Numulae Gestión de Servicios SOCIMI, S.A (YNUM) Fair Value & Analysis
Real Estate · ES · Market cap €34.9M
Fair value as of: Jul 18, 2026
From 6 valuation models · updated 23 days ago
Below-average quality, and screening another 59% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (€1.03). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Solid but not exceptional quality (47/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
- A fairly wide model range (€0.4200 to €1.03) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
- As a real-estate business, asset- and dividend-based methods carry more weight here than a standard DCF.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 18, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range €1.73 – €2.36 · fair‑value band €0.4200 – €1.03 · the €2.36 price screens above the €0.9600 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 18, 2026.
Analysis
Numulae Gestión de Servicios SOCIMI, S.A (YNUM) currently trades at €2.36, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is €0.9600, implying the stock looks roughly 59.3% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 47/100 (below-average quality), in the Real Estate sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).
Over the trailing twelve months, Numulae Gestión de Servicios SOCIMI, S.A generated revenue of €6.2M at a net margin of -5.2%. Revenue declined 0.6% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -2.0%. Net debt stands at €17.7M. Fundamentals as of Jul 18, 2026
Our scenario range runs from €0.4200 (bear case) to €1.03 (bull case); at €2.36, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades near its 52-week high and 19% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Real Estate peers we cover trades at -22% fair-value upside, at -59%, YNUM screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 6 models by family
Widest divergence: Multiples (€1.09) versus Dividend Discount (€0.1900). Highest evidence: Gordon GGM (70).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 18, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 44 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 74
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Numulae Gestión de Servicios SOCIMI, S.A. operates as a real estate investment company in Spain. The company operates Parque Astur and El Arcángel shopping centers in Avilés and Córdoba; and Torrijos market in madrid. Numulae Gestión de Servicios SOCIMI, S.A. was incorporated in 2009 and is based in Madrid, Spain. Numulae Gestión de Servicios SOCIMI, S.A.
Full company description
Numulae Gestión de Servicios SOCIMI, S.A. operates as a real estate investment company in Spain. The company operates Parque Astur and El Arcángel shopping centers in Avilés and Córdoba; and Torrijos market in madrid. Numulae Gestión de Servicios SOCIMI, S.A. was incorporated in 2009 and is based in Madrid, Spain. Numulae Gestión de Servicios SOCIMI, S.A. is a subsidiary of La Fe Previsora Compañia de Seguros, S.A.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2019 – FY2023 · reported fiscal years
Numulae Gestión de Servicios SOCIMI, S.A reported revenue of €6.2M in FY2023 versus €2.1M in FY2019, a compound +30.9%/yr. Reported net income was −€362K in FY2023.
YNUM screens 59% overvalued. Compare with Goodman Group →
Peer Group
REIT - Diversified · 165 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs REIT - Diversified median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more REIT - Diversified stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 18, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goodman Group GMG | A$29.11 | A$7.37 | -75% |
| VICI Properties Inc VICI | $26.73 | $41.74 | +56% |
| W. P. Carey Inc WPC | $76.69 | $35.59 | -54% |
| Charter Hall Group CHC | A$21.90 | A$11.46 | -48% |
| Fibra Uno FUNO11 | 31.10 MXN | 63.56 MXN | +104% |
| COV COV | €52.55 | €62.39 | +19% |
| The GPT Group GPT | A$4.89 | A$3.49 | -29% |
| Mirvac Group MGR | A$1.70 | A$0.5700 | -66% |
| KLCC Property Holdings 5235SS | 8.85 MYR | 6.91 MYR | -22% |
| CRRUN CRRUN | C$17.65 | C$17.89 | +1% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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