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Webuild S.p.A (WBDSF) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Sep 25, 2026: fair value of Webuild S.p.A $4.73, price $2.42, upside +95.5%, quality 45 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? Yes
  2. Good quality? No
  3. Add to watchlist

Industrials · US · Home Italy

WS Webuild S.p.A logo Some data Sep 24, 2026

Webuild S.p.A

WBDSF · US

Cheap, value-trap riskThe stock looks deeply undervalued, but low quality raises value-trap risk.

✓Fair value $4.73 · Strongly undervalued (+95.5%)
!Quality 45/100
!Expensive Growth (revenue 3y +18.2 %/yr)
!Thin margins · 1.9% net margin (TTM)
!Moderate debt · negative free cash flow
!3.3% dividend yield · Watch coverage
!Mixed vs. peers (6/13)
!Narrow moat 26/100
!Evidence only medium, so the estimate is less certain
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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

$3.78 $1.87 Fair Value $4.73 Sep 2017 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $1.87 – $3.78 · fair‑value band $3.55 – $5.91 · the $2.42 price screens below the $4.73 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.

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Company profile

Webuild S.p.A. engages in the construction businesses worldwide. The company designs and builds infrastructure for the mobility, hydroenergy, water, and green buildings.

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Webuild S.p.A. engages in the construction businesses worldwide. The company designs and builds infrastructure for the mobility, hydroenergy, water, and green buildings. It also undertakes the construction of civil and industrial buildings, airports, stadiums, and hospitals, as well as roads and motorways, metros, railways, bridges and viaducts, ports, tunnels, and sea works. In addition, the company develops and builds dams for drinking water, desalination and water treatment plants, hydraulic projects, drinking water, and irrigation water reservoirs. Further, it is involved in the development of hydropower plants and pumped storage facilities. The company is headquartered in Lombardia, Italy.

Stock analysis

Webuild S.p.A (WBDSF) currently trades at $2.42, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $4.73, implying the stock looks roughly 48.8% undervalued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the Growth Earnings group reads highest at a median of $6.51 per share, and 8 of the 10 models we run sit above the $2.42 price.

Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at $1.28, and 2 of the 10 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is medium.

Scenario range: $3.55 (bear) to $5.91 (bull), the price of $2.42 sits below it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 45/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector.

Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.

Webuild S.p.A reported revenue of €12.6B in FY2025 versus €7.7B in FY2022, a compound +18.2%/yr. Reported net income was €240M in FY2025, compounding +189.4%/yr from FY2022. FY2022 was a trough year, so the rate overstates the trend.

Key figures

Market cap $3.0B · P/E ratio 8.1 · P/S ratio 0.15 · EPS (TTM) $0.3000 · Dividend yield 3.3% · Net margin 1.9% · Return on equity 10.3% · Return on assets (EBIT) −0.9%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 37 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 36% below its 52-week high and 22% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at −35% fair-value upside, at 95%, WBDSF screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear $3.55 Fair Value $4.73 Bull $5.91
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then ($0.1656 per share) are deliberately not added. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
Residual Income $1.85 $2.34 $3.50 72
EV/EBITDA $3.08 $4.04 $5.00 67
Growth-Adj P/E $4.56 $6.51 $8.46 65
All 10 models by family
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd $1.86 $10.96 $15.26 61
Lynch FV $3.11 $4.44 $5.77 58
PEG = 1.0 $3.11 $4.44 $5.77 55
Multiples
P/E Multiple $4.31 $5.74 $7.18 63
P/S Multiple $3.49 $4.65 $5.81 58
P/B Multiple $3.49 $4.65 $5.81 55
EV/EBITDA $3.08 $4.04 $5.00 67
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $0.9600 $1.28 $1.91 54
Economic Profit
Residual Income $1.85 $2.34 $3.50 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E $4.56 $6.51 $8.46 65

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 45/100

Of which business quality 43 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 42

Profitability 42
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 62
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 19
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 15
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 69
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 30
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 50
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 41
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 82
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 58/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Revenue growth 1 year
+14.6%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+18.2%
What shareholders gained per year (last 3 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 3 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
≈ +56.5%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+53.2%
Dividend (yield on the price)3.3%
Profit margin 2022 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.−1% → −2%
⚠ Approximate: the rate leans on 2025, which sits 95% above its own trend.

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Engineering & Construction · 789 stocks

Beats the industry median on 6/13 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 45 · Below median
Fair Value upside +144.6% · Top 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM) 10.3% · Above median
Return on assets −0.3% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) 1.9% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM) −1.5% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth 8.1% · Above median
Dividend yield (TTM) 3.3% · Above median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 1.35× · Highest 25%

Valuation Multiplesvs Engineering & Construction median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 8.1× · Cheapest 25%
P/B 1.57× · Pricier than median
P/S (TTM) 0.21× · Cheapest 25%
EV/EBITDA 11.7× · Pricier than median

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)100 · sector 25
FUTURE (revenue growth)41 · sector 20
PAST (return on equity)41 · sector 28
HEALTH (low debt)33 · sector 94
DIVIDEND (yield)67 · sector 42

