Xtra-Gold Resources Corp (XTG) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 28, 2026: fair value of Xtra-Gold Resources Corp C$1.94, price C$2.61, upside -25.7%, quality 62 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 27, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range C$0.7600 – C$3.67 · fair‑value band C$1.45 – C$2.42 · the C$2.61 price screens above the C$1.94 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 27, 2026.
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Xtra-Gold Resources Corp. operates as a gold exploration company in Ghana. Its flagship property consists of the Kibi Gold project that includes an area of approximately 33.65 square kilometers located in the East Akim District of the Eastern Region of Ghana. The company was formerly known as RetinaPharma International, Inc.
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Xtra-Gold Resources Corp. operates as a gold exploration company in Ghana. Its flagship property consists of the Kibi Gold project that includes an area of approximately 33.65 square kilometers located in the East Akim District of the Eastern Region of Ghana. The company was formerly known as RetinaPharma International, Inc. and changed its name to Xtra-Gold Resources Corp. in December 2003. Xtra-Gold Resources Corp. was incorporated in 1998 and is based in Nassau, Bahamas.
Stock analysis
Xtra-Gold Resources Corp (XTG) currently trades at C$2.61, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is C$1.94, implying the stock looks roughly 34.5% overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of C$2.24 per share, and 1 of the 13 models we run sit above the C$2.61 price.
Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at C$0.3300, and 12 of the 13 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: C$1.45 (bear) to C$2.42 (bull), the price of C$2.61 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 62/100 (solid quality), in the Basic Materials sector.
Xtra-Gold Resources Corp reported revenue of $0 in FY2025 versus $0 in FY2021. Reported net income was $3.7M in FY2025, compounding +45.5%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap C$127M (≈ $89.4M) · P/E ratio 23.7 · EPS (TTM) C$0.1100 · Return on equity 23.5% · Return on assets (EBIT) −26.7% · EPS growth (YoY) −13.4% · Free cash flow C$918K · Net cash C$10.5M.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 48 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 29% below its 52-week high and 15% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at 10% fair-value upside, at −26%, XTG screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear C$1.45Fair Value C$1.94Bull C$2.42
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then (C$0.0820 per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) (mathematically smoothed) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Smoothed = median of all growth paths between the years of the window (trend line on the logarithm of earnings per share): a single extreme year cannot distort the rate. The reported figure stays in the tooltip.
+20.7%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+20.7%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.0%
2025 sits 227% above its own trend. The rate follows the median trend of the last 5 years, not that single year.
Growth Forecast
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+49.6%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
After inflation (Canada: IMF forecast 2.1% a year to 2030, 2.6% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +46.5% a year for the price.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Gold · 233 stocks
Beats the industry median on 3/10 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score62 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside−25.7% · Below median
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)23.5% · Above median
Return on assets5.5% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM)0.0% · Below median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth0.0% · Below median
Valuation Multiplesvs Gold median · lower = cheaper
P/E (TTM)23.7× · Priciest 25%
P/B5.51× · Priciest 25%
P/FCF97.4× · Priciest 25%
EV/EBITDA45.9× · Priciest 25%
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
This stockSector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0· sector 2
FUTURE (revenue growth)0· sector 100
PAST (return on equity)94· sector 2
HEALTH (low debt)0· sector 98
DIVIDEND (yield)0· sector 21
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Is Xtra-Gold Resources Corp (XTG) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 27, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of C$1.94 versus a price of C$2.61, about −26% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of XTG?
Our model-based fair value for Xtra-Gold Resources Corp is C$1.94 (as of Sep 27, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: C$2.61.
What is the quality score of XTG?
Xtra-Gold Resources Corp has a Quality Score of 62/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Xtra-Gold Resources Corp (XTG)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of C$1.94 (as of Sep 27, 2026) from 13 valuation models. Cautious scenario C$1.45, optimistic scenario C$2.42. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Xtra-Gold Resources Corp stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at C$1.94, about −26% upside versus a price of C$2.61 (overvalued). Cautious scenario C$1.45, optimistic scenario C$2.42. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What growth is priced into Xtra-Gold Resources Corp (XTG)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Xtra-Gold Resources Corp would have to grow free cash flow by +49.6 % per year for five years (discount rate 11.0 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). As of Sep 27, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of XTG use?
