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Zenith Exports Limited (ZENITHEXPO) Fair Value & Analysis

Consumer Cyclical · IN · Market cap ₹1.1B

ZE Zenith Exports Limited ZENITHEXPO · NSE
Price₹204.51
Fair Value₹72.14
Upside-64.7%
Quality63/100
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Mixed Growth
Thin margins · 3.5% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
Trails peers (4/12)
Narrow moat 15/100
Evidence: High Range ₹54.11 – ₹90.18 Share as image

Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026

From 19 valuation models · updated 4 days ago

Share price +3.3% over the past month.

A solid business, but screening 65% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (₹90.18). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Solid but not exceptional quality (63/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

₹453.06 ₹64.45 Fair Value ₹72.14 Apr 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range ₹64.45 – ₹453.06 · fair‑value band ₹54.11 – ₹90.18 · the ₹204.51 price screens above the ₹72.14 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

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Analysis

Zenith Exports Limited (ZENITHEXPO) currently trades at ₹204.51, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ₹72.14, implying the stock looks roughly 64.7% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 63/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Over the trailing twelve months, Zenith Exports Limited generated revenue of ₹647M at a net margