Woolworths Group (WOLWF) Fair Value & Analysis
Consumer Defensive · US · Market cap $26.0B
Woolworths Group
WOLWF · US
Fair value as of: Jun 25, 2026
From 21 valuation models · updated 27 days ago
Share price +11.2% over the past month.
Price vs Fair Value (12 months)
12‑month range $15.57 – $30.16 · fair‑value band $6.94 – $11.57 · the $30.16 price screens above the $9.26 fair value. As of Jun 25, 2026.
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Woolworths Group (WOLWF) currently trades at $30.16, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $9.26, implying the stock looks roughly 69.3% overvalued today. We read business quality at 67/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).
Over the trailing twelve months, Woolworths Group generated revenue of $70.3B at a net margin of 0.9%. Revenue grew 3.4% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 11.9%. Net debt stands at $16.1B. Fundamentals as of Jun 25, 2026
Our scenario range runs from $6.94 (bear case) to $11.57 (bull case); at $30.16, the current price sits above that range. The share trades near its 52-week high and 94% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at 23% fair-value upside, at -69%, WOLWF screens richer than that median.
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals (EODHD) · as of Jun 25, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
About the company
Woolworths Group Limited operates retail stores in Australia and New Zealand. The company operates through Australian Food, Australian B2B, New Zealand Food, W Living, and Other segments. The Australian Food segment procures and resells food and related products; and provides services to customers in Australia. The Australian B2B segment engages in procurement and distribution of food and related products for resale to other businesses, as well as provision of supply chain services to business customers in Australia. The New Zealand Food segment is involved in the procurement of food, drinks, household essentials and related products; and provides services to retail customers in New Zealand. W Living segment procures general merchandise products to customers in Australia. The Other segment operates Quantium retail store. The company was formerly known as Woolworths Limited and changed its name to Woolworths Group Limited in December 2017. Woolworths Group Limited was incorporated …
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Woolworths Group reported revenue of $69.1B in FY2025 versus $55.7B in FY2021, a compound +5.5%/yr. Reported net income was $963M in FY2025, compounding −17.5%/yr from FY2021.
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Recent news
- Woolworths (WLWHY) Moves to Buy: Rationale Behind the Upgrade
- Cato Gains 24% in the Past Year: Should You Buy the Stock?
- Woolworths Group (ASX:WOW) Is Down 9.9% After Cutting Margin Guidance Amid Rising Cost Pressures
- Assessing Woolworths Group’s Valuation After Recent Share Price Moves And Lofty P/E Multiple
External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection, not financial advice.
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|---|---|---|---|
| Loblaw Companies Limited L | C$65.53 | C$40.13 | -39% |
| Koninklijke Ahold Delhaize N.V AHODF | $41.10 | $61.32 | +49% |
| Tesco PLC TSCDF | $5.94 | $7.90 | +33% |
| The Kroger Co KR | $55.76 | $34.60 | -38% |
| Seven & i Holdings SVNDF | $12.35 | $15.18 | +23% |
| George Weston Limited WN | C$100.68 | C$77.02 | -24% |
| Coles Group COL | A$22.21 | A$12.76 | -43% |
| CP ALL Public Company CVPUF | $1.30 | $1.60 | +23% |
| Metro Inc MRU | C$93.75 | C$81.49 | -13% |
| Carrefour SA CA | €16.33 | €23.19 | +42% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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Not financial advice · no buy/sell recommendation. Model-based estimates are not certainties; their reliability depends on data quality and assumptions.