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Xylem Inc (XYL) fair value: what the stock is really worth

We calculate from audited financials what Xylem Inc is really worth. The fair value tells you whether the price is too high or too low, the quality score (0 to 100) how solid the business behind it is. 26 models, 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? No
  2. Good quality? No
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Industrials · US · ISIN US98419M1009

XI Xylem Inc logo Broad data Sep 17, 2026

Xylem Inc

XYL · US

Weak valuationQuality is weak on top of the rich price.

!Fair value $78.17 · Overvalued (−27%)
!Quality 49/100
✓Healthy Growth (revenue 5y +13.1 %/yr)
✓Solidly profitable · 10.8% net margin (TTM)
✓Low debt · generates free cash flow
·1.52% dividend yield
!Mixed vs. peers (7/15)
!Moderate moat 50/100
!Insider activity 45/100
!Weak on future: 14 out of 100
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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

$151.41 $69.42 Fair Value $78.17 Jun 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 17, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $69.42 – $151.41 · fair‑value band $48.97 – $101.63 · the $107.56 price screens above the $78.17 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 17, 2026.

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Company profile

Xylem Inc., together with its subsidiaries, engages in the design, manufacture, and servicing of engineered products and solutions for utility, industrial, and residential and commercial building services settings worldwide. It operates through Water Infrastructure; Applied Water; Measurement and Control Solutions; and Water Solutions and Services segments.

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Xylem Inc., together with its subsidiaries, engages in the design, manufacture, and servicing of engineered products and solutions for utility, industrial, and residential and commercial building services settings worldwide. It operates through Water Infrastructure; Applied Water; Measurement and Control Solutions; and Water Solutions and Services segments. The company offers water, wastewater, and storm water pumps and controls and systems; filtration, disinfection, and biological treatment equipment under the Flygt, Ionpure, Leopold, Neptune Benson, Sanitare, Wallace & Tiernan, and Wedeco brands; and pumps, valves, heat exchangers, controls, and dispensing equipment used for water and focuses on the residential, commercial and industrial markets under the Rule, Bell & Gossett, Flojet, Goulds Water Technology, Jabsco, and Lowara brands. It also provides smart meters, network communication devices, data analytics, test instruments, controls, sensor devices, software and managed services, critical infrastructure services, cloud-based analytics, and remote monitoring and data management under the Ebro, Sensus, Sentec, Smith Blair, WTW, YSI, and Xylem Vue brands. In addition, the company offers preventative maintenance services, rapid response mobile services, digitally enabled/outsourced solutions, process and wastewater treatment systems, environmental remediation, odor and corrosion control, filtration, reverse osmosis, continuous deionization, and mobile dewatering equipment and rental services; and municipal services comprising odor and corrosion control services, as well as condition assessment and asset management, and pressure monitoring solutions under the Grindex, Mar Cor, and Godwin brands. Xylem Inc. was formerly known as ITT WCO, Inc. and changed its name to Xylem Inc. in July 2011. The company was incorporated in 2011 and is headquartered in Washington, District Of Columbia.

Stock analysis

Xylem Inc (XYL) currently trades at $107.56, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $78.17, implying the stock looks roughly 37.6% overvalued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of $81.09 per share, and 0 of the 24 models we run sit above the $107.56 price.

Bear case: the Earnings-Based group reads lowest at $31.97, and 24 of the 24 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.

Scenario range: $48.97 (bear) to $101.63 (bull), the price of $107.56 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 49/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector.

Healthy Growth: Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.

Xylem Inc reported revenue of $9.0B in FY2025 versus $5.2B in FY2021, a compound +14.8%/yr. Reported net income was $957M in FY2025, compounding +22.4%/yr from FY2021.

