Willdan Group Inc (WLDN) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 23, 2026: fair value of Willdan Group Inc $87.88, price $81.36, upside +8.0%, quality 60 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $11.59 – $134.94 · fair‑value band $53.16 – $116.49 · the $81.36 price screens below the $87.88 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.
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Willdan Group, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, provides professional, technical, and consulting services through engineering, program management, policy advisory, and software and data analytics primarily in the United States. The company operates in two segments: Energy, and Engineering and Consulting.
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Willdan Group, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, provides professional, technical, and consulting services through engineering, program management, policy advisory, and software and data analytics primarily in the United States. The company operates in two segments: Energy, and Engineering and Consulting. The Energy segment offers comprehensive audit and surveys, program design and implementation, master planning, demand reduction, grid optimization, benchmarking analyses, design engineering, AI data center power solutions, construction management, performance contracting, installation, alternative financing, measurement and verification services, and software and data analytics, as well as energy consulting and engineering, turnkey facility and infrastructure projects, and customer support services. The Engineering and Consulting segment provides building and safety, city engineering and code enforcement, development review, disaster recovery, geotechnical, earthquake, planning and surveying, contract staff support, program and construction management, structures, transportation and traffic engineering, and water resources services. This segment also offers district administration, financial consulting, and federal compliance services. It serves investor and municipal owned energy utilities, public and governmental agencies, including cities, counties, redevelopment agencies, water districts, school districts, and universities; state and federal agencies; and commercial and industrial firms, as well as various other special districts and agencies. Willdan Group, Inc. was founded in 1964 and is headquartered in Anaheim, California.
Stock analysis
Willdan Group Inc (WLDN) currently trades at $81.36, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $87.88, implying the stock looks roughly 7.4% fairly valued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of $84.39 per share, and 9 of the 24 models we run sit above the $81.36 price.
Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at $13.52, and 15 of the 24 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.
Scenario range: $53.16 (bear) to $116.49 (bull), the price of $81.36 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 60/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector.
Healthy Growth: Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Willdan Group Inc reported revenue of $682M in FY2025 versus $354M in FY2021, a compound +17.8%/yr. Reported net income was $52.6M in FY2025.
Key figures
Market cap $1.2B · P/E ratio 21.9 · P/S ratio 1.69 · EPS (TTM) $3.72 · Net margin 7.7% · Return on equity 20.3% · Return on assets (EBIT) 3.2% · Operating margin 4.7%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 52 out of 100 (medium confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 40% below its 52-week high and 22% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at −31% fair-value upside, at 8%, WLDN screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear $53.16Fair Value $87.88Bull $116.49
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then ($2.72 per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.90/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Revenue growth 1 year
+20.5%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+16.7%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+11.8%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +17.6% a year
Revenue growth 22 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+12.2%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
≈ +53.3%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+53.3%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.0%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.53% vs 14%, picking up
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.−4% → 7%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
⚠ Approximate: the rate leans on 2025, which sits 192% above its own trend.
Growth Forecast
Price in line with expectations
The price assumes about as much growth as the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+10.9%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
After inflation (USA: IMF forecast 2.4% a year to 2030, 3.1% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +8.3% a year for the price.
News mood ⓘNews mood, the average tone of recent news (98 articles), rated against how stocks are usually covered. 🚀 Hype = unusually upbeat · 🙂 Positive = above average · 😐 Neutral = typical · 🙁 Negative = below average · 😨 Very negative = unusually downbeat. It reflects the tone of coverage, not our valuation.Hype
Recent news coverage is unusually upbeat, far more positive than stocks are typically covered.
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Engineering & Construction · 822 stocks
Beats the industry median on 6/14 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score60 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside+10% · Above median
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)20% · Top 25%
Return on assets6% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM)8% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM)5% · Below median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth2% · Below median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.15× · Above median
Valuation Multiplesvs Engineering & Construction median · lower = cheaper
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Willdan Group Inc Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/WLDN
Frequently asked questions
Is Willdan Group Inc (WLDN) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 23, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $87.88 versus a price of $81.36, about +8% upside (fairly valued).
What is the fair value of WLDN?
Our model-based fair value for Willdan Group Inc is $87.88 (as of Sep 23, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $81.36.
What is the quality score of WLDN?
Willdan Group Inc has a Quality Score of 60/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Willdan Group Inc (WLDN)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $87.88 (as of Sep 23, 2026) from 24 valuation models. Cautious scenario $53.16, optimistic scenario $116.49. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Willdan Group Inc stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $87.88, about +8% upside versus a price of $81.36 (fairly valued). Cautious scenario $53.16, optimistic scenario $116.49. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Willdan Group Inc (WLDN)?
