Viper Energy Ut (VNOM) fair value: what the stock is really worth
We calculate from audited financials what Viper Energy Ut is really worth. The fair value tells you whether the price is too high or too low, the quality score (0 to 100) how solid the business behind it is. 26 models, 37 quality factors, updated daily.
Structural break:
The valuation model sees a lasting decline in earnings power for this stock, the confidence band is broken. Treat the target with caution.
Weakest SetupStrongly overvalued and low quality.
!Fair value $13.55 · Strongly overvalued (−68%)
!Quality 18/100
!Expensive Growth(revenue 5y +40.1 %/yr)
!Thin margins · 3.1% net margin (TTM)
!Low debt · negative free cash flow
·5.46% dividend yield
!Mixed vs. peers(6/13)
!Moderate moat47/100
!Insider activity35/100
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 18, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $11.66 – $51.18 · fair‑value band $10.35 – $20.64 · the $42.27 price screens above the $13.55 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 18, 2026.
Viper Energy, Inc. owns, acquires, and exploits oil and natural gas properties in North America. It focuses on owning and acquiring mineral and royalty interests in the Permian Basin. Viper Energy, Inc. was formerly known as Viper Energy Partners LP and changed its name to Viper Energy, Inc. in November 2023. Viper Energy, Inc.
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Viper Energy, Inc. owns, acquires, and exploits oil and natural gas properties in North America. It focuses on owning and acquiring mineral and royalty interests in the Permian Basin. Viper Energy, Inc. was formerly known as Viper Energy Partners LP and changed its name to Viper Energy, Inc. in November 2023. Viper Energy, Inc. was founded in 2013 and is based in Midland, Texas. Viper Energy, Inc. operates as a subsidiary of Diamondback Energy, Inc.
Stock analysis
Viper Energy Ut (VNOM) currently trades at $42.27, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $13.55, implying the stock looks roughly 212.0% overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Economic Profit group reads highest at a median of $6.60 per share, and 0 of the 5 models we run sit above the $42.27 price.
Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at $5.44, and 5 of the 5 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: $10.35 (bear) to $20.64 (bull), the price of $42.27 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 18/100 (below-average quality), in the Energy sector.
Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Viper Energy Ut reported revenue of $1.3B in FY2025 versus $504M in FY2021, a compound +27.8%/yr. Reported net income was −$68.0M in FY2025.
Key figures
Market cap $23.2B · P/S ratio 12.0 · EPS (TTM) $−0.1000 · Dividend yield 5.5% · Net margin −5.1% · Return on equity 1.1% · Return on assets (EBIT) 8.7% · Operating margin 67.0%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 38 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 16% below its 52-week high and 24% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Energy peers we cover trades at −34% fair-value upside, at −68%, VNOM screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear $10.35Fair Value $13.55Bull $20.64
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.38/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Revenue growth 1 year
+56.6%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+15.8%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+40.1%
Revenue growth 12 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+29.6%
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Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
21.2% (2020) → 43.0% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
News mood ⓘNews mood, the average tone of recent news (95 articles), rated against how stocks are usually covered. 🚀 Hype = unusually upbeat · 🙂 Positive = above average · 😐 Neutral = typical · 🙁 Negative = below average · 😨 Very negative = unusually downbeat. It reflects the tone of coverage, not our valuation.Hype
Recent news coverage is unusually upbeat, far more positive than stocks are typically covered.
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Oil & Gas Midstream · 87 stocks
Beats the industry median on 6/13 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score18 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside−64% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)1% · Bottom 25%
Return on assets6% · Above median
Net margin (TTM)3% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM)67% · Top 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth115% · Top 25%
Dividend yield (TTM)5.5% · Above median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.49× · Below median
Valuation Multiplesvs Oil & Gas Midstream median · lower = cheaper
P/B5.21× · Priciest 25%
P/S (TTM)11.98× · Priciest 25%
EV/EBITDA13.4× · Priciest 25%
PEG1.49× · Cheaper than median
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
This stockSector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0· sector 7
FUTURE (revenue growth)100· sector 60
PAST (return on equity)4· sector 42
HEALTH (low debt)75· sector 51
DIVIDEND (yield)100· sector 77
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Viper Energy Ut Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/VNOM
Frequently asked questions
Is Viper Energy Ut (VNOM) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 18, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $13.55 versus a price of $42.27, about −68% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of VNOM?
