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Volt Power Group Ltd (VPR) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Nov 6, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of Volt Power Group Ltd stock A$0.04, price A$0.10, that is 56.0% below the price, quality 39 out of 100. Rating: strongly overvalued. Calculated from audited financials with 24 of our 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

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Utilities AU · ISIN AU000000VPR1

VP Volt Power Group Ltd logo Thin data Nov 7, 2026

Volt Power Group Ltd

VPR · AU
Very expensive, weak quality

Our calculation puts a fair price 56% below what the stock costs today.

Solidly profitable · 18.3% net margin (TTM)
Low debt
Generates free cash flow
Ranks above peers (8/13)
Revenue last quarter +122% vs. a year ago.
Mixed Growth (revenue 5y +22.1 %/yr in AUD)
Moderate moat 54/100 · thin data
Fair value A$0.0440 · Strongly overvalued
Quality 39/100
Thin data
⚠ Dilution⚠ Thinly traded
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What runs behind every stock

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

A$0.3500 A$0.0960 Fair Value A$0.0440 Aug 2021 Nov 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Nov 7, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range A$0.0960 – A$0.3500 · fair‑value band A$0.0359 – A$0.0521 · the A$0.1000 price screens above the A$0.0440 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). As of Nov 7, 2026.

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Company profile

Volt Group Limited, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the provision of power generation technology solutions in Australia and internationally.

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It offers mobile solar powerbox towers compatible with LED lighting, as well as light and communications tower solutions, EcoQuip, a technology platform comprises a solar/battery energy storage system (BESS), and sophisticated power management and illumination solution; baseload electricity generation solutions that utilizes recovered low grade industrial waste heat as its energy source; and ATEN Waste Heat to Power system combined with alkaline water electrolyser, PEM electrolyser, or a solid oxide electrolyser.

The company also provides LTE/WiFi repeater communication solutions; CCTV retrofit equipment; and proprietary W300 sample crusher for use in iron ore and assay laboratory industries. In addition, the company is involved in equipment leasing. It serves the resources and construction sectors.

The company was formerly known as Volt Power Group Limited and changed its name to Volt Group Limited in June 2024. Volt Group Limited was incorporated in 1989 and is based in Kewdale, Australia.

Stock analysis

Volt Power Group Ltd (VPR) currently trades at A$0.1000, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is A$0.0440, 56% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of A$0.0950 per share, and 2 of the 24 models we run sit above the A$0.1000 price.

Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at A$0.0100, and 22 of the 24 models stay below the price. Data coverage for this calculation is low.

Scenario range: A$0.0359 (bear) to A$0.0521 (bull), the price of A$0.1000 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 39/100 (below-average quality), in the Utilities sector.

Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.

Volt Power Group Ltd reported revenue of A$5.1M in FY2025 versus A$3.1M in FY2021, a compound +13.6%/yr. Reported net income was A$454K in FY2025, compounding −9.1%/yr from FY2021.

Key figures

Market cap A$16.1M (≈ $11.1M) Micro · P/E ratio 10.0 · P/S ratio 2.09 · EPS (TTM) A$0.0100 · Net margin 18.3% · Return on equity 13.2% · Return on assets (EBIT) −1.6% (5-year average) · Operating margin 10.2%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 54 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 44% below its 52-week high and 4% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Utilities peers we cover trades at −52% fair-value upside, at −56%, VPR screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear A$0.0359 Fair Value A$0.0440 Bull A$0.0521
Price A$0.1000 · Downside -56.0%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 10 months old). Earnings retained since then (A$0.0086 per share) are deliberately not added. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds. Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Best data coverage
FCF DCF A$0.0900 A$0.1200 A$0.1600 81
Growth DCF A$0.0900 A$0.1200 A$0.1500 80
Owner Earnings A$0.0700 A$0.0900 A$0.1200 78
All 24 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF A$0.0900 A$0.1200 A$0.1600 81
Owner Earnings A$0.0700 A$0.0900 A$0.1200 78
5Y Revenue Exit A$0.0600 A$0.0600 A$0.0700 74
5Y EBITDA Exit A$0.0800 A$0.1000 A$0.1300 77
5Y P/E Exit A$0.0700 A$0.0900 A$0.1100 72
10Y Revenue Exit A$0.0700 A$0.0800 A$0.0900 68
10Y EBITDA Exit A$0.0800 A$0.1000 A$0.1300 70
10Y P/E Exit A$0.0800 A$0.1000 A$0.1200 65
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd A$0.0200 A$0.0500 A$0.0700 65
Lynch FV A$0.0100 A$0.0100 A$0.0200 59
PEG = 1.0 A$0.0100 A$0.0100 A$0.0200 55
EPV A$0.0400 A$0.0400 A$0.0400 74
Multiples
P/E Multiple A$0.0400 A$0.0500 A$0.0600 63
P/S Multiple A$0.0400 A$0.0500 A$0.0600 58
P/B Multiple A$0.0500 A$0.0700 A$0.0900 55
EV/EBIT A$0.0400 A$0.0400 A$0.0400 66
EV/EBITDA A$0.0700 A$0.0900 A$0.1000 67
EV/Revenue A$0.0300 A$0.0400 A$0.0400 54
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) A$0.0100 A$0.0100 A$0.0100 55
Growth DCF
Growth DCF A$0.0900 A$0.1200 A$0.1500 80
Rev-Margin DCF A$0.0600 A$0.0600 A$0.0700 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income A$0.0300 A$0.0300 A$0.0400 71
ROIC Compounder A$0.0400 A$0.0400 A$0.0400 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E A$0.0300 A$0.0400 A$0.0600 67

