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Yanlord Land Group Ltd (YLDGY) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Oct 2, 2026: fair value of Yanlord Land Group Ltd $17.52, price $8.02, upside +118.5%, quality 55 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? Yes
  2. Good quality? Yes
  3. Add to watchlist

Real Estate · US · ADR · Home Singapore · ISIN US98482L1044

YL Yanlord Land Group Ltd logo Some data Sep 24, 2026

Yanlord Land Group Ltd

YLDGY · US

Clearly undervaluedStrong Fair Value upside, but quality is only moderate.

✓Fair value $17.52 · Strongly undervalued (+118.5%)
!Quality 55/100
!Mixed Growth (revenue 5y +14.3 %/yr)
!Thin margins · 1.9% net margin (TTM)
✓Low debt · generates free cash flow
✓0.7% dividend yield · Well covered
!Mixed vs. peers (6/12)
!Narrow moat 23/100
!Evidence only medium, so the estimate is less certain
!The models disagree: range $8.57 to $32.55
!Weak on past: 4 out of 100
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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

$21.88 $6.41 Fair Value $17.52 Oct 2015 Oct 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $6.41 – $21.88 · fair‑value band $8.57 – $32.55 · the $8.02 price screens below the $17.52 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.

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Company profile

Yanlord Land Group Limited is a real estate developer. It is focusing on developing high-end fully-fitted residential, commercial and integrated property projects in strategically selected key and high-growth cities in the PRC and Singapore. Yanlord has been listed on the Mainboard of the Singapore Exchange since June 2006.

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Yanlord Land Group Limited is a real estate developer. It is focusing on developing high-end fully-fitted residential, commercial and integrated property projects in strategically selected key and high-growth cities in the PRC and Singapore. Yanlord has been listed on the Mainboard of the Singapore Exchange since June 2006. Since Yanlord's foray into the PRC property market in 1993, it has successfully developed a number of largescale residential property developments with international communities of residents. Building on its established track record for developing high-end residential property developments in prime locations within affluent cities of the PRC, the "Yanlord" name has been developed into a premium brand synonymous with quality within the property development industry of the PRC. Typically, Yanlord's residential property developments are characterised by large-scale, multi-phased projects designed and built by international architects, leading designers and reputable contractors. Currently, Yanlord has an established presence in over 20 key high-growth cities within the six major economic regions of the PRC. In Singapore, residential developments, namely, Leedon Green and Dairy Farm Residences were completed and delivered to the customers, while Hillock Green is underdevelopment. Since 2003, Yanlord has been developing high-quality commercial and integrated properties for long-term investment purpose, such as shopping malls, offices, serviced apartments and hotels. Currently, Yanlord holds a portfolio of core completed investment and hotel properties, including Yanlord Landmark and Hengye International Plaza in Chengdu; Yanlord Riverside Plaza in Tianjin; Yanlord Marina Centre in Zhuhai; Crowne Plaza Sanya Haitang Bay Resort in Sanya; Yanlord Landmark in Nanjing; Yanlord Reverie Plaza in Shenzhen; Cangjie Commercial Plaza in Suzhou; Orchard Summer Palace in Shenyang; and various Yanlord Lane community retail outlets across multiple cities, in the PRC. In Singapore, the Group holds a high-quality i

Stock analysis

Yanlord Land Group Ltd ADR (YLDGY) currently trades at $8.02, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $17.52, implying the stock looks roughly 54.2% undervalued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the Multiples group reads highest at a median of $40.25 per share, and 14 of the 16 models we run sit above the $8.02 price.

Bear case: the Dividend Discount group reads lowest at $10.27, and 2 of the 16 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is medium.

Scenario range: $8.57 (bear) to $32.55 (bull), the price of $8.02 sits below it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 55/100 (solid quality), in the Real Estate sector.

Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.

Yanlord Land Group Ltd ADR reported revenue of 14.2B CNY in FY2025 versus 34.8B CNY in FY2021, a compound −20.0%/yr. Reported net income was 261M CNY in FY2025, compounding −44.0%/yr from FY2021.

