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George Weston Limited (WNGRF) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Oct 2, 2026: fair value of George Weston Limited $110, price $70.22, upside +56.2%, quality 46 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
- Fair value above price? Yes
- Good quality? No
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Some data
Sep 29, 2026
Some data
Sep 29, 2026
George Weston Limited
WNGRF · USCheap, value-trap riskThe stock looks deeply undervalued, but low quality raises value-trap risk.
✓Fair value $109.67 · Strongly undervalued (+56.2%)
!Quality 46/100
✓Healthy Growth (revenue 5y +3.3 %/yr)
!Thin margins · 1.8% net margin (TTM)
!High debt · generates free cash flow
✓1.7% dividend yield · Well covered
!Moderate moat 50/100
!Evidence only medium, so the estimate is less certain
What runs behind every stock
26
valuation models
8 families, DCF to NCAV
37
quality factors
margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt
6
AI factors
moat, what no ratio measures
2,000+
data points
verified, per stock, median
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 29, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $18.27 – $75.81 · fair‑value band $65.06 – $152.92 · the $70.22 price screens below the $109.67 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 29, 2026.
Company profile
George Weston Limited provides food and drug retailing, and financial services in Canada. The company operates in two segments, Loblaw Companies Limited (Loblaw) and Choice Properties Real Estate Investment Trust (Choice Properties).
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George Weston Limited provides food and drug retailing, and financial services in Canada. The company operates in two segments, Loblaw Companies Limited (Loblaw) and Choice Properties Real Estate Investment Trust (Choice Properties). The Loblaw segment provides grocery, corporate and franchise-owned retail food, and associate-owned drug stores, including in-store pharmacies, health care services, health and beauty products, apparel, and other general merchandise. This segment offers credit card and banking services, guaranteed investment certificates, loyalty program, insurance brokerage services, and telecommunication services. The Choice Properties segment owns, develops, and manages commercial and residential properties, which are leased to necessity-based tenants and logistics providers. The company markets its products under the Shoppers Drug Mart, Joe Fresh, President's Choice Bank, PC Financial, no name, Farmer's Market, T&T, Life Brand, and PC Optimum brands. The company was founded in 1882 and is based in Toronto, Canada. George Weston Limited is a subsidiary of Wittington Investments, Limited.
Stock analysis
George Weston Limited (WNGRF) currently trades at $70.22, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $109.67, implying the stock looks roughly 36.0% undervalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of $91.44 per share, and 12 of the 25 models we run sit above the $70.22 price.
Bear case: the Dividend Discount group reads lowest at $12.30, and 13 of the 25 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is medium.
Scenario range: $65.06 (bear) to $152.92 (bull), the price of $70.22 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 46/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector.
Healthy Growth: Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
George Weston Limited reported revenue of C$64.5B in FY2025 versus C$53.7B in FY2021, a compound +4.6%/yr. Reported net income was C$1.1B in FY2025, compounding +27.6%/yr from FY2021. FY2021 was a trough year, so the rate overstates the trend.
Key figures
Market cap $27.2B · P/E ratio 36.8 · P/S ratio 0.65 · EPS (TTM) $1.91 · Dividend yield 1.7% · Net margin 1.8% · Return on equity 19.4% · Return on assets (EBIT) 9.3%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 47 out of 100 (medium confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 7% below its 52-week high and 17% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at −29% fair-value upside, at 56%, WNGRF screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear $65.06
Fair Value $109.67
Bull $152.92
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then ($0.5429 per share) are deliberately not added.
Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.
Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
FCF DCF
$56.87
$91.44
$140.77
79
Growth DCF
$59.14
$91.28
$135.17
78
Residual Income
$12.83
$15.68
$23.49
75
All 25 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF
$56.87
$91.44
$140.77
79
Owner Earnings
$21.85
$40.86
$67.98
74
5Y Revenue Exit
$67.14
$116.19
$176.83
71
5Y EBITDA Exit
$91.22
$159.02
$235.02
74
5Y P/E Exit
$25.97
$42.94
$59.47
70
10Y Revenue Exit
$59.70
$102.79
$156.47
66
10Y EBITDA Exit
$77.62
$131.74
$198.89
67
10Y P/E Exit
$36.84
$53.27
$70.94
64
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd
$14.45
$33.94
$43.68
65
PEG = 1.0
$5.83
$8.33
$10.83
57
EPV
$61.37
$75.09
$87.09
74
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM
$8.30
$14.28
$21.58
67
DDM Multi-Stage
$8.30
$12.30
$16.71
66
Multiples
P/E Multiple
$33.46
$44.61
$55.77
63
P/S Multiple
$27.09
$36.12
$45.15
58
P/B Multiple
$27.09
$36.12
$45.15
55
EV/EBIT
$119.38
$166.14
$212.91
66
EV/EBITDA
$129.53
$179.69
$229.84
67
EV/Revenue
$79.21
$122.13
$165.04
53
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham)
$4.91
$6.58
$9.82
54
Growth DCF
Growth DCF
$59.14
$91.28
$135.17
78
Rev-Margin DCF
$67.14
$116.77
$169.78
72
Economic Profit
Residual Income
$12.83
$15.68
$23.49
75
ROIC Compounder
$64.68
$83.28
$102.77
72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E
$25.32
$36.18
$47.03
67
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Set up alert →Quality Score breakdown
Overall quality
46/100
Of which business quality 44 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 75
Profitability
58
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth
50
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow
54
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength
20
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment
94
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility
86
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum
61
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum
88
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance
0
Share count: buybacks or dilution?
