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Virco Manufacturing Corporation (VIRC) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Nov 6, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of Virco Manufacturing Corporation stock $2.59, price $6.20, that is 58.2% below the price, quality 46 out of 100. Rating: strongly overvalued. Calculated from audited financials with 14 of our 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

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Consumer Cyclical US

VM Virco Manufacturing Corporation logo Some data Nov 8, 2026

Virco Manufacturing Corporation

VIRC · US
Very expensive, weak quality

Our calculation puts a fair price 58% below what the stock costs today.

Low debt
Quality 46/100
Loss over the last twelve months · -1.3% net margin (TTM) · fiscal year 2026 1.3%
1.6% dividend yield · Watch coverage
Insiders bought $144,310 (6M)
Some data
Fair value $2.59 · Strongly overvalued
Weak Growth (revenue 3y −4.8 %/yr in USD)
Negative free cash flow
Trails peers (4/12)
Narrow moat 27/100 · thin data
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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

$17.72 $2.55 Fair Value $2.59 Aug 2021 Nov 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Nov 8, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $2.55 – $17.72 · fair‑value band $2.06 – $3.36 · the $6.20 price screens above the $2.59 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). 1 fiscal year is left out: there the valuation rested on only a fraction of the usual models. As of Nov 8, 2026.

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Company profile

Virco Mfg. Corporation engages in the design, production, and distribution of furniture in the United States and Canada.

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The company offers seating products, including 4-leg chairs, cantilever chairs, mobile task chairs and lab stools, tablet armchairs, steel-frame and floor rockers, series stools, hard plastic seating, folding and upholstered stack chairs, and plastic stack and upholstered ergonomic chairs.

It also provides activity, butcher block, folding, office, technology, mobile tables, mobile storage equipment, and student and teacher desks; desks and workstations and instructor media stations and towers; chair desks and combo units, tablet arm, mobile workstations, student desks, and returns and credenzas; and computer furniture solutions.

In addition, the company provides administrative office furniture, including desks, returns, bookcases, and other items, as well as steel storage cabinets, wardrobe tower cabinets, file credenzas, and mobile pedestals; laboratory furniture comprising steel-based science tables, table bases, lab stools, and wood-frame science tables; mobile furniture, such as mobile tables, mobile cabinets, and mobile chairs for school settings and offices; and handling and storage equipment, and stackable storage trucks.

It serves public and private educational institutions, charter schools, convention centers and arenas, hospitality providers, government facilities, and places of worship through its sales and support teams, and dealers' network.

Virco Mfg. Corporation was founded in 1950 and is headquartered in Torrance, California.

Stock analysis

Virco Manufacturing Corporation (VIRC) currently trades at $6.20, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $2.59, 58% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the Economic Profit group reads highest at a median of $3.28 per share, and 2 of the 14 models we run sit above the $6.20 price.

Bear case: the Dividend Discount group reads lowest at $0.9100, and 12 of the 14 models stay below the price. Data coverage for this calculation is medium.

Scenario range: $2.06 (bear) to $3.36 (bull), the price of $6.20 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 46/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector.

Weak Growth: Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.

Virco Manufacturing Corporation reported revenue of $200M in FY2026 versus $185M in FY2022, a compound +1.9%/yr. Reported net income was $2.6M in FY2026.

Key figures

Market cap $97.5M Micro · P/S ratio 0.53 · EPS (TTM) $−0.1600 · Dividend yield 1.6% · Net margin −1.3% · Return on equity −2.2% · Return on assets (EBIT) 8.7% (5-year average) · Operating margin 12.3%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 27 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 15% below its 52-week high and 15% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at −24% fair-value upside, at −58%, VIRC screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear $2.06 Fair Value $2.59 Bull $3.36
Price $6.20 · Downside -58.2%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds. Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Best data coverage
Residual Income $4.21 $4.31 $4.52 76
EPV $2.06 $2.25 $2.40 74
ROIC Compounder $2.06 $2.25 $2.40 72
All 14 models by family
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd $1.11 $1.71 $2.04 67
EPV $2.06 $2.25 $2.40 74
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM $0.7600 $0.8700 $0.9900 69
DDM Multi-Stage $0.7600 $0.9500 $1.15 67
Multiples
P/E Multiple $2.57 $3.42 $4.28 63
P/S Multiple $2.08 $2.77 $3.46 58
P/B Multiple $5.83 $7.77 $9.71 55
EV/EBIT $1.31 $2.30 $3.29 64
EV/EBITDA $4.42 $6.44 $8.46 67
EV/Revenue $0.4700 $1.37 $2.28 49
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $1.28 $1.93 $2.42 54
Economic Profit
Residual Income $4.21 $4.31 $4.52 76
ROIC Compounder $2.06 $2.25 $2.40 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E $1.81 $2.59 $3.36 67

Open the full fair value analysis →

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 46/100

It rates the business: profits, how they develop, real cash, balance sheet, investing and share count.

