Valens (VLN) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Nov 6, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of Valens stock $0.82, price $1.42, that is 42.3% below the price, quality 48 out of 100. Rating: strongly overvalued. Calculated from audited financials with one of our 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceableSee the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Nov 6, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $1.11 – $11.25 · fair‑value band $0.5400 – $1.03 · the $1.42 price screens above the $0.8200 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). As of Nov 6, 2026.
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Valens Semiconductor Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, provides semiconductor products for the audio-video and automotive industries. It operates through the Cross Industry Business and Automotive segments.
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The company offers HDBaseT technology, which enables simultaneous delivery of ultra-high-definition digital video and audio, Ethernet, USB, control signals, and power through a single long-reach cable.
It also provides plug-and-play convergence and distribution of different interfaces for the enterprise, education, industrial, digital signage, and medical markets.
In addition, it offers MIPI A-PHY, a connectivity standard that is an enabler for advanced driver-assistance systems and automated driving systems. In addition, the company offers semiconductors and other components in VS100, VS2000, VS3000, VS6000, VS7000, VS6320, VA6000, and VA7000 product series.
It sells its products through the direct sales force, and distributors and independent sales representatives. Valens Semiconductor Ltd. was incorporated in 2006 and is headquartered in Hod HaSharon, Israel.
Stock analysis
Valens (VLN) currently trades at $1.42, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $0.8200, 42% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.
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Valuation
How firm this estimate is: it rests on 1 models at a data quality of 96/100, which puts the data coverage at low.
Scenario range: $0.5400 (bear) to $1.03 (bull), the price of $1.42 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 48/100 (below-average quality), in the Technology sector.
Weak Growth: Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.
Valens reported revenue of $70.6M in FY2025 versus $70.7M in FY2021, a compound 0.0%/yr. Reported net income was −$31.6M in FY2025.
Key figures
Market cap $146M Micro · P/S ratio 2.43 · EPS (TTM) $−0.3100 · Net margin −45.2% · Return on equity −30.4% · Return on assets (EBIT) −18.4% (5-year average) · Operating margin −43.9% · Revenue (TTM) $71.7M.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 12 out of 100 (medium confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 60% below its 52-week high and 28% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at −7% fair-value upside, at −42%, VLN screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear$0.5400Fair Value $0.8200Bull$1.03
Price $1.42 · Downside -42.3%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
SaleDavid ChairmanSVP, R&D7× since Apr 15, 2026: 24,000 shares, avg. $2.10$50,296Jun 15, 202610b5-1 plan
SaleAmir BoimSVP, Operations and PMO9,938 shares at $3.54$35,208May 29, 202610b5-1 plan
Sale- Toledano Adi YarelDirector3× since Apr 30, 2026: 79,862 shares, avg. $2.81$224,031May 29, 202610b5-1 plan
Plus 6 other filings such as grants, option exercises or tax withholding. They are not market purchases or sales.
Sales are often planned (taxes, diversification, 10b5-1 plans). Purchases with their own money are seen as the stronger sign. For information only: not part of the quality score or Fair Value.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.21/100
Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.
Revenue growth 1 year
+22.1%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−8.0%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+4.4%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
Revenue growth 6 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+2.7%
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Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
−40.0% (2020) → −48.5% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
News mood ⓘNews mood, the average tone of recent news (77 articles), rated against how stocks are usually covered. 🚀 Hype = unusually upbeat · 🙂 Positive = above average · 😐 Neutral = typical · 🙁 Negative = below average · 😨 Very negative = unusually downbeat. It reflects the tone of coverage, not our valuation.Positive
Recent news coverage is more positive than average.
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Semiconductors · 369 stocks
Beats the industry median on 2/8 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score48 · Below median
Fair Value upside−42.3% · Below median
Profitability
Return on assets−23.5% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (12 months)−45.2% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (12 months)−43.9% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY)6.1% · Below median
Valuation Multiplesvs Semiconductors median · lower = cheaper
P/B1.40× · Cheapest 25%
P/S (12 months)2.04× · Cheaper than median
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
This stockSector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0· sector 0
FUTURE (revenue growth)31· sector 100
PAST (return on equity)0· sector 28
HEALTH (low debt)0· sector 96
DIVIDEND (yield)0· sector 21
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Valens Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/VLN
Frequently asked questions
Is Valens (VLN) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Nov 6, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $0.8200 versus a price of $1.42, about 42% lower (overvalued).
What is the fair value of VLN?
Our model-based fair value for Valens is $0.8200 (as of Nov 6, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $1.42.
What is the quality score of VLN?
Valens has a Quality Score of 48/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Valens (VLN)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $0.8200 (as of Nov 6, 2026) from 1 valuation models. Cautious scenario $0.5400, optimistic scenario $1.03. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Valens stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $0.8200, about 42% lower versus a price of $1.42 (overvalued). Cautious scenario $0.5400, optimistic scenario $1.03. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Valens (VLN)?
Valens reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $71.7M (latest available figure, as of Nov 6, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Valens (VLN)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Valens it is $0.8200 per share (as of Nov 6, 2026), against a price of $1.42. It is the blended result of 1 valuation models in 1 family (Asset-Based).
Is Valens stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Nov 6, 2026, VLN trades above its calculated fair value: price $1.42, fair value $0.8200, a gap of about −42% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of VLN?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($1.42); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($0.8200). For Valens the two are $0.6000 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Valens worth?
The market values Valens at about $146M (market capitalisation, as of Nov 6, 2026). Per share that is $1.42; our models calculate a fair value of $0.8200 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about VLN?
Our models span a range for Valens: cautious scenario $0.5400, base $0.8200, optimistic $1.03 per share (as of Nov 6, 2026, price $1.42). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Valens (VLN)?
Balance-sheet figures for Valens (as of Nov 6, 2026): return on equity −30.4%. They feed the Quality Score of 48/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is VLN from its 52-week high?
Valens trades at $1.42, about 60% below its 52-week high of $3.53 and 28% above the low of $1.11 (as of Nov 6, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $0.8200 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Valens?
From the same area (Technology) we also value NVIDIA Corporation, Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company, Broadcom Inc, Micron Technology, Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Valens stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Nov 6, 2026: price $1.42, calculated fair value $0.8200 (−42%), Quality Score 48/100, from 1 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of VLN calculated?
We run Valens through 1 models from 1 family: Asset-Based. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the fair value of $0.8200 builds on their evidence-weighted average, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.3% above its aggregate fair value. Valens itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Valens (VLN)?
The closing price on Nov 6, 2026 was $1.42. Our model-based fair value is $0.8200, about 42% lower (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Valens right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($1.03). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (48/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. A fairly wide model range ($0.5400 to $1.03) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Key figures of Valens
How large is the market capitalisation of Valens (VLN)?
The market capitalisation of Valens is $146M. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Valens (VLN)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Valens is 2.43 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Valens (VLN)?
Earnings per share at Valens are $−0.3100. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Valens (VLN)?
The net margin of Valens is −45.2% (last twelve months). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Valens (VLN)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Valens is −30.4% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Valens (VLN)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Valens is −18.4% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Valens (VLN)?
The operating margin of Valens is −43.9% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Valens (VLN)?
Revenue at Valens is growing +6.1% versus a year earlier (3y avg −8.0%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How much free cash flow does Valens (VLN) generate?
The free cash flow of Valens is −$13.8M (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net cash does Valens (VLN) hold?
Valens holds more cash than debt, $15.6M net (fiscal year 2025). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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Thin data
Nov 6, 2026
