Weibo Corp (WB) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Oct 2, 2026: fair value of Weibo Corp $28.00, price $6.33, upside +342.3%, quality 65 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $5.97 – $44.76 · fair‑value band $19.93 – $36.40 · the $6.33 price screens below the $28.00 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
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Weibo Corporation, through its subsidiaries, operates as a social media platform for people to create, discover, and distribute content in the People's Republic of China. It operates through two segments, Advertising and Marketing Services; and Value-Added Services.
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Weibo Corporation, through its subsidiaries, operates as a social media platform for people to create, discover, and distribute content in the People's Republic of China. It operates through two segments, Advertising and Marketing Services; and Value-Added Services. The company offers discovery products to help users discover content on its platform; self-expression products that enable its users to express themselves on its platform; and social products to promote social interaction between users on its platform. It also provides advertising and marketing solutions, such as social display advertisements; and promoted marketing offerings, such as Fans Headline, Weibo Express, and promoted feeds, as well as promoted trends and search products that appear alongside user's trends discovery and search behaviors. In addition, the company offers products, such as trends, search, video/live streaming, and editing tools; content customization, copyright contents pooling, and user interaction development; and search list recommendation, trends list recommendation, and Weibo app opening advertisements. Further, it provides back-end management, traffic support, and product services for better displaying and promotion of its account and content; an open application platform that allows users to log into third-party applications with their Weibo account for sharing third-party content on its platform; and Weibo Wallet, a product that enables platform partners to conduct interest generation activities on Weibo, such as handing out red envelops and coupons. It serves ordinary people, celebrities, opinion leaders, and other public figures or influencers, as well as media outlets, businesses, government agencies, charities, and other organizations. The company was formerly known as T.CN Corporation and changed its name to Weibo Corporation in 2012. The company was founded in 2009 and is based in Beijing, the People's Republic of China.
Stock analysis
Weibo Corp (WB) currently trades at $6.33, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $28.00, implying the stock looks roughly 77.4% undervalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of $29.63 per share, and 26 of the 26 models we run sit above the $6.33 price.
Bear case: the Dividend Discount group reads lowest at $9.32, and 0 of the 26 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: $19.93 (bear) to $36.40 (bull), the price of $6.33 sits below it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 65/100 (solid quality), in the Communication Services sector.
Weak Growth: Growth has flattened: the last year, three and five years all grew more slowly than the long-term average.
Weibo Corp reported revenue of $1.8B in FY2025 versus $2.3B in FY2021, a compound −6.0%/yr. Reported net income was $450M in FY2025, compounding +1.3%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap $1.7B · P/E ratio 5.1 · P/S ratio 1.30 · EPS (TTM) $1.43 · Dividend yield 9.6% · Net margin 25.6% · Return on equity 10.4% · Return on assets (EBIT) 7.3%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 53 out of 100 (medium confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 47% below its 52-week high and at its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Communication Services peers we cover trades at 10% fair-value upside, at 342%, WB screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear $19.93Fair Value $28.00Bull $36.40
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then ($0.6201 per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.40/100
Growth has flattened: the last year, three and five years all grew more slowly than the long-term average.
Revenue growth 1 year
+0.4%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−1.4%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+0.8%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +13.9% a year
Revenue growth 13 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+28.8%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Basis: adjusted.
+3.5%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−6.1%
Dividend (yield on the price)9.6%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.−2.1% vs 17.9%, slowing
Profit margin 2019 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.34% → 27%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
Growth Forecast
Little optimism in the price
The price assumes less growth than the company has delivered so far and less than analysts expect.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
−18.9%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect ⓘAnalysts publish sales forecasts for the next two fiscal years. For the years after that, growth slows evenly to 2 % a year by year ten (2 % is the long-run rate our models use). Projected years are marked as such.
+2.2%
Yearly sales growth analysts expect, extended to five years.
After inflation (USA: IMF forecast 2.4% a year to 2030, 3.1% from 2016 to 2025) that is about −20.8% a year for the price and −0.2% for the forecasts.
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Internet Content & Information · 135 stocks
Beats the industry median on 13/15 measures
Overall it ranks above its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score65 · Above median
Fair Value upside+200.0% · Top 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)10.4% · Above median
Return on assets4.2% · Above median
Net margin (TTM)21.2% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM)26.3% · Top 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth6.2% · Above median
Dividend yield (TTM)9.6% · Top 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.48× · Highest 25%
Valuation Multiplesvs Internet Content & Information median · lower = cheaper
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Weibo Corp Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/WB
Frequently asked questions
Is Weibo Corp (WB) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $28.00 versus a price of $6.33, about +342% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of WB?
Our model-based fair value for Weibo Corp is $28.00 (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $6.33.
What is the quality score of WB?
