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Vidrala, S.A (VID) Fair Value & Analysis

Consumer Cyclical · ES · Market cap €3.1B

VS Vidrala, S.A VID · MC
Price€88.00
Fair Value€103.13
Upside+17.2%
Quality61/100
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Mixed Growth
Solidly profitable · 13.9% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
1.89% dividend yield
Mixed vs. peers (8/15)
Moderate moat 63/100
Evidence: High Range €66.47 – €128.91 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 17, 2026

From 26 valuation models · updated 24 days ago

Fair value updated Jul 17, 2026, revised from €102.58 to €103.13 (+0.5%) since Jun 24, 2026. Share price +0.3% over the past month.

A solid business, screening 17% undervalued on our models.

What matters now

  • A fairly wide model range (€66.47 to €128.91) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
  • Our model range runs from €66.47 (bear) to €128.91 (bull), base €103.13. The closer the price sits to the lower half, the larger the margin of safety.
  • Quality 61/100 (solid quality) with high evidence: the data supports the verdict.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

€94.57 €42.85 Fair Value €103.13 Jun 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 17, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range €42.85 – €94.57 · fair‑value band €66.47 – €128.91 · the €88.00 price screens below the €103.13 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 17, 2026.

Full chart & analysis →

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Analysis

Vidrala, S.A (VID) currently trades at €88.00, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is €103.13, implying the stock looks roughly 17.2% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 61/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, Vidrala, S.A generated revenue of €1.5B at a net margin of 13.9%. Revenue declined 9.1% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 15.4%. Net debt stands at €6.7M. Fundamentals as of Jul 17, 2026

Our scenario range runs from €66.47 (bear case) to €128.91 (bull case); at €88.00, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 7% below its 52-week high and 25% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at -22% fair-value upside, at 17%, VID screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF €62.64 €93.19 €136.10 80
Residual Income €40.11 €51.60 €131.72 76
Rev-Margin DCF €49.96 €78.24 €111.78 74
All 26 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF €62.10 €97.51 €150.95 38
Owner Earnings €49.89 €78.28 €121.13 31
5Y Revenue Exit €49.96 €78.03 €113.87 39
5Y EBITDA Exit €75.65 €127.14 €188.19 41
5Y P/E Exit €66.99 €110.57 €157.10 38
10Y Revenue Exit €52.50 €79.13 €115.22 36
10Y EBITDA Exit €69.99 €112.86 €171.79 37
10Y P/E Exit €64.54 €101.48 €148.13 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd €41.25 €142.24 €191.01 54
Lynch FV €32.87 €46.95 €61.04 50
PEG = 1.0 €32.87 €46.95 €61.04 46
EPV €59.66 €69.01 €77.08 59
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM €13.19 €26.29 €39.80 70
DDM Multi-Stage €13.19 €22.48 €27.75 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple €77.35 €103.13 €128.91 63
P/S Multiple €47.83 €63.78 €79.72 58
P/B Multiple €77.35 €103.13 €128.91 55
EV/EBIT €89.32 €118.95 €148.57 53
EV/EBITDA €92.83 €123.62 €154.41 54
EV/Revenue €45.10 €64.23 €83.37 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) €20.47 €27.43 €40.94 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF €62.64 €93.19 €136.10 80
Rev-Margin DCF €49.96 €78.24 €111.78 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income €40.11 €51.60 €131.72 76
ROIC Compounder €63.74 €80.93 €101.71 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E €68.22 €97.45 €126.69 68

Widest divergence: Multiples (€103.13) versus Dividend Discount (€22.48). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) €1.5B
Revenue growth (YoY) -9.1%
Net margin 13.9%
Return on equity 15.4%
Free cash flow €192M FY2025
P/E ratio 12.9
More key figures
Operating margin 19.0%
EPS (TTM) €5.95
Dividend yield 2.2%
EPS growth (YoY) -9.9%
Net debt €6.7M FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 17, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 61/100

Of which business quality 62 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 59

Profitability 58
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 34
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 66
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 73
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 52
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 82
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 48
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 54
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 79
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Vidrala, S.A. engages in the manufacture and sale of glass containers for food and beverage products in the United Kingdom, Ireland, Italy, Iberian Peninsula, rest of Europe, and Brazil. It offers glass bottles for oils and vinegar, beers, preserve food, sparkling wine and cider, spirits, wines, and juices, as well as for non-alcoholic beverages.

Full company description

Vidrala, S.A. engages in the manufacture and sale of glass containers for food and beverage products in the United Kingdom, Ireland, Italy, Iberian Peninsula, rest of Europe, and Brazil. It offers glass bottles for oils and vinegar, beers, preserve food, sparkling wine and cider, spirits, wines, and juices, as well as for non-alcoholic beverages. The company also provides packaging services, such as logistics and filling solutions. Vidrala, S.A. was founded in 1965 and is headquartered in Laudio/Llodio, Spain.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Vidrala, S.A reported revenue of €1.5B in FY2025 versus €1.1B in FY2021, a compound +7.8%/yr. Reported net income was €209M in FY2025, compounding +9.6%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 80/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
€1.5B
Latest YoY
−7.8%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
+2.9%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
+8.2%
Avg. growth/yr (25Y)
−9.9%
Revenue +7.8%/yr
FY21 €1.1B
FY22 €1.3B
FY23 €1.6B
FY24 €1.6B
FY25 €1.5B
Net income +9.6%/yr
FY21 €145M
FY22 €154M
FY23 €233M
FY24 €298M
FY25 €209M

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Vidrala, S.A Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/VID

Earlier news

External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.

Peer Group

Packaging & Containers · 273 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 61 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside +17% · Above median
Return on equity (TTM) 15% · Top 25%
Return on assets 8% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM) 14% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 19% · Top 25%
Revenue growth -9% · Bottom 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 1.9% · Below median
Debt / equity 0.07× · Lower than median

Valuation Multiples vs Packaging & Containers median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 15.2× · Cheaper than median
P/B 2.55× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 2.39× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/FCF 18.8× · Pricier than 75% of peers
EV/EBITDA 8.7× · Pricier than median
PEG 3.30× · Pricier than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 56 · sector 9
FUTURE 0 · sector 1
PAST 62 · sector 21
HEALTH 97 · sector 92
DIVIDEND 38 · sector 42

Insider activity: 40/100

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Packaging & Containers stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 17, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Stora Enso Oyj STER kr 101.90 kr 126.39 +24%
ShenZhen YUTO Packaging Technology Co 002831 ¥29.10 ¥20.88 -28%
SCG Packaging Public Company SCGP 29.00 THB 16.12 THB -44%
AblePrint Technology Co 7734 2,850 TWD 661.69 TWD -77%
PT Fajar Surya Wisesa Tbk, FASW 5,312 IDR 1,194 IDR -78%
Taiwan Hon Chuan Enterprise Co 9939 132.50 TWD 127.06 TWD -4%
Time Technoplast Limited TIMETECHNO ₹206.82 ₹161.42 -22%
EPL Limited 500135 ₹222.25 ₹111.65 -50%
Ton Yi Industrial Corp 9907 15.15 TWD 23.17 TWD +53%
Dongwon Systems Corporation 014820 19,330 KRW 31,473 KRW +63%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Vidrala, S.A (VID) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 17, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of €103.13 versus a price of €88.00, about +17% (undervalued).
What is the fair value of VID?
Our model-based fair value for Vidrala, S.A is €103.13 (as of Jul 17, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is €88.00.
What is the quality score of VID?
Vidrala, S.A has a Quality Score of 61/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Vidrala, S.A (VID)?
Vidrala, S.A reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about €1.5B (latest available figure, as of Jul 17, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of VID?
The net profit margin of Vidrala, S.A is about 13.9%, meaning it keeps roughly 13.9% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Vidrala, S.A pay a dividend?
Vidrala, S.A currently shows a dividend yield of about 2.21% relative to its recent price (as of Jul 17, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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