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Volt Power Group Ltd (VPR) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Sep 24, 2026: fair value of Volt Power Group Ltd A$0.13, price A$0.13, upside +1.2%, quality 47 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? Yes
  2. Good quality? No
  3. Add to watchlist

Utilities · AU · ISIN AU000000VPR1

VP Thin data Sep 23, 2026

Volt Power Group Ltd

VPR · AU

Low PriorityQuality growthFair Value upside is limited and quality is weak.

·Fair value A$0.1265 · Fairly valued (+1%)
!Quality 47/100
!Mixed Growth (revenue 5y +22.1 %/yr)
!Thin margins · 8.9% net margin (TTM)
✓Low debt · generates free cash flow
✓Ranks above peers (8/12)
!Moderate moat 52/100
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain
!Weak on past: 27 out of 100

What runs behind every stock

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

A$0.3500 A$0.1000 Fair Value A$0.1265 Jul 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range A$0.1000 – A$0.3500 · fair‑value band A$0.0843 – A$0.1687 · the A$0.1250 price screens below the A$0.1265 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.

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Company profile

Volt Group Limited, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the provision of power generation technology solutions in Australia and internationally.

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Volt Group Limited, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the provision of power generation technology solutions in Australia and internationally. It offers mobile solar powerbox towers compatible with LED lighting, as well as light and communications tower solutions, EcoQuip, a technology platform comprises a solar/battery energy storage system (BESS), and sophisticated power management and illumination solution; baseload electricity generation solutions that utilizes recovered low grade industrial waste heat as its energy source; and ATEN Waste Heat to Power system combined with alkaline water electrolyser, PEM electrolyser, or a solid oxide electrolyser. The company also provides LTE/WiFi repeater communication solutions; CCTV retrofit equipment; and proprietary W300 sample crusher for use in iron ore and assay laboratory industries. In addition, the company is involved in equipment leasing. It serves the resources and construction sectors. The company was formerly known as Volt Power Group Limited and changed its name to Volt Group Limited in June 2024. Volt Group Limited was incorporated in 1989 and is based in Kewdale, Australia.

Stock analysis

Volt Power Group Ltd (VPR) currently trades at A$0.1250, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is A$0.1265, implying the stock looks roughly 1.2% fairly valued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of A$0.1300 per share, and 7 of the 24 models we run sit above the A$0.1250 price.

Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at A$0.0300, and 17 of the 24 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.

Scenario range: A$0.0843 (bear) to A$0.1687 (bull), the price of A$0.1250 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 47/100 (below-average quality), in the Utilities sector.

Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.

Volt Power Group Ltd reported revenue of A$5.1M in FY2025 versus A$3.1M in FY2021, a compound +13.6%/yr. Reported net income was A$454K in FY2025, compounding −9.1%/yr from FY2021.

Key figures

Market cap A$19.6M (≈ $13.8M) · P/S ratio 3.85 · Net margin 8.9% · Return on equity 6.8% · Return on assets (EBIT) −1.6% · Operating margin 24.8% · Revenue (TTM) A$5.1M · Revenue growth (YoY) +7.4%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 48 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 31% below its 52-week high and 19% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Utilities peers we cover trades at −34% fair-value upside, at 1%, VPR screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear A$0.0843 Fair Value A$0.1265 Bull A$0.1687
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
FCF DCF A$0.1200 A$0.1700 A$0.3400 74
EPV A$0.0300 A$0.0400 A$0.0400 74
Growth DCF A$0.1200 A$0.2000 A$0.3300 74
All 24 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF A$0.1200 A$0.1700 A$0.3400 74
Owner Earnings A$0.0500 A$0.0700 A$0.1200 72
5Y Revenue Exit A$0.0600 A$0.0700 A$0.1000 71
5Y EBITDA Exit A$0.0900 A$0.1300 A$0.2100 72
5Y P/E Exit A$0.0800 A$0.1400 A$0.2100 67
10Y Revenue Exit A$0.0800 A$0.1100 A$0.1200 66
10Y EBITDA Exit A$0.1000 A$0.1700 A$0.2900 64
10Y P/E Exit A$0.1000 A$0.1600 A$0.2500 61
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd A$0.0200 A$0.1300 A$0.1800 61
Lynch FV A$0.0700 A$0.1000 A$0.1300 59
PEG = 1.0 A$0.0700 A$0.1000 A$0.1300 55
EPV A$0.0300 A$0.0400 A$0.0400 74
Multiples
P/E Multiple A$0.0400 A$0.0500 A$0.0600 63
P/S Multiple A$0.0400 A$0.0500 A$0.0600 58
P/B Multiple A$0.0400 A$0.0500 A$0.0600 55
EV/EBIT A$0.0400 A$0.0400 A$0.0400 66
EV/EBITDA A$0.0700 A$0.0900 A$0.1000 67
EV/Revenue A$0.0400 A$0.0400 A$0.0400 54
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) A$0.0200 A$0.0300 A$0.0400 54
Growth DCF
Growth DCF A$0.1200 A$0.2000 A$0.3300 74
Rev-Margin DCF A$0.0600 A$0.0800 A$0.1100 71
Economic Profit
Residual Income A$0.0300 A$0.0300 A$0.0400 68
ROIC Compounder A$0.0300 A$0.0400 A$0.0400 70
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E A$0.0800 A$0.1200 A$0.1600 65

