S.A COPEC | 6,330 CLP | 10,879 CLP | +72% |
| Posco International Corporation 047050 | 50,900 KRW | 61,248 KRW | +20% |
| Tube Investments of India Limited TIINDIA | ₹2,940 | ₹559.30 | -81% |
| Doosan Corporation 000155 | 464,000 KRW | 75,620 KRW | -84% |
| Thermax Limited THERMAX | ₹4,809 | ₹1,087 | -77% |
Compare VGI Public Company with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
Explore undervalued stocks
More undervalued Industrials stocks →
Frequently asked questions
Is VGI Public Company (VGI) overvalued or undervalued?
What is the fair value of VGI?
What is the quality score of VGI?
What is the revenue of VGI Public Company (VGI)?
What is the net profit margin of VGI?
How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
Track VGI Public Company and try Pro for 14 days
One email gets you 14 days of full Pro (review alerts, the 35,000+ stock screener, the diversification check) plus the monthly Top-25 report of the most undervalued quality stocks. No card, cancel anytime.
Zero risk: nothing is ever charged. After 14 days you decide whether to stay.