Vraj Iron and Steel Ltd (VRAJ) Fair Value & Analysis
Basic Materials · IN · Market cap ₹3.8B
Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026
From 14 valuation models · updated 4 days ago
Fair value updated Aug 13, 2026, revised from ₹173.57 to ₹164.92 (−5.0%) since Aug 8, 2026. Share price −10.1% over the past month.
Below-average quality, screening 36% undervalued on our models.
What matters now
- The large discount to fair value meets weak quality (30/100). That raises the risk this is a value trap rather than a bargain.
- Our model range runs from ₹123.69 (bear) to ₹206.16 (bull), base ₹164.92. The closer the price sits to the lower half, the larger the margin of safety.
- Quality 30/100 (below-average quality) with medium evidence: read the verdict with care.
Price vs Fair Value (2 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
How to read this chart
25‑month range ₹94.67 – ₹282.27 · fair‑value band ₹123.69 – ₹206.16 · the ₹121.50 price screens below the ₹164.92 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
Analysis
Vraj Iron and Steel Ltd (VRAJ) currently trades at ₹121.50, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ₹164.92, implying the stock looks roughly 35.7% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 30/100 (below-average quality), in the Basic Materials sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: medium), always confirm before acting.
Over the trailing twelve months, Vraj Iron and Steel Ltd generated revenue of ₹5.9B at a net margin of 5.4%. Revenue grew 11.2% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 7.7%. Net debt stands at ₹370M. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026
Our scenario range runs from ₹123.69 (bear case) to ₹206.16 (bull case); at ₹121.50, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 32% below its 52-week high and 31% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at -22% fair-value upside, at 36%, VRAJ screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 14 models by family
Widest divergence: Growth Earnings (₹248.20) versus Economic Profit (₹64.74). Highest evidence: ROIC Compounder (72).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 36 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 37
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Vraj Iron and Steel Limited engages in the manufacture and sale of sponge iron, MS billets, TMT bars and others related items under the Vraj brand primarily in India. It sells its products directly, as well as through brokers and dealers to industrial customers and end-users. The company was incorporated in 2004 and is based in Raipur, India.
Full company description
Vraj Iron and Steel Limited engages in the manufacture and sale of sponge iron, MS billets, TMT bars and others related items under the Vraj brand primarily in India. It sells its products directly, as well as through brokers and dealers to industrial customers and end-users. The company was incorporated in 2004 and is based in Raipur, India. Vraj Iron and Steel Limited is a subsidiary of Gopal Sponge and Power Private Limited.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2022 – FY2026 · reported fiscal years
Vraj Iron and Steel Ltd reported revenue of ₹5.9B in FY2026 versus ₹4.1B in FY2022, a compound +9.2%/yr. Reported net income was ₹320M in FY2026, compounding +2.8%/yr from FY2022.
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Peer Group
Steel · 380 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Steel median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Steel stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| JSW Steel Limited JSWSTEEL | ₹1,269 | ₹1,140 | -10% |
| Tata Steel Limited TATASTEEL | ₹186.20 | ₹145.39 | -22% |
| China Steel Corporation 2002A | 37.25 TWD | 8.74 TWD | -77% |
| POSCO Holdings 005490 | 325,000 KRW | 155,270 KRW | -52% |
| Companhia Siderúrgica Nacional, SID | 13,670 ARS | 15,838 ARS | +16% |
| Jindal Steel Limited JINDALSTEL | ₹1,112 | ₹516.27 | -54% |
| Lloyds Metals and Energy Limited LLOYDSME | ₹1,894 | ₹771.10 | -59% |
| Gerdau S.A GGBN | 83.50 MXN | 39.22 MXN | -53% |
| Ternium S.A TXR | 17,780 ARS | 27,472 ARS | +55% |
| NMDC Limited NMDC | ₹85.00 | ₹112.98 | +33% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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