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 47/100

Of which business quality 50 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 31

Profitability 35
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 0
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 74
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 61
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 10
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 50
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 22
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 24
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 100
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 69/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Revenue growth 1 year
−8.3%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+16.1%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+22.1%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +29.6% a year
Revenue growth 25 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+1.4%
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
−51.9% (2020) → 2.9% (2025)

Growth Forecast

Little optimism in the price
The price assumes less growth than the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
−4.1%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
After inflation (Australia: IMF forecast 3.0% a year to 2030, 2.9% from 2016 to 2025) that is about −6.9% a year for the price.

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Utilities - Renewable · 208 stocks

Beats the industry median on 8/12 measures
Overall it ranks above its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 47 · Above median
Fair Value upside +10% · Above median
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM) 7% · Above median
Return on assets 3% · Above median
Net margin (TTM) 9% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM) 25% · Above median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth 7% · Above median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 0.04× · Lowest 25%

Valuation Multiplesvs Utilities - Renewable median · lower = cheaper

P/B 2.01× · Priciest 25%
P/S (TTM) 2.71× · Pricier than median
P/FCF 14.8× · Priciest 25%
EV/EBITDA 10.0× · Pricier than median

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)35 · sector 15
FUTURE (revenue growth)37 · sector 0
PAST (return on equity)27 · sector 14
HEALTH (low debt)98 · sector 68
DIVIDEND (yield)0 · sector 47

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Utilities - Renewable stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
China Yangtze Power Co 600900 ¥28.08 ¥30.89 +10%
Ørsted A/S ORSTED kr 135.75 kr 31.40 −77%
Huaneng Lancang River Hydropower Inc 600025 ¥9.62 ¥4.45 −54%
Adani Green Energy Limited ADANIGREEN ₹1,301 ₹169.61 −87%
VERBUND AG VER €62.55 €56.60 −10%
BEP BEP $29.08 $70.40 +142%
Fortum Oyj FORTUM €23.56 €14.06 −40%
SDIC Power Holdings 600886 ¥14.30 ¥17.08 +19%
China Three Gorges Renewables (Group) Co 600905 ¥3.64 ¥2.40 −34%
EDP Renewables, S.A EDPR €13.22 €3.67 −72%

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Volt Power Group Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/VPR

