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Wynnstay Group (WYN) Fair Value & Analysis

Basic Materials · GB · Market cap 84.6M GBX

WG Wynnstay Group WYN · LSE
Price£3.68
Fair Value£4.16
Upside+13.2%
Quality55/100
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Mixed Growth
Thin margins · 0.5% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
4.86% dividend yield
Mixed vs. peers (6/14)
Narrow moat 28/100
Evidence: High Range £2.31 – £4.35 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 16, 2026

From 25 valuation models · updated 25 days ago

Fair value updated Jul 16, 2026, revised from £4.23 to £4.16 (−1.6%) since Jun 24, 2026.

A solid business, screening 13% undervalued on our models.

What matters now

  • A fairly wide model range (£2.31 to £4.35) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
  • Our model range runs from £2.31 (bear) to £4.35 (bull), base £4.16. The closer the price sits to the lower half, the larger the margin of safety.
  • Quality 55/100 (solid quality) with high evidence: the data supports the verdict.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

£5.11 £2.44 Fair Value £4.16 May 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 16, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range £2.44 – £5.11 · fair‑value band £2.31 – £4.35 · the £3.68 price screens below the £4.16 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 16, 2026.

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Analysis

Wynnstay Group (WYN) currently trades at £3.68, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is £4.16, implying the stock looks roughly 13.2% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 55/100 (solid quality), in the Basic Materials sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, Wynnstay Group generated revenue of £583M at a net margin of 0.4%. Revenue declined 2.1% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 1.7%. Net debt stands at £3.3M. Fundamentals as of Jul 16, 2026

Our scenario range runs from £2.31 (bear case) to £4.35 (bull case); at £3.68, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at -13% fair-value upside, at 13%, WYN screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF £2.12 £2.45 £2.83 80
Residual Income £3.66 £3.40 £2.30 76
ROIC Compounder £3.47 £3.75 £3.97 72
All 25 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF £2.12 £2.50 £2.98 38
Owner Earnings £2.38 £2.86 £3.47 31
5Y Revenue Exit £3.36 £4.97 £7.05 39
5Y EBITDA Exit £4.07 £6.30 £8.93 41
5Y P/E Exit £2.20 £2.80 £3.42 38
10Y Revenue Exit £2.71 £3.90 £5.53 36
10Y EBITDA Exit £3.17 £4.69 £6.75 37
10Y P/E Exit £2.15 £2.61 £3.16 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd £0.6800 £2.13 £2.84 54
Lynch FV £0.4700 £0.6700 £0.8700 50
PEG = 1.0 £0.4700 £0.6700 £0.8700 46
EPV £3.47 £3.75 £3.97 59
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM £1.23 £2.06 £2.67 70
DDM Multi-Stage £1.23 £1.86 £2.21 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple £1.27 £1.69 £2.11 63
P/S Multiple £1.27 £1.69 £2.11 58
P/B Multiple £1.27 £1.69 £2.11 55
EV/EBIT £5.02 £6.32 £7.61 53
EV/EBITDA £6.18 £7.85 £9.53 54
EV/Revenue £4.51 £5.95 £7.39 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) £2.88 £3.86 £5.77 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF £2.12 £2.45 £2.83 80
Economic Profit
Residual Income £3.66 £3.40 £2.30 76
ROIC Compounder £3.47 £3.75 £3.97 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E £1.08 £1.54 £2.00 68

Widest divergence: Asset-Based (£3.86) versus Earnings-Based (£0.6700). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 583M GBX
Revenue growth (YoY) -2.1%
Net margin 0.4%
Return on equity 1.7%
Free cash flow 2.7M GBX FY2025
P/E ratio 36.0
More key figures
Operating margin 1.4%
EPS (TTM) £0.1000
Dividend yield 4.9%
EPS growth (YoY) +31.6%
Net debt 3.3M GBX FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 16, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 55/100

Of which business quality 55 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 63

Profitability 45
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 31
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 34
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 75
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 99
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 90
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 48
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 60
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 59
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Wynnstay Group Plc manufactures and supplies agricultural products and services in the United Kingdom. It operates through three segments: Feed and Grain, Arable, and Stores.

