Webjet Group (WJL) Fair Value & Analysis
Consumer Cyclical · AU · Market cap A$157M
Fair value as of: Jul 18, 2026
From 14 valuation models · updated 23 days ago
Fair value updated Jul 18, 2026, revised from A$0.5100 to A$0.1900 (−62.7%) since Jun 24, 2026. Share price −3.6% over the past month.
Below-average quality, and screening another 53% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (A$0.2300). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Solid but not exceptional quality (47/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
Price vs Fair Value (23 months)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 18, 2026.
How to read this chart
23‑month range A$0.3650 – A$1.02 · fair‑value band A$0.1400 – A$0.2300 · the A$0.4000 price screens above the A$0.1900 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 18, 2026.
Analysis
Webjet Group (WJL) currently trades at A$0.4000, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is A$0.1900, implying the stock looks roughly 52.5% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 47/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).
Over the trailing twelve months, Webjet Group generated revenue of A$136M at a net margin of 2.6%. Revenue grew 2.7% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 2.6%. The stock trades on a trailing P/E of 39.0. Fundamentals as of Jul 18, 2026
Our scenario range runs from A$0.1400 (bear case) to A$0.2300 (bull case); at A$0.4000, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 57% below its 52-week high and 13% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at -16% fair-value upside, at -53%, WJL screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 14 models by family
Widest divergence: Asset-Based (A$0.2300) versus Earnings-Based (A$0.0700). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 18, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 51 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 8
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Webjet Group Limited engages in B2C online travel business. It offers Webjet OTA, an online travel agency that enables customers to compare, combine, and book domestic and international travel flight deals, hotel accommodation, holiday package deals, travel insurance, and car hire worldwide.
Full company description
Webjet Group Limited engages in B2C online travel business. It offers Webjet OTA, an online travel agency that enables customers to compare, combine, and book domestic and international travel flight deals, hotel accommodation, holiday package deals, travel insurance, and car hire worldwide. It also provides Airport Rentals, a car rental booking; Motorhome Republic that compares motorhome rental brands; Webjet Business Travel, a tech-first, client-centric corporate travel provider for Australian and New Zealand; and Trip Ninja, a technology which automates the manual process of selling multi-stop travel itineraries. Webjet Group Limited was founded in 1998 and is based in Melbourne, Australia. Webjet Group Limited was formerly a subsidiary of Webjet Limited.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2024 – FY2026 · reported fiscal years
Webjet Group reported revenue of A$136M in FY2026 versus A$150M in FY2024, a compound −4.5%/yr. Reported net income was A$3.5M in FY2026.
WJL screens 53% overvalued. Compare with Booking Holdings →
Peer Group
Travel Services · 90 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Travel Services median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Travel Services stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 18, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Booking Holdings BKNG | $182.80 | $152.94 | -16% |
| Airbnb, Inc ABNB | $148.62 | $57.47 | -61% |
| Royal Caribbean Cruises Ltd RCL | $286.96 | $215.19 | -25% |
| Viking Holdings VIK | $100.69 | $43.51 | -57% |
| Carnival Corporation CCL | $26.41 | $31.36 | +19% |
| Expedia Group EXPE | $268.77 | $248.63 | -7% |
| Trip.com Group TCOM | $42.45 | $88.82 | +109% |
| Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings NCLH | $19.46 | $20.28 | +4% |
| Global Business Travel Group GBTG | $9.40 | $4.17 | -56% |
| Travel + Leisure Co TNL | $73.27 | $27.29 | -63% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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