VIJAY TEXTILES LTD. (VIJAYTX) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Oct 1, 2026: fair value of VIJAY TEXTILES LTD. ₹11.27, price ₹3.96, upside +184.6%, quality 46 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceableSee the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Oct 3, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range ₹3.43 – ₹52.85 · fair‑value band ₹8.41 – ₹16.83 · the ₹3.96 price screens below the ₹11.27 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Oct 3, 2026.
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Vijay Textiles Limited manufactures and sells textile fabrics in India. The company offers sofa upholstery, curtains, blinds, bed and bath, and readymade curtain products. It markets its products through a wholesale network, as well as through retail stores located in Hyderabad and Secunderabad.
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Vijay Textiles Limited manufactures and sells textile fabrics in India. The company offers sofa upholstery, curtains, blinds, bed and bath, and readymade curtain products. It markets its products through a wholesale network, as well as through retail stores located in Hyderabad and Secunderabad. Vijay Textiles Limited was incorporated in 1990 and is based in Secunderabad, India.
Stock analysis
VIJAY TEXTILES LTD. (VIJAYTX) currently trades at ₹3.96, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ₹11.27, implying the stock looks roughly 64.9% undervalued today.
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Valuation
How firm this estimate is: it rests on 7 models at a data quality of 95/100, which puts the evidence level at low.
Scenario range: ₹8.41 (bear) to ₹16.83 (bull), the price of ₹3.96 sits below it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 46/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector.
Weak Growth: Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.
VIJAY TEXTILES LTD. reported revenue of ₹81.2M in FY2025 versus ₹187M in FY2021, a compound −18.9%/yr. Reported net income was −₹144M in FY2025.
Key figures
Market cap ₹72.5M (≈ $753K) · P/S ratio 0.89 · EPS (TTM) ₹−7.89 · Net margin −178% · Return on equity −38.0% · Return on assets (EBIT) −2.2% · Operating margin −119% · Revenue (TTM) ₹81.2M.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 50 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 57% below its 52-week high and 15% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at −11% fair-value upside, at 185%, VIJAYTX screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear ₹8.41Fair Value ₹11.27Bull ₹16.83
Price ₹3.96 · Upside +184.6%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.23/100
Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.
Revenue growth 1 year
−39.5%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−27.1%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−34.2%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
Revenue growth 6 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−33.6%
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Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
19.2% (2020) → −73.7% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed
Growth Forecast
A lot of optimism in the price
The price assumes more growth than the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+37.4%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
After inflation (India: IMF forecast 4.1% a year to 2030, 4.7% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +32.0% a year for the price.
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Textile Manufacturing · 335 stocks
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Is VIJAY TEXTILES LTD. (VIJAYTX) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Oct 3, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ₹11.27 versus a price of ₹3.96, about +185% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of VIJAYTX?
Our model-based fair value for VIJAY TEXTILES LTD. is ₹11.27 (as of Oct 3, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: ₹3.96.
What is the quality score of VIJAYTX?
VIJAY TEXTILES LTD. has a Quality Score of 46/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for VIJAY TEXTILES LTD. (VIJAYTX)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of ₹11.27 (as of Oct 3, 2026) from 1 valuation models. Cautious scenario ₹8.41, optimistic scenario ₹16.83. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the VIJAY TEXTILES LTD. stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at ₹11.27, about +185% upside versus a price of ₹3.96 (undervalued). Cautious scenario ₹8.41, optimistic scenario ₹16.83. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of VIJAY TEXTILES LTD. (VIJAYTX)?
VIJAY TEXTILES LTD. reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about ₹81.2M (latest available figure, as of Oct 3, 2026).
What growth is priced into VIJAY TEXTILES LTD. (VIJAYTX)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, VIJAY TEXTILES LTD. would have to grow free cash flow by +37.4 % per year for five years (discount rate 10.9 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew -34.2 % per year. As of Oct 3, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of VIJAYTX use?
