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Venturex Resources Ltd (Australia) (VTEXF) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Sep 18, 2026: fair value of Venturex Resources Ltd (Australia) $2.22, price $3.48, upside -36.2%, quality 34 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? No
  2. Good quality? No
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Basic Materials · US · Home Australia · ISIN AU000000VXR5

VR Venturex Resources Ltd (Australia) logo Thin data Sep 23, 2026

Venturex Resources Ltd (Australia)

VTEXF · US

Weakest SetupStrongly overvalued and low quality.

!Fair value $2.22 · Strongly overvalued (−36%)
!Quality 34/100
!Expensive Growth (revenue 3y +271.6 %/yr)
✓Highly profitable · 24.9% net margin (TTM)
!negative free cash flow
!Mixed vs. peers (4/10)
!Moderate moat 46/100
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain
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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

$3.85 $0.7604 Fair Value $2.22 Jun 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $0.7604 – $3.85 · fair‑value band $1.67 – $2.77 · the $3.48 price screens above the $2.22 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.

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Company profile

Develop Global Limited, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the exploration and development of mineral resource properties in Australia. It primarily explores for copper, zinc, lead, silver, gold, and lithium deposits.

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Develop Global Limited, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the exploration and development of mineral resource properties in Australia. It primarily explores for copper, zinc, lead, silver, gold, and lithium deposits. The company holds interest in the Sulphur Springs project that includes Sulphur Springs and Kangaroo Caves deposits and tenements; the Woodlawn Zinc-Copper Project is located at Lachlan Fold belt in New South Wales; and the Pioneer Dome Lithium Project covering approximately an area of 389 square kilometer located in the south of Kalgoorlie and north of the Esperance port. It also provides underground mining services. The company was formerly known as Venturex Resources Limited and changed its name to Develop Global Limited in October 2021. Develop Global Limited was incorporated in 2006 and is headquartered in West Leederville, Australia.

Stock analysis

Venturex Resources Ltd (Australia) (VTEXF) currently trades at $3.48, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $2.22, implying the stock looks roughly 56.8% overvalued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the Growth Earnings group reads highest at a median of $9.45 per share, and 6 of the 9 models we run sit above the $3.48 price.

Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at $1.28, and 3 of the 9 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.

Scenario range: $1.67 (bear) to $2.77 (bull), the price of $3.48 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 34/100 (below-average quality), in the Basic Materials sector.

Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.

Venturex Resources Ltd (Australia) reported revenue of A$231M in FY2025 versus A$4.5M in FY2022, a compound +271.6%/yr. Reported net income was A$72.4M in FY2025.

Key figures

Market cap $1.2B · P/E ratio 18.3 · P/S ratio 5.73 · EPS (TTM) $0.1900 · Net margin 31.3% · Return on equity 14.8% · Return on assets (EBIT) −33.7% · Operating margin −2.6%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 48 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 10% below its 52-week high and 83% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at 10% fair-value upside, at −36%, VTEXF screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear $1.67 Fair Value $2.22 Bull $2.77
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 12 months old). Earnings retained since then ($0.1900 per share) are deliberately not added. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
Residual Income $1.64 $1.83 $2.76 65
P/E Multiple $2.80 $3.73 $4.66 63
Growth-Adj P/E $6.61 $9.45 $12.28 63
All 9 models by family
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd $1.49 $10.40 $14.60 59
Lynch FV $5.37 $7.68 $9.98 57
PEG = 1.0 $5.37 $7.68 $9.98 53
Multiples
P/E Multiple $2.80 $3.73 $4.66 63
P/S Multiple $0.7900 $1.05 $1.32 58
P/B Multiple $2.80 $3.73 $4.66 55
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $0.9600 $1.28 $1.91 51
Economic Profit
Residual Income $1.64 $1.83 $2.76 65
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E $6.61 $9.45 $12.28 63

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 34/100

Of which business quality 37 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 56

Profitability 49
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 79
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 0
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 80
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 0
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 27
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 57
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 91
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 0
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 62/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Revenue growth 1 year
+57.2%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+271.6%
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
−202.8% (2022) → −1.2% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: no profitable base year
not computed

VTEXF screens 57% overvalued. Compare with Saudi Arabian Mining Company →

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Other Industrial Metals & Mining · 456 stocks

Beats the industry median on 4/10 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 34 · Below median
Fair Value upside −36% · Below median
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM) 15% · Top 25%
Return on assets −1% · Above median
Net margin (TTM) 25% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM) −3% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth 54% · Top 25%

Valuation Multiplesvs Other Industrial Metals & Mining median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 18.3× · Pricier than median
P/B 1.92× · Pricier than median
P/S (TTM) 4.11× · Pricier than median

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0 · sector 0
FUTURE (revenue growth)100 · sector 36
PAST (return on equity)59 · sector 0
HEALTH (low debt)0 · sector 96
DIVIDEND (yield)0 · sector 29

