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Volati AB (VOLO) Fair Value & Analysis

Industrials · SE · Market cap 2.3B SEK (≈ $239M) · ISIN SE0009143662

What is Volati AB really worth?

VA Volati AB VOLO · ST
Pricekr 25.25
Fair Valuekr 49.44
Upside+95.8%
Quality59/100

A solid business, trading 49% below our fair value of kr 49.44.

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Strengths

Highly profitable · 57.5% net margin
Moderate debt · generates free cash flow
Ranks above peers (8/11)

Risks

!Mixed Growth (revenue 5y +4.7 %/yr)
!Moderate moat 53/100
!Evidence only medium, so the estimate is less certain

For context

·7.92% dividend yield
Evidence: Medium Range kr 37.08 – kr 68.79

Fair value as of: Aug 21, 2026

From 11 valuation models · updated 15 days ago

Share price −2.3% over the past month.

What runs behind every stock

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

What matters now

  • The price is below even our cautious bear case (kr 37.08). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
  • Solid quality (59/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
  • A fairly wide model range (kr 37.08 to kr 68.79) leaves room in how you read the outcome.

Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

kr 209.66 kr 23.30 Fair Value kr 49.44 Jun 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 21, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range kr 23.30 – kr 209.66 · fair‑value band kr 37.08 – kr 68.79 · the kr 25.25 price screens below the kr 49.44 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 21, 2026.

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Analysis

Volati AB (VOLO) currently trades at kr 25.25, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is kr 49.44, implying the stock looks roughly 48.9% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 59/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector. Bull case: the Growth DCF group reads highest at a median of kr 113.59 per share, and 10 of the 11 models we run sit above the kr 25.25 price. Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at kr 18.23, and 1 of the 11 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is medium.

Over the trailing twelve months, Volati AB generated revenue of 8.4B SEK at a net margin of 3.8%. Revenue grew 2.7% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 14.2%. Net debt stands at 2.6B SEK. Fundamentals as of Aug 21, 2026

Our scenario range runs from kr 37.08 (bear case) to kr 68.79 (bull case); at kr 25.25, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 80% below its 52-week high. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at 34% fair-value upside, at 96%, VOLO screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

This estimate rests on fiscal year 2025 figures, and about 8 months have passed since. In that time the company retained roughly kr 0.3737 per share, which is 0.8 % of the fair value. The fair value deliberately does not add this in: the models value reported figures, not a projection.

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted, family-balanced blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF best evidence kr 76.14 kr 157.71 kr 295.43 74
Owner Earnings kr 76.17 kr 168.17 kr 332.50 72
Rev-Margin DCF kr 54.18 kr 113.59 kr 194.38 70
All 11 models by family
DCF Models
Owner Earnings kr 76.17 kr 168.17 kr 332.50 72
5Y P/E Exit kr 31.57 kr 66.39 kr 106.22 68
10Y P/E Exit kr 46.52 kr 84.67 kr 138.78 62
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd kr 25.86 kr 140.19 kr 194.37 63
Lynch FV kr 38.87 kr 55.53 kr 72.18 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple kr 37.08 kr 49.44 kr 61.80 63
P/B Multiple kr 28.56 kr 38.08 kr 47.60 55
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) kr 13.60 kr 18.23 kr 27.20 54
Growth DCF
Growth DCF best evidence kr 76.14 kr 157.71 kr 295.43 74
Rev-Margin DCF kr 54.18 kr 113.59 kr 194.38 70
Economic Profit
Residual Income kr 26.10 kr 32.56 kr 76.04 70

Widest divergence: Growth DCF (kr 113.59) versus Asset-Based (kr 18.23). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (74).

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Key figures & financial health

P/E ratio 28.5 as of Jun 8, 2026
P/S ratio 1.02 P/E × margin
EPS (TTM) kr 2.98 price ÷ EPS = P/E 28.5
Dividend yield 7.9% payout 67.1%
Net margin 3.6% FY2025
Return on equity 14.2% TTM
More key figures
Profitability
Return on assets (EBIT) 9.0% avg 5y
Operating margin 2.1% TTM
Growth
Revenue (TTM) 8.4B SEK TTM
Revenue growth (YoY) +2.7% 3y avg +2.8%
EPS growth (YoY) +162%
Balance sheet & cash flow
Free cash flow 631M SEK FY2025
Net debt 2.6B SEK FY2025 · ≈ 4.1 yrs of FCF

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 21, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 59/100

Of which business quality 55 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 7

Profitability 42
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 41
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 66
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 31
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 90
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 23
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 0
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 1
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 82
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.