Our models discount VIJAY TEXTILES LTD. at 10.9 %: a base by market capitalisation (nano), damped by beta 0.32, country premium for India. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For VIJAY TEXTILES LTD. that is +37.4 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (10.9 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has VIJAY TEXTILES LTD. (VIJAYTX) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at VIJAY TEXTILES LTD. grew -34.2 % a year. The price currently implies +37.4 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of VIJAY TEXTILES LTD. (VIJAYTX) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +8.2 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into VIJAY TEXTILES LTD. (+37.4 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of VIJAY TEXTILES LTD. (VIJAYTX)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 40.65 %: that much free cash flow VIJAY TEXTILES LTD. produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (10.9 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of VIJAY TEXTILES LTD. (VIJAYTX)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For VIJAY TEXTILES LTD. it is ₹11.27 per share (as of Oct 3, 2026), against a price of ₹3.96. It is the blended result of 1 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is VIJAY TEXTILES LTD. stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Oct 3, 2026, VIJAYTX trades below its calculated fair value: price ₹3.96, fair value ₹11.27, a gap of about +185% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of VIJAYTX?
No. The price is what the market pays today (₹3.96); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (₹11.27). For VIJAY TEXTILES LTD. the two are ₹7.31 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is VIJAY TEXTILES LTD. worth?
The market values VIJAY TEXTILES LTD. at about ₹72.5M (market capitalisation, as of Oct 3, 2026). Per share that is ₹3.96; our models calculate a fair value of ₹11.27 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about VIJAYTX?
Our models span a range for VIJAY TEXTILES LTD.: cautious scenario ₹8.41, base ₹11.27, optimistic ₹16.83 per share (as of Oct 3, 2026, price ₹3.96). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of VIJAY TEXTILES LTD. (VIJAYTX)?
Balance-sheet figures for VIJAY TEXTILES LTD. (as of Oct 3, 2026): return on equity −38.0%, debt of 4.96 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 46/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is VIJAYTX from its 52-week high?
VIJAY TEXTILES LTD. trades at ₹3.96, about 57% below its 52-week high of ₹9.29 and 15% above the low of ₹3.43 (as of Oct 1, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of ₹11.27 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to VIJAY TEXTILES LTD.?
From the same area (Consumer Cyclical) we also value Tongkun Group, Shenzhou International Group, Inner Mongolia ERDOS Resources Co, Far Eastern New Century Corporation, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is VIJAY TEXTILES LTD. stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Oct 3, 2026: price ₹3.96, calculated fair value ₹11.27 (+185%), Quality Score 46/100, from 1 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of VIJAYTX calculated?
We run VIJAY TEXTILES LTD. through 1 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of ₹11.27, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 15.0 % above its aggregate fair value. VIJAY TEXTILES LTD. currently trades 65 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of VIJAY TEXTILES LTD. (VIJAYTX)?
The closing price on Oct 1, 2026 was ₹3.96. Our model-based fair value is ₹11.27, about +185% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with VIJAY TEXTILES LTD. right now?
The price is below even our cautious bear case (₹8.41). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. Solid quality (46/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality. A fairly wide model range (₹8.41 to ₹16.83) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Key figures of VIJAY TEXTILES LTD.
How large is the market capitalisation of VIJAY TEXTILES LTD. (VIJAYTX)?
The market capitalisation of VIJAY TEXTILES LTD. is ₹72.5M (≈ $753K). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of VIJAY TEXTILES LTD. (VIJAYTX)?
The price-to-sales ratio of VIJAY TEXTILES LTD. is 0.89 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of VIJAY TEXTILES LTD. (VIJAYTX)?
Earnings per share at VIJAY TEXTILES LTD. are ₹−7.89. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of VIJAY TEXTILES LTD. (VIJAYTX)?
The net margin of VIJAY TEXTILES LTD. is −178% (last twelve months). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of VIJAY TEXTILES LTD. (VIJAYTX)?
The return on equity (ROE) of VIJAY TEXTILES LTD. is −38.0% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of VIJAY TEXTILES LTD. (VIJAYTX)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of VIJAY TEXTILES LTD. is −2.2% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of VIJAY TEXTILES LTD. (VIJAYTX)?
The operating margin of VIJAY TEXTILES LTD. is −119% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at VIJAY TEXTILES LTD. (VIJAYTX)?
Revenue at VIJAY TEXTILES LTD. is growing −53.7% versus a year earlier (3y avg −27.1%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How much net debt does VIJAY TEXTILES LTD. (VIJAYTX) carry?
The net debt of VIJAY TEXTILES LTD. is ₹2.0B (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 68.2 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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