Profitability 47
How much profit the company makes from its sales and capital
Quality Growth 5
Are margins and returns getting better?
Cashflow 9
Do the profits arrive as real cash?
Financial strength 72
Debt, balance sheet and risk of trouble
Investment 63
Does it invest with discipline instead of growing at any price?
Low Volatility 76
How calm the share price moves, does not count
Price momentum 42
Price momentum of the last 3 to 12 months, does not count
Near the 52-week high 32
Distance to the 52-week high, does not count
New shares 96
Buys back shares or issues new ones?

Open the full quality analysis →

Insider trades

In the last 6 months, 2 officers or directors bought shares worth $144,310, most recently on Sep 15, 2026. Buying cluster

  • BuyDouglas A VirtueExecutive Vice President, Director6× since Apr 14, 2026: 35,569 shares, avg. $6.05$215,069Sep 15, 2026
  • BuyRobert A VirtueCEO, Director4× since Jan 13, 2026: 12,800 shares, avg. $6.06$77,568Jun 11, 2026
  • BuyRobert R LindDirector500 shares at $6.07$3,035Apr 15, 2026
  • BuyBradley C RichardsonDirector2× since Jan 7, 2026: 4,000 shares, avg. $6.05$24,196Apr 13, 2026

Plus 4 other filings such as grants, option exercises or tax withholding. They are not market purchases or sales.

Sales are often planned (taxes, diversification, 10b5-1 plans). Purchases with their own money are seen as the stronger sign. For information only: not part of the quality score or Fair Value.

Source: SEC Form 4, as of Nov 6, 2026. All filings at the SEC ↗

Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 32/100
Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.
Revenue growth 1 year
−25.0%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−4.8%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+5.5%
Start year 2021 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +1.7% a year
Revenue growth 40 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+0.4%
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Basis: adjusted.
−11.8%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−13.4%
Dividend (yield on the price)1.6%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.1.5% vs −5.9%, picking up
Profit margin 2021 to 2026 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.−1% → 2%
Pace: the 5-year rate starts in 2021 (pandemic)

VIRC screens overvalued: fair value 58% below the price. Compare with Midea Group →

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Furnishings, Fixtures & Appliances · 297 stocks

Beats the industry median on 4/11 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 46 · Below median
Fair Value upside −58.2% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on assets 1.5% · Below median
Net margin (12 months) −1.3% · Below median
Operating margin (12 months) 12.3% · Top 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY) −5.0% · Below median
Dividend yield (12 months) 1.6% · Below median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 0.03× · Below median

Valuation Multiplesvs Furnishings, Fixtures & Appliances median · lower = cheaper

P/B 0.92× · Cheaper than median
P/S (12 months) 0.51× · Cheaper than median
EV/EBITDA 56.1× · Priciest 25%

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0 · sector 28
FUTURE (revenue growth)0 · sector 7
PAST (return on equity)0 · sector 19
HEALTH (low debt)98 · sector 98
DIVIDEND (yield)32 · sector 61

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Furnishings, Fixtures & Appliances stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value Compare
Gree Electric Appliances, Inc 000651 ¥39.02 ¥97.62 +150% vs VIRC
Haier Smart Home Co 600690 ¥21.62 ¥45.72 +111% vs VIRC
Midea Group 000333 ¥89.60 ¥129.20 +44% vs VIRC
Zhejiang Supor Co 002032 ¥45.36 ¥50.78 +12% vs VIRC
Mohawk Industries, Inc MHK $150.52 $114.64 −24% vs VIRC
COWAY Co 021240 107,600 KRW 76,574 KRW −29% vs VIRC
King Slide Works Co 2059 7,565 TWD 4,427 TWD −41% vs VIRC
SharkNinja, Inc SN $222.95 $101.56 −54% vs VIRC
Somnigroup International Inc SGI $64.17 $29.05 −55% vs VIRC
Guangdong Songfa Ceramics Co 603268 ¥149.45 ¥31.45 −79% vs VIRC

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Virco Manufacturing Corporation Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/VIRC

