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Top KingWin Ltd (WAI) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Jul 23, 2026: fair value of Top KingWin Ltd $1.88, price $2.56, upside -26.6%, quality 26 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? No
  2. Good quality? No
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Financial Services · US · ISIN KYG8923U1114

TK Top KingWin Ltd logo Thin data Sep 24, 2026

Top KingWin Ltd

WAI · US

Weak valuationQuality is weak on top of the rich price.

!Fair value $1.88 · Overvalued (−26.6%)
!Quality 26/100
!Weak Growth (revenue 5y −3.5 %/yr)
!negative free cash flow
!Mixed vs. peers (3/7)
!Narrow moat 8/100
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain

What runs behind every stock

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

$5,988 $1.79 Fair Value $1.88 Apr 2023 Jul 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.

How to read this chart

39‑month range $1.79 – $5,988 · fair‑value band $1.24 – $2.35 · the $2.56 price screens above the $1.88 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.

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Company profile

Top KingWin Ltd offers corporate business training, corporate consulting, and advisory and transaction services in the People's Republic of China, the Cayman Islands, the British Virgin Islands, Hong Kong, and the United States. The company sells devices to support artificial intelligence (AI) data collection and analysis. It also sells AI robots.

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Top KingWin Ltd offers corporate business training, corporate consulting, and advisory and transaction services in the People's Republic of China, the Cayman Islands, the British Virgin Islands, Hong Kong, and the United States. The company sells devices to support artificial intelligence (AI) data collection and analysis. It also sells AI robots. It serves entrepreneurs and executives in small and medium enterprises. The company was founded in 2018 and is headquartered in Guangzhou, China.

Stock analysis

Top KingWin Ltd (WAI) currently trades at $2.56, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $1.88, 26.6% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.

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Valuation

How firm this estimate is: it rests on 1 models at a data quality of 95/100, which puts the evidence level at low.

Scenario range: $1.24 (bear) to $2.35 (bull), the price of $2.56 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 26/100 (below-average quality), in the Financial Services sector.

Weak Growth: Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.

Top KingWin Ltd reported revenue of $1.1M in FY2025 versus $6.3M in FY2021, a compound −35.1%/yr. Reported net income was −$3.3M in FY2025.

Key figures

Market cap $4.6M · P/S ratio 0.57 · EPS (TTM) $−26.92 · Net margin −299% · Return on equity −72.8% · Return on assets (EBIT) −15.7% · Operating margin −466% · Revenue growth (YoY) +153%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 32 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 79% below its 52-week high and 43% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Financial Services peers we cover trades at −15% fair-value upside, at −27%, WAI screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear $1.24 Fair Value $1.88 Bull $2.35
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
NCAV (Graham) $0.9400 $1.27 $1.89 51
All 1 models by family
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $0.9400 $1.27 $1.89 51

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 26/100

Of which business quality 31 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 20

Profitability 2
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 20
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 0
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 100
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 67
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 0
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 43
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 4
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 0
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 0/100
Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.
Revenue growth 1 year
−70.2%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−29.0%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−3.5%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
28.5% (2020) → −301.6% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed

WAI screens overvalued: fair value 27% below the price. Compare with Morgan Stanley, a financial holding company, →

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Capital Markets · 462 stocks

Beats the industry median on 3/6 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 31 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside −26.6% · Below median
Profitability
Return on assets −40.5% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth 152.9% · Top 25%

Valuation Multiplesvs Capital Markets median · lower = cheaper

P/B 1.06× · Cheaper than median
P/S (TTM) 0.57× · Cheapest 25%

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0 · sector 35
FUTURE (revenue growth)100 · sector 88
PAST (return on equity)0 · sector 32
HEALTH (low debt)0 · sector 95
DIVIDEND (yield)0 · sector 44

