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Demae-Can Co (YUMSF) Fair Value & Analysis

Consumer Cyclical · US · Market cap $153M

DC Demae-Can Co logo Demae-Can Co YUMSF · US
Price$0.7600
Fair Value$1.24
Upside+63.4%
Quality52/100
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Expensive Growth
Loss-making · -18.5% net margin
Low debt · negative free cash flow
Trails peers (2/8)
Narrow moat 9/100
Evidence: Low Range $0.8196 – $1.55 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 25, 2026

From 1 valuation models · updated 16 days ago

A solid business, screening 63% undervalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price is below even our cautious bear case ($0.8196). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
  • The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
  • Solid quality (52/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
  • A fairly wide model range ($0.8196 to $1.55) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

$39.20 $0.7600 Fair Value $1.24 Aug 2018 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 25, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $0.7600 – $39.20 · fair‑value band $0.8196 – $1.55 · the $0.7600 price screens below the $1.24 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 25, 2026.

Full chart & analysis →

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Analysis

Demae-Can Co (YUMSF) currently trades at $0.7600, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $1.24, implying the stock looks roughly 63.4% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 52/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: low), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, Demae-Can Co generated revenue of $36.8B at a net margin of -18.5%. Revenue declined 8.5% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -23.6%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of $28.5B. Fundamentals as of Jul 25, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $0.8196 (bear case) to $1.55 (bull case); at $0.7600, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 45% below its 52-week high, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at -49% fair-value upside, at 63%, YUMSF screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
NCAV (Graham) $0.9267 $1.24 $1.85 50
All 1 models by family
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $0.9267 $1.24 $1.85 50

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) $36.8B
Revenue growth (YoY) -8.5%
Net margin -18.5%
Return on equity -23.6%
Free cash flow −$5.0B FY2025
Operating margin -16.9%
More key figures
EPS (TTM) $-0.3700
Net cash $28.5B FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 25, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 52/100

Of which business quality 53 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 25

Profitability 20
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 16
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 33
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 75
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 100
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 55
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 21
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 0
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 100
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Demae-Can Co.,Ltd operates delivery-specialized websites and apps in Japan. The company operates Demae-kan, a food delivery service that retails daily necessities, beverages, and other essential items, as well as engages in website operation and management, system development, advertising operation and management, and delivery agency services.

Full company description

Demae-Can Co.,Ltd operates delivery-specialized websites and apps in Japan. The company operates Demae-kan, a food delivery service that retails daily necessities, beverages, and other essential items, as well as engages in website operation and management, system development, advertising operation and management, and delivery agency services. It also offers Demaekan eGift, a gift certificate for dishes, food, and everyday items. The company was formerly known as Yume no Machi Souzou Iinkai Co., Ltd. and changed its name to Demae-Can Co.,Ltd in December 2019. Demae-Can Co.,Ltd was incorporated in 1999 and is headquartered in Shibuya, Japan.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Demae-Can Co reported revenue of $39.7B in FY2025 versus $29.0B in FY2021, a compound +8.2%/yr. Reported net income was −$5.0B in FY2025.

Growth Quality 38/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
$39.7B
Latest YoY
−21.2%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−5.7%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+31.0%
Avg. growth/yr (17Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+24.6%
Revenue +8.2%/yr
FY21 $29.0B
FY22 $47.3B
FY23 $51.4B
FY24 $50.4B
FY25 $39.7B
Net income
FY21 −$21.9B
FY22 −$36.2B
FY23 −$12.2B
FY24 −$3.7B
FY25 −$5.0B

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Demae-Can Co Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/YUMSF

Peer Group

Internet Retail · 109 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 52 · Below median
Fair Value upside +63% · Top 25%
Return on assets -11% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) -18% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) -17% · Bottom 25%
Revenue growth -9% · Bottom 25%

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 100 · sector 34
FUTURE 0 · sector 39
PAST 0 · sector 7
HEALTH 100 · sector 94
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 39

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Internet Retail stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 25, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Amazon.com, Inc AMZN $245.34 $127.67 -48%
Alibaba Group BABA $114.97 $75.75 -34%
PDD Holdings PDD $84.14 $223.51 +166%
MercadoLibre, Inc MELI $1,814 $798.98 -56%
DoorDash, Inc DASH $190.16 $38.64 -80%
Sea Limited SE $106.22 $52.70 -50%
eBay Inc EBAY $117.20 $60.13 -49%
JD.com, Inc JD €25.95 €31.88 +23%
Coupang, Inc CPNG $16.86 $2.79 -83%
Delivery Hero SE DHER €38.18 €12.71 -67%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Demae-Can Co (YUMSF) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 25, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $1.24 versus a price of $0.7600, about +63% (undervalued).
What is the fair value of YUMSF?
Our model-based fair value for Demae-Can Co is $1.24 (as of Jul 25, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is $0.7600.
What is the quality score of YUMSF?
Demae-Can Co has a Quality Score of 52/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Demae-Can Co (YUMSF)?
Demae-Can Co reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $36.8B (latest available figure, as of Jul 25, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of YUMSF?
The net profit margin of Demae-Can Co is about -18.5%, meaning it is currently running at a net loss. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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