Vietnam Petroleum Transport JSC (VIP) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 24, 2026: fair value of Vietnam Petroleum Transport JSC VND 16,292, price VND 9,740, upside +67.3%, quality 71 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range 3,732 VND – 14,048 VND · fair‑value band 12,219 VND – 20,676 VND · the 9,740 VND price screens below the 16,292 VND fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
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Vietnam Petroleum Transport Joint Stock Company, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the transportation of petroleum products in Vietnam and internationally. It operates through three segments: Transportation, Trading, and Other Operations.
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Vietnam Petroleum Transport Joint Stock Company, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the transportation of petroleum products in Vietnam and internationally. It operates through three segments: Transportation, Trading, and Other Operations. The company offers coastal and ocean transport services; maritime services; shipping and sea transport agency; cargo counting; and ship cleaning, as well as warehousing and bonded warehouse services. It also provides crew leasing services; supplying ships; ship brokerage and towing; cargo handling at seaports; customs declarations; and trades in petroleum, liquefied gases, petrochemical products, and equipment using liquefied gases. The company was formerly known as Waterway Petroleum Transport Company I and changed its name to Vietnam Petroleum Transport Joint Stock Company in September 2005. Vietnam Petroleum Transport Joint Stock Company was founded in 1980 and is headquartered in Hai Phong, Vietnam. Vietnam Petroleum Transport Joint Stock Company is a subsidiary of Petrolimex Tanker Corporation.
Stock analysis
Vietnam Petroleum Transport JSC (VIP) currently trades at 9,740 VND, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 16,292 VND, implying the stock looks roughly 40.2% undervalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of 18,478 VND per share, and 10 of the 10 models we run sit above the 9,740 VND price.
Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at 12,517 VND, and 0 of the 10 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: 12,219 VND (bear) to 20,676 VND (bull), the price of 9,740 VND sits below it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 71/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector.
Weak Growth: Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.
Vietnam Petroleum Transport JSC reported revenue of 607B VND in FY2025 versus 681B VND in FY2021, a compound −2.8%/yr. Reported net income was 85.8B VND in FY2025, compounding +69.1%/yr from FY2021. FY2021 was a trough year, so the rate overstates the trend.
Key figures
Market cap 667B VND · P/E ratio 13.2 · P/S ratio 1.86 · EPS (TTM) 739.32 VND · Dividend yield 10.3% · Net margin 14.1% · Return on equity 5.5% · Return on assets (EBIT) 3.9%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 47 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 22% below its 52-week high and 2% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at 61% fair-value upside, at 67%, VIP screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear 12,219 VNDFair Value 16,292 VNDBull 20,676 VND
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.40/100
Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.
Revenue growth 1 year
+6.6%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−11.5%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+3.3%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
Revenue growth 6 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−0.6%
’19
’20
’21
’22
’23
’24
’25
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years), in VND ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Measured in VND: this currency has depreciated against the euro and dollar over the long run, so part of the nominal rate is currency erosion that never reaches a EUR/USD investor.
+15.4%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+5.1%
Dividend (yield on the price)10.3%
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.3% → 11%
Growth Forecast
Little optimism in the price
The price assumes less growth than the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
−6.7%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
After inflation (Vietnam: IMF forecast 4.1% a year to 2030, 3.1% from 2016 to 2025) that is about −10.4% a year for the price.
Compare Vietnam Petroleum Transport JSC with another stock
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Marine Shipping · 233 stocks
Beats the industry median on 10/14 measures
Overall it ranks above its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score71 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside+67% · Top 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)5% · Below median
Return on assets3% · Below median
Net margin (TTM)12% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM)6% · Below median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth−3% · Below median
Dividend yield (TTM)10.3% · Top 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.14× · Below median
Valuation Multiplesvs Marine Shipping median · lower = cheaper
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Vietnam Petroleum Transport JSC Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/VIP
Frequently asked questions
Is Vietnam Petroleum Transport JSC (VIP) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 16,292 VND versus a price of 9,740 VND, about +67% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of VIP?
Our model-based fair value for Vietnam Petroleum Transport JSC is 16,292 VND (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 9,740 VND.
What is the quality score of VIP?
Vietnam Petroleum Transport JSC has a Quality Score of 71/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Vietnam Petroleum Transport JSC (VIP)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of 16,292 VND (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 10 valuation models. Cautious scenario 12,219 VND, optimistic scenario 20,676 VND. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Vietnam Petroleum Transport JSC stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at 16,292 VND, about +67% upside versus a price of 9,740 VND (undervalued). Cautious scenario 12,219 VND, optimistic scenario 20,676 VND. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Vietnam Petroleum Transport JSC (VIP)?
Vietnam Petroleum Transport JSC reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 604B VND (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
Does Vietnam Petroleum Transport JSC pay a dividend?
Vietnam Petroleum Transport JSC currently shows a dividend yield of about 10.27% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 24, 2026).
