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Goldwind Science&Technology Co (XJNGF) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Oct 2, 2026: fair value of Goldwind Science&Technology Co $1.64, price $1.24, upside +32.3%, quality 47 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
- Fair value above price? Yes
- Good quality? No
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Broad data
Sep 23, 2026
Broad data
Sep 23, 2026
Goldwind Science&Technology Co
XJNGF · USSpeculativeUpside exists, but weak quality makes the signal speculative.
✓Fair value $1.64 · Undervalued (+32.3%)
!Quality 47/100
!Expensive Growth (revenue 5y +4.7 %/yr)
!Thin margins · 3.9% net margin (TTM)
!Moderate debt · negative free cash flow
!16.1% dividend yield · Watch coverage
!Narrow moat 35/100
What runs behind every stock
26
valuation models
8 families, DCF to NCAV
37
quality factors
margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt
6
AI factors
moat, what no ratio measures
2,000+
data points
verified, per stock, median
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $0.1918 – $2.33 · fair‑value band $1.24 – $2.05 · the $1.24 price screens below the $1.64 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.
Company profile
Goldwind Science&Technology Co., Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, provides wind power solutions in China and internationally. It operates through four segments: Wind Turbine Generator Manufacturing and Sale, Wind Power Services, Wind Farm Development, and Others.
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Goldwind Science&Technology Co., Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, provides wind power solutions in China and internationally. It operates through four segments: Wind Turbine Generator Manufacturing and Sale, Wind Power Services, Wind Farm Development, and Others. The company engages in the research and development, manufacture, and sale of wind turbine generators and component; investment, development, sale, and operation of wind farms, which consists of wind power generation services through its wind farms, as well as offers technical services; and development and operation of water treatment plants. it also offers wind power construction, warranty, and asset management services. In addition, the company engages in the supply of wind power equipment and accessories; development and operation of solar power generation projects; energy storage business; and financial leasing business. The company was formerly known as Xinjiang Goldwind Science & Technology Co., Ltd. Goldwind Science&Technology Co., Ltd. was founded in 1998 and is headquartered in Beijing, China.
Stock analysis
Goldwind Science&Technology Co (XJNGF) currently trades at $1.24, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $1.64, implying the stock looks roughly 24.4% undervalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Growth Earnings group reads highest at a median of $2.34 per share, and 10 of the 17 models we run sit above the $1.24 price.
Bear case: the Economic Profit group reads lowest at $0.3700, and 7 of the 17 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.
Scenario range: $1.24 (bear) to $2.05 (bull), the price of $1.24 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 47/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector.
Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Goldwind Science&Technology Co reported revenue of 70.9B CNY in FY2025 versus 50.6B CNY in FY2021, a compound +8.8%/yr. Reported net income was 2.7B CNY in FY2025, compounding −7.7%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap $5.7B · P/E ratio 12.3 · P/S ratio 0.47 · EPS (TTM) $0.1100 · Net margin 3.8% · Return on equity 7.4% · Return on assets (EBIT) 2.2% · Operating margin 8.3%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 41 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 47% below its 52-week high and 7% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at −49% fair-value upside, at 32%, XJNGF screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear $1.24
Fair Value $1.64
Bull $2.05
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model.
Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.
Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
Residual Income
$1.21
$1.25
$1.35
76
Owner Earnings
n/a
$0.3900
$1.36
73
EPV
$0.2300
$0.3700
$0.4900
72
All 17 models by family
DCF Models
Owner Earnings
n/a
$0.3900
$1.36
73
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd
$0.6600
$3.95
$5.51
63
Lynch FV
$1.13
$1.61
$2.09
61
PEG = 1.0
$1.13
$1.61
$2.09
57
EPV
$0.2300
$0.3700
$0.4900
72
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM
$0.2700
$0.5400
$0.8200
66
DDM Multi-Stage
$0.2700
$0.4700
$0.5700
67
Multiples
P/E Multiple
$1.52
$2.03
$2.53
63
P/S Multiple
$1.23
$1.64
$2.05
58
P/B Multiple
$1.23
$1.64
$2.05
55
EV/EBIT
$1.01
$1.56
$2.11
65
EV/EBITDA
$2.01
$2.90
$3.78
67
EV/Revenue
$0.5400
$1.04
$1.55
51
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham)
$0.7800
$1.04
$1.55
54
Economic Profit
Residual Income
$1.21
$1.25
$1.35
76
ROIC Compounder
$0.2300
$0.3700
$0.4900
71
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E
$1.64
$2.34
$3.04
67
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Set up alert →Quality Score breakdown
Overall quality
47/100
Of which business quality 43 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 55
Profitability
24
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth
64
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow
17
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength
27
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment
68
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility
45
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum
53
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum
72
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance
93
Share count: buybacks or dilution?
Revenue & earnings trend
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.
36/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Revenue growth 1 year
+25.1%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+15.2%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+4.7%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +9.0% a year
Revenue growth 21 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+31.0%
’14
’15
’16
’17
’18
’19
’20
’21
’22
’23
’24
’25
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) (mathematically smoothed) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Smoothed = median of all growth paths between the years of the window (trend line on the logarithm of earnings per share): a single extreme year cannot distort the rate. The reported figure stays in the tooltip.
−10.3%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−10.3%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.0%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.−1.6% vs −1.3%, steady
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.6% → 5%
2025 sits 54% above its own trend. The rate follows the median trend of the last 5 years, not that single year.
