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Volt Group (VPR) Fair Value & Analysis

Utilities · AU · Market cap A$19.6M

VG Volt Group VPR · AU
PriceA$0.1100
Fair ValueA$0.0500
Upside-54.6%
Quality47/100
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Mixed Growth
Thin margins · 8.9% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
Mixed vs. peers (7/12)
Moderate moat 52/100
Evidence: High Range A$0.0400 – A$0.0600 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 13, 2026

From 26 valuation models · updated 28 days ago

Share price −8.3% over the past month.

Below-average quality, and screening another 55% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (A$0.0600). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Solid but not exceptional quality (47/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

A$0.3500 A$0.1000 Fair Value A$0.0500 May 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 13, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range A$0.1000 – A$0.3500 · fair‑value band A$0.0400 – A$0.0600 · the A$0.1100 price screens above the A$0.0500 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 13, 2026.

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Analysis

Volt Group (VPR) currently trades at A$0.1100, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is A$0.0500, implying the stock looks roughly 54.6% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 47/100 (below-average quality), in the Utilities sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Over the trailing twelve months, Volt Group generated revenue of A$5.1M at a net margin of 8.9%. Revenue grew 7.4% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 6.8%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of A$4.3M. Fundamentals as of Jul 13, 2026

Our scenario range runs from A$0.0400 (bear case) to A$0.0600 (bull case); at A$0.1100, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 45% below its 52-week high and 5% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Utilities peers we cover trades at -30% fair-value upside, at -55%, VPR screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF A$0.0900 A$0.1300 A$0.1900 80
Residual Income A$0.0300 A$0.0300 A$0.0300 76
Rev-Margin DCF A$0.0600 A$0.0700 A$0.1000 74
All 26 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF A$0.1000 A$0.1200 A$0.2000 38
Owner Earnings A$0.0400 A$0.0500 A$0.0700 31
5Y Revenue Exit A$0.0600 A$0.0700 A$0.0900 39
5Y EBITDA Exit A$0.0800 A$0.1200 A$0.1800 41
5Y P/E Exit A$0.0800 A$0.1200 A$0.1800 38
10Y Revenue Exit A$0.0700 A$0.1000 A$0.1000 36
10Y EBITDA Exit A$0.0900 A$0.1400 A$0.2300 37
10Y P/E Exit A$0.0800 A$0.1300 A$0.2000 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd A$0.0200 A$0.1300 A$0.1800 54
Lynch FV A$0.0700 A$0.1000 A$0.1300 50
PEG = 1.0 A$0.0700 A$0.1000 A$0.1300 46
EPV A$0.0300 A$0.0300 A$0.0300 59
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM A$0.0200 A$0.0300 A$0.0400 70
DDM Multi-Stage A$0.0200 A$0.0300 A$0.0400 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple A$0.0400 A$0.0500 A$0.0600 63
P/S Multiple A$0.0400 A$0.0500 A$0.0600 58
P/B Multiple A$0.0400 A$0.0500 A$0.0600 55
EV/EBIT A$0.0400 A$0.0400 A$0.0400 53
EV/EBITDA A$0.0700 A$0.0900 A$0.1000 54
EV/Revenue A$0.0400 A$0.0400 A$0.0400 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) A$0.0200 A$0.0300 A$0.0400 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF A$0.0900 A$0.1300 A$0.1900 80
Rev-Margin DCF A$0.0600 A$0.0700 A$0.1000 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income A$0.0300 A$0.0300 A$0.0300 76
ROIC Compounder A$0.0300 A$0.0300 A$0.0300 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E A$0.0800 A$0.1200 A$0.1600 68

Widest divergence: DCF Models (A$0.1200) versus Dividend Discount (A$0.0300). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) A$5.1M
Revenue growth (YoY) +7.4%
Net margin 8.9%
Return on equity 6.8%
Free cash flow A$933K FY2025
Operating margin 24.8%
More key figures
EPS growth (YoY) -36.3%
Net cash A$4.3M FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 47/100

Of which business quality 50 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 23

Profitability 35
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 0
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 74
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 61
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 10
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 50
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 13
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 10
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 100
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Volt Group Limited, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the provision of power generation technology solutions in Australia and internationally.

