Villars Holding (VILN) Fair Value & Analysis
Consumer Defensive · CH · Market cap CHF 60.0M
Fair value as of: Jul 12, 2026
From 24 valuation models · updated 29 days ago
Fair value updated Jul 12, 2026, revised from CHF 563.03 to CHF 538.80 (−4.3%) since Jun 24, 2026.
A solid business, currently priced close to our fair value.
What matters now
- The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension.
- A fairly wide model range (CHF 373.58 to CHF 703.79) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 12, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range CHF 419.13 – CHF 897.31 · fair‑value band CHF 373.58 – CHF 703.79 · the CHF 575.00 price screens above the CHF 538.80 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 12, 2026.
Analysis
Villars Holding (VILN) currently trades at CHF 575.00, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is CHF 538.80, implying the stock looks roughly 6.3% fairly valued today. The Quality Score stands at 62/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).
Over the trailing twelve months, Villars Holding generated revenue of CHF 67.8M at a net margin of 4.1%. Revenue declined 3.6% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 2.9%. Net debt stands at CHF 12.7M. Fundamentals as of Jul 12, 2026
Our scenario range runs from CHF 373.58 (bear case) to CHF 703.79 (bull case); at CHF 575.00, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 7% below its 52-week high and 4% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at -31% fair-value upside, at -6%, VILN screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 24 models by family
Widest divergence: Asset-Based (CHF 655.09) versus Dividend Discount (CHF 62.35). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 12, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 63 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 45
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Villars Holding S.A. engages in the retail, coffee bars, and real estate and other businesses in Switzerland. The company operates coffee bars and restaurants under the Pause-Café and Xpresso-Café brands; Sous-Sol, a café, bar, and restaurant; Le Centre, a bar and restaurant; shops, service stations, kiosks, and bakeries under the Suard name.
Full company description
Villars Holding S.A. engages in the retail, coffee bars, and real estate and other businesses in Switzerland. The company operates coffee bars and restaurants under the Pause-Café and Xpresso-Café brands; Sous-Sol, a café, bar, and restaurant; Le Centre, a bar and restaurant; shops, service stations, kiosks, and bakeries under the Suard name. It is also involved in the management of real estate assets and development projects. Villars Holding S.A. was founded in 1970 and is headquartered in Givisiez, Switzerland.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Villars Holding reported revenue of CHF 67.8M in FY2025 versus CHF 64.6M in FY2021, a compound +1.2%/yr. Reported net income was CHF 2.8M in FY2025, compounding +13.8%/yr from FY2021.
of which total revenue −2.0 pp · buybacks/dilution +0.0 pp
Absolute contributions in percentage points per year; they sum to the EPS growth rate. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).
Watch VILN: get an alert when its fair value changes →
Peer Group
Grocery Stores · 83 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Grocery Stores median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Grocery Stores stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 12, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Loblaw Companies Limited L | C$65.49 | C$44.44 | -32% |
| Koninklijke Ahold Delhaize N.V AD | €36.30 | €53.50 | +47% |
| The Kroger Co KR | $58.82 | $28.19 | -52% |
| Woolworths Group WOW | A$39.20 | A$13.40 | -66% |
| George Weston Limited WN | C$100.98 | C$63.61 | -37% |
| Coles Group COL | A$23.56 | A$15.86 | -33% |
| Metro Inc MRU | C$93.64 | C$94.01 | +0% |
| Carrefour SA CA | €16.40 | €11.51 | -30% |
| CP ALL Public Company TCPD | 1.89 SGD | 2.36 SGD | +25% |
| BIM Birlesik Magazalar A.S., BIMAS | 385.75 TRY | 267.12 TRY | -31% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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