AstraZeneca PLC (ZEG) fair value: what the stock is really worth
We calculate from audited financials what AstraZeneca PLC is really worth. The fair value tells you whether the price is too high or too low, the quality score (0 to 100) how solid the business behind it is. 26 models, 37 quality factors, updated daily.
- Fair value above price? No
- Good quality? Yes
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AstraZeneca PLC
ZEG · XETRAOvervalued / MonitorQuality is not strong enough to offset the price risk.
What runs behind every stock
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 13, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range €83.41 – €165.10 · fair‑value band €63.39 – €151.16 · the €160.70 price screens above the €110.88 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 13, 2026.
Company profile
AstraZeneca PLC, a biopharmaceutical company, focuses on the discovery, development, manufacture, and commercialization of prescription medicines.
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AstraZeneca PLC, a biopharmaceutical company, focuses on the discovery, development, manufacture, and commercialization of prescription medicines. The company offers Imjudo, Datroway, Iressa, Tagrisso, Imfinzi, Lynparza, Calquence, Enhertu, Orpathys, Truqap, Zoladex, Faslodex, Crestor, Andexxa, Onglyza, Symlin, XIGDUO XR, Atacand, Atacand HCT, Atacand Plus, Farxiga/Forxiga, Plendil, Modip, Splendil, Munobal, Flodil, Tenormin, Tenormine, Prenormine, Atenol, Zestril, Brilinta/Brilique, Komboglyze, Qtern, Wainua, Byetta, Lokelma, Seloken ZOK, Toprol-XL, Betaloc ZOK, XIGDUO, Accolate, Accoleit, Vanticon, Bricanyl Respules, Eklira Genuair/Tudorza/Bretaris, Pulmicort Turbuhaler, Symbicort Turbuhaler, Airsupra, Bricanyl Turbuhaler, Fasenra, Rhinocort, Tezspire, Bevespi Aerosphere, Daliresp/Daxas, Oxis Turbuhaler, Saphnelo, Breztri Aerosphere, Duaklir Genuair, Pulmicort Respules, and Symbicort pMDI. It also provides Beyfortus, Kavigale, Evusheld, Fluenz/FluMist, Synagis, Kanuma, Ultomiris, Koselugo, Voydeya, Soliris, Strensiq, Nexium, and other medicines. The company offers its products for ocology, cardiovascular, renal and metabolism, respiratory & immunology, vaccines and immune, and therapies rare diseases. It serves primary and specialty care physicians through distributors and local representative offices in the United Kingdom, the Americas, rest of Europe, Asia, Africa, and Australasia. It has a strategic agreement with Tempus and Pathos to develop the largest multimodal foundation model in oncology; CSPC Pharmaceutical Group Limited to advance the discovery and development of novel oral candidates, with the potential to treat diseases across multiple indications; and Nucs AI Inc. to develop AI-driven Response Prediction for Therapeutic Radioconjugates. The company was formerly known as Zeneca Group PLC and changed its name to AstraZeneca PLC in April 1999. AstraZeneca PLC was incorporated in 1992 and is headquartered in Cambridge, the United Kingdom.
Stock analysis
AstraZeneca PLC (ZEG) currently trades at €160.70, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is €110.88, implying the stock looks roughly 44.9% overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Growth Earnings group reads highest at a median of €128.63 per share, and 1 of the 26 models we run sit above the €160.70 price.
Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at €21.02, and 25 of the 26 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.
Scenario range: €63.39 (bear) to €151.16 (bull), the price of €160.70 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 69/100 (solid quality), in the Healthcare sector.
Healthy Growth: Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
AstraZeneca PLC reported revenue of $58.7B in FY2025 versus $37.4B in FY2021, a compound +11.9%/yr. Reported net income was $10.2B in FY2025, compounding +209.1%/yr from FY2021. FY2021 was a trough year, so the rate overstates the trend.
Key figures
Market cap €251B · P/E ratio 28.3 · P/S ratio 4.93 · EPS (TTM) €5.67 · Dividend yield 2.0% · Net margin 17.4% · Return on equity 23.5% · Return on assets (EBIT) 6.9%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 52 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 3% below its 52-week high and 37% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Healthcare peers we cover trades at 1% fair-value upside, at −31%, ZEG screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
All 26 models by family
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Set up alert →Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 65 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 74
Revenue & earnings trend
Growth Forecast
ZEG screens 45% overvalued. Compare with Eli Lilly and Company →
Compare AstraZeneca PLC with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Drug Manufacturers - General · 72 stocks
Valuation Multiplesvs Drug Manufacturers - General median · lower = cheaper
Context: sector, industry, market
- Is the Health Care sector expensive or cheap?
- P/E, EV/EBITDA and margins by industry (reference tables)
- Undervalued stocks: German Stocks
- Valuation of the Germany market
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
Similar stocks
10 more Drug Manufacturers - General stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Eli Lilly and Company LLY | $1,116 | $778.94 | −30% |
| Johnson & Johnson, JNJ | $265.58 | $169.04 | −36% |
| AbbVie Inc ABBV | $257.12 | $259.66 | +1% |
| Roche Holding RO | CHF 352.60 | CHF 306.54 | −13% |
| Merck & Co MRK | €124.22 | €101.89 | −18% |
| Novartis AG NVS | $137.16 | $138.70 | +1% |
| Novo Nordisk A/S NOVOB | kr 276.45 | kr 409.46 | +48% |
| Amgen Inc AMGN | $377.35 | $415.09 | +10% |
| Gilead Sciences, Inc GILD | $143.72 | $198.51 | +38% |
| Pfizer Inc PFE | $27.72 | $20.39 | −26% |
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Frequently asked questions
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Key figures of AstraZeneca PLC
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