Full company description

Volt Group Limited, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the provision of power generation technology solutions in Australia and internationally. It offers mobile solar powerbox towers compatible with LED lighting, as well as light and communications tower solutions, EcoQuip, a technology platform comprises a solar/battery energy storage system (BESS), and sophisticated power management and illumination solution; baseload electricity generation solutions that utilizes recovered low grade industrial waste heat as its energy source; and ATEN Waste Heat to Power system combined with alkaline water electrolyser, PEM electrolyser, or a solid oxide electrolyser. The company also provides LTE/WiFi repeater communication solutions; CCTV retrofit equipment; and proprietary W300 sample crusher for use in iron ore and assay laboratory industries. In addition, the company is involved in equipment leasing. It serves the resources and construction sectors. The company was formerly known as Volt Power Group Limited and changed its name to Volt Group Limited in June 2024. Volt Group Limited was incorporated in 1989 and is based in Kewdale, Australia.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Volt Group reported revenue of A$5.1M in FY2025 versus A$3.1M in FY2021, a compound +13.6%/yr. Reported net income was A$454K in FY2025, compounding −9.1%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 69/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
A$5.1M
Latest YoY
−8.3%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+16.1%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+22.1%
Avg. growth/yr (25Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+1.4%
Revenue +13.6%/yr
FY21 A$3.1M
FY22 A$3.3M
FY23 A$5.0M
FY24 A$5.6M
FY25 A$5.1M
Net income −9.1%/yr
FY21 A$664K
FY22 −A$345K
FY23 A$608K
FY24 A$1.4M
FY25 A$454K

VPR screens 55% overvalued. Compare with China Yangtze Power Co →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Volt Group Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/VPR

Peer Group

Utilities - Renewable · 220 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 47 · Above median
Fair Value upside −55% · Below median
Return on equity (TTM) 7% · Above median
Return on assets 3% · Above median
Net margin (TTM) 9% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM) 25% · Above median
Revenue growth 7% · Above median
Debt / equity 0.04× · Lower than 75% of peers

Valuation Multiples vs Utilities - Renewable median · lower = cheaper

P/B 2.01× · Pricier than median
P/S (TTM) 2.72× · Pricier than median
P/FCF 14.9× · Pricier than 75% of peers
EV/EBITDA 10.1× · Pricier than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 · sector 12
FUTURE 37 · sector 0
PAST 27 · sector 12
HEALTH 98 · sector 68
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 48

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Utilities - Renewable stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 13, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
China Yangtze Power Co 600900 ¥27.99 ¥25.13 -10%
Ørsted A/S ORSTED kr 149.70 kr 31.40 -79%
Huaneng Lancang River Hydropower Inc 600025 ¥9.81 ¥5.57 -43%
Adani Green Energy Limited ADANIGREEN ₹1,537 ₹170.50 -89%
AXIA Energia SA AXIAP $10.74 $9.65 -10%
VERBUND AG OEWA €58.65 €66.19 +13%
BEP BEP $32.33 $73.35 +127%
BEPUN BEPUN C$44.56 C$10.15 -77%
Fortum Oyj FORTUM €19.89 €13.90 -30%
China Longyuan Power Group 001289 ¥16.21 ¥8.23 -49%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Volt Group (VPR) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 13, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of A$0.0500 versus a price of A$0.1100, about −55% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of VPR?
Our model-based fair value for Volt Group is A$0.0500 (as of Jul 13, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is A$0.1100.
What is the quality score of VPR?
Volt Group has a Quality Score of 47/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Volt Group (VPR)?
Volt Group reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about A$5.1M (latest available figure, as of Jul 13, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of VPR?
The net profit margin of Volt Group is about 8.9%, meaning it keeps roughly 8.9% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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