The fair value above starts from this blend and is adjusted for dilution from new shares.

Open the full fair value analysis →

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 39/100

It rates the business: profits, how they develop, real cash, balance sheet, investing and share count.

Profitability 35
How much profit the company makes from its sales and capital
Quality Growth 0
Are margins and returns getting better?
Cashflow 74
Do the profits arrive as real cash?
Financial strength 61
Debt, balance sheet and risk of trouble
Investment 10
Does it invest with discipline instead of growing at any price?
Low Volatility 50
How calm the share price moves, does not count
Price momentum 18
Price momentum of the last 3 to 12 months, does not count
Near the 52-week high 2
Distance to the 52-week high, does not count
New shares 50
Buys back shares or issues new ones?

Open the full quality analysis →

Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 79/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Revenue growth 1 year
−8.3%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+16.1%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+22.1%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +29.6% a year
Revenue growth 25 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+1.4%
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
−51.9% (2020) → 2.9% (2025)

Growth Forecast

Little optimism in the price
The price assumes less growth than the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+0.7%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
After inflation (Australia: IMF forecast 3.0% a year to 2030, 2.9% from 2016 to 2025) that is about −2.2% a year for the price.

VPR screens overvalued: fair value 56% below the price. Compare with China Yangtze Power Co →

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Utilities - Renewable · 196 stocks

Beats the industry median on 8/13 measures
Overall it ranks above its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 39 · Below median
Fair Value upside −56.0% · Below median
Profitability
Return on equity (12 months) 13.2% · Top 25%
Return on assets 4.1% · Top 25%
Net margin (12 months) 18.3% · Above median
Operating margin (12 months) 10.2% · Below median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY) 122.3% · Top 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 0.04× · Lowest 25%

Valuation Multiplesvs Utilities - Renewable median · lower = cheaper

P/E (12 months) 10.0× · Cheapest 25%
P/B 2.35× · Priciest 25%
P/S (12 months) 2.09× · Cheaper than median
Price / free cash flow (fiscal year) 17.3× · Pricier than median
EV/EBITDA 7.2× · Cheaper than median

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0 · sector 15
FUTURE (revenue growth)100 · sector 15
PAST (return on equity)53 · sector 12
HEALTH (low debt)98 · sector 70
DIVIDEND (yield)0 · sector 47

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Utilities - Renewable stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value Compare
BEP BEP $31.14 $72.13 +132% vs VPR
China Yangtze Power Co 600900 ¥29.91 ¥32.21 +8% vs VPR
SDIC Power Holdings 600886 ¥15.81 ¥17.01 +8% vs VPR
VERBUND AG VER €72.70 €66.45 −9% vs VPR
Fortum Oyj FORTUM €23.19 €11.12 −52% vs VPR
Huaneng Lancang River Hydropower Inc 600025 ¥10.97 ¥4.45 −59% vs VPR
Public Power Corporation PPC €23.14 €6.43 −72% vs VPR
EDP Renewables, S.A EDPR €14.49 €3.67 −75% vs VPR
Ørsted A/S ORSTED kr 148.70 kr 33.25 −78% vs VPR
Adani Green Energy Limited ADANIGREEN ₹1,424 ₹170.50 −88% vs VPR

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Volt Power Group Ltd: fair value per Fair Value Calculator

Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Volt Power Group Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/VPR

