Virco Manufacturing Corporation (VIRC) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 23, 2026: fair value of Virco Manufacturing Corporation $2.77, price $6.57, upside -57.8%, quality 46 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $2.55 – $17.72 · fair‑value band $2.08 – $3.36 · the $6.57 price screens above the $2.77 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.
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Virco Mfg. Corporation engages in the design, production, and distribution of furniture in the United States and Canada.
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Virco Mfg. Corporation engages in the design, production, and distribution of furniture in the United States and Canada. The company offers seating products, including 4-leg chairs, cantilever chairs, mobile task chairs and lab stools, tablet armchairs, steel-frame and floor rockers, series stools, hard plastic seating, folding and upholstered stack chairs, and plastic stack and upholstered ergonomic chairs. It also provides activity, butcher block, folding, office, technology, mobile tables, mobile storage equipment, and student and teacher desks; desks and workstations and instructor media stations and towers; chair desks and combo units, tablet arm, mobile workstations, student desks, and returns and credenzas; and computer furniture solutions. In addition, the company provides administrative office furniture, including desks, returns, bookcases, and other items, as well as steel storage cabinets, wardrobe tower cabinets, file credenzas, and mobile pedestals; laboratory furniture comprising steel-based science tables, table bases, lab stools, and wood-frame science tables; mobile furniture, such as mobile tables, mobile cabinets, and mobile chairs for school settings and offices; and handling and storage equipment, and stackable storage trucks. It serves public and private educational institutions, charter schools, convention centers and arenas, hospitality providers, government facilities, and places of worship through its sales and support teams, and dealers' network. Virco Mfg. Corporation was founded in 1950 and is headquartered in Torrance, California.
Stock analysis
Virco Manufacturing Corporation (VIRC) currently trades at $6.57, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $2.77, implying the stock looks roughly 137.2% overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Asset-Based group reads highest at a median of $4.50 per share, and 1 of the 13 models we run sit above the $6.57 price.
Bear case: the Earnings-Based group reads lowest at $1.71, and 12 of the 13 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is medium.
Scenario range: $2.08 (bear) to $3.36 (bull), the price of $6.57 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 46/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector.
Weak Growth: Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.
Virco Manufacturing Corporation reported revenue of $200M in FY2026 versus $185M in FY2022, a compound +1.9%/yr. Reported net income was $2.6M in FY2026.
Key figures
Market cap $103M · P/S ratio 0.51 · EPS (TTM) $−0.1600 · Dividend yield 1.5% · Net margin 1.3% · Return on equity −2.2% · Return on assets (EBIT) 8.7% · Operating margin 12.3%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 38 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 15% below its 52-week high and 22% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at 1% fair-value upside, at −58%, VIRC screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear $2.08Fair Value $2.77Bull $3.36
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.32/100
Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.
Revenue growth 1 year
−25.0%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−4.8%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+5.5%
Start year 2021 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +1.7% a year
Revenue growth 40 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+0.4%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Basis: adjusted.
−11.9%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−13.4%
Dividend (yield on the price)1.5%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.2% vs −6%, picking up
Profit margin 2021 to 2026 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.−1% → 2%
Compare Virco Manufacturing Corporation with another stock
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Furnishings, Fixtures & Appliances · 317 stocks
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Is Virco Manufacturing Corporation (VIRC) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 23, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $2.77 versus a price of $6.57, about −58% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of VIRC?
Our model-based fair value for Virco Manufacturing Corporation is $2.77 (as of Sep 23, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $6.57.
What is the quality score of VIRC?
Virco Manufacturing Corporation has a Quality Score of 46/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Virco Manufacturing Corporation (VIRC)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $2.77 (as of Sep 23, 2026) from 13 valuation models. Cautious scenario $2.08, optimistic scenario $3.36. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Virco Manufacturing Corporation stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $2.77, about −58% upside versus a price of $6.57 (overvalued). Cautious scenario $2.08, optimistic scenario $3.36. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Virco Manufacturing Corporation (VIRC)?