Frequently asked questions

Is Volt Power Group Ltd (VPR) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 23, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of A$0.1265 versus a price of A$0.1250, about +1% upside (fairly valued).
What is the fair value of VPR?
Our model-based fair value for Volt Power Group Ltd is A$0.1265 (as of Sep 23, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: A$0.1250.
What is the quality score of VPR?
Volt Power Group Ltd has a Quality Score of 47/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Volt Power Group Ltd (VPR)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of A$0.1265 (as of Sep 23, 2026) from 24 valuation models. Cautious scenario A$0.0843, optimistic scenario A$0.1687. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Volt Power Group Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at A$0.1265, about +1% upside versus a price of A$0.1250 (fairly valued). Cautious scenario A$0.0843, optimistic scenario A$0.1687. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Volt Power Group Ltd (VPR)?
Volt Power Group Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about A$5.1M (latest available figure, as of Sep 23, 2026).
What growth is priced into Volt Power Group Ltd (VPR)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Volt Power Group Ltd would have to grow free cash flow by -4.1 % per year for five years (discount rate 9.5 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +22.1 % per year. As of Sep 23, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of VPR use?
Our models discount Volt Power Group Ltd at 9.5 %: a base by market capitalisation (nano), country premium for Australia. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Volt Power Group Ltd that is -4.1 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (9.5 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Volt Power Group Ltd (VPR) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Volt Power Group Ltd grew +22.1 % a year. The price currently implies -4.1 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Volt Power Group Ltd (VPR) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +0.7 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Volt Power Group Ltd (-4.1 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Volt Power Group Ltd (VPR)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 6.98 %: that much free cash flow Volt Power Group Ltd produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (9.5 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Volt Power Group Ltd (VPR)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Volt Power Group Ltd it is A$0.1265 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026), against a price of A$0.1250. It is the blended result of 24 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Volt Power Group Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 23, 2026, VPR trades below its calculated fair value: price A$0.1250, fair value A$0.1265, a gap of about +1% (fairly valued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of VPR?
No. The price is what the market pays today (A$0.1250); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (A$0.1265). For Volt Power Group Ltd the two are A$0.0015 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Volt Power Group Ltd worth?
The market values Volt Power Group Ltd at about A$19.6M (market capitalisation, as of Sep 23, 2026). Per share that is A$0.1250; our models calculate a fair value of A$0.1265 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about VPR?
Our models span a range for Volt Power Group Ltd: cautious scenario A$0.0843, base A$0.1265, optimistic A$0.1687 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026, price A$0.1250). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Volt Power Group Ltd (VPR)?
Balance-sheet figures for Volt Power Group Ltd (as of Sep 23, 2026): return on equity 6.8%, debt of 0.04 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 47/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is VPR from its 52-week high?
Volt Power Group Ltd trades at A$0.1250, about 31% below its 52-week high of A$0.1800 and 19% above the low of A$0.1050 (as of Sep 24, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of A$0.1265 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Volt Power Group Ltd?
From the same area (Utilities) we also value China Yangtze Power Co, Ørsted A/S, Huaneng Lancang River Hydropower Inc, Adani Green Energy Limited, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Volt Power Group Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 23, 2026: price A$0.1250, calculated fair value A$0.1265 (+1%), Quality Score 47/100, from 24 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of VPR calculated?
We run Volt Power Group Ltd through 24 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of A$0.1265, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.0 % above its aggregate fair value. Volt Power Group Ltd currently trades 1 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Volt Power Group Ltd (VPR)?
The closing price on Sep 24, 2026 was A$0.1250. Our model-based fair value is A$0.1265, about +1% upside (fairly valued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Volt Power Group Ltd right now?
The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension. A fairly wide model range (A$0.0843 to A$0.1687) leaves room in how you read the outcome. Evidence is limited here (fewer models, shorter history), so the fair value is a rougher estimate than usual.

Key figures of Volt Power Group Ltd

How large is the market capitalisation of Volt Power Group Ltd (VPR)?
The market capitalisation of Volt Power Group Ltd is A$19.6M (≈ $13.8M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Volt Power Group Ltd (VPR)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Volt Power Group Ltd is 3.85 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What is the net margin of Volt Power Group Ltd (VPR)?
The net margin of Volt Power Group Ltd is 8.9% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Volt Power Group Ltd (VPR)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Volt Power Group Ltd is 6.8% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Volt Power Group Ltd (VPR)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Volt Power Group Ltd is −1.6% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Volt Power Group Ltd (VPR)?
The operating margin of Volt Power Group Ltd is 24.8% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Volt Power Group Ltd (VPR)?
Revenue at Volt Power Group Ltd is growing +7.4% versus a year earlier (3y avg +16.1%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Volt Power Group Ltd (VPR)?
Earnings per share at Volt Power Group Ltd are growing −36.3% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net cash does Volt Power Group Ltd (VPR) hold?
Volt Power Group Ltd holds more cash than debt, A$4.3M net (fiscal year 2025). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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