Frequently asked questions

Is Volt Power Group Ltd (VPR) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Nov 7, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of A$0.0440 versus a price of A$0.1000, about 56% lower (overvalued).
What is the fair value of VPR?
Our model-based fair value for Volt Power Group Ltd is A$0.0440 (as of Nov 7, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: A$0.1000.
What is the quality score of VPR?
Volt Power Group Ltd has a Quality Score of 39/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Volt Power Group Ltd (VPR)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of A$0.0440 (as of Nov 7, 2026) from 24 valuation models. Cautious scenario A$0.0359, optimistic scenario A$0.0521. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Volt Power Group Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at A$0.0440, about 56% lower versus a price of A$0.1000 (overvalued). Cautious scenario A$0.0359, optimistic scenario A$0.0521. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Volt Power Group Ltd (VPR)?
Volt Power Group Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about A$7.7M (latest available figure, as of Nov 7, 2026).
What growth is priced into Volt Power Group Ltd (VPR)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Volt Power Group Ltd would have to grow free cash flow by +0.7 % per year for five years (discount rate 9.5 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +22.1 % per year. As of Nov 7, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of VPR use?
Our models discount Volt Power Group Ltd at 9.5 %: a base by market capitalisation (nano), country premium for Australia. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Volt Power Group Ltd that is +0.7 % per year for five years, then slowing evenly to 2 % by year ten, using the same discount rate (9.5 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Volt Power Group Ltd (VPR) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Volt Power Group Ltd grew +22.1 % a year. The price currently implies free-cash-flow growth of +0.7 % per year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Volt Power Group Ltd (VPR) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +4.8 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Volt Power Group Ltd (+0.7 % per year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Volt Power Group Ltd (VPR)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 5.78 %: that much free cash flow Volt Power Group Ltd produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (9.5 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Volt Power Group Ltd (VPR)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Volt Power Group Ltd it is A$0.0440 per share (as of Nov 7, 2026), against a price of A$0.1000. It is the blended result of 24 valuation models in 7 families (DCF Models, Earnings-Based, Multiples, Asset-Based, Growth DCF, Economic Profit, Growth Earnings).
Is Volt Power Group Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Nov 7, 2026, VPR trades above its calculated fair value: price A$0.1000, fair value A$0.0440, a gap of about −56% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of VPR?
No. The price is what the market pays today (A$0.1000); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (A$0.0440). For Volt Power Group Ltd the two are A$0.0560 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Volt Power Group Ltd worth?
The market values Volt Power Group Ltd at about A$16.1M (market capitalisation, as of Nov 7, 2026). Per share that is A$0.1000; our models calculate a fair value of A$0.0440 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about VPR?
Our models span a range for Volt Power Group Ltd: cautious scenario A$0.0359, base A$0.0440, optimistic A$0.0521 per share (as of Nov 7, 2026, price A$0.1000). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of VPR?
Volt Power Group Ltd trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 10.0 (as of Nov 7, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of A$0.0440 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 2.4, P/S 2.1, EV/EBITDA 7.2.
How solid is the balance sheet of Volt Power Group Ltd (VPR)?
Balance-sheet figures for Volt Power Group Ltd (as of Nov 7, 2026): return on equity 13.2%, debt of 0.04 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 39/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is VPR from its 52-week high?
Volt Power Group Ltd trades at A$0.1000, about 44% below its 52-week high of A$0.1800 and 4% above the low of A$0.0960 (as of Nov 6, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of A$0.0440 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Volt Power Group Ltd?
From the same area (Utilities) we also value China Yangtze Power Co, Ørsted A/S, Huaneng Lancang River Hydropower Inc, VERBUND AG, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Volt Power Group Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Nov 7, 2026: price A$0.1000, calculated fair value A$0.0440 (−56%), Quality Score 39/100, from 24 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of VPR calculated?
We run Volt Power Group Ltd through 24 models from 7 families: DCF Models, Earnings-Based, Multiples, Asset-Based, Growth DCF, Economic Profit, Growth Earnings. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the fair value of A$0.0440 builds on their evidence-weighted average, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.3% above its aggregate fair value. Volt Power Group Ltd itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Volt Power Group Ltd (VPR)?
The closing price on Nov 6, 2026 was A$0.1000. Our model-based fair value is A$0.0440, about 56% lower (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Volt Power Group Ltd right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (A$0.0521). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (39/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.

Key figures of Volt Power Group Ltd

How large is the market capitalisation of Volt Power Group Ltd (VPR)?
The market capitalisation of Volt Power Group Ltd is A$16.1M (≈ $11.1M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Volt Power Group Ltd (VPR)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Volt Power Group Ltd is 2.09 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Volt Power Group Ltd (VPR)?
Earnings per share at Volt Power Group Ltd are A$0.0100 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 10.0). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Volt Power Group Ltd (VPR)?
The net margin of Volt Power Group Ltd is 18.3% (last twelve months). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Volt Power Group Ltd (VPR)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Volt Power Group Ltd is 13.2% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Volt Power Group Ltd (VPR)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Volt Power Group Ltd is −1.6% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Volt Power Group Ltd (VPR)?
The operating margin of Volt Power Group Ltd is 10.2% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Volt Power Group Ltd (VPR)?
Revenue at Volt Power Group Ltd is growing +122% versus a year earlier (3y avg +16.1%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Volt Power Group Ltd (VPR)?
Earnings per share at Volt Power Group Ltd are growing −36.3% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net cash does Volt Power Group Ltd (VPR) hold?
Volt Power Group Ltd holds more cash than debt, A$4.3M net (fiscal year 2025). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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