Weibo Corp has a Quality Score of 65/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Weibo Corp (WB)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $28.00 (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 26 valuation models. Cautious scenario $19.93, optimistic scenario $36.40. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Weibo Corp stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $28.00, about +342% upside versus a price of $6.33 (undervalued). Cautious scenario $19.93, optimistic scenario $36.40. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Weibo Corp (WB)?
Weibo Corp reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $1.8B (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
Does Weibo Corp pay a dividend?
Weibo Corp currently shows a dividend yield of about 9.64% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 24, 2026).
What growth is priced into Weibo Corp (WB)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Weibo Corp would have to grow free cash flow by -18.9 % per year for five years (discount rate 9.8 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +0.8 % per year. As of Sep 24, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of WB use?
Our models discount Weibo Corp at 9.8 %: a base by market capitalisation (small), damped by beta 0.17, country premium for USA. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Weibo Corp that is -18.9 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (9.8 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Weibo Corp (WB) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Weibo Corp grew +0.8 % a year. The price currently implies -18.9 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Weibo Corp (WB) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +3.0 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Weibo Corp (-18.9 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Weibo Corp (WB)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 28.07 %: that much free cash flow Weibo Corp produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (9.8 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Weibo Corp (WB)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Weibo Corp it is $28.00 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of $6.33. It is the blended result of 26 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Weibo Corp stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, WB trades below its calculated fair value: price $6.33, fair value $28.00, a gap of about +342% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of WB?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($6.33); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($28.00). For Weibo Corp the two are $21.67 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Weibo Corp worth?
The market values Weibo Corp at about $1.7B (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is $6.33; our models calculate a fair value of $28.00 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about WB?
Our models span a range for Weibo Corp: cautious scenario $19.93, base $28.00, optimistic $36.40 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price $6.33). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of WB?
Weibo Corp trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 5.1 (as of Sep 24, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of $28.00 is built from several models across several years. Excluding one-off items of fiscal year 2025 it is 3.8 (reported for FY2025: 3.4). Other multiples: PEG 4.8, P/B 0.4, P/S 1.0, EV/EBITDA 2.4.
What is the PEG ratio of WB?
The PEG ratio of Weibo Corp is 4.85 (P/E divided by earnings growth, as of Sep 24, 2026). That is above 1, so the growth is already paid for in the price.
How solid is the balance sheet of Weibo Corp (WB)?
Balance-sheet figures for Weibo Corp (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity 10.4%, debt of 0.48 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 65/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is WB from its 52-week high?
Weibo Corp trades at $6.33, about 47% below its 52-week high of $11.99 and at the low of $6.33 (as of Oct 2, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $28.00 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Weibo Corp?
From the same area (Communication Services) we also value Alphabet Inc, Meta Platforms, Inc, Tencent Holdings, Spotify Technology S.A, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Weibo Corp stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price $6.33, calculated fair value $28.00 (+342%), Quality Score 65/100, from 26 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of WB calculated?
We run Weibo Corp through 26 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $28.00, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.5 % above its aggregate fair value. Weibo Corp currently trades 77 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Weibo Corp (WB)?
The closing price on Oct 2, 2026 was $6.33. Our model-based fair value is $28.00, about +342% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Weibo Corp right now?
The price is below even our cautious bear case ($19.93). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. Solid quality (65/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality. A fairly wide model range ($19.93 to $36.40) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Where does the earnings growth of Weibo Corp (WB) come from?
Earnings per share at Weibo Corp grew +18.9 % a year from 2015 to 2025. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share +12.2 %, EBIT margin +6.6 %, tax rate −3.1 %, residual (interest, one-offs) +2.6 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.
Key figures of Weibo Corp
How large is the market capitalisation of Weibo Corp (WB)?
The market capitalisation of Weibo Corp is $1.7B. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Weibo Corp (WB)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Weibo Corp is 1.30 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Weibo Corp (WB)?
Earnings per share at Weibo Corp are $1.43 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 5.1). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Weibo Corp (WB)?
The dividend yield of Weibo Corp is 9.6% (payout 48.6%, on adjusted earnings, reported 42.7%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Weibo Corp (WB)?
The net margin of Weibo Corp is 25.6% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Weibo Corp (WB)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Weibo Corp is 10.4% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Weibo Corp (WB)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Weibo Corp is 7.3% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Weibo Corp (WB)?
The operating margin of Weibo Corp is 26.3% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Weibo Corp (WB)?
Revenue at Weibo Corp is growing +6.2% versus a year earlier (3y avg −1.4%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Weibo Corp (WB)?
Earnings per share at Weibo Corp are growing −65.9% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net cash does Weibo Corp (WB) hold?
Weibo Corp holds more cash than debt, $393M net (fiscal year 2025). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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Thin data
Sep 24, 2026