Key figures

Market cap $1.0B · P/S ratio 0.07 · EPS (TTM) $−3.84 · Dividend yield 0.7% · Net margin 1.8% · Return on equity 1.1% · Return on assets (EBIT) 3.1% · Operating margin −1.3%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 39 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 27% below its 52-week high and at its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Real Estate peers we cover trades at 2% fair-value upside, at 118%, YLDGY screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear $8.57 Fair Value $17.52 Bull $32.55
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
FCF DCF $7.16 $12.97 $20.13 79
Growth DCF $7.46 $12.76 $19.02 77
Residual Income $32.77 $30.22 $28.52 76
All 16 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF $7.16 $12.97 $20.13 79
5Y Revenue Exit $16.34 $31.65 $50.60 70
5Y EBITDA Exit $24.57 $46.23 $70.47 74
10Y Revenue Exit $11.39 $23.46 $38.49 64
10Y EBITDA Exit $16.93 $32.45 $51.66 66
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM $7.40 $11.28 $15.05 68
DDM Multi-Stage $7.40 $10.27 $13.05 67
Multiples
P/S Multiple $5.14 $6.85 $8.56 58
P/B Multiple $5.14 $6.85 $8.56 55
EV/EBIT $53.74 $74.93 $96.13 66
EV/EBITDA $43.91 $61.83 $79.76 67
EV/Revenue $25.22 $40.25 $55.28 53
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $25.48 $34.14 $50.96 54
Growth DCF
Growth DCF $7.46 $12.76 $19.02 77
Rev-Margin DCF $16.34 $31.74 $48.03 71
Economic Profit
Residual Income $32.77 $30.22 $28.52 76

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 55/100

Of which business quality 54 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 31

Profitability 13
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 56
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 68
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 38
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 100
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 43
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 27
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 25
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 82
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 85/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+1.5%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+14.3%
Revenue growth 19 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+12.7%
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
−36.4%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−37.1%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.7%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.−37.1% vs −15.8%, slowing
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.29% → 18%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)

Growth Forecast

A lot of optimism in the price
The price assumes more growth than the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+12.7%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
After inflation (figures in CNY, China: IMF forecast 1.7% a year to 2030, 1.4% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +10.8% a year for the price.

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Real Estate - Development · 577 stocks

Beats the industry median on 6/12 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 56 · Above median
Fair Value upside +103.8% · Above median
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM) 1.1% · Below median
Return on assets 1.3% · Above median
Net margin (TTM) 1.9% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM) −1.3% · Below median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth −69.1% · Bottom 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 0.7% · Bottom 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 0.42× · Above median

Valuation Multiplesvs Real Estate - Development median · lower = cheaper

P/S (TTM) 0.07× · Cheapest 25%
P/FCF 1.1× · Cheapest 25%
EV/EBITDA 3.1× · Cheapest 25%

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)100 · sector 72
FUTURE (revenue growth)0 · sector 0
PAST (return on equity)4 · sector 11
HEALTH (low debt)79 · sector 84
DIVIDEND (yield)14 · sector 58

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Real Estate - Development stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Sun Hung Kai Properties Limited 0016 HK$107.10 HK$155.14 +45%
China Resources Land Limited 1109 HK$28.64 HK$71.60 +150%
CK Asset Holdings 1113 HK$45.90 HK$71.49 +56%
Hongkong Land Holdings H78 $8.57 $1.52 −82%
DLF Limited DLF ₹658.40 ₹167.48 −75%
China Overseas Land & Investment Limited 0688 HK$12.42 HK$22.33 +80%
Sino Land Company 0083 HK$9.94 HK$7.28 −27%
Lodha Developers Limited LODHA ₹1,165 ₹274.14 −76%
Poly Developments and Holdings 600048 ¥5.77 ¥5.87 +2%
China Merchants Shekou Industrial Zone Holdings 001979 ¥7.18 ¥6.04 −16%

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Yanlord Land Group Ltd ADR · Fair Value
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Yanlord Land Group Ltd ADR Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/YLDGY