Willdan Group Inc reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $684M (latest available figure, as of Sep 23, 2026).
What growth is priced into Willdan Group Inc (WLDN)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Willdan Group Inc would have to grow free cash flow by +10.9 % per year for five years (discount rate 11.5 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +11.8 % per year. As of Sep 23, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of WLDN use?
Our models discount Willdan Group Inc at 11.5 %: a base by market capitalisation (small), damped by beta 1.11, country premium for USA. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Willdan Group Inc that is +10.9 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (11.5 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Willdan Group Inc (WLDN) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Willdan Group Inc grew +11.8 % a year. The price currently implies +10.9 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Willdan Group Inc (WLDN) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +4.7 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Willdan Group Inc (+10.9 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Willdan Group Inc (WLDN)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 5.77 %: that much free cash flow Willdan Group Inc produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (11.5 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Willdan Group Inc (WLDN)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Willdan Group Inc it is $87.88 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026), against a price of $81.36. It is the blended result of 24 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Willdan Group Inc stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 23, 2026, WLDN trades below its calculated fair value: price $81.36, fair value $87.88, a gap of about +8% (fairly valued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of WLDN?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($81.36); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($87.88). For Willdan Group Inc the two are $6.52 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Willdan Group Inc worth?
The market values Willdan Group Inc at about $1.2B (market capitalisation, as of Sep 23, 2026). Per share that is $81.36; our models calculate a fair value of $87.88 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about WLDN?
Our models span a range for Willdan Group Inc: cautious scenario $53.16, base $87.88, optimistic $116.49 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026, price $81.36). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of WLDN?
Willdan Group Inc trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 21.9 (as of Sep 23, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of $87.88 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: PEG 0.5, P/B 4.0, P/S 1.8, EV/EBITDA 18.5.
What is the PEG ratio of WLDN?
The PEG ratio of Willdan Group Inc is 0.48 (P/E divided by earnings growth, as of Sep 23, 2026). That is below 1, so growth is priced more cheaply than the earnings multiple alone suggests.
How solid is the balance sheet of Willdan Group Inc (WLDN)?
Balance-sheet figures for Willdan Group Inc (as of Sep 23, 2026): return on equity 20.3%, debt of 0.15 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 60/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is WLDN from its 52-week high?
Willdan Group Inc trades at $81.36, about 40% below its 52-week high of $134.94 and 22% above the low of $66.91 (as of Sep 23, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $87.88 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Willdan Group Inc?
From the same area (Industrials) we also value Quanta Services, Inc, Vinci SA, Comfort Systems USA, Inc, Larsen & Toubro Limited, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Willdan Group Inc stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 23, 2026: price $81.36, calculated fair value $87.88 (+8%), Quality Score 60/100, from 24 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of WLDN calculated?
We run Willdan Group Inc through 24 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $87.88, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.1 % above its aggregate fair value. Willdan Group Inc currently trades 8 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Willdan Group Inc (WLDN)?
The closing price on Sep 23, 2026 was $81.36. Our model-based fair value is $87.88, about +8% upside (fairly valued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Willdan Group Inc right now?
The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension. A fairly wide model range ($53.16 to $116.49) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Key figures of Willdan Group Inc
How large is the market capitalisation of Willdan Group Inc (WLDN)?
The market capitalisation of Willdan Group Inc is $1.2B. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Willdan Group Inc (WLDN)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Willdan Group Inc is 1.69 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Willdan Group Inc (WLDN)?
Earnings per share at Willdan Group Inc are $3.72 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 21.9). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Willdan Group Inc (WLDN)?
The net margin of Willdan Group Inc is 7.7% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Willdan Group Inc (WLDN)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Willdan Group Inc is 20.3% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Willdan Group Inc (WLDN)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Willdan Group Inc is 3.2% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Willdan Group Inc (WLDN)?
The operating margin of Willdan Group Inc is 4.7% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Willdan Group Inc (WLDN)?
Revenue at Willdan Group Inc is growing +1.8% versus a year earlier (3y avg +16.7%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Willdan Group Inc (WLDN)?
Earnings per share at Willdan Group Inc are growing +71.9% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does Willdan Group Inc (WLDN) carry?
The net debt of Willdan Group Inc is $3.4M (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 0.0 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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Broad data
Sep 23, 2026