Our models discount Xtra-Gold Resources Corp at 11.0 %: a base by market capitalisation (micro), damped by beta 0.19, country premium for Canada. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Xtra-Gold Resources Corp that is +49.6 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (11.0 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How fast is the sector of Xtra-Gold Resources Corp (XTG) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +4.4 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Xtra-Gold Resources Corp (+49.6 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Xtra-Gold Resources Corp (XTG)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 0.72 %: that much free cash flow Xtra-Gold Resources Corp produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (11.0 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Xtra-Gold Resources Corp (XTG)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Xtra-Gold Resources Corp it is C$1.94 per share (as of Sep 27, 2026), against a price of C$2.61. It is the blended result of 13 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Xtra-Gold Resources Corp stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 27, 2026, XTG trades above its calculated fair value: price C$2.61, fair value C$1.94, a gap of about −26% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of XTG?
No. The price is what the market pays today (C$2.61); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (C$1.94). For Xtra-Gold Resources Corp the two are C$0.6700 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Xtra-Gold Resources Corp worth?
The market values Xtra-Gold Resources Corp at about C$127M (market capitalisation, as of Sep 27, 2026). Per share that is C$2.61; our models calculate a fair value of C$1.94 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about XTG?
Our models span a range for Xtra-Gold Resources Corp: cautious scenario C$1.45, base C$1.94, optimistic C$2.42 per share (as of Sep 27, 2026, price C$2.61). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of XTG?
Xtra-Gold Resources Corp trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 23.7 (as of Sep 27, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of C$1.94 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 5.5, EV/EBITDA 45.9.
How solid is the balance sheet of Xtra-Gold Resources Corp (XTG)?
Balance-sheet figures for Xtra-Gold Resources Corp (as of Sep 27, 2026): return on equity 23.5%. They feed the Quality Score of 62/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is XTG from its 52-week high?
Xtra-Gold Resources Corp trades at C$2.61, about 29% below its 52-week high of C$3.67 and 15% above the low of C$2.27 (as of Sep 28, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of C$1.94 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Xtra-Gold Resources Corp?
From the same area (Basic Materials) we also value Newmont Corporation, Zijin Mining Group, Agnico Eagle Mines Limited, Wheaton Precious Metals Corp, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Xtra-Gold Resources Corp stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 27, 2026: price C$2.61, calculated fair value C$1.94 (−26%), Quality Score 62/100, from 13 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of XTG calculated?
We run Xtra-Gold Resources Corp through 13 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of C$1.94, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 15.9 % above its aggregate fair value. Xtra-Gold Resources Corp itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Xtra-Gold Resources Corp (XTG)?
The closing price on Sep 28, 2026 was C$2.61. Our model-based fair value is C$1.94, about −26% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Xtra-Gold Resources Corp right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (C$2.42). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Solid but not exceptional quality (62/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder. Evidence is limited here (fewer models, shorter history), so the fair value is a rougher estimate than usual.
Key figures of Xtra-Gold Resources Corp
How large is the market capitalisation of Xtra-Gold Resources Corp (XTG)?
The market capitalisation of Xtra-Gold Resources Corp is C$127M (≈ $89.4M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What are the earnings per share of Xtra-Gold Resources Corp (XTG)?
Earnings per share at Xtra-Gold Resources Corp are C$0.1100 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 23.7). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the return on equity of Xtra-Gold Resources Corp (XTG)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Xtra-Gold Resources Corp is 23.5% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Xtra-Gold Resources Corp (XTG)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Xtra-Gold Resources Corp is −26.7% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
How fast are earnings growing at Xtra-Gold Resources Corp (XTG)?
Earnings per share at Xtra-Gold Resources Corp are growing −13.4% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net cash does Xtra-Gold Resources Corp (XTG) hold?
Xtra-Gold Resources Corp holds more cash than debt, C$10.5M net (fiscal year 2025). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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