Xencor, Inc (XNCR) Fair Value & Analysis
Healthcare · US · Market cap $1.1B
Xencor, Inc
XNCR · US
Fair value as of: Jul 16, 2026
From 1 valuation models · updated 25 days ago
Share price +26.4% over the past month.
Below-average quality, and screening another 77% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($6.07). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Weak quality (36/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
- The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
- A fairly wide model range ($3.20 to $6.07) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 16, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $7.00 – $43.44 · fair‑value band $3.20 – $6.07 · the $20.81 price screens above the $4.85 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 16, 2026.
Analysis
Xencor, Inc (XNCR) currently trades at $20.81, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $4.85, implying the stock looks roughly 76.7% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 36/100 (below-average quality), in the Healthcare sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: low).
Trailing-twelve-month revenue stands at $97.4M. Revenue declined 86.2% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -29.8%. Net debt stands at $134M. Fundamentals as of Jul 16, 2026
Our scenario range runs from $3.20 (bear case) to $6.07 (bull case); at $20.81, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades near its 52-week high and 201% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Healthcare peers we cover trades at -43% fair-value upside, at -77%, XNCR screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 1 models by family
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 16, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 38 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 81
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Xencor, Inc., a clinical-stage biopharmaceutical company, focuses on the discovery and development of engineered antibodies for the treatment of cancer and autoimmune diseases.
Full company description
Xencor, Inc., a clinical-stage biopharmaceutical company, focuses on the discovery and development of engineered antibodies for the treatment of cancer and autoimmune diseases. The company provides Ultomiris to treat patients with atypical hemolytic uremic syndrome, generalized myasthenia gravis, and neuromyelitis optica spectrum disororder; and Monjuvi for the treatment of patients with relapsed or refractory diffuse large B-cell lymphoma. It also develops XmAb819, a bispecific antibody to treat renal cell carcinoma; XmAb541, which is in Phase I for the treatment of ovarian cancer; XmAb808, a bispecific antibody that binds to the broadly expressed tumor antigen; XmAb942, which is in clinical development for patients with Crohn's disease and ulcerative colitis; Plamotamab, a bispecific T-cell, which is in Phase Ib study to treat rheumatoid arthritis; and XmAb657 for patients with idiopathic inflammatory myopathies. Further, the company develops Xaluritamig, a bispecific T-cell engager that treats prostate cancer; ASP2138 to treat gastric, gastroesophageal junction, and pancreatic cancers; JNJ-9401 to treat metastatic castration-resistant prostate cancer; Obexelimab, an antibody to treat patients with autoimmune diseases; Tobevibart, a treatment for chronic hepatitis Delta; Zaltenibart to treat paroxysmal nocturnal hemoglobinuria and other alternative pathway disorders; Teropavimab and zinlirvimab to treat human immunodeficiency virus; Novartis, an antibody drug candidate that uses XmAb Fc technologies; and JNJ-1493 to treat B-cell malignancies. The company was incorporated in 1997 and is headquartered in Pasadena, California.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Xencor, Inc reported revenue of $126M in FY2025 versus $275M in FY2021, a compound −17.8%/yr. Reported net income was −$91.9M in FY2025.
XNCR screens 77% overvalued. Compare with Vertex Pharmaceuticals Incorporated →
Peer Group
Biotechnology · 603 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Biotechnology median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Insider activity: 42/100
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Biotechnology stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 16, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Vertex Pharmaceuticals Incorporated VRTX | $486.03 | $278.78 | -43% |
| Regeneron Pharmaceuticals, Inc REGN | $664.45 | $594.40 | -11% |
| Samsung Biologics Co 207940 | 1,368,000 KRW | 1,091,384 KRW | -20% |
| Celltrion, Inc 068270 | 175,800 KRW | 76,325 KRW | -57% |
| WuXi Biologics (Cayman) Inc 2269 | HK$39.54 | HK$30.42 | -23% |
| Innovent Biologics, Inc 1801 | HK$86.70 | HK$19.66 | -77% |
| Sino Biopharmaceutical Limited 1177 | HK$5.26 | HK$3.36 | -36% |
| ALTEOGEN Inc 196170 | 276,500 KRW | 44,444 KRW | -84% |
| RemeGen Co 688331 | ¥134.02 | ¥26.99 | -80% |
| Biocon Limited BIOCON | ₹440.70 | ₹57.36 | -87% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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