Welspun Investments and Commercials Limited (WELINV) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 25, 2026: fair value of Welspun Investments and Commercials Limited ₹1,562, price ₹2,500, upside -37.5%, quality 44 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 27, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range ₹258.10 – ₹2,500 · fair‑value band ₹1,172 – ₹1,953 · the ₹2,500 price screens above the ₹1,562 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). 1 fiscal year is left out: there the valuation rested on only a fraction of the usual models. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 27, 2026.
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Welspun Investments and Commercials Limited, a core investment company, engages in the investment and dealing of shares and securities in India. The company is also involved in the trading of textile products and commodities.
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Welspun Investments and Commercials Limited, a core investment company, engages in the investment and dealing of shares and securities in India. The company is also involved in the trading of textile products and commodities. The company was formerly known as Welspun Investments Limited and changed its name to Welspun Investments and Commercials Limited in March 2010. Welspun Investments and Commercials Limited was incorporated in 2008 and is based in Mumbai, India. Welspun Investments and Commercials Limited operates as a subsidiary of Welspun Group Master Trust.
Stock analysis
Welspun Investments and Commercials Limited (WELINV) currently trades at ₹2,500, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ₹1,562, implying the stock looks roughly 60.0% overvalued today.
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Valuation
How firm this estimate is: it rests on 13 models at a data quality of 96/100, which puts the evidence level at medium.
Scenario range: ₹1,172 (bear) to ₹1,953 (bull), the price of ₹2,500 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 44/100 (below-average quality), in the Financial Services sector.
Weak Growth: Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.
Welspun Investments and Commercials Limited reported revenue of ₹52.2M in FY2026 versus ₹42.3M in FY2022, a compound +5.4%/yr. Reported net income was ₹30.3M in FY2026, compounding +5.3%/yr from FY2022.
Key figures
Market cap ₹9.1B (≈ $95.4M) · P/E ratio 298.0 · EPS (TTM) ₹8.36 · Net margin 58.0% · Return on equity 0.4% · Return on assets (EBIT) 1.7% · Operating margin −131% · Revenue (TTM) ₹52.2M.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 37 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades at its 52-week high and 145% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Financial Services peers we cover trades at −18% fair-value upside, at −38%, WELINV screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear ₹1,172Fair Value ₹1,562Bull ₹1,953
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2026 figures (about 6 months old). Earnings retained since then (₹4.15 per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.40/100
Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.
Revenue growth 1 year
−0.2%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−11.9%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+34.4%
Start year 2021 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +21.8% a year
Revenue growth 16 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+0.1%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years), in INR ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Measured in INR: this currency has depreciated against the euro and dollar over the long run, so part of the nominal rate is currency erosion that never reaches a EUR/USD investor.
+4.2%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+4.2%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.0%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.4.2% vs 50.1%, slowing
Profit margin 2021 to 2026 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.75% → 78%
Compare Welspun Investments and Commercials Limited with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Capital Markets · 460 stocks
Beats the industry median on 2/9 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score43 · Below median
Fair Value upside−37.5% · Below median
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)0.4% · Below median
Return on assets0.3% · Below median
Net margin (TTM)58.0% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM)−131.1% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth186.0% · Top 25%
Valuation Multiplesvs Capital Markets median · lower = cheaper
P/E (TTM)298.0× · Priciest 25%
P/B1.36× · Pricier than median
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
This stockSector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0· sector 30
FUTURE (revenue growth)100· sector 94
PAST (return on equity)2· sector 30
HEALTH (low debt)100· sector 94
DIVIDEND (yield)0· sector 43
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Welspun Investments and Commercials Limited Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/WELINV
Frequently asked questions
Is Welspun Investments and Commercials Limited (WELINV) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 27, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ₹1,562 versus a price of ₹2,500, about −38% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of WELINV?
Our model-based fair value for Welspun Investments and Commercials Limited is ₹1,562 (as of Sep 27, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: ₹2,500.
What is the quality score of WELINV?
Welspun Investments and Commercials Limited has a Quality Score of 44/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Welspun Investments and Commercials Limited (WELINV)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of ₹1,562 (as of Sep 27, 2026) from 2 valuation models. Cautious scenario ₹1,172, optimistic scenario ₹1,953. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Welspun Investments and Commercials Limited stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at ₹1,562, about −38% upside versus a price of ₹2,500 (overvalued). Cautious scenario ₹1,172, optimistic scenario ₹1,953. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Welspun Investments and Commercials Limited (WELINV)?