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Other Industrial Metals & Mining stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Saudi Arabian Mining Company 1211 62.70 SAR 68.97 SAR +10%
CMOC Group 603993 ¥17.66 ¥20.07 +14%
China Tungsten And Hightech Materials Co 000657 ¥60.26 ¥31.23 −48%
Hindustan Zinc Limited HINDZINC ₹595.45 ₹655.00 +10%
Western Mining Co 601168 ¥36.77 ¥40.45 +10%
Korea Zinc Company 010130 1,116,000 KRW 646,063 KRW −42%
Xiamen Tungsten Co 600549 ¥49.34 ¥24.75 −50%
PLS Group PLS A$4.18 A$6.65 +59%
Jinduicheng Molybdenum Co 601958 ¥20.99 ¥12.24 −42%
Zhejiang Huayou Cobalt Co 603799 ¥36.66 ¥54.86 +50%

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Venturex Resources Ltd (Australia) · Fair Value
$2.22 −57%Fair Value
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Venturex Resources Ltd (Australia) Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/VTEXF

Frequently asked questions

Is Venturex Resources Ltd (Australia) (VTEXF) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 23, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $2.22 versus a price of $3.48, about −36% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of VTEXF?
Our model-based fair value for Venturex Resources Ltd (Australia) is $2.22 (as of Sep 23, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $3.48.
What is the quality score of VTEXF?
Venturex Resources Ltd (Australia) has a Quality Score of 34/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Venturex Resources Ltd (Australia) (VTEXF)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $2.22 (as of Sep 23, 2026) from 9 valuation models. Cautious scenario $1.67, optimistic scenario $2.77. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Venturex Resources Ltd (Australia) stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $2.22, about −36% upside versus a price of $3.48 (overvalued). Cautious scenario $1.67, optimistic scenario $2.77. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Venturex Resources Ltd (Australia) (VTEXF)?
Venturex Resources Ltd (Australia) reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about A$294M (latest available figure, as of Sep 23, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Venturex Resources Ltd (Australia) (VTEXF)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Venturex Resources Ltd (Australia) it is $2.22 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026), against a price of $3.48. It is the blended result of 9 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Venturex Resources Ltd (Australia) stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 23, 2026, VTEXF trades above its calculated fair value: price $3.48, fair value $2.22, a gap of about −36% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of VTEXF?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($3.48); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($2.22). For Venturex Resources Ltd (Australia) the two are $1.26 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Venturex Resources Ltd (Australia) worth?
The market values Venturex Resources Ltd (Australia) at about $1.2B (market capitalisation, as of Sep 23, 2026). Per share that is $3.48; our models calculate a fair value of $2.22 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about VTEXF?
Our models span a range for Venturex Resources Ltd (Australia): cautious scenario $1.67, base $2.22, optimistic $2.77 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026, price $3.48). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of VTEXF?
Venturex Resources Ltd (Australia) trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 18.3 (as of Sep 23, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of $2.22 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 1.9, P/S 4.1.
How solid is the balance sheet of Venturex Resources Ltd (Australia) (VTEXF)?
Balance-sheet figures for Venturex Resources Ltd (Australia) (as of Sep 23, 2026): return on equity 14.8%. They feed the Quality Score of 34/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is VTEXF from its 52-week high?
Venturex Resources Ltd (Australia) trades at $3.48, about 10% below its 52-week high of $3.85 and 83% above the low of $1.90 (as of Sep 18, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $2.22 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Venturex Resources Ltd (Australia)?
From the same area (Basic Materials) we also value Saudi Arabian Mining Company, CMOC Group, China Tungsten And Hightech Materials Co, Hindustan Zinc Limited, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Venturex Resources Ltd (Australia) stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 23, 2026: price $3.48, calculated fair value $2.22 (−36%), Quality Score 34/100, from 9 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of VTEXF calculated?
We run Venturex Resources Ltd (Australia) through 9 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $2.22, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.1 % above its aggregate fair value. Venturex Resources Ltd (Australia) itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Venturex Resources Ltd (Australia) (VTEXF)?
The closing price on Sep 18, 2026 was $3.48. Our model-based fair value is $2.22, about −36% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Venturex Resources Ltd (Australia) right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($2.77). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (34/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.

Key figures of Venturex Resources Ltd (Australia)

How large is the market capitalisation of Venturex Resources Ltd (Australia) (VTEXF)?
The market capitalisation of Venturex Resources Ltd (Australia) is $1.2B. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Venturex Resources Ltd (Australia) (VTEXF)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Venturex Resources Ltd (Australia) is 5.73 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Venturex Resources Ltd (Australia) (VTEXF)?
Earnings per share at Venturex Resources Ltd (Australia) are $0.1900 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 18.3). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Venturex Resources Ltd (Australia) (VTEXF)?
The net margin of Venturex Resources Ltd (Australia) is 31.3% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Venturex Resources Ltd (Australia) (VTEXF)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Venturex Resources Ltd (Australia) is 14.8% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Venturex Resources Ltd (Australia) (VTEXF)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Venturex Resources Ltd (Australia) is −33.7% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Venturex Resources Ltd (Australia) (VTEXF)?
The operating margin of Venturex Resources Ltd (Australia) is −2.6% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Venturex Resources Ltd (Australia) (VTEXF)?
Revenue at Venturex Resources Ltd (Australia) is growing +53.7% versus a year earlier (3y avg +272%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Venturex Resources Ltd (Australia) (VTEXF)?
Earnings per share at Venturex Resources Ltd (Australia) are growing +17.1% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Venturex Resources Ltd (Australia) (VTEXF) generate?
The free cash flow of Venturex Resources Ltd (Australia) is −A$60.3M (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
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