Valens Semiconductor Ltd (VLN) Fair Value & Analysis
Technology · US · Market cap $231M
Valens Semiconductor Ltd
VLN · US
Fair value as of: Jul 21, 2026
From 1 valuation models · updated 21 days ago
Fair value updated Jul 21, 2026, revised from $2.98 to $0.8400 (−71.8%) since Jun 25, 2026. Share price −14.7% over the past month.
A solid business, but screening 52% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($1.05). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
- Solid but not exceptional quality (57/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
- A fairly wide model range ($0.5600 to $1.05) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 21, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $1.11 – $11.25 · fair‑value band $0.5600 – $1.05 · the $1.74 price screens above the $0.8400 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 21, 2026.
Analysis
Valens Semiconductor Ltd (VLN) currently trades at $1.74, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $0.8400, implying the stock looks roughly 51.7% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 57/100 (solid quality), in the Technology sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: low).
Over the trailing twelve months, Valens Semiconductor Ltd generated revenue of $70.7M at a net margin of -44.7%. Revenue grew 0.2% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -27.6%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of $15.6M. Fundamentals as of Jul 21, 2026
Our scenario range runs from $0.5600 (bear case) to $1.05 (bull case); at $1.74, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 53% below its 52-week high and 58% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at -67% fair-value upside, at -52%, VLN screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 1 models by family
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 21, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 55 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 21
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Valens Semiconductor Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, provides semiconductor products for the audio-video and automotive industries. It operates through the Cross Industry Business and Automotive segments.
Full company description
Valens Semiconductor Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, provides semiconductor products for the audio-video and automotive industries. It operates through the Cross Industry Business and Automotive segments. The company offers HDBaseT technology, which enables simultaneous delivery of ultra-high-definition digital video and audio, Ethernet, USB, control signals, and power through a single long-reach cable. It also provides plug-and-play convergence and distribution of different interfaces for the enterprise, education, industrial, digital signage, and medical markets. In addition, it offers MIPI A-PHY, a connectivity standard that is an enabler for advanced driver-assistance systems and automated driving systems. In addition, the company offers semiconductors and other components in VS100, VS2000, VS3000, VS6000, VS7000, VS6320, VA6000, and VA7000 product series. It sells its products through the direct sales force, and distributors and independent sales representatives. Valens Semiconductor Ltd. was incorporated in 2006 and is headquartered in Hod HaSharon, Israel.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Valens Semiconductor Ltd reported revenue of $70.6M in FY2025 versus $70.7M in FY2021, a compound −0.0%/yr. Reported net income was −$31.6M in FY2025.
VLN screens 52% overvalued. Compare with NVIDIA Corporation →
Peer Group
Semiconductors · 318 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Semiconductors median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Semiconductors stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 21, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| NVIDIA Corporation NVDA | $211.80 | $96.91 | -54% |
| Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company TSM | $418.47 | $208.16 | -50% |
| Broadcom Inc 1AVGO | €367.75 | €121.25 | -67% |
| Micron Technology, Inc 1MU | €784.90 | €185.67 | -76% |
| SK hynix Inc 000660 | 2,082,000 KRW | 1,109,311 KRW | -47% |
| Advanced Micro Devices, Inc 1AMD | €425.20 | €56.33 | -87% |
| Intel Corporation INTC | C$68.40 | C$9.82 | -86% |
| Texas Instruments Incorporated TXN | $311.46 | $59.75 | -81% |
| MediaTek Inc 2454 | 3,740 TWD | 1,163 TWD | -69% |
| SK Square Co 402340 | 1,212,000 KRW | 868,000 KRW | -28% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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