Our model-based fair value for Viper Energy Ut is $13.55 (as of Sep 18, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $42.27.
What is the quality score of VNOM?
Viper Energy Ut has a Quality Score of 18/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Viper Energy Ut (VNOM)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $13.55 (as of Sep 18, 2026) from 5 valuation models. Cautious scenario $10.35, optimistic scenario $20.64. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Viper Energy Ut stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $13.55, about −68% upside versus a price of $42.27 (overvalued). Cautious scenario $10.35, optimistic scenario $20.64. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Viper Energy Ut (VNOM)?
Viper Energy Ut reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $1.6B (latest available figure, as of Sep 18, 2026).
Does Viper Energy Ut pay a dividend?
Viper Energy Ut currently shows a dividend yield of about 5.46% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 18, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Viper Energy Ut (VNOM)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Viper Energy Ut it is $13.55 per share (as of Sep 18, 2026), against a price of $42.27. It is the blended result of 5 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Viper Energy Ut stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 18, 2026, VNOM trades above its calculated fair value: price $42.27, fair value $13.55, a gap of about −68% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of VNOM?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($42.27); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($13.55). For Viper Energy Ut the two are $28.72 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Viper Energy Ut worth?
The market values Viper Energy Ut at about $23.2B (market capitalisation, as of Sep 18, 2026). Per share that is $42.27; our models calculate a fair value of $13.55 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about VNOM?
Our models span a range for Viper Energy Ut: cautious scenario $10.35, base $13.55, optimistic $20.64 per share (as of Sep 18, 2026, price $42.27). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the PEG ratio of VNOM?
The PEG ratio of Viper Energy Ut is 1.49 (P/E divided by earnings growth, as of Sep 18, 2026). That is above 1, so the growth is already paid for in the price.
How solid is the balance sheet of Viper Energy Ut (VNOM)?
Balance-sheet figures for Viper Energy Ut (as of Sep 18, 2026): return on equity 1.1%, debt of 0.49 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 18/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is VNOM from its 52-week high?
Viper Energy Ut trades at $42.27, about 16% below its 52-week high of $50.41 and 24% above the low of $34.09 (as of Sep 18, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $13.55 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Viper Energy Ut?
From the same area (Energy) we also value Enbridge Inc, The Williams Companies, Inc, Enterprise Products Partners L.P., TC Energy Corporation, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Viper Energy Ut stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 18, 2026: price $42.27, calculated fair value $13.55 (−68%), Quality Score 18/100, from 5 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of VNOM calculated?
We run Viper Energy Ut through 5 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $13.55, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 16.1 % above its aggregate fair value. Viper Energy Ut itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Viper Energy Ut (VNOM)?
The closing price on Sep 18, 2026 was $42.27. Our model-based fair value is $13.55, about −68% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Viper Energy Ut right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($20.64). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (18/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. A fairly wide model range ($10.35 to $20.64) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Key figures of Viper Energy Ut
How large is the market capitalisation of Viper Energy Ut (VNOM)?
The market capitalisation of Viper Energy Ut is $23.2B. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Viper Energy Ut (VNOM)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Viper Energy Ut is 12.0 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Viper Energy Ut (VNOM)?
Earnings per share at Viper Energy Ut are $−0.1000. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Viper Energy Ut (VNOM)?
The dividend yield of Viper Energy Ut is 5.5%. Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Viper Energy Ut (VNOM)?
The net margin of Viper Energy Ut is −5.1% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Viper Energy Ut (VNOM)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Viper Energy Ut is 1.1% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Viper Energy Ut (VNOM)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Viper Energy Ut is 8.7% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Viper Energy Ut (VNOM)?
The operating margin of Viper Energy Ut is 67.0% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Viper Energy Ut (VNOM)?
Revenue at Viper Energy Ut is growing +115% versus a year earlier (3y avg +15.8%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Viper Energy Ut (VNOM)?
Earnings per share at Viper Energy Ut are growing +161% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Viper Energy Ut (VNOM) generate?
The free cash flow of Viper Energy Ut is −$1.4B (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Viper Energy Ut (VNOM) carry?
The net debt of Viper Energy Ut is $2.2B (fiscal year 2025). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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Thin data
Sep 18, 2026