Welspun Investments and Commercials Limited reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about ₹52.2M (latest available figure, as of Sep 27, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Welspun Investments and Commercials Limited (WELINV)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Welspun Investments and Commercials Limited it is ₹1,562 per share (as of Sep 27, 2026), against a price of ₹2,500. It is the blended result of 2 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Welspun Investments and Commercials Limited stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 27, 2026, WELINV trades above its calculated fair value: price ₹2,500, fair value ₹1,562, a gap of about −38% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of WELINV?
No. The price is what the market pays today (₹2,500); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (₹1,562). For Welspun Investments and Commercials Limited the two are ₹937.66 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Welspun Investments and Commercials Limited worth?
The market values Welspun Investments and Commercials Limited at about ₹9.1B (market capitalisation, as of Sep 27, 2026). Per share that is ₹2,500; our models calculate a fair value of ₹1,562 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about WELINV?
Our models span a range for Welspun Investments and Commercials Limited: cautious scenario ₹1,172, base ₹1,562, optimistic ₹1,953 per share (as of Sep 27, 2026, price ₹2,500). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of WELINV?
Welspun Investments and Commercials Limited trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 298.0 (as of Sep 27, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of ₹1,562 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 1.4.
How solid is the balance sheet of Welspun Investments and Commercials Limited (WELINV)?
Balance-sheet figures for Welspun Investments and Commercials Limited (as of Sep 27, 2026): return on equity 0.4%. They feed the Quality Score of 44/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is WELINV from its 52-week high?
Welspun Investments and Commercials Limited trades at ₹2,500, at its 52-week high of ₹2,500 and 145% above the low of ₹1,019 (as of Sep 25, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of ₹1,562 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Welspun Investments and Commercials Limited?
From the same area (Financial Services) we also value Morgan Stanley, a financial holding company,, The Goldman Sachs Group, The Charles Schwab Corporation, Interactive Brokers Group, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Welspun Investments and Commercials Limited stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 27, 2026: price ₹2,500, calculated fair value ₹1,562 (−38%), Quality Score 44/100, from 2 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of WELINV calculated?
We run Welspun Investments and Commercials Limited through 2 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of ₹1,562, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 16.1 % above its aggregate fair value. Welspun Investments and Commercials Limited itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Welspun Investments and Commercials Limited (WELINV)?
The closing price on Sep 25, 2026 was ₹2,500. Our model-based fair value is ₹1,562, about −38% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Welspun Investments and Commercials Limited right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (₹1,953). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (44/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. For a financial, book-value and earnings-based methods matter more than a cash-flow DCF, which fits banks and insurers poorly.
Where does the earnings growth of Welspun Investments and Commercials Limited (WELINV) come from?
Earnings per share at Welspun Investments and Commercials Limited grew +48.3 % a year from 2015 to 2026. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share +20.9 %, EBIT margin +25.6 %, tax rate −1.5 %, residual (interest, one-offs) −0.9 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.
Key figures of Welspun Investments and Commercials Limited
How large is the market capitalisation of Welspun Investments and Commercials Limited (WELINV)?
The market capitalisation of Welspun Investments and Commercials Limited is ₹9.1B (≈ $95.4M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What are the earnings per share of Welspun Investments and Commercials Limited (WELINV)?
Earnings per share at Welspun Investments and Commercials Limited are ₹8.36 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 298.0). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Welspun Investments and Commercials Limited (WELINV)?
The net margin of Welspun Investments and Commercials Limited is 58.0% (fiscal year 2026). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Welspun Investments and Commercials Limited (WELINV)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Welspun Investments and Commercials Limited is 0.4% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Welspun Investments and Commercials Limited (WELINV)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Welspun Investments and Commercials Limited is 1.7% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Welspun Investments and Commercials Limited (WELINV)?
The operating margin of Welspun Investments and Commercials Limited is −131% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Welspun Investments and Commercials Limited (WELINV)?
Revenue at Welspun Investments and Commercials Limited is growing +186% versus a year earlier (3y avg −11.9%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Welspun Investments and Commercials Limited (WELINV)?
Earnings per share at Welspun Investments and Commercials Limited are growing −3.4% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Welspun Investments and Commercials Limited (WELINV) generate?
The free cash flow of Welspun Investments and Commercials Limited is −₹20.1M (fiscal year 2026). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net cash does Welspun Investments and Commercials Limited (WELINV) hold?
Welspun Investments and Commercials Limited holds more cash than debt, ₹53.3M net (fiscal year 2026). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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