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Capital Markets stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Morgan Stanley, a financial holding company, MS $188.08 $314.07 +67%
The Goldman Sachs Group GS $900.36 $766.86 −15%
The Charles Schwab Corporation SCHW $97.74 $118.07 +21%
Interactive Brokers Group IBKR $89.24 $23.12 −74%
Robinhood Markets, Inc HOOD $116.22 $47.77 −59%
Macquarie Group MQG A$245.63 A$80.51 −67%
CITIC Securities Company 600030 ¥26.29 ¥18.35 −30%
Guotai Haitong Securities Co 601211 ¥17.21 ¥19.35 +12%
East Money Information Co 300059 ¥18.28 ¥4.94 −73%
Nomura Holdings NMR $9.91 $10.19 +3%

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Top KingWin Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/WAI

Frequently asked questions

Is Top KingWin Ltd (WAI) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $1.88 versus the last price from Jul 23, 2026 of $2.56, about −27% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of WAI?
Our model-based fair value for Top KingWin Ltd is $1.88 (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. Last price (from Jul 23, 2026): $2.56.
What is the quality score of WAI?
Top KingWin Ltd has a Quality Score of 26/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Top KingWin Ltd (WAI)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $1.88 (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 1 valuation models. Cautious scenario $1.24, optimistic scenario $2.35. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Top KingWin Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $1.88, about −27% upside versus the last price from Jul 23, 2026 of $2.56 (overvalued). Cautious scenario $1.24, optimistic scenario $2.35. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the intrinsic value of Top KingWin Ltd (WAI)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Top KingWin Ltd it is $1.88 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of $2.56. It is the blended result of 1 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Top KingWin Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, WAI trades above its calculated fair value: price $2.56, fair value $1.88, a gap of about −27% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of WAI?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($2.56); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($1.88). For Top KingWin Ltd the two are $0.6806 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Top KingWin Ltd worth?
The market values Top KingWin Ltd at about $4.6M (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is $2.56; our models calculate a fair value of $1.88 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about WAI?
Our models span a range for Top KingWin Ltd: cautious scenario $1.24, base $1.88, optimistic $2.35 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price $2.56). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Top KingWin Ltd (WAI)?
Balance-sheet figures for Top KingWin Ltd (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity −72.8%. They feed the Quality Score of 26/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is WAI from its 52-week high?
Top KingWin Ltd trades at $2.56, about 79% below its 52-week high of $12.00 and 43% above the low of $1.79 (as of Jul 23, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $1.88 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Top KingWin Ltd?
From the same area (Financial Services) we also value Morgan Stanley, a financial holding company,, The Goldman Sachs Group, The Charles Schwab Corporation, Interactive Brokers Group, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Top KingWin Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price $2.56, calculated fair value $1.88 (−27%), Quality Score 26/100, from 1 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of WAI calculated?
We run Top KingWin Ltd through 1 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $1.88, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.5 % above its aggregate fair value. Top KingWin Ltd itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Top KingWin Ltd (WAI)?
The latest price we hold is from Jul 23, 2026 and stands at $2.56. Our model-based fair value is $1.88, about −27% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Top KingWin Ltd right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($2.35). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (26/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. A fairly wide model range ($1.24 to $2.35) leaves room in how you read the outcome. Evidence is limited here (fewer models, shorter history), so the fair value is a rougher estimate than usual.

Key figures of Top KingWin Ltd

How large is the market capitalisation of Top KingWin Ltd (WAI)?
The market capitalisation of Top KingWin Ltd is $4.6M. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Top KingWin Ltd (WAI)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Top KingWin Ltd is 0.57 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Top KingWin Ltd (WAI)?
Earnings per share at Top KingWin Ltd are $−26.92. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Top KingWin Ltd (WAI)?
The net margin of Top KingWin Ltd is −299% (last twelve months). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Top KingWin Ltd (WAI)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Top KingWin Ltd is −72.8% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Top KingWin Ltd (WAI)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Top KingWin Ltd is −15.7% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Top KingWin Ltd (WAI)?
The operating margin of Top KingWin Ltd is −466% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Top KingWin Ltd (WAI)?
Revenue at Top KingWin Ltd is growing +153% versus a year earlier (3y avg −29.0%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How much free cash flow does Top KingWin Ltd (WAI) generate?
The free cash flow of Top KingWin Ltd is −$182K (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net cash does Top KingWin Ltd (WAI) hold?
Top KingWin Ltd holds more cash than debt, $1.9M net (fiscal year 2025). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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