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Engineering & Construction stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Quanta Services, Inc PWR $642.51 $162.77 −75%
Vinci SA DG €105.60 €186.22 +76%
Comfort Systems USA, Inc FIX $1,658 $1,116 −33%
Larsen & Toubro Limited LT ₹3,876 ₹1,994 −49%
Samsung C&T Corporation 028260 367,000 KRW 159,718 KRW −56%
Ferrovial N.V FER $55.77 $21.74 −61%
HOCHTIEF Aktiengesellschaft HOT €407.40 €203.86 −50%
EMCOR Group EME $769.03 $525.05 −32%
ACS, Actividades de Construcción y Servicios, S.A ACS €95.00 €62.20 −35%
Bouygues SA EN €43.14 €66.31 +54%

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Webuild S.p.A · Fair Value
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Webuild S.p.A Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/WBDSF

Frequently asked questions

Is Webuild S.p.A (WBDSF) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $4.73 versus the last price from Sep 25, 2026 of $2.42, about +95% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of WBDSF?
Our model-based fair value for Webuild S.p.A is $4.73 (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. Last price (from Sep 25, 2026): $2.42.
What is the quality score of WBDSF?
Webuild S.p.A has a Quality Score of 45/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Webuild S.p.A (WBDSF)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $4.73 (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 10 valuation models. Cautious scenario $3.55, optimistic scenario $5.91. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Webuild S.p.A stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $4.73, about +95% upside versus the last price from Sep 25, 2026 of $2.42 (undervalued). Cautious scenario $3.55, optimistic scenario $5.91. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Webuild S.p.A (WBDSF)?
Webuild S.p.A reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about €12.6B (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
Does Webuild S.p.A pay a dividend?
Webuild S.p.A currently shows a dividend yield of about 3.35% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 24, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Webuild S.p.A (WBDSF)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Webuild S.p.A it is $4.73 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of $2.42. It is the blended result of 10 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Webuild S.p.A stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, WBDSF trades below its calculated fair value: price $2.42, fair value $4.73, a gap of about +95% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of WBDSF?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($2.42); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($4.73). For Webuild S.p.A the two are $2.31 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Webuild S.p.A worth?
The market values Webuild S.p.A at about $3.0B (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is $2.42; our models calculate a fair value of $4.73 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about WBDSF?
Our models span a range for Webuild S.p.A: cautious scenario $3.55, base $4.73, optimistic $5.91 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price $2.42). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of WBDSF?
Webuild S.p.A trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 8.1 (as of Sep 24, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of $4.73 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 1.6, P/S 0.2, EV/EBITDA 11.7.
How solid is the balance sheet of Webuild S.p.A (WBDSF)?
Balance-sheet figures for Webuild S.p.A (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity 10.3%, debt of 1.35 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 45/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is WBDSF from its 52-week high?
Webuild S.p.A trades at $2.42, about 36% below its 52-week high of $3.78 and 22% above the low of $1.99 (as of Sep 25, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $4.73 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Webuild S.p.A?
From the same area (Industrials) we also value Quanta Services, Inc, Vinci SA, Comfort Systems USA, Inc, Larsen & Toubro Limited, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Webuild S.p.A stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price $2.42, calculated fair value $4.73 (+95%), Quality Score 45/100, from 10 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of WBDSF calculated?
We run Webuild S.p.A through 10 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $4.73, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.5 % above its aggregate fair value. Webuild S.p.A currently trades 49 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Webuild S.p.A (WBDSF)?
The latest price we hold is from Sep 25, 2026 and stands at $2.42. Our model-based fair value is $4.73, about +95% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Webuild S.p.A right now?
The price is below even our cautious bear case ($3.55). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario. Solid quality (45/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.

Key figures of Webuild S.p.A

How large is the market capitalisation of Webuild S.p.A (WBDSF)?
The market capitalisation of Webuild S.p.A is $3.0B. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Webuild S.p.A (WBDSF)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Webuild S.p.A is 0.15 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Webuild S.p.A (WBDSF)?
Earnings per share at Webuild S.p.A are $0.3000 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 8.1). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Webuild S.p.A (WBDSF)?
The dividend yield of Webuild S.p.A is 3.3% (payout 27.0%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Webuild S.p.A (WBDSF)?
The net margin of Webuild S.p.A is 1.9% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Webuild S.p.A (WBDSF)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Webuild S.p.A is 10.3% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Webuild S.p.A (WBDSF)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Webuild S.p.A is −0.9% (avg 4y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Webuild S.p.A (WBDSF)?
The operating margin of Webuild S.p.A is −1.5% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Webuild S.p.A (WBDSF)?
Revenue at Webuild S.p.A is growing +8.1% versus a year earlier (3y avg +18.2%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Webuild S.p.A (WBDSF)?
Earnings per share at Webuild S.p.A are growing −5.1% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Webuild S.p.A (WBDSF) generate?
The free cash flow of Webuild S.p.A is −€568M (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Webuild S.p.A (WBDSF) carry?
The net debt of Webuild S.p.A is €426M (fiscal year 2025). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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