WARREN TEA LTD.-$ (WARRENTEA) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Oct 5, 2026: fair value of WARREN TEA LTD.-$ ₹25.71, price ₹43.13, upside -40.4%, quality 48 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceableSee the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Oct 5, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range ₹36.18 – ₹100.40 · fair‑value band ₹16.97 – ₹32.14 · the ₹43.13 price screens above the ₹25.71 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Oct 5, 2026.
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Warren Tea Limited grows, harvests, manufactures, and sells black tea in India. The company owns seven tea estates in the sub-districts of Assam. It also exports its black tea. Warren Tea Limited was founded in 1850 and is based in Kolkata, India.
Stock analysis
WARREN TEA LTD.-$ (WARRENTEA) currently trades at ₹43.13, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ₹25.71, 40.4% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.
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Valuation
How firm this estimate is: it rests on 1 models at a data quality of 96/100, which puts the evidence level at low.
Scenario range: ₹16.97 (bear) to ₹32.14 (bull), the price of ₹43.13 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 48/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector.
Weak Growth: Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.
WARREN TEA LTD.-$ reported revenue of ₹0 in FY2026 versus ₹887M in FY2022. Reported net income was −₹33.8M in FY2026.
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 25 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 18% below its 52-week high and 19% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at 10% fair-value upside, at −40%, WARRENTEA screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear ₹16.97Fair Value ₹25.71Bull ₹32.14
Price ₹43.13 · Upside -40.4%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.0/100
Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.
Revenue growth 1 year
−36.1%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−22.7%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−13.7%
Revenue growth 9 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−9.6%
’14
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Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
−6.3% (2018) → −42.1% (2023)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2026 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Farm Products · 290 stocks
Beats the industry median on 0/5 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score48 · Below median
Fair Value upside−40.4% · Below median
Profitability
Return on assets−2.0% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM)0.0% · Below median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth−56.0% · Bottom 25%
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
This stockSector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0· sector 26
FUTURE (revenue growth)0· sector 18
PAST (return on equity)0· sector 19
HEALTH (low debt)100· sector 94
DIVIDEND (yield)0· sector 44
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Is WARREN TEA LTD.-$ (WARRENTEA) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Oct 5, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ₹25.71 versus a price of ₹43.13, about −40% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of WARRENTEA?
Our model-based fair value for WARREN TEA LTD.-$ is ₹25.71 (as of Oct 5, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: ₹43.13.
What is the quality score of WARRENTEA?
WARREN TEA LTD.-$ has a Quality Score of 48/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for WARREN TEA LTD.-$ (WARRENTEA)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of ₹25.71 (as of Oct 5, 2026) from 1 valuation models. Cautious scenario ₹16.97, optimistic scenario ₹32.14. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the WARREN TEA LTD.-$ stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at ₹25.71, about −40% upside versus a price of ₹43.13 (overvalued). Cautious scenario ₹16.97, optimistic scenario ₹32.14. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the intrinsic value of WARREN TEA LTD.-$ (WARRENTEA)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For WARREN TEA LTD.-$ it is ₹25.71 per share (as of Oct 5, 2026), against a price of ₹43.13. It is the blended result of 1 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is WARREN TEA LTD.-$ stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Oct 5, 2026, WARRENTEA trades above its calculated fair value: price ₹43.13, fair value ₹25.71, a gap of about −40% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of WARRENTEA?
No. The price is what the market pays today (₹43.13); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (₹25.71). For WARREN TEA LTD.-$ the two are ₹17.42 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is WARREN TEA LTD.-$ worth?
The market values WARREN TEA LTD.-$ at about ₹515M (market capitalisation, as of Oct 5, 2026). Per share that is ₹43.13; our models calculate a fair value of ₹25.71 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about WARRENTEA?
Our models span a range for WARREN TEA LTD.-$: cautious scenario ₹16.97, base ₹25.71, optimistic ₹32.14 per share (as of Oct 5, 2026, price ₹43.13). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of WARREN TEA LTD.-$ (WARRENTEA)?
Balance-sheet figures for WARREN TEA LTD.-$ (as of Oct 5, 2026): return on equity −2.5%. They feed the Quality Score of 48/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is WARRENTEA from its 52-week high?
WARREN TEA LTD.-$ trades at ₹43.13, about 18% below its 52-week high of ₹52.58 and 19% above the low of ₹36.18 (as of Oct 5, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of ₹25.71 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to WARREN TEA LTD.-$?
From the same area (Consumer Defensive) we also value Archer-Daniels-Midland Company, Muyuan Foods Group, Bunge Global SA, Tyson Foods, Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is WARREN TEA LTD.-$ stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Oct 5, 2026: price ₹43.13, calculated fair value ₹25.71 (−40%), Quality Score 48/100, from 1 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of WARRENTEA calculated?
We run WARREN TEA LTD.-$ through 1 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of ₹25.71, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 15.0 % above its aggregate fair value. WARREN TEA LTD.-$ itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of WARREN TEA LTD.-$ (WARRENTEA)?
The closing price on Oct 5, 2026 was ₹43.13. Our model-based fair value is ₹25.71, about −40% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with WARREN TEA LTD.-$ right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (₹32.14). The favourable scenario is already priced in. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. Solid but not exceptional quality (48/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder. A fairly wide model range (₹16.97 to ₹32.14) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Key figures of WARREN TEA LTD.-$
How large is the market capitalisation of WARREN TEA LTD.-$ (WARRENTEA)?
The market capitalisation of WARREN TEA LTD.-$ is ₹515M (≈ $5.4M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What are the earnings per share of WARREN TEA LTD.-$ (WARRENTEA)?
Earnings per share at WARREN TEA LTD.-$ are ₹−2.00. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the return on equity of WARREN TEA LTD.-$ (WARRENTEA)?
The return on equity (ROE) of WARREN TEA LTD.-$ is −2.5% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of WARREN TEA LTD.-$ (WARRENTEA)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of WARREN TEA LTD.-$ is −5.0% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
How much revenue does WARREN TEA LTD.-$ (WARRENTEA) generate?
WARREN TEA LTD.-$ generates revenue of −₹25.0M (last twelve months). Revenue of the last twelve months (TTM), the most recent full year, not the calendar year.
How fast is revenue growing at WARREN TEA LTD.-$ (WARRENTEA)?
Revenue at WARREN TEA LTD.-$ is growing −56.0% versus a year earlier. How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at WARREN TEA LTD.-$ (WARRENTEA)?
Earnings per share at WARREN TEA LTD.-$ are growing −72.2% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does WARREN TEA LTD.-$ (WARRENTEA) generate?
The free cash flow of WARREN TEA LTD.-$ is −₹35.9M (fiscal year 2026). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does WARREN TEA LTD.-$ (WARRENTEA) carry?
The net debt of WARREN TEA LTD.-$ is ₹196M (fiscal year 2022). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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