Virco Manufacturing Corporation reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $192M (latest available figure, as of Sep 23, 2026).
Does Virco Manufacturing Corporation pay a dividend?
Virco Manufacturing Corporation currently shows a dividend yield of about 1.52% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 23, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Virco Manufacturing Corporation (VIRC)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Virco Manufacturing Corporation it is $2.77 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026), against a price of $6.57. It is the blended result of 13 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Virco Manufacturing Corporation stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 23, 2026, VIRC trades above its calculated fair value: price $6.57, fair value $2.77, a gap of about −58% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of VIRC?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($6.57); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($2.77). For Virco Manufacturing Corporation the two are $3.80 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Virco Manufacturing Corporation worth?
The market values Virco Manufacturing Corporation at about $103M (market capitalisation, as of Sep 23, 2026). Per share that is $6.57; our models calculate a fair value of $2.77 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about VIRC?
Our models span a range for Virco Manufacturing Corporation: cautious scenario $2.08, base $2.77, optimistic $3.36 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026, price $6.57). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Virco Manufacturing Corporation (VIRC)?
Balance-sheet figures for Virco Manufacturing Corporation (as of Sep 23, 2026): return on equity −2.2%, debt of 0.03 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 46/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is VIRC from its 52-week high?
Virco Manufacturing Corporation trades at $6.57, about 15% below its 52-week high of $7.73 and 22% above the low of $5.40 (as of Sep 23, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $2.77 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Virco Manufacturing Corporation?
From the same area (Consumer Cyclical) we also value Midea Group, Gree Electric Appliances, Inc, Haier Smart Home Co, King Slide Works Co, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Virco Manufacturing Corporation stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 23, 2026: price $6.57, calculated fair value $2.77 (−58%), Quality Score 46/100, from 13 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of VIRC calculated?
We run Virco Manufacturing Corporation through 13 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $2.77, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.0 % above its aggregate fair value. Virco Manufacturing Corporation itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Virco Manufacturing Corporation (VIRC)?
The closing price on Sep 23, 2026 was $6.57. Our model-based fair value is $2.77, about −58% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Virco Manufacturing Corporation right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($3.36). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Solid but not exceptional quality (46/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
Key figures of Virco Manufacturing Corporation
How large is the market capitalisation of Virco Manufacturing Corporation (VIRC)?
The market capitalisation of Virco Manufacturing Corporation is $103M. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Virco Manufacturing Corporation (VIRC)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Virco Manufacturing Corporation is 0.51 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Virco Manufacturing Corporation (VIRC)?
Earnings per share at Virco Manufacturing Corporation are $−0.1600. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Virco Manufacturing Corporation (VIRC)?
The dividend yield of Virco Manufacturing Corporation is 1.5%. Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Virco Manufacturing Corporation (VIRC)?
The net margin of Virco Manufacturing Corporation is 1.3% (fiscal year 2026). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Virco Manufacturing Corporation (VIRC)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Virco Manufacturing Corporation is −2.2% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Virco Manufacturing Corporation (VIRC)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Virco Manufacturing Corporation is 8.7% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Virco Manufacturing Corporation (VIRC)?
The operating margin of Virco Manufacturing Corporation is 12.3% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Virco Manufacturing Corporation (VIRC)?
Revenue at Virco Manufacturing Corporation is growing −5.0% versus a year earlier (3y avg −4.8%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Virco Manufacturing Corporation (VIRC)?
Earnings per share at Virco Manufacturing Corporation are growing −15.4% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Virco Manufacturing Corporation (VIRC) generate?
The free cash flow of Virco Manufacturing Corporation is −$6.7M (fiscal year 2026). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Virco Manufacturing Corporation (VIRC) carry?
The net debt of Virco Manufacturing Corporation is $25.9M (fiscal year 2026). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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Sep 23, 2026