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Yayla Enerji Uretim Turizm ve (YAYLA) fair value: what the stock is really worth

We calculate from audited financials what Yayla Enerji Uretim Turizm ve is really worth. The fair value tells you whether the price is too high or too low, the quality score (0 to 100) how solid the business behind it is. 26 models, 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? No
  2. Good quality? Yes
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Industrials · TR · ISIN TREYAYL00014

YE Thin data Sep 13, 2026

Yayla Enerji Uretim Turizm ve

YAYLA · IS

Stretched ValuationStrong overvaluation with only moderate quality.

!Fair value 11.07 TRY · Strongly overvalued (−47%)
!Quality 51/100
!Expensive Growth (revenue 5y +48.9 %/yr)
!Loss-making · -54.1% net margin (TTM)
!Low debt · negative free cash flow
!Mixed vs. peers (4/9)
!Narrow moat 16/100
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain
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What runs behind every stock

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

45.02 TRY 2.54 TRY Fair Value 11.07 TRY Jun 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 13, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range 2.54 TRY – 45.02 TRY · fair‑value band 8.26 TRY – 16.52 TRY · the 21.00 TRY price screens above the 11.07 TRY fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 13, 2026.

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Company profile

Yayla Enerji Üretim Turizm ve Insaat Ticaret A.S. operates hotels in Turkey. The company also undertakes energy and tourism construction projects. It operates hotels under the Magna Chalet and Magna Pivot names. Yayla Enerji Üretim Turizm ve Insaat Ticaret A.S. was founded in 1950 and is headquartered in Ankara, Turkey.

Stock analysis

Yayla Enerji Uretim Turizm ve (YAYLA) currently trades at 21.00 TRY, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 11.07 TRY, implying the stock looks roughly 89.7% overvalued today.

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Valuation

How firm this estimate is: it rests on 1 models at a data quality of 95/100, which puts the evidence level at low.

Scenario range: 8.26 TRY (bear) to 16.52 TRY (bull), the price of 21.00 TRY sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 51/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector.

Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.

Yayla Enerji Uretim Turizm ve reported revenue of 80.4M TRY in FY2025 versus 8.3M TRY in FY2021, a compound +76.4%/yr. Reported net income was −7.3M TRY in FY2025.

Key figures

Market cap 1.0B TRY (≈ $21.6M) · P/S ratio 16.5 · EPS (TTM) −0.1500 TRY · Net margin −9.1% · Return on equity −4.2% · Return on assets (EBIT) −3.3% · Operating margin 13.1% · Revenue (TTM) 62.9M TRY.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 50 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 56% below its 52-week high and 3% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at −34% fair-value upside, at −47%, YAYLA screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear 8.26 TRY Fair Value 11.07 TRY Bull 16.52 TRY
Model Each model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence Evidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
NCAV (Graham) 8.26 TRY 11.07 TRY 16.53 TRY 54
All 1 models by family
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) 8.26 TRY 11.07 TRY 16.53 TRY 54

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 51/100

Of which business quality 54 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 24

Profitability 6
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 66
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 67
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 75
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 33
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 58
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 15
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 1
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 82
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality Growth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 44/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Revenue growth 1 year
+16.7%
Revenue growth 3 years Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+87.4%
Revenue growth 5 years Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+48.9%
Revenue growth 15 years Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+51.5%
Profit margin (trend) Operating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
−48.0% (2020) → −26.9% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year We only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed

YAYLA screens 90% overvalued. Compare with Quanta Services, Inc →

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Peer GroupHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Engineering & Construction · 820 stocks

Beats the industry median on 3/7 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 54 · Above median
Fair Value upside −50% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on assets −2% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) −54% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 13% · Top 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth −20% · Bottom 25%

Valuation Multiplesvs Engineering & Construction median · lower = cheaper

P/S (TTM) 0.34× · Cheaper than median

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0 · sector 21
FUTURE (revenue growth)0 · sector 12
PAST (return on equity)0 · sector 25
HEALTH (low debt)100 · sector 94
DIVIDEND (yield)0 · sector 40

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Engineering & Construction stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

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Vinci SA DG €111.45 €185.62 +67%
Comfort Systems USA, Inc FIX $1,691 $1,114 −34%
Larsen & Toubro Limited LT ₹3,915 ₹2,196 −44%
Ferrovial N.V FER €48.03 €19.17 −60%
Samsung C&T Corporation 028260 367,000 KRW 261,411 KRW −29%
HOCHTIEF Aktiengesellschaft HOT €416.20 €203.87 −51%
ACS, Actividades de Construcción y Servicios, S.A ACS €98.25 €75.04 −24%
EMCOR Group EME $780.66 $518.51 −34%
China State Construction Engineering Corporation 601668 ¥4.35 ¥17.35 +299%

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Yayla Enerji Uretim Turizm ve Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/YAYLA

