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Xcel Brands Inc (XELB) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Nov 10, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of Xcel Brands Inc stock $0.43, price $0.43, that is 1.0% below the price, quality 27 out of 100. Rating: fairly valued. The value is an estimate: none of our valuation models currently carries, it draws on revenue and assets compared with similar companies. Updated daily.

EstimateBear $0.3202 to bull $0.5337 Growth analysisrevenue history, year by year Quality 27/100 in detail37 factors, each one shown Compared with its peersrank on every measure, side by side

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Consumer Cyclical US

Thin data Nov 10, 2026

Xcel Brands Inc

XELB · US

Fairly valued, weak quality

The stock costs about what our calculation considers fair.

Fair value $0.4269 · Fairly valued

Moderate debt

Insiders bought $34,120 (6M)

Revenue last quarter 15% below a year ago.

Quality 27/100

Weak Growth (revenue 5y −30.0 %/yr in USD)

Negative free cash flow

Trails peers (2/9)

Narrow moat 5/100 · thin data

Thin data

Estimate

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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Nov 10, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $0.3388 – $24.75 · fair‑value band $0.3202 – $0.5337 · the $0.4310 price screens above the $0.4269 fair value. As of Nov 10, 2026.

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Company profile

Xcel Brands, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, operates as a media and consumer products company in North America.

Show moreShow less

The company engages in the design, licensing, marketing, live streaming, and social commerce sale of branded apparel, footwear, accessories, fine jewelry, home goods, and other consumer products. Its brand portfolio includes Halston, Judith Ripka, C Wonder, Longaberger, and TowerHill.

The company promotes and sells its products through interactive television, digital live-stream shopping, social commerce, brick-and-mortar retailers, and e-commerce channels. Xcel Brands, Inc. was founded in 2011 and is based in New York, New York.

Stock analysis

Xcel Brands Inc (XELB) currently trades at $0.4310, while our estimate is $0.4269, so the stock looks roughly fairly valued today (gap 1.0%).

Valuation

None of our valuation models currently carries for this company, usually because of losses or heavy investment. The estimate draws on revenue and assets compared with similar companies and is less precise than a model-based fair value.

Scenario range: $0.3202 (bear) to $0.5337 (bull), the price of $0.4310 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 27/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector.

Weak Growth: Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.

Xcel Brands Inc reported revenue of $4.9M in FY2025 versus $37.9M in FY2021, a compound −39.9%/yr. Reported net income was −$17.5M in FY2025.

Key figures

Market cap $2.7M Micro · P/S ratio 0.54 · EPS (TTM) $−2.86 · Return on equity −92.1% · Return on assets (EBIT) −23.9% (5-year average) · Operating margin −138% · Revenue (TTM) $4.6M · Revenue growth (YoY) −15.1%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 5 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 82% below its 52-week high and 27% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at −4% fair-value upside, at −1%, XELB screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value

Bear $0.3202 Fair Value $0.4269 Bull $0.5337

Price $0.4310 · Downside -1.0%

Estimate. None of our valuation models currently carries for this company, usually because of losses or heavy investment. The estimate draws on revenue and assets compared with similar companies and is less precise than a model-based fair value.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 27/100

It rates the business: profits, how they develop, real cash, balance sheet, investing and share count.

Profitability 1

How much profit the company makes from its sales and capital

Quality Growth 11

Are margins and returns getting better?

Cashflow 0

Do the profits arrive as real cash?

Financial strength 35

Debt, balance sheet and risk of trouble

Investment 100

Does it invest with discipline instead of growing at any price?

Low Volatility 22

How calm the share price moves, does not count

Price momentum 0

Price momentum of the last 3 to 12 months, does not count

Near the 52-week high 2

Distance to the 52-week high, does not count

New shares 50

Buys back shares or issues new ones?

Open the full quality analysis →

Insider trades

In the last 6 months, one officer or director bought shares worth $34,120, on Aug 28, 2026.