Key figures

Market cap $28.9B · P/E ratio 30.1 · P/S ratio 3.19 · EPS (TTM) $4.04 · Dividend yield 1.5% · Net margin 10.6% · Return on equity 8.7% · Return on assets (EBIT) 6.4%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 52 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 30% below its 52-week high and 3% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at −46% fair-value upside, at −27%, XYL screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear $48.97 Fair Value $78.17 Bull $101.63
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then ($1.75 per share) are deliberately not added. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
FCF DCF $45.21 $73.00 $116.90 79
Growth DCF $45.70 $69.75 $105.08 78
Residual Income $40.60 $43.81 $53.06 76
All 24 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF $45.21 $73.00 $116.90 79
Owner Earnings $59.57 $96.25 $154.18 75
5Y Revenue Exit $45.30 $74.68 $112.79 72
5Y EBITDA Exit $59.26 $101.46 $151.80 74
5Y P/E Exit $53.14 $89.72 $129.02 70
10Y Revenue Exit $43.38 $70.49 $108.25 66
10Y EBITDA Exit $53.84 $89.35 $138.74 67
10Y P/E Exit $49.90 $81.09 $120.94 63
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd $27.38 $95.98 $129.07 64
Lynch FV $22.38 $31.97 $41.56 61
PEG = 1.0 $22.38 $31.97 $41.56 57
EPV $40.05 $46.67 $52.47 74
Multiples
P/E Multiple $63.41 $84.55 $105.69 63
P/S Multiple $51.33 $68.45 $85.56 58
P/B Multiple $51.33 $68.45 $85.56 55
EV/EBIT $65.90 $87.77 $109.64 66
EV/EBITDA $74.05 $98.64 $123.22 67
EV/Revenue $47.12 $67.19 $87.25 53
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $24.15 $32.36 $48.30 54
Growth DCF
Growth DCF $45.70 $69.75 $105.08 78
Rev-Margin DCF $45.30 $74.43 $108.99 72
Economic Profit
Residual Income $40.60 $43.81 $53.06 76
ROIC Compounder $40.05 $46.67 $57.92 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E $54.72 $78.17 $101.63 67

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 49/100

Of which business quality 52 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 35

Profitability 40
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 48
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 55
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 84
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 30
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 69
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 29
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 7
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 39
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 93/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Revenue growth 1 year
+5.5%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+17.8%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+13.1%
Revenue growth 16 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+7.5%
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
+13.6%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+12.1%
Dividend (yield on the price)1.5%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.12% vs 8%, picking up
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.8% → 14%

Growth Forecast

A lot of optimism in the price
The price assumes about as much growth as the company has delivered so far and more than analysts expect.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+15.5%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect ⓘAnalysts publish sales forecasts for the next two fiscal years. For the years after that, growth slows evenly to 2 % a year by year ten (2 % is the long-run rate our models use). Projected years are marked as such.
+3.4%
Yearly sales growth analysts expect, extended to five years.
Forecast 2026 (sales)+2.4%
Forecast 2027 (sales)+4.0%
Projected 2028 (sales)+3.7%
Projected 2029 (sales)+3.5%
Projected 2030 (sales)+3.2%

XYL screens 38% overvalued. Compare with GE Vernova Inc →

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Specialty Industrial Machinery · 833 stocks

Beats the industry median on 7/15 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 49 · Below median
Fair Value upside −25% · Above median
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM) 9% · Above median
Return on assets 5% · Above median
Net margin (TTM) 11% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM) 13% · Above median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth 3% · Below median
Dividend yield (TTM) 1.5% · Above median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 0.12× · Above median

Valuation Multiplesvs Specialty Industrial Machinery median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 30.1× · Pricier than median
P/B 2.52× · Pricier than median
P/S (TTM) 3.18× · Pricier than median
P/FCF 31.7× · Priciest 25%
EV/EBITDA 15.1× · Cheaper than median
PEG 1.72× · Pricier than median

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0 · sector 0
FUTURE (revenue growth)14 · sector 22
PAST (return on equity)35 · sector 27
HEALTH (low debt)94 · sector 96
DIVIDEND (yield)30 · sector 24

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Specialty Industrial Machinery stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
GE Vernova Inc GEV $882.81 $191.09 −78%
SIE SIE €260.50 €139.77 −46%
Eaton Corporation ETN $392.40 $168.65 −57%
Parker-Hannifin Corporation PH $925.00 $398.69 −57%
Atlas Copco AB ATCOA kr 199.15 kr 106.84 −46%
Cummins Inc CMI $538.02 $348.94 −35%
Illinois Tool Works Inc ITW $267.33 $145.84 −45%
Emerson Electric Co EMR $145.83 $58.44 −60%
AMETEK, Inc AME $232.19 $124.66 −46%
Rockwell Automation, Inc ROK $417.00 $125.56 −70%

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Xylem Inc Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/XYL