Frequently asked questions

Is Yayla Enerji Uretim Turizm ve (YAYLA) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 13, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 11.07 TRY versus a price of 21.00 TRY, about −47% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of YAYLA?
Our model-based fair value for Yayla Enerji Uretim Turizm ve is 11.07 TRY (as of Sep 13, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 21.00 TRY.
What is the quality score of YAYLA?
Yayla Enerji Uretim Turizm ve has a Quality Score of 51/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Yayla Enerji Uretim Turizm ve (YAYLA)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of 11.07 TRY (as of Sep 13, 2026) from 1 valuation models. Cautious scenario 8.26 TRY, optimistic scenario 16.52 TRY. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Yayla Enerji Uretim Turizm ve stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at 11.07 TRY, about −47% upside versus a price of 21.00 TRY (overvalued). Cautious scenario 8.26 TRY, optimistic scenario 16.52 TRY. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Yayla Enerji Uretim Turizm ve (YAYLA)?
Yayla Enerji Uretim Turizm ve reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 62.9M TRY (latest available figure, as of Sep 13, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Yayla Enerji Uretim Turizm ve (YAYLA)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Yayla Enerji Uretim Turizm ve it is 11.07 TRY per share (as of Sep 13, 2026), against a price of 21.00 TRY. It is the blended result of 1 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Yayla Enerji Uretim Turizm ve stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 13, 2026, YAYLA trades above its calculated fair value: price 21.00 TRY, fair value 11.07 TRY, a gap of about −47% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of YAYLA?
No. The price is what the market pays today (21.00 TRY); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (11.07 TRY). For Yayla Enerji Uretim Turizm ve the two are 9.93 TRY per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Yayla Enerji Uretim Turizm ve worth?
The market values Yayla Enerji Uretim Turizm ve at about 1.0B TRY (market capitalisation, as of Sep 13, 2026). Per share that is 21.00 TRY; our models calculate a fair value of 11.07 TRY per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about YAYLA?
Our models span a range for Yayla Enerji Uretim Turizm ve: cautious scenario 8.26 TRY, base 11.07 TRY, optimistic 16.52 TRY per share (as of Sep 13, 2026, price 21.00 TRY). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Yayla Enerji Uretim Turizm ve (YAYLA)?
Balance-sheet figures for Yayla Enerji Uretim Turizm ve (as of Sep 13, 2026): return on equity −4.2%. They feed the Quality Score of 51/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is YAYLA from its 52-week high?
Yayla Enerji Uretim Turizm ve trades at 21.00 TRY, about 56% below its 52-week high of 47.28 TRY and 3% above the low of 20.36 TRY (as of Sep 13, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of 11.07 TRY is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Yayla Enerji Uretim Turizm ve?
From the same area (Industrials) we also value Quanta Services, Inc, Vinci SA, Comfort Systems USA, Inc, Larsen & Toubro Limited, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Yayla Enerji Uretim Turizm ve stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 13, 2026: price 21.00 TRY, calculated fair value 11.07 TRY (−47%), Quality Score 51/100, from 1 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of YAYLA calculated?
We run Yayla Enerji Uretim Turizm ve through 1 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of 11.07 TRY, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 15.6 % above its aggregate fair value. Yayla Enerji Uretim Turizm ve itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Yayla Enerji Uretim Turizm ve (YAYLA)?
The closing price on Sep 15, 2026 was 21.00 TRY. Our model-based fair value is 11.07 TRY, about −47% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Yayla Enerji Uretim Turizm ve right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (16.52 TRY). The favourable scenario is already priced in. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. Solid but not exceptional quality (51/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder. A fairly wide model range (8.26 TRY to 16.52 TRY) leaves room in how you read the outcome.

Key figures of Yayla Enerji Uretim Turizm ve

How large is the market capitalisation of Yayla Enerji Uretim Turizm ve (YAYLA)?
The market capitalisation of Yayla Enerji Uretim Turizm ve is 1.0B TRY (≈ $21.6M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Yayla Enerji Uretim Turizm ve (YAYLA)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Yayla Enerji Uretim Turizm ve is 16.5 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Yayla Enerji Uretim Turizm ve (YAYLA)?
Earnings per share at Yayla Enerji Uretim Turizm ve are −0.1500 TRY. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Yayla Enerji Uretim Turizm ve (YAYLA)?
The net margin of Yayla Enerji Uretim Turizm ve is −9.1% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Yayla Enerji Uretim Turizm ve (YAYLA)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Yayla Enerji Uretim Turizm ve is −4.2% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Yayla Enerji Uretim Turizm ve (YAYLA)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Yayla Enerji Uretim Turizm ve is −3.3% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Yayla Enerji Uretim Turizm ve (YAYLA)?
The operating margin of Yayla Enerji Uretim Turizm ve is 13.1% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Yayla Enerji Uretim Turizm ve (YAYLA)?
Revenue at Yayla Enerji Uretim Turizm ve is growing −19.9% versus a year earlier (3y avg +87.4%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Yayla Enerji Uretim Turizm ve (YAYLA)?
Earnings per share at Yayla Enerji Uretim Turizm ve are growing −15.5% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Yayla Enerji Uretim Turizm ve (YAYLA) generate?
The free cash flow of Yayla Enerji Uretim Turizm ve is −14.8M TRY (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Yayla Enerji Uretim Turizm ve (YAYLA) carry?
The net debt of Yayla Enerji Uretim Turizm ve is 2.2M TRY (fiscal year 2024). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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