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Vertex Resource Group Ltd (VTXGF) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Sep 25, 2026: fair value of Vertex Resource Group Ltd $0.16, price $0.13, upside +26.5%, quality 43 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? Yes
  2. Good quality? No
  3. Add to watchlist

Industrials · US

VR Vertex Resource Group Ltd logo Thin data Sep 24, 2026

Vertex Resource Group Ltd

VTXGF · US

SpeculativeUpside exists, but weak quality makes the signal speculative.

✓Fair value $0.1645 · Undervalued (+26.5%)
!Quality 43/100
!Weak Growth (revenue 3y −5.1 %/yr)
!Loss-making · -6.2% net margin (TTM)
✓Moderate debt · generates free cash flow
!Mixed vs. peers (5/12)
!Narrow moat 12/100
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain
!Weak on balance sheet: 25 out of 100

What runs behind every stock

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

$0.3500 $0.1262 Fair Value $0.1645 Feb 2025 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.

How to read this chart

19‑month range $0.1262 – $0.3500 · fair‑value band $0.1109 – $0.2487 · the $0.1300 price screens below the $0.1645 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.

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Company profile

Vertex Resource Group Ltd. provides environmental and industrial services in Canada and the United States. The company operates through the Environmental Consulting and Environmental Services segments.

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Vertex Resource Group Ltd. provides environmental and industrial services in Canada and the United States. The company operates through the Environmental Consulting and Environmental Services segments. The Environmental Consulting segment offers planning and regulatory approvals, site assessments and monitoring, geotechnical and civil engineering, wildlife management, reclamation, remediation, groundwater monitoring, drilling waste, gas migration, emissions testing and reporting, and sub-surface engineering services; advisory services, including estimating, project controls, and facility engineering; land and regulatory services; emergency spill response services; abandonment, completion, and drilling engineering; and geographical information services, and mapping and drone services to various industries, including governments, industry, and commercial clients. The Environmental Services segment provides fluid hauling trailers, trucks, and related equipment to handle, haul, and manage fluids, including drilling, completion, and production fluids for oil and NGL, petrochemical, condensate, butane, propane, and other industrial customers. This segment also offers fluid management; hydro-excavating and vacuum services; pressure and steam truck services; industrial cleaning, high-pressure water blasting, and chemical cleaning services; waste management and recycling; and site services, including surface rentals. It serves energy, mining, utilities, forestry, private development, public infrastructure, telecommunications, and government sectors. Vertex Resource Group Ltd. was founded in 1962 and is headquartered in Sherwood Park, Canada.

Stock analysis

Vertex Resource Group Ltd (VTXGF) currently trades at $0.1300, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $0.1645, implying the stock looks roughly 21.0% undervalued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the Growth DCF group reads highest at a median of $0.9900 per share, and 11 of the 11 models we run sit above the $0.1300 price.

Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at $0.1900, and 0 of the 11 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.

Scenario range: $0.1109 (bear) to $0.2487 (bull), the price of $0.1300 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 43/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector.

Weak Growth: Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.

Vertex Resource Group Ltd reported revenue of C$220M in FY2025 versus C$185M in FY2021, a compound +4.4%/yr. Reported net income was −C$13.3M in FY2025.

Key figures

Market cap $16.8M · P/S ratio 0.08 · EPS (TTM) $−0.0800 · Net margin −6.1% · Return on equity −24.2% · Return on assets (EBIT) 3.8% · Operating margin 0.1% · Revenue (TTM) C$201M.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 32 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 38% below its 52-week high and 3% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at −18% fair-value upside, at 27%, VTXGF screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear $0.1109 Fair Value $0.1645 Bull $0.2487
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
FCF DCF $0.8400 $1.30 $2.13 75
Growth DCF $0.8900 $1.34 $2.07 74
5Y EBITDA Exit $0.8400 $1.43 $2.21 71
All 11 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF $0.8400 $1.30 $2.13 75
Owner Earnings $0.0900 $0.2800 $0.6300 66
5Y Revenue Exit $0.5700 $0.9600 $1.53 68
5Y EBITDA Exit $0.8400 $1.43 $2.21 71
10Y Revenue Exit $0.6500 $0.9400 $1.26 64
10Y EBITDA Exit $0.8300 $1.22 $1.64 66
Multiples
EV/EBITDA $1.05 $1.54 $2.03 66
EV/Revenue $0.4600 $0.8500 $1.23 52
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $0.1500 $0.1900 $0.2900 54
Growth DCF
Growth DCF $0.8900 $1.34 $2.07 74
Rev-Margin DCF $0.5700 $0.9900 $1.52 68

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 43/100

Of which business quality 42 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 34

Profitability 26
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 25
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 44
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 9
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 96
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 75
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 25
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 2
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 87
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 18/100
Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.
Revenue growth 1 year
−5.4%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−5.1%
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
3.6% (2021) → −0.7% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Waste Management · 162 stocks

Beats the industry median on 5/11 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 43 · Below median
Fair Value upside +26.5% · Above median
Profitability
Return on assets −0.2% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) −6.2% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 0.1% · Below median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth −3.9% · Below median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 1.50× · Highest 25%