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
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Context: sector, industry, market
- P/E, EV/EBITDA and margins by industry (reference tables)
- Undervalued stocks: US Stocks
- Valuation of the USA market
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
None of the checked exposures detected
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| Illinois Tool Works Inc ITW | $257.28 | $153.33 | −40% |
| Cummins Inc CMI | $516.57 | $359.11 | −30% |
| AMETEK, Inc AME | $250.74 | $125.77 | −50% |
| Rockwell Automation, Inc ROK | $442.45 | $139.31 | −69% |
| Sandvik AB SAND | kr 362.00 | kr 193.59 | −47% |
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Frequently asked questions
Is Goldwind Science&Technology Co (XJNGF) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 23, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $1.64 versus a price of $1.24, about +32% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of XJNGF?
Our model-based fair value for Goldwind Science&Technology Co is $1.64 (as of Sep 23, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $1.24.
What is the quality score of XJNGF?
Goldwind Science&Technology Co has a Quality Score of 47/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Goldwind Science&Technology Co (XJNGF)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $1.64 (as of Sep 23, 2026) from 17 valuation models. Cautious scenario $1.24, optimistic scenario $2.05. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Goldwind Science&Technology Co stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $1.64, about +32% upside versus a price of $1.24 (undervalued). Cautious scenario $1.24, optimistic scenario $2.05. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Goldwind Science&Technology Co (XJNGF)?
Goldwind Science&Technology Co reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 79.0B CNY (latest available figure, as of Sep 23, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Goldwind Science&Technology Co (XJNGF)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Goldwind Science&Technology Co it is $1.64 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026), against a price of $1.24. It is the blended result of 17 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Goldwind Science&Technology Co stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 23, 2026, XJNGF trades below its calculated fair value: price $1.24, fair value $1.64, a gap of about +32% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of XJNGF?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($1.24); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($1.64). For Goldwind Science&Technology Co the two are $0.4000 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Goldwind Science&Technology Co worth?
The market values Goldwind Science&Technology Co at about $5.7B (market capitalisation, as of Sep 23, 2026). Per share that is $1.24; our models calculate a fair value of $1.64 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about XJNGF?
Our models span a range for Goldwind Science&Technology Co: cautious scenario $1.24, base $1.64, optimistic $2.05 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026, price $1.24). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How far is XJNGF from its 52-week high?
Goldwind Science&Technology Co trades at $1.24, about 47% below its 52-week high of $2.33 and 7% above the low of $1.16 (as of Oct 2, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $1.64 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Goldwind Science&Technology Co?
From the same area (Industrials) we also value GE Vernova Inc, SIE, Eaton Corporation, Parker-Hannifin Corporation, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Goldwind Science&Technology Co stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 23, 2026: price $1.24, calculated fair value $1.64 (+32%), Quality Score 47/100, from 17 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of XJNGF calculated?
We run Goldwind Science&Technology Co through 17 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $1.64, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.5 % above its aggregate fair value. Goldwind Science&Technology Co currently trades 24 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Goldwind Science&Technology Co (XJNGF)?
The closing price on Oct 2, 2026 was $1.24. Our model-based fair value is $1.64, about +32% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Goldwind Science&Technology Co right now?
Solid quality (47/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality. The price sits in the lower half of our model range, the side with the larger margin of safety. The data supports the verdict: every model runs on fully documented inputs.
Where does the earnings growth of Goldwind Science&Technology Co (XJNGF) come from?
Earnings per share at Goldwind Science&Technology Co grew −3.9 % a year from 2014 to 2025. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share +9.1 %, EBIT margin −9.3 %, tax rate −2.0 %, residual (interest, one-offs) −0.9 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.
Key figures of Goldwind Science&Technology Co
How large is the market capitalisation of Goldwind Science&Technology Co (XJNGF)?
The market capitalisation of Goldwind Science&Technology Co is $5.7B. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/E ratio of Goldwind Science&Technology Co (XJNGF)?
The price-to-earnings ratio of Goldwind Science&Technology Co is 12.3 (as of Jun 25, 2026). Price to earnings: how many years of current profit you pay for the stock. A P/E of 10 means ten years of profit.
What is the P/S ratio of Goldwind Science&Technology Co (XJNGF)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Goldwind Science&Technology Co is 0.47 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Goldwind Science&Technology Co (XJNGF)?
Earnings per share at Goldwind Science&Technology Co are $0.1100 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 12.3). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Goldwind Science&Technology Co (XJNGF)?
The net margin of Goldwind Science&Technology Co is 3.8% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Goldwind Science&Technology Co (XJNGF)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Goldwind Science&Technology Co is 7.4% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Goldwind Science&Technology Co (XJNGF)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Goldwind Science&Technology Co is 2.2% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Goldwind Science&Technology Co (XJNGF)?
The operating margin of Goldwind Science&Technology Co is 8.3% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Goldwind Science&Technology Co (XJNGF)?
Revenue at Goldwind Science&Technology Co is growing +63.5% versus a year earlier (3y avg +15.2%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Goldwind Science&Technology Co (XJNGF)?
Earnings per share at Goldwind Science&Technology Co are growing +61.0% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Goldwind Science&Technology Co (XJNGF) generate?
The free cash flow of Goldwind Science&Technology Co is −3.5B CNY (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Goldwind Science&Technology Co (XJNGF) carry?
The net debt of Goldwind Science&Technology Co is 22.0B CNY (fiscal year 2025). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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