BuyLoren Robert W DCEO and Chairman, Director, 10% owner5× since Dec 5, 2025: 168,966 shares, avg. $0.8696$146,935Aug 28, 2026
BuyMark DiSantoDirector50,000 shares at $0.3500$17,500Dec 5, 2025

Plus 5 other filings such as grants, option exercises or tax withholding. They are not market purchases or sales.

Sales are often planned (taxes, diversification, 10b5-1 plans). Purchases with their own money are seen as the stronger sign. For information only: not part of the quality score or Fair Value.

Source: SEC Form 4, as of Nov 10, 2026. All filings at the SEC ↗

Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 0/100

Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.

Revenue growth 1 year

−40.2%

Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.

−42.4%

Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.

−30.0%

Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: −15.8% a year

Revenue growth 24 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.

−8.1%

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Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.

−11.7% (2020) → −146.2% (2025)

What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss

not computed

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Apparel Manufacturing · 223 stocks

Beats the industry median on 2/8 measures

Overall it trails its industry peers.

Valuation

Quality Score 27 · Bottom 25%

Fair Value upside −1.0% · Below median

Profitability

Return on assets −44.8% · Bottom 25%

Operating margin (12 months) −138.3% · Bottom 25%

Growth and dividend

Revenue growth (quarter YoY) −15.1% · Bottom 25%

Balance sheet

Debt / equity 0.53× · Highest 25%

Valuation Multiplesvs Apparel Manufacturing median · lower = cheaper

P/B 0.15× · book value is mostly goodwill ⓘGoodwill and other intangible assets are larger than the equity. The book value mainly reflects prices paid for past acquisitions, so we do not rank this P/B against the peer group.

P/S (12 months) 0.58× · Cheaper than median

PEG 0.29× · Cheapest 25%

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

This stock

Sector peers

VALUE (fair-value potential)32 · sector 34

FUTURE (revenue growth)0 · sector 14

PAST (return on equity)0 · sector 20

HEALTH (low debt)74 · sector 98

DIVIDEND (yield)0 · sector 63

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Apparel Manufacturing stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock	Price	Fair Value	vs Fair Value	Compare
Hla Group 600398	¥6.10	¥11.97	+96%	vs XELB
Bosideng International Holdings 3998	HK$4.54	HK$7.49	+65%	vs XELB
Moncler S.p.A MONC	€44.53	€50.69	+14%	vs XELB
Kontoor Brands, Inc KTB	$82.79	$86.80	+5%	vs XELB
Gildan Activewear Inc GIL	$35.69	$34.12	−4%	vs XELB
LPP SA LPP	28,460 PLN	20,032 PLN	−30%	vs XELB
Levi Strauss & Co LEVI	$24.39	$16.24	−33%	vs XELB
Youngor Fashion Co 600177	¥8.46	¥5.59	−34%	vs XELB
Ralph Lauren Corporation RL	$399.61	$226.91	−43%	vs XELB
V.F. Corporation VFC	$20.74	$11.04	−47%	vs XELB

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Xcel Brands Inc: fair value per Fair Value Calculator

<a href="https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/XELB?utm_source=embed&amp;utm_medium=badge" target="_blank" rel="nofollow noopener"><img src="https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/embed/XELB.US.svg" width="360" height="84" alt="Xcel Brands Inc: fair value per Fair Value Calculator" style="border:0;max-width:100%" loading="lazy"></a>

Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Xcel Brands Inc Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/XELB

Frequently asked questions

Is Xcel Brands Inc (XELB) overvalued or undervalued?

As of Nov 10, 2026, our estimate of fair value is $0.4269 versus a price of $0.4310, about 1% lower (fairly valued).

What is the fair value of XELB?

Our estimate for Xcel Brands Inc is $0.4269 (as of Nov 10, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $0.4310.

What is the quality score of XELB?

Xcel Brands Inc has a Quality Score of 27/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.

What is the price target for Xcel Brands Inc (XELB)?

Our calculated price target is the estimate of $0.4269 (as of Nov 10, 2026). Cautious scenario $0.3202, optimistic scenario $0.5337. It is an estimate from revenue and assets compared with similar companies, because none of our valuation models currently carries, not an analyst target.

What is the Xcel Brands Inc stock forecast for 2026?