Valuation Multiplesvs Waste Management median · lower = cheaper

P/B 0.36× · Cheapest 25%
P/S (TTM) 0.08× · Cheapest 25%
P/FCF 1.1× · Cheapest 25%
EV/EBITDA 4.6× · Cheapest 25%

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)69 · sector 26
FUTURE (revenue growth)0 · sector 24
PAST (return on equity)0 · sector 28
HEALTH (low debt)25 · sector 81
DIVIDEND (yield)0 · sector 44

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Waste Management stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Waste Management, Inc WM $206.83 $227.51 +10%
Republic Services, Inc RSG $212.10 $128.63 −39%
Waste Connections, Inc WCN $155.56 $171.12 +10%
Veolia Environnement SA VIE €31.36 €20.32 −35%
Clean Harbors, Inc CLH $313.04 $155.54 −50%
GFL Environmental Inc GFL $42.27 $34.54 −18%
Umicore SA UMI €21.40 €25.28 +18%
Fomento de Construcciones y Contratas, S.A FCC €10.72 €7.30 −32%
Casella Waste Systems, Inc CWST $82.24 $14.82 −82%
GEM Co 002340 ¥6.12 ¥5.27 −14%

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Vertex Resource Group Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/VTXGF

Frequently asked questions

Is Vertex Resource Group Ltd (VTXGF) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $0.1645 versus a price of $0.1300, about +27% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of VTXGF?
Our model-based fair value for Vertex Resource Group Ltd is $0.1645 (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $0.1300.
What is the quality score of VTXGF?
Vertex Resource Group Ltd has a Quality Score of 43/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Vertex Resource Group Ltd (VTXGF)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $0.1645 (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 11 valuation models. Cautious scenario $0.1109, optimistic scenario $0.2487. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Vertex Resource Group Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $0.1645, about +27% upside versus a price of $0.1300 (undervalued). Cautious scenario $0.1109, optimistic scenario $0.2487. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Vertex Resource Group Ltd (VTXGF)?
Vertex Resource Group Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about C$201M (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Vertex Resource Group Ltd (VTXGF)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Vertex Resource Group Ltd it is $0.1645 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of $0.1300. It is the blended result of 11 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Vertex Resource Group Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, VTXGF trades below its calculated fair value: price $0.1300, fair value $0.1645, a gap of about +27% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of VTXGF?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($0.1300); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($0.1645). For Vertex Resource Group Ltd the two are $0.0345 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Vertex Resource Group Ltd worth?
The market values Vertex Resource Group Ltd at about $16.8M (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is $0.1300; our models calculate a fair value of $0.1645 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about VTXGF?
Our models span a range for Vertex Resource Group Ltd: cautious scenario $0.1109, base $0.1645, optimistic $0.2487 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price $0.1300). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Vertex Resource Group Ltd (VTXGF)?
Balance-sheet figures for Vertex Resource Group Ltd (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity −24.2%, debt of 1.50 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 43/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is VTXGF from its 52-week high?
Vertex Resource Group Ltd trades at $0.1300, about 38% below its 52-week high of $0.2100 and 3% above the low of $0.1262 (as of Sep 25, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $0.1645 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Vertex Resource Group Ltd?
From the same area (Industrials) we also value Waste Management, Inc, Republic Services, Inc, Waste Connections, Inc, Veolia Environnement SA, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Vertex Resource Group Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price $0.1300, calculated fair value $0.1645 (+27%), Quality Score 43/100, from 11 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of VTXGF calculated?
We run Vertex Resource Group Ltd through 11 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $0.1645, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.9 % above its aggregate fair value. Vertex Resource Group Ltd currently trades 21 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Vertex Resource Group Ltd (VTXGF)?
The closing price on Sep 25, 2026 was $0.1300. Our model-based fair value is $0.1645, about +27% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Vertex Resource Group Ltd right now?
A fairly wide model range ($0.1109 to $0.2487) leaves room in how you read the outcome. Evidence is limited here (fewer models, shorter history), so the fair value is a rougher estimate than usual.

Key figures of Vertex Resource Group Ltd

How large is the market capitalisation of Vertex Resource Group Ltd (VTXGF)?
The market capitalisation of Vertex Resource Group Ltd is $16.8M. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Vertex Resource Group Ltd (VTXGF)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Vertex Resource Group Ltd is 0.08 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Vertex Resource Group Ltd (VTXGF)?
Earnings per share at Vertex Resource Group Ltd are $−0.0800. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Vertex Resource Group Ltd (VTXGF)?
The net margin of Vertex Resource Group Ltd is −6.1% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Vertex Resource Group Ltd (VTXGF)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Vertex Resource Group Ltd is −24.2% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Vertex Resource Group Ltd (VTXGF)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Vertex Resource Group Ltd is 3.8% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Vertex Resource Group Ltd (VTXGF)?
The operating margin of Vertex Resource Group Ltd is 0.1% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Vertex Resource Group Ltd (VTXGF)?
Revenue at Vertex Resource Group Ltd is growing −3.9% versus a year earlier (3y avg −5.1%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How much free cash flow does Vertex Resource Group Ltd (VTXGF) generate?
The free cash flow of Vertex Resource Group Ltd is C$15.5M (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Vertex Resource Group Ltd (VTXGF) carry?
The net debt of Vertex Resource Group Ltd is C$82.4M (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 5.3 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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