About the company

Volati AB (publ) is a private equity firm specializing in growth capital, buyouts, add on acquisitions in mature and middle market companies. The firm invests primarily in trading, consumer, and industry sectors.

Full company description

Volati AB (publ) is a private equity firm specializing in growth capital, buyouts, add on acquisitions in mature and middle market companies. The firm invests primarily in trading, consumer, and industry sectors. Within trading it invests in building materials sector, consumables, and material for construction (like concrete, cut stones & stone products), paper and forest products, industrials, home and garden, and agriculture and forestry farmers. Within consumer, it invests in database marketing, digitization, and e-commerce. Within industry it invests in international expansion, lean manufacturing, and HR, consumer discretionary, consumer staples, utilities. It prefers to invest in small to medium sized Nordic, European, companies mainly in Sweden. The firm invests up to SEK100 million ($99.92 million) in companies with enterprise values up to SEK1000 million ($999.20 million); revenues between SEK50 million ($49.96 million) to SEK1000 million ($999.20 million) and EBITDA up to SEK100 million ($99.92 million). It seeks majority/ownership control and prefers to invest in companies with strong cash flows and take a board seat in its portfolio companies. The firm invests out of balance sheet. Volati AB (publ) was founded in 2003 and is based in Stockholm, Sweden.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Volati AB reported revenue of 8.4B SEK in FY2025 versus 6.3B SEK in FY2021, a compound +7.5%/yr. Reported net income was 302M SEK in FY2025, compounding −11.7%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 73/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
8.4B SEK
Latest YoY
+7.0%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+2.8%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+4.7%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (21Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+24.6%
Value creation/yr (5Y) Earnings growth per share (CAGR 5 years) plus dividend yield: value created per share and year.
+3.4% (−4.5 + 7.9)
Revenue +7.5%/yr
FY21 6.3B SEK
FY22 7.8B SEK
FY23 7.8B SEK
FY24 7.9B SEK
FY25 8.4B SEK
Net income −11.7%/yr
FY21 496M SEK
FY22 417M SEK
FY23 356M SEK
FY24 273M SEK
FY25 302M SEK
Character of growth · EPS growth decomposed (2014-2025) +16.5 % p.a.
Revenue per share +17.9 %

of which total revenue +14.6 % · buybacks/dilution +2.8 %

EBIT margin −2.9 %
Tax rate −0.1 %
Residual (interest, one-offs) +1.8 %

Annual growth per factor. These are factors, not summands: multiplied they give the EPS growth rate, added they do not quite. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Volati AB Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/VOLO

Peer Group

Conglomerates · 375 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 59 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside +99% · Top 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 12% · Top 25%
Return on assets 4% · Above median
Net margin (TTM) 57% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 5% · Below median
Revenue growth −42% · Bottom 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 7.9% · Top 25%
Debt / equity 1.24× · Higher than 75% of peers

Valuation Multiples vs Conglomerates median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 28.5× · Pricier than median
P/FCF 0.4× · Cheaper than median

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE100 · sector 25
FUTURE0 · sector 17
PAST50 · sector 17
HEALTH38 · sector 89
DIVIDEND100 · sector 42

Insider activity: 45/100

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

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Frequently asked questions

Is Volati AB (VOLO) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 21, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of kr 49.44 versus a price of kr 25.25, about +96% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of VOLO?
Our model-based fair value for Volati AB is kr 49.44 (as of Aug 21, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: kr 25.25.
What is the quality score of VOLO?
Volati AB has a Quality Score of 59/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Volati AB (VOLO)?
Volati AB reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 8.4B SEK (latest available figure, as of Aug 21, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of VOLO?
The net profit margin of Volati AB is about 3.8%, meaning it keeps roughly 3.8% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Volati AB pay a dividend?
Volati AB currently shows a dividend yield of about 7.92% relative to its recent price (as of Aug 21, 2026).
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