What growth is priced into Vietnam Petroleum Transport JSC (VIP)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Vietnam Petroleum Transport JSC would have to grow free cash flow by -6.7 % per year for five years (discount rate 11.9 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +3.3 % per year. As of Sep 24, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of VIP use?
Our models discount Vietnam Petroleum Transport JSC at 11.9 %: a base by market capitalisation (nano), damped by beta 0.53, country premium for Vietnam. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Vietnam Petroleum Transport JSC that is -6.7 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (11.9 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Vietnam Petroleum Transport JSC (VIP) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Vietnam Petroleum Transport JSC grew +3.3 % a year. The price currently implies -6.7 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Vietnam Petroleum Transport JSC (VIP) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +4.6 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Vietnam Petroleum Transport JSC (-6.7 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Vietnam Petroleum Transport JSC (VIP)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 19.20 %: that much free cash flow Vietnam Petroleum Transport JSC produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (11.9 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Vietnam Petroleum Transport JSC (VIP)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Vietnam Petroleum Transport JSC it is 16,292 VND per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of 9,740 VND. It is the blended result of 10 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Vietnam Petroleum Transport JSC stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, VIP trades below its calculated fair value: price 9,740 VND, fair value 16,292 VND, a gap of about +67% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of VIP?
No. The price is what the market pays today (9,740 VND); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (16,292 VND). For Vietnam Petroleum Transport JSC the two are 6,552 VND per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Vietnam Petroleum Transport JSC worth?
The market values Vietnam Petroleum Transport JSC at about 667B VND (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is 9,740 VND; our models calculate a fair value of 16,292 VND per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about VIP?
Our models span a range for Vietnam Petroleum Transport JSC: cautious scenario 12,219 VND, base 16,292 VND, optimistic 20,676 VND per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price 9,740 VND). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of VIP?
Vietnam Petroleum Transport JSC trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 13.2 (as of Sep 24, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of 16,292 VND is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 0.5, P/S 1.1, EV/EBITDA 5.3.
How solid is the balance sheet of Vietnam Petroleum Transport JSC (VIP)?
Balance-sheet figures for Vietnam Petroleum Transport JSC (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity 5.5%, debt of 0.14 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 71/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is VIP from its 52-week high?
Vietnam Petroleum Transport JSC trades at 9,740 VND, about 22% below its 52-week high of 12,458 VND and 2% above the low of 9,590 VND (as of Sep 24, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of 16,292 VND is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Vietnam Petroleum Transport JSC?
From the same area (Industrials) we also value Adani Ports and Special Economic Zone Limited, COSCO SHIPPING Holdings, Hapag-Lloyd Aktiengesellschaft,, Shanghai International Port (Group) Co, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Vietnam Petroleum Transport JSC stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price 9,740 VND, calculated fair value 16,292 VND (+67%), Quality Score 71/100, from 10 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of VIP calculated?
We run Vietnam Petroleum Transport JSC through 10 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of 16,292 VND, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.0 % above its aggregate fair value. Vietnam Petroleum Transport JSC currently trades 67 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Vietnam Petroleum Transport JSC (VIP)?
The closing price on Sep 24, 2026 was 9,740 VND. Our model-based fair value is 16,292 VND, about +67% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Vietnam Petroleum Transport JSC right now?
The rarer combination: high quality (71/100) AND below fair value. That earns a closer look rather than a quick verdict. The price is below even our cautious bear case (12,219 VND). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
Key figures of Vietnam Petroleum Transport JSC
How large is the market capitalisation of Vietnam Petroleum Transport JSC (VIP)?
The market capitalisation of Vietnam Petroleum Transport JSC is 667B VND. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Vietnam Petroleum Transport JSC (VIP)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Vietnam Petroleum Transport JSC is 1.86 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Vietnam Petroleum Transport JSC (VIP)?
Earnings per share at Vietnam Petroleum Transport JSC are 739.32 VND (price ÷ EPS = P/E 13.2). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Vietnam Petroleum Transport JSC (VIP)?
The dividend yield of Vietnam Petroleum Transport JSC is 10.3% (payout 135%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Vietnam Petroleum Transport JSC (VIP)?
The net margin of Vietnam Petroleum Transport JSC is 14.1% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Vietnam Petroleum Transport JSC (VIP)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Vietnam Petroleum Transport JSC is 5.5% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Vietnam Petroleum Transport JSC (VIP)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Vietnam Petroleum Transport JSC is 3.9% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Vietnam Petroleum Transport JSC (VIP)?
The operating margin of Vietnam Petroleum Transport JSC is 5.6% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Vietnam Petroleum Transport JSC (VIP)?
Revenue at Vietnam Petroleum Transport JSC is growing −2.5% versus a year earlier (3y avg −11.5%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Vietnam Petroleum Transport JSC (VIP)?
Earnings per share at Vietnam Petroleum Transport JSC are growing −40.8% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does Vietnam Petroleum Transport JSC (VIP) carry?
The net debt of Vietnam Petroleum Transport JSC is 136B VND (fiscal year 2021, ≈ 1.1 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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