Full company description

Wynnstay Group Plc manufactures and supplies agricultural products and services in the United Kingdom. It operates through three segments: Feed and Grain, Arable, and Stores. The company offers feed and animal nutrition products to range of sectors, including dairy, beef, sheep, and poultry; feed raw materials; nutrition products in compounded, blended, and meal forms; grain and combinable crop marketing services; and seed, fertilizer and agrochemicals to arable and grassland farmers. It also operates feed mills and blending plants; and stores that offer agricultural supplies, animal health products, farm hardware, clothing, feed, and rural living essentials, as well as distributes equine and pet products; and acts as grain, feed, and fertilizer merchants. Wynnstay Group Plc was founded in 1917 and is headquartered in Llansantffraid-ym-Mechain, the United Kingdom.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Wynnstay Group reported revenue of £583M in FY2025 versus £500M in FY2021, a compound +3.9%/yr. Reported net income was £2.3M in FY2025, compounding −28.9%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 61/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
£583M
Latest YoY
−4.8%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−6.5%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+6.2%
Avg. growth/yr (24Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+8.7%
Revenue +3.9%/yr
FY21 £500M
FY22 £713M
FY23 £736M
FY24 £613M
FY25 £583M
Net income −28.9%/yr
FY21 £8.9M
FY22 £17.1M
FY23 £6.9M
FY24 £2.8M
FY25 £2.3M
Character of growth · EPS growth decomposed (2014-2025) −7.0 % p.a.
Revenue per share +3.8 pp

of which total revenue +6.0 pp · buybacks/dilution −2.2 pp

EBIT margin −6.6 pp
Tax rate −0.7 pp
Residual (interest, one-offs) −3.6 pp

Absolute contributions in percentage points per year; they sum to the EPS growth rate. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Wynnstay Group Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/WYN

Peer Group

Agricultural Inputs · 179 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 55 · Above median
Fair Value upside +13% · Above median
Return on equity (TTM) 2% · Below median
Return on assets 3% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) 1% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM) 2% · Below median
Revenue growth -0% · Below median
Dividend yield (TTM) 4.9% · Top 25%

Valuation Multiples vs Agricultural Inputs median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 30.6× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/B 0.86× · Cheaper than median
P/S (TTM) 0.20× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/FCF 42.7× · Pricier than 75% of peers
EV/EBITDA 7.7× · Pricier than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 51 · sector 21
FUTURE 0 · sector 37
PAST 9 · sector 24
HEALTH 100 · sector 97
DIVIDEND 97 · sector 33

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Agricultural Inputs stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 16, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Corteva, Inc CTVA $86.07 $27.81 -68%
Nutrien Ltd NTR C$94.23 C$81.69 -13%
Qinghai Salt Lake Industry Co 000792 ¥24.93 ¥21.26 -15%
CF Industries Holdings CF $119.19 $161.00 +35%
SABIC Agri-Nutrients Company 2020 122.90 SAR 127.31 SAR +4%
Yara International ASA YAR kr 451.30 kr 67.25 -85%
Yunnan Yuntianhua Co 600096 ¥30.17 ¥42.12 +40%
Asia-potash International Investment (Guangzhou)Co.,Ltd., 000893 ¥42.59 ¥38.01 -11%
Coromandel International Limited COROMANDEL ₹2,034 ₹1,129 -44%
UPL Limited UPL ₹594.75 ₹387.06 -35%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Wynnstay Group (WYN) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 16, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of £4.16 versus a price of £3.68, about +13% (undervalued).
What is the fair value of WYN?
Our model-based fair value for Wynnstay Group is £4.16 (as of Jul 16, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is £3.68.
What is the quality score of WYN?
Wynnstay Group has a Quality Score of 55/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Wynnstay Group (WYN)?
Wynnstay Group reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about £583M (latest available figure, as of Jul 16, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of WYN?
The net profit margin of Wynnstay Group is about 0.4%, meaning it keeps roughly 0.4% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Wynnstay Group pay a dividend?
Wynnstay Group currently shows a dividend yield of about 4.88% relative to its recent price (as of Jul 16, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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