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Warehouses De Pauw SA (WDPSF) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Oct 2, 2026: fair value of Warehouses De Pauw SA $25.00, price $21.50, upside +16.3%, quality 44 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
- Fair value above price? Yes
- Good quality? No
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WD
Broad data
Sep 24, 2026
Broad data
Sep 24, 2026
Warehouses De Pauw SA
WDPSF · USSpeculativeUpside exists, but weak quality makes the signal speculative.
✓Fair value $25.00 · Undervalued (+16.3%)
!Quality 44/100
!Mixed Growth (revenue 5y +16.0 %/yr)
✓Highly profitable · 69.8% net margin (TTM)
✓Moderate debt · generates free cash flow
✓5.7% dividend yield · Well covered
✓Wide moat 66/100
!The models disagree: range $6.94 to $54.34
What runs behind every stock
26
valuation models
8 families, DCF to NCAV
37
quality factors
margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt
6
AI factors
moat, what no ratio measures
2,000+
data points
verified, per stock, median
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $12.85 – $35.54 · fair‑value band $6.94 – $54.34 · the $21.50 price screens below the $25.00 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
Company profile
Warehouses De Pauw SA develops and invests in logistics real estate warehouses and offices. WDP's property portfolio comprises more than 9 million m.
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Warehouses De Pauw SA develops and invests in logistics real estate warehouses and offices. WDP's property portfolio comprises more than 9 million m. This international portfolio of semi-industrial and logistics buildings is spread over more than 350 sites at prime logistics locations for storage and distribution in Belgium, the Netherlands, France, Luxembourg, Germany and Romania. Warehouses De Pauw SA was incorporated in May 27th, 1977 in Belgium.
Stock analysis
Warehouses De Pauw SA (WDPSF) currently trades at $21.50, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $25.00, implying the stock looks roughly 14.0% undervalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of $26.48 per share, and 6 of the 16 models we run sit above the $21.50 price.
Bear case: the Growth DCF group reads lowest at $10.39, and 10 of the 16 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.
Scenario range: $6.94 (bear) to $54.34 (bull), the price of $21.50 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 44/100 (below-average quality), in the Real Estate sector.
Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Warehouses De Pauw SA reported revenue of €522M in FY2025 versus €279M in FY2021, a compound +17.0%/yr. Reported net income was €354M in FY2025, compounding −22.5%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap $5.8B · P/E ratio 11.4 · P/S ratio 7.75 · EPS (TTM) $1.88 · Dividend yield 5.7% · Net margin 67.8% · Return on equity 7.7% · Return on assets (EBIT) 6.0%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 46 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 27% below its 52-week high and at its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Real Estate peers we cover trades at 27% fair-value upside, at 16%, WDPSF screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear $6.94
Fair Value $25.00
Bull $54.34
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then ($0.4915 per share) are deliberately not added.
Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.
Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
Residual Income
$18.83
$19.76
$21.67
76
Growth DCF
$6.95
$27.60
$58.54
71
FCF DCF
$7.55
$26.48
$68.91
70
All 16 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF
$7.55
$26.48
$68.91
70
5Y Revenue Exit
$0.3200
$11.91
$27.97
63
5Y EBITDA Exit
$8.41
$29.69
$57.67
69
10Y Revenue Exit
$2.12
$14.24
$33.75
58
10Y EBITDA Exit
$7.93
$27.46
$59.63
62
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM
$6.72
$13.39
$20.28
67
DDM Multi-Stage
$6.72
$11.57
$14.14
67
Multiples
P/S Multiple
$11.91
$15.88
$19.85
58
P/B Multiple
$21.11
$28.15
$35.18
55
EV/EBIT
$16.81
$27.45
$38.09
64
EV/EBITDA
$10.24
$18.69
$27.14
65
EV/Revenue
n/a
$1.99
$7.12
50
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham)
$11.74
$15.73
$23.48
54
Growth DCF
Growth DCF
$6.95
$27.60
$58.54
71
Rev-Margin DCF
n/a
$10.39
$24.74
69
Economic Profit
Residual Income
$18.83
$19.76
$21.67
76
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Set up alert →Quality Score breakdown
Overall quality
44/100
Of which business quality 46 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 29
Profitability
36
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth
34
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow
80
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength
47
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment
71
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility
30
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum
26
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum
34
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance
0
Share count: buybacks or dilution?
Revenue & earnings trend
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.