Frequently asked questions

Is Virco Manufacturing Corporation (VIRC) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Nov 8, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $2.59 versus a price of $6.20, about 58% lower (overvalued).
What is the fair value of VIRC?
Our model-based fair value for Virco Manufacturing Corporation is $2.59 (as of Nov 8, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $6.20.
What is the quality score of VIRC?
Virco Manufacturing Corporation has a Quality Score of 46/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Virco Manufacturing Corporation (VIRC)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $2.59 (as of Nov 8, 2026) from 14 valuation models. Cautious scenario $2.06, optimistic scenario $3.36. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Virco Manufacturing Corporation stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $2.59, about 58% lower versus a price of $6.20 (overvalued). Cautious scenario $2.06, optimistic scenario $3.36. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Virco Manufacturing Corporation (VIRC)?
Virco Manufacturing Corporation reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $192M (latest available figure, as of Nov 8, 2026).
Does Virco Manufacturing Corporation pay a dividend?
Virco Manufacturing Corporation currently shows a dividend yield of 1.61% relative to its recent price (as of Nov 8, 2026).
How much is the dividend of Virco Manufacturing Corporation (VIRC) and when is the ex-dividend date?
Virco Manufacturing Corporation pays a dividend of $0.1 per share a year, a dividend yield of 1.6%. The last ex-dividend date was Sep 18, 2026. The payout ratio is 61.4% of earnings. Our assessment: Watch coverage. The dividend isn’t fully covered by free cash flow or earnings, part of it is funded from reserves or debt. Fine for now, but worth watching: if it stays uncovered, the dividend could be cut.
What is the intrinsic value of Virco Manufacturing Corporation (VIRC)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Virco Manufacturing Corporation it is $2.59 per share (as of Nov 8, 2026), against a price of $6.20. It is the blended result of 14 valuation models in 6 families (Earnings-Based, Dividend Discount, Multiples, Asset-Based, Economic Profit, Growth Earnings).
Is Virco Manufacturing Corporation stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Nov 8, 2026, VIRC trades above its calculated fair value: price $6.20, fair value $2.59, a gap of about −58% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of VIRC?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($6.20); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($2.59). For Virco Manufacturing Corporation the two are $3.61 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Virco Manufacturing Corporation worth?
The market values Virco Manufacturing Corporation at about $97.5M (market capitalisation, as of Nov 8, 2026). Per share that is $6.20; our models calculate a fair value of $2.59 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about VIRC?
Our models span a range for Virco Manufacturing Corporation: cautious scenario $2.06, base $2.59, optimistic $3.36 per share (as of Nov 8, 2026, price $6.20). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Virco Manufacturing Corporation (VIRC)?
Balance-sheet figures for Virco Manufacturing Corporation (as of Nov 8, 2026): return on equity −2.2%, debt of 0.03 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 46/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is VIRC from its 52-week high?
Virco Manufacturing Corporation trades at $6.20, about 15% below its 52-week high of $7.32 and 15% above the low of $5.40 (as of Nov 6, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $2.59 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Virco Manufacturing Corporation?
From the same area (Consumer Cyclical) we also value Midea Group, Gree Electric Appliances, Inc, SharkNinja, Inc, Haier Smart Home Co, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Virco Manufacturing Corporation stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Nov 8, 2026: price $6.20, calculated fair value $2.59 (−58%), Quality Score 46/100, from 14 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of VIRC calculated?
We run Virco Manufacturing Corporation through 14 models from 6 families: Earnings-Based, Dividend Discount, Multiples, Asset-Based, Economic Profit, Growth Earnings. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the fair value of $2.59 builds on their evidence-weighted average, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.3% above its aggregate fair value. Virco Manufacturing Corporation itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Virco Manufacturing Corporation (VIRC)?
The closing price on Nov 6, 2026 was $6.20. Our model-based fair value is $2.59, about 58% lower (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Virco Manufacturing Corporation right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($3.36). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (46/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.

Key figures of Virco Manufacturing Corporation

How large is the market capitalisation of Virco Manufacturing Corporation (VIRC)?
The market capitalisation of Virco Manufacturing Corporation is $97.5M. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Virco Manufacturing Corporation (VIRC)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Virco Manufacturing Corporation is 0.53 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Virco Manufacturing Corporation (VIRC)?
Earnings per share at Virco Manufacturing Corporation are $−0.1600. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Virco Manufacturing Corporation (VIRC)?
The dividend yield of Virco Manufacturing Corporation is 1.6%. Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Virco Manufacturing Corporation (VIRC)?
The net margin of Virco Manufacturing Corporation is −1.3% (last twelve months). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Virco Manufacturing Corporation (VIRC)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Virco Manufacturing Corporation is −2.2% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Virco Manufacturing Corporation (VIRC)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Virco Manufacturing Corporation is 8.7% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Virco Manufacturing Corporation (VIRC)?
The operating margin of Virco Manufacturing Corporation is 12.3% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Virco Manufacturing Corporation (VIRC)?
Revenue at Virco Manufacturing Corporation is growing −5.0% versus a year earlier (3y avg −4.8%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Virco Manufacturing Corporation (VIRC)?
Earnings per share at Virco Manufacturing Corporation are growing −15.4% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Virco Manufacturing Corporation (VIRC) generate?
The free cash flow of Virco Manufacturing Corporation is −$6.7M (fiscal year 2026). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Virco Manufacturing Corporation (VIRC) carry?
The net debt of Virco Manufacturing Corporation is $25.9M (fiscal year 2026). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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