Revenue & earnings trend
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.
65/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Revenue growth 1 year
+4.6%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+4.2%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+3.3%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +3.2% a year
Revenue growth 30 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+5.5%
’14
’15
’16
’17
’18
’19
’20
’21
’22
’23
’24
’25
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
+2.3%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+0.6%
Dividend (yield on the price)1.7%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.0.6% vs −3.3%, picking up
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.5% → 9%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
Growth Forecast
Price in line with expectations
The price assumes about as much growth as the company has delivered so far and about what analysts expect.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+0.8%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect ⓘAnalysts publish sales forecasts for the next two fiscal years. For the years after that, growth slows evenly to 2 % a year by year ten (2 % is the long-run rate our models use). Projected years are marked as such.
+3.4%
Yearly sales growth analysts expect, extended to five years.
After inflation (figures in CAD, Canada: IMF forecast 2.1% a year to 2030, 2.6% from 2016 to 2025) that is about −1.3% a year for the price and +1.3% for the forecasts.
Forecast 2026 (sales)+2.7%
Forecast 2027 (sales)+3.9%
Projected 2028 (sales)+3.7%
Projected 2029 (sales)+3.5%
Projected 2030 (sales)+3.2%
Watch WNGRF, get fair value alerts →
Earlier news
News mood ⓘNews mood, the average tone of recent news (84 articles), rated against how stocks are usually covered. 🚀 Hype = unusually upbeat · 🙂 Positive = above average · 😐 Neutral = typical · 🙁 Negative = below average · 😨 Very negative = unusually downbeat. It reflects the tone of coverage, not our valuation.
Neutral
Recent news coverage is roughly neutral, about typical for how stocks are covered.
- George Weston Ltd's Dividend Analysis
- George Weston Limited Reports Adjusted Diluted Net Earnings Per Common Share Growth of 12.9% in the Second Quarter
- We Think George Weston's (TSE:WN) Healthy Earnings Might Be Conservative
- George Weston Limited Announces Normal Course Issuer Bid
Compare George Weston Limited with another stock
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Context: sector, industry, market
- P/E, EV/EBITDA and margins by industry (reference tables)
- Undervalued stocks: US Stocks
- Valuation of the USA market
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
None of the checked exposures detected
Similar stocks
10 more Grocery Stores stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Loblaw Companies Limited L | C$62.71 | C$44.76 | −29% |
| The Kroger Co KR | $60.79 | $30.42 | −50% |
| Woolworths Group WOW | A$38.35 | A$19.56 | −49% |
| Koninklijke Ahold Delhaize N.V AD | €31.50 | €53.98 | +71% |
| Metro Inc MRU | C$89.95 | C$96.77 | +8% |
| Carrefour SA CA | €15.33 | €20.64 | +35% |
| CP ALL Public Company CPALL | 43.00 THB | 58.21 THB | +35% |
| Kesko Oyj KESKOB | €22.94 | €12.99 | −43% |
| BIM Birlesik Magazalar A.S., BIMAS | 424.75 TRY | 247.71 TRY | −42% |
| Dino Polska S.A DNP | 35.41 PLN | 8.90 PLN | −75% |
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Frequently asked questions
Is George Weston Limited (WNGRF) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 29, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $109.67 versus a price of $70.22, about +56% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of WNGRF?
Our model-based fair value for George Weston Limited is $109.67 (as of Sep 29, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $70.22.
What is the quality score of WNGRF?