Frequently asked questions

Is Xylem Inc (XYL) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 17, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $78.17 versus a price of $107.56, about −27% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of XYL?
Our model-based fair value for Xylem Inc is $78.17 (as of Sep 17, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $107.56.
What is the quality score of XYL?
Xylem Inc has a Quality Score of 49/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Xylem Inc (XYL)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $78.17 (as of Sep 17, 2026) from 24 valuation models. Cautious scenario $48.97, optimistic scenario $101.63. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Xylem Inc stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $78.17, about −27% upside versus a price of $107.56 (overvalued). Cautious scenario $48.97, optimistic scenario $101.63. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Xylem Inc (XYL)?
Xylem Inc reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $9.1B (latest available figure, as of Sep 17, 2026).
Does Xylem Inc pay a dividend?
Xylem Inc currently shows a dividend yield of about 1.52% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 17, 2026).
What growth is priced into Xylem Inc (XYL)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Xylem Inc would have to grow free cash flow by +15.5 % per year for five years (discount rate 9.3 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +13.1 % per year. As of Sep 17, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of XYL use?
Our models discount Xylem Inc at 9.3 %: a base by market capitalisation (large), damped by beta 1.02, country premium for USA. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Xylem Inc that is +15.5 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (9.3 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Xylem Inc (XYL) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Xylem Inc grew +13.1 % a year. The price currently implies +15.5 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Xylem Inc (XYL) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +4.6 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Xylem Inc (+15.5 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Xylem Inc (XYL)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 3.47 %: that much free cash flow Xylem Inc produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (9.3 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Xylem Inc (XYL)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Xylem Inc it is $78.17 per share (as of Sep 17, 2026), against a price of $107.56. It is the blended result of 24 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Xylem Inc stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 17, 2026, XYL trades above its calculated fair value: price $107.56, fair value $78.17, a gap of about −27% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of XYL?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($107.56); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($78.17). For Xylem Inc the two are $29.39 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Xylem Inc worth?
The market values Xylem Inc at about $28.9B (market capitalisation, as of Sep 17, 2026). Per share that is $107.56; our models calculate a fair value of $78.17 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about XYL?
Our models span a range for Xylem Inc: cautious scenario $48.97, base $78.17, optimistic $101.63 per share (as of Sep 17, 2026, price $107.56). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of XYL?
Xylem Inc trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 30.1 (as of Sep 17, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of $78.17 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: PEG 1.7, P/B 2.5, P/S 3.2, EV/EBITDA 15.1.
What is the PEG ratio of XYL?
The PEG ratio of Xylem Inc is 1.72 (P/E divided by earnings growth, as of Sep 17, 2026). That is above 1, so the growth is already paid for in the price.
How solid is the balance sheet of Xylem Inc (XYL)?
Balance-sheet figures for Xylem Inc (as of Sep 17, 2026): return on equity 8.7%, debt of 0.12 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 49/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is XYL from its 52-week high?
Xylem Inc trades at $107.56, about 30% below its 52-week high of $152.72 and 3% above the low of $104.88 (as of Sep 17, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $78.17 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Xylem Inc?
From the same area (Industrials) we also value GE Vernova Inc, SIE, Eaton Corporation, Parker-Hannifin Corporation, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Xylem Inc stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 17, 2026: price $107.56, calculated fair value $78.17 (−27%), Quality Score 49/100, from 24 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of XYL calculated?
We run Xylem Inc through 24 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $78.17, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 16.1 % above its aggregate fair value. Xylem Inc itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Xylem Inc (XYL)?
The closing price on Sep 18, 2026 was $107.56. Our model-based fair value is $78.17, about −27% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Xylem Inc right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($101.63). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Solid but not exceptional quality (49/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder. A fairly wide model range ($48.97 to $101.63) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Where does the earnings growth of Xylem Inc (XYL) come from?
Earnings per share at Xylem Inc grew +8.2 % a year from 2014 to 2025. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share +6.1 %, EBIT margin −0.1 %, tax rate +0.5 %, residual (interest, one-offs) +1.5 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.

Key figures of Xylem Inc

How large is the market capitalisation of Xylem Inc (XYL)?
The market capitalisation of Xylem Inc is $28.9B. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Xylem Inc (XYL)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Xylem Inc is 3.19 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Xylem Inc (XYL)?
Earnings per share at Xylem Inc are $4.04 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 30.1). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Xylem Inc (XYL)?
The dividend yield of Xylem Inc is 1.5% (payout 40.3%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Xylem Inc (XYL)?
The net margin of Xylem Inc is 10.6% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Xylem Inc (XYL)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Xylem Inc is 8.7% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Xylem Inc (XYL)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Xylem Inc is 6.4% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Xylem Inc (XYL)?
The operating margin of Xylem Inc is 12.9% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Xylem Inc (XYL)?
Revenue at Xylem Inc is growing +2.7% versus a year earlier (3y avg +17.8%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Xylem Inc (XYL)?
Earnings per share at Xylem Inc are growing +14.5% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does Xylem Inc (XYL) carry?
The net debt of Xylem Inc is $463M (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 0.5 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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