Frequently asked questions

Is Yanlord Land Group Ltd (YLDGY) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $17.52 versus a price of $8.02, about +118% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of YLDGY?
Our model-based fair value for Yanlord Land Group Ltd ADR is $17.52 (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $8.02.
What is the quality score of YLDGY?
Yanlord Land Group Ltd ADR has a Quality Score of 55/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Yanlord Land Group Ltd (YLDGY)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $17.52 (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 16 valuation models. Cautious scenario $8.57, optimistic scenario $32.55. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Yanlord Land Group Ltd ADR stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $17.52, about +118% upside versus a price of $8.02 (undervalued). Cautious scenario $8.57, optimistic scenario $32.55. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Yanlord Land Group Ltd (YLDGY)?
Yanlord Land Group Ltd ADR reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 14.4B CNY (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
Does Yanlord Land Group Ltd ADR pay a dividend?
Yanlord Land Group Ltd ADR currently shows a dividend yield of about 0.69% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 24, 2026).
What growth is priced into Yanlord Land Group Ltd (YLDGY)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Yanlord Land Group Ltd ADR would have to grow free cash flow by +12.7 % per year for five years (discount rate 10.3 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew -9.9 % per year. As of Sep 24, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of YLDGY use?
Our models discount Yanlord Land Group Ltd ADR at 10.3 %: a base by market capitalisation (small), damped by beta 0.68, country premium for USA. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Yanlord Land Group Ltd ADR that is +12.7 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (10.3 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Yanlord Land Group Ltd (YLDGY) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Yanlord Land Group Ltd ADR grew -9.9 % a year. The price currently implies +12.7 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Yanlord Land Group Ltd (YLDGY) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +1.8 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Yanlord Land Group Ltd ADR (+12.7 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Yanlord Land Group Ltd (YLDGY)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 17.20 %: that much free cash flow Yanlord Land Group Ltd ADR produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (10.3 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Yanlord Land Group Ltd (YLDGY)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Yanlord Land Group Ltd ADR it is $17.52 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of $8.02. It is the blended result of 16 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Yanlord Land Group Ltd ADR stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, YLDGY trades below its calculated fair value: price $8.02, fair value $17.52, a gap of about +118% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of YLDGY?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($8.02); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($17.52). For Yanlord Land Group Ltd ADR the two are $9.50 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Yanlord Land Group Ltd ADR worth?
The market values Yanlord Land Group Ltd ADR at about $1.0B (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is $8.02; our models calculate a fair value of $17.52 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about YLDGY?
Our models span a range for Yanlord Land Group Ltd ADR: cautious scenario $8.57, base $17.52, optimistic $32.55 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price $8.02). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Yanlord Land Group Ltd (YLDGY)?
Balance-sheet figures for Yanlord Land Group Ltd ADR (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity 1.1%, debt of 0.42 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 55/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is YLDGY from its 52-week high?
Yanlord Land Group Ltd ADR trades at $8.02, about 27% below its 52-week high of $10.94 and at the low of $8.02 (as of Oct 2, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $17.52 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Yanlord Land Group Ltd ADR?
From the same area (Real Estate) we also value Sun Hung Kai Properties Limited, China Resources Land Limited, CK Asset Holdings, Hongkong Land Holdings, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Yanlord Land Group Ltd ADR stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price $8.02, calculated fair value $17.52 (+118%), Quality Score 55/100, from 16 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of YLDGY calculated?
We run Yanlord Land Group Ltd ADR through 16 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $17.52, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.5 % above its aggregate fair value. Yanlord Land Group Ltd ADR currently trades 54 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Yanlord Land Group Ltd (YLDGY)?
The closing price on Oct 2, 2026 was $8.02. Our model-based fair value is $17.52, about +118% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Yanlord Land Group Ltd ADR right now?
The price is below even our cautious bear case ($8.57). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario. The model range is unusually wide ($8.57 to $32.55). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution. Solid quality (55/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality. As a real-estate business, asset- and dividend-based methods carry more weight here than a standard DCF.

Key figures of Yanlord Land Group Ltd ADR

How large is the market capitalisation of Yanlord Land Group Ltd (YLDGY)?
The market capitalisation of Yanlord Land Group Ltd ADR is $1.0B. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Yanlord Land Group Ltd (YLDGY)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Yanlord Land Group Ltd ADR is 0.07 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Yanlord Land Group Ltd (YLDGY)?
Earnings per share at Yanlord Land Group Ltd ADR are $−3.84. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Yanlord Land Group Ltd (YLDGY)?
The dividend yield of Yanlord Land Group Ltd ADR is 0.7%. Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Yanlord Land Group Ltd (YLDGY)?
The net margin of Yanlord Land Group Ltd ADR is 1.8% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Yanlord Land Group Ltd (YLDGY)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Yanlord Land Group Ltd ADR is 1.1% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Yanlord Land Group Ltd (YLDGY)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Yanlord Land Group Ltd ADR is 3.1% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Yanlord Land Group Ltd (YLDGY)?
The operating margin of Yanlord Land Group Ltd ADR is −1.3% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Yanlord Land Group Ltd (YLDGY)?
Revenue at Yanlord Land Group Ltd ADR is growing −69.1% versus a year earlier (3y avg −20.8%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Yanlord Land Group Ltd (YLDGY)?
Earnings per share at Yanlord Land Group Ltd ADR are growing −20.5% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does Yanlord Land Group Ltd (YLDGY) carry?
The net debt of Yanlord Land Group Ltd ADR is 21.1B CNY (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 23.6 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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