Village Super Market, Inc (VLGEA) Fair Value & Analysis
Consumer Defensive · US · Market cap $637M
Village Super Market, Inc
VLGEA · US
Fair value as of: Jul 5, 2026
From 25 valuation models · updated 36 days ago
Fair value updated Jul 5, 2026, revised from $81.07 to $57.56 (−29.0%) since Jun 25, 2026. Share price +1.6% over the past month.
A solid business, screening 33% undervalued on our models.
What matters now
- Solid quality (57/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
- A fairly wide model range ($37.15 to $82.92) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 5, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $16.84 – $47.17 · fair‑value band $37.15 – $82.92 · the $43.17 price screens below the $57.56 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 5, 2026.
Analysis
Village Super Market, Inc (VLGEA) currently trades at $43.17, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $57.56, implying the stock looks roughly 33.3% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 57/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.
Over the trailing twelve months, Village Super Market, Inc generated revenue of $2.4B at a net margin of 2.3%. Revenue grew 1.6% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 10.9%. Net debt stands at $230M. Fundamentals as of Jul 5, 2026
Our scenario range runs from $37.15 (bear case) to $82.92 (bull case); at $43.17, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 10% below its 52-week high and 45% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at -31% fair-value upside, at 33%, VLGEA screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 25 models by family
Widest divergence: Multiples ($66.68) versus Dividend Discount ($9.78). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 5, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 59 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 66
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Village Super Market, Inc. engages in the operation of a chain of supermarkets in the United States. It offers grocery, meat, produce, dairy, deli, seafood, prepared food products, and bakery and frozen food products. The company also provides non-food products, including health and beauty care, general merchandise, liquor, and pharmacy products.
Full company description
Village Super Market, Inc. engages in the operation of a chain of supermarkets in the United States. It offers grocery, meat, produce, dairy, deli, seafood, prepared food products, and bakery and frozen food products. The company also provides non-food products, including health and beauty care, general merchandise, liquor, and pharmacy products. The company offers its products under the Wholesome Pantry, Bowl & Basket, Paperbird, Fairway and Gourmet Garage brands. It operates its supermarkets under the ShopRite and Fairway banners, and specialty markets under the Gourmet Garage banner, as well as operates online stores through shoprite.com, fairwaymarket.com, and gourmetgarage.com, as well as ShopRite app, Fairway app, and Gourmet Garage app. Village Super Market, Inc. was founded in 1937 and is based in Springfield, New Jersey.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Village Super Market, Inc reported revenue of $2.3B in FY2025 versus $2.0B in FY2021, a compound +3.4%/yr. Reported net income was $56.4M in FY2025, compounding +29.6%/yr from FY2021.
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Earlier news
External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.
- The Zacks Analyst Blog Highlights SAP, UBS Group, Cadence, Village Super Market and Medalist Diversified
- Village Super Market declares $0.25 dividend
- Village Super Market, Inc. Declares Quarterly Dividend
- Village's Q3 Earnings Decline Y/Y Due to Weather Disruptions
Peer Group
Grocery Stores · 83 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Grocery Stores median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Insider activity: 42/100
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Grocery Stores stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 5, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Loblaw Companies Limited L | C$65.49 | C$44.44 | -32% |
| Koninklijke Ahold Delhaize N.V AD | €36.30 | €53.50 | +47% |
| The Kroger Co KR | $58.82 | $28.19 | -52% |
| Woolworths Group WOW | A$39.20 | A$13.40 | -66% |
| George Weston Limited WN | C$100.98 | C$63.61 | -37% |
| Coles Group COL | A$23.56 | A$15.86 | -33% |
| Metro Inc MRU | C$93.64 | C$94.01 | +0% |
| Carrefour SA CA | €16.40 | €11.51 | -30% |
| CP ALL Public Company TCPD | 1.89 SGD | 2.36 SGD | +25% |
| BIM Birlesik Magazalar A.S., BIMAS | 385.75 TRY | 267.12 TRY | -31% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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