George Weston Limited has a Quality Score of 46/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for George Weston Limited (WNGRF)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $109.67 (as of Sep 29, 2026) from 25 valuation models. Cautious scenario $65.06, optimistic scenario $152.92. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the George Weston Limited stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $109.67, about +56% upside versus a price of $70.22 (undervalued). Cautious scenario $65.06, optimistic scenario $152.92. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of George Weston Limited (WNGRF)?
George Weston Limited reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about C$65.1B (latest available figure, as of Sep 29, 2026).
Does George Weston Limited pay a dividend?
George Weston Limited currently shows a dividend yield of about 1.70% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 29, 2026).
What growth is priced into George Weston Limited (WNGRF)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, George Weston Limited would have to grow free cash flow by +0.8 % per year for five years (discount rate 8.1 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +3.3 % per year. As of Sep 29, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of WNGRF use?
Our models discount George Weston Limited at 8.1 %: a base by market capitalisation (large), damped by beta 0.51, country premium for USA. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For George Weston Limited that is +0.8 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (8.1 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has George Weston Limited (WNGRF) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at George Weston Limited grew +3.3 % a year. The price currently implies +0.8 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of George Weston Limited (WNGRF) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +3.0 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into George Weston Limited (+0.8 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of George Weston Limited (WNGRF)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 8.34 %: that much free cash flow George Weston Limited produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (8.1 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of George Weston Limited (WNGRF)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For George Weston Limited it is $109.67 per share (as of Sep 29, 2026), against a price of $70.22. It is the blended result of 25 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is George Weston Limited stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 29, 2026, WNGRF trades below its calculated fair value: price $70.22, fair value $109.67, a gap of about +56% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of WNGRF?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($70.22); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($109.67). For George Weston Limited the two are $39.45 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is George Weston Limited worth?
The market values George Weston Limited at about $27.2B (market capitalisation, as of Sep 29, 2026). Per share that is $70.22; our models calculate a fair value of $109.67 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about WNGRF?
Our models span a range for George Weston Limited: cautious scenario $65.06, base $109.67, optimistic $152.92 per share (as of Sep 29, 2026, price $70.22). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How far is WNGRF from its 52-week high?
George Weston Limited trades at $70.22, about 7% below its 52-week high of $75.81 and 17% above the low of $59.85 (as of Oct 2, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $109.67 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to George Weston Limited?
From the same area (Consumer Defensive) we also value Loblaw Companies Limited, The Kroger Co, Woolworths Group, Koninklijke Ahold Delhaize N.V, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is George Weston Limited stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 29, 2026: price $70.22, calculated fair value $109.67 (+56%), Quality Score 46/100, from 25 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of WNGRF calculated?
We run George Weston Limited through 25 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $109.67, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.5 % above its aggregate fair value. George Weston Limited currently trades 36 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of George Weston Limited (WNGRF)?
The closing price on Oct 2, 2026 was $70.22. Our model-based fair value is $109.67, about +56% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with George Weston Limited right now?
Solid quality (46/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality. A fairly wide model range ($65.06 to $152.92) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Where does the earnings growth of George Weston Limited (WNGRF) come from?
Earnings per share at George Weston Limited grew +7.8 % a year from 2014 to 2025. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share −2.7 %, EBIT margin +8.7 %, tax rate −0.1 %, residual (interest, one-offs) +2.0 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.
Key figures of George Weston Limited
How large is the market capitalisation of George Weston Limited (WNGRF)?
The market capitalisation of George Weston Limited is $27.2B. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/E ratio of George Weston Limited (WNGRF)?
The price-to-earnings ratio of George Weston Limited is 36.8. Price to earnings: how many years of current profit you pay for the stock. A P/E of 10 means ten years of profit.
What is the P/S ratio of George Weston Limited (WNGRF)?
The price-to-sales ratio of George Weston Limited is 0.65 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of George Weston Limited (WNGRF)?
Earnings per share at George Weston Limited are $1.91 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 36.8). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of George Weston Limited (WNGRF)?
The dividend yield of George Weston Limited is 1.7% (payout 62.4%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of George Weston Limited (WNGRF)?
The net margin of George Weston Limited is 1.8% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of George Weston Limited (WNGRF)?
The return on equity (ROE) of George Weston Limited is 19.4% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of George Weston Limited (WNGRF)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of George Weston Limited is 9.3% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of George Weston Limited (WNGRF)?
The operating margin of George Weston Limited is 7.9% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at George Weston Limited (WNGRF)?
Revenue at George Weston Limited is growing +4.2% versus a year earlier (3y avg +4.2%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at George Weston Limited (WNGRF)?
Earnings per share at George Weston Limited are growing +30.8% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does George Weston Limited (WNGRF) carry?
The net debt of George Weston Limited is C$18.1B (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 5.6 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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