Our estimate puts fair value at $0.4269, about 1% lower versus a price of $0.4310 (fairly valued). Cautious scenario $0.3202, optimistic scenario $0.5337. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.

What is the revenue of Xcel Brands Inc (XELB)?

Xcel Brands Inc reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $4.6M (latest available figure, as of Nov 10, 2026).

What is the intrinsic value of Xcel Brands Inc (XELB)?

Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Xcel Brands Inc it is $0.4269 per share (as of Nov 10, 2026), against a price of $0.4310.

Is Xcel Brands Inc stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?

As of Nov 10, 2026, XELB trades above its calculated fair value: price $0.4310, fair value $0.4269, a gap of about −1% (fairly valued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.

Is fair value the same as the market price of XELB?

No. The price is what the market pays today ($0.4310); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($0.4269). For Xcel Brands Inc the two are $0.0041 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.

How much is Xcel Brands Inc worth?

The market values Xcel Brands Inc at about $2.7M (market capitalisation, as of Nov 10, 2026). Per share that is $0.4310; our models calculate a fair value of $0.4269 per share.

What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about XELB?

Our models span a range for Xcel Brands Inc: cautious scenario $0.3202, base $0.4269, optimistic $0.5337 per share (as of Nov 10, 2026, price $0.4310). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.

What is the PEG ratio of XELB?

The PEG ratio of Xcel Brands Inc is 0.29 (P/E divided by earnings growth, as of Nov 10, 2026). That is below 1, so growth is priced more cheaply than the earnings multiple alone suggests.

How solid is the balance sheet of Xcel Brands Inc (XELB)?

Balance-sheet figures for Xcel Brands Inc (as of Nov 10, 2026): return on equity −92.1%, debt of 0.53 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 27/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.

How far is XELB from its 52-week high?

Xcel Brands Inc trades at $0.4310, about 82% below its 52-week high of $2.43 and 27% above the low of $0.3388 (as of Nov 10, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $0.4269 is for.

Which stocks are comparable to Xcel Brands Inc?

From the same area (Consumer Cyclical) we also value Ralph Lauren Corporation, Moncler S.p.A, LPP SA, Levi Strauss & Co, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.

Is Xcel Brands Inc stock attractive at the current price?

The data as of Nov 10, 2026: price $0.4310, calculated fair value $0.4269 (−1%), Quality Score 27/100. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.

Is it still worth investing in stocks now?

The global stock market currently sits 15.1% above its aggregate fair value. Xcel Brands Inc itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.

What is the share price of Xcel Brands Inc (XELB)?

The closing price on Nov 10, 2026 was $0.4310. Our estimate is $0.4269, about 1% lower (fairly valued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.

What should I pay attention to with Xcel Brands Inc right now?

The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension. Evidence is limited here (fewer models, shorter history), so the fair value is a rougher estimate than usual.

Key figures of Xcel Brands Inc

How large is the market capitalisation of Xcel Brands Inc (XELB)?

The market capitalisation of Xcel Brands Inc is $2.7M. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.

What is the P/S ratio of Xcel Brands Inc (XELB)?

The price-to-sales ratio of Xcel Brands Inc is 0.54 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.

What are the earnings per share of Xcel Brands Inc (XELB)?

Earnings per share at Xcel Brands Inc are $−2.86. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.

What is the return on equity of Xcel Brands Inc (XELB)?

The return on equity (ROE) of Xcel Brands Inc is −92.1% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.

What is the EBIT return on assets of Xcel Brands Inc (XELB)?

On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Xcel Brands Inc is −23.9% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.

What is the operating margin of Xcel Brands Inc (XELB)?

The operating margin of Xcel Brands Inc is −138% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.

How fast is revenue growing at Xcel Brands Inc (XELB)?

Revenue at Xcel Brands Inc is growing −15.1% versus a year earlier (3y avg −42.4%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.

How much free cash flow does Xcel Brands Inc (XELB) generate?

The free cash flow of Xcel Brands Inc is −$7.0M (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.

How much net debt does Xcel Brands Inc (XELB) carry?

The net debt of Xcel Brands Inc is $16.9M (fiscal year 2025). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.

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