95/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Revenue growth 1 year
+19.1%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+16.4%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+16.0%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +14.9% a year
Revenue growth 20 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+15.3%
’14
’15
’16
’17
’18
’19
’20
’21
’22
’23
’24
’25
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
−5.8%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−11.5%
Dividend (yield on the price)5.7%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.−11.5% vs 2.9%, slowing
Profit margin 2021 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.389% → 79%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
Growth Forecast
A lot of optimism in the price
The price assumes about as much growth as the company has delivered so far and more than analysts expect.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+16.8%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect ⓘAnalysts publish sales forecasts for the next two fiscal years. For the years after that, growth slows evenly to 2 % a year by year ten (2 % is the long-run rate our models use). Projected years are marked as such.
+5.7%
Yearly sales growth analysts expect, extended to five years.
After inflation (figures in EUR, euro area: IMF forecast 2.2% a year to 2030, 2.6% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +14.3% a year for the price and +3.4% for the forecasts.
Forecast 2026 (sales)−5.2%
Forecast 2027 (sales)+10.1%
Projected 2028 (sales)+9.1%
Projected 2029 (sales)+8.1%
Projected 2030 (sales)+7.0%
Watch WDPSF, get fair value alerts →
Earlier news
News mood ⓘNews mood, the average tone of recent news (9 articles), rated against how stocks are usually covered. 🚀 Hype = unusually upbeat · 🙂 Positive = above average · 😐 Neutral = typical · 🙁 Negative = below average · 😨 Very negative = unusually downbeat. It reflects the tone of coverage, not our valuation.
Hype
Recent news coverage is unusually upbeat, far more positive than stocks are typically covered.
- Warehouses De Pauw (ENXTBR:WDP) Stock Looks Undervalued Following Its 31% Five Year Decline
- Warehouses De Pauw SA (WDPSF) (Q2 2026) Earnings Call Highlights: Strategic Expansion and ARGAN ...
- Warehouses De Pauw SA (WDPSF) Full Year 2025 Earnings Call Highlights: Strong Growth and ...
- Is Warehouses De Pauw’s 2025 Recovery for Real After Improving Logistics Demand?
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Context: sector, industry, market
- P/E, EV/EBITDA and margins by industry (reference tables)
- Undervalued stocks: US Stocks
- Valuation of the USA market
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
None of the checked exposures detected
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10 more REIT - Industrial stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.
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|---|---|---|---|
| Public Storage, a member of the S&P 500, PSA | $284.79 | $231.96 | −19% |
| Prologis, Inc PLDGP | $51.10 | $65.89 | +29% |
| Extra Space Storage Inc EXR | $133.08 | $201.75 | +52% |
| EastGroup Properties, Inc EGP | $201.52 | $132.89 | −34% |
| Lineage, Inc LINE | $36.15 | $47.91 | +33% |
| CapitaLand Ascendas REIT (CLAR) A17U | 2.28 SGD | 2.89 SGD | +27% |
| Rexford Industrial Realty, Inc REXR | $37.47 | $18.50 | −51% |
| CubeSmart CUBE | $37.53 | $34.92 | −7% |
| First Industrial Realty Trust, Inc FR | $61.17 | $18.59 | −70% |
| STAG Industrial, Inc STAG | $37.01 | $49.93 | +35% |
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Frequently asked questions
Is Warehouses De Pauw SA (WDPSF) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $25.00 versus a price of $21.50, about +16% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of WDPSF?
Our model-based fair value for Warehouses De Pauw SA is $25.00 (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $21.50.
What is the quality score of WDPSF?
Warehouses De Pauw SA has a Quality Score of 44/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Warehouses De Pauw SA (WDPSF)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $25.00 (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 16 valuation models. Cautious scenario $6.94, optimistic scenario $54.34. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Warehouses De Pauw SA stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $25.00, about +16% upside versus a price of $21.50 (undervalued). Cautious scenario $6.94, optimistic scenario $54.34. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Warehouses De Pauw SA (WDPSF)?
Warehouses De Pauw SA reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about €547M (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
Does Warehouses De Pauw SA pay a dividend?
Warehouses De Pauw SA currently shows a dividend yield of about 5.72% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 24, 2026).
What growth is priced into Warehouses De Pauw SA (WDPSF)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Warehouses De Pauw SA would have to grow free cash flow by +16.8 % per year for five years (discount rate 9.8 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +16.0 % per year. As of Sep 24, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of WDPSF use?
Our models discount Warehouses De Pauw SA at 9.8 %: a base by market capitalisation (mid), damped by beta 1.03, country premium for USA. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Warehouses De Pauw SA that is +16.8 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (9.8 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Warehouses De Pauw SA (WDPSF) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Warehouses De Pauw SA grew +16.0 % a year. The price currently implies +16.8 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Warehouses De Pauw SA (WDPSF) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +1.8 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Warehouses De Pauw SA (+16.8 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Warehouses De Pauw SA (WDPSF)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 5.75 %: that much free cash flow Warehouses De Pauw SA produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (9.8 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Warehouses De Pauw SA (WDPSF)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Warehouses De Pauw SA it is $25.00 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of $21.50. It is the blended result of 16 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Warehouses De Pauw SA stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, WDPSF trades below its calculated fair value: price $21.50, fair value $25.00, a gap of about +16% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of WDPSF?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($21.50); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($25.00). For Warehouses De Pauw SA the two are $3.50 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Warehouses De Pauw SA worth?
The market values Warehouses De Pauw SA at about $5.8B (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is $21.50; our models calculate a fair value of $25.00 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about WDPSF?
Our models span a range for Warehouses De Pauw SA: cautious scenario $6.94, base $25.00, optimistic $54.34 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price $21.50). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How far is WDPSF from its 52-week high?
Warehouses De Pauw SA trades at $21.50, about 27% below its 52-week high of $29.36 and at the low of $21.50 (as of Oct 2, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $25.00 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Warehouses De Pauw SA?
From the same area (Real Estate) we also value Public Storage, a member of the S&P 500,, Prologis, Inc, Extra Space Storage Inc, EastGroup Properties, Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Warehouses De Pauw SA stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price $21.50, calculated fair value $25.00 (+16%), Quality Score 44/100, from 16 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of WDPSF calculated?
We run Warehouses De Pauw SA through 16 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $25.00, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.5 % above its aggregate fair value. Warehouses De Pauw SA currently trades 14 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Warehouses De Pauw SA (WDPSF)?
The closing price on Oct 2, 2026 was $21.50. Our model-based fair value is $25.00, about +16% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Warehouses De Pauw SA right now?
The model range is unusually wide ($6.94 to $54.34). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution. As a real-estate business, asset- and dividend-based methods carry more weight here than a standard DCF.
Where does the earnings growth of Warehouses De Pauw SA (WDPSF) come from?
Earnings per share at Warehouses De Pauw SA grew +2.9 % a year from 2014 to 2025. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share +7.6 %, EBIT margin −6.4 %, tax rate −0.3 %, residual (interest, one-offs) +2.4 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.
Key figures of Warehouses De Pauw SA
How large is the market capitalisation of Warehouses De Pauw SA (WDPSF)?
The market capitalisation of Warehouses De Pauw SA is $5.8B. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/E ratio of Warehouses De Pauw SA (WDPSF)?
The price-to-earnings ratio of Warehouses De Pauw SA is 11.4. Price to earnings: how many years of current profit you pay for the stock. A P/E of 10 means ten years of profit.
What is the P/S ratio of Warehouses De Pauw SA (WDPSF)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Warehouses De Pauw SA is 7.75 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Warehouses De Pauw SA (WDPSF)?
Earnings per share at Warehouses De Pauw SA are $1.88 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 11.4). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Warehouses De Pauw SA (WDPSF)?
The dividend yield of Warehouses De Pauw SA is 5.7% (payout 65.4%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Warehouses De Pauw SA (WDPSF)?
The net margin of Warehouses De Pauw SA is 67.8% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Warehouses De Pauw SA (WDPSF)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Warehouses De Pauw SA is 7.7% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Warehouses De Pauw SA (WDPSF)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Warehouses De Pauw SA is 6.0% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Warehouses De Pauw SA (WDPSF)?
The operating margin of Warehouses De Pauw SA is 75.1% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Warehouses De Pauw SA (WDPSF)?
Revenue at Warehouses De Pauw SA is growing +1.0% versus a year earlier (3y avg +16.4%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Warehouses De Pauw SA (WDPSF)?
Earnings per share at Warehouses De Pauw SA are growing +35.3% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does Warehouses De Pauw SA (WDPSF) carry?
The net debt of Warehouses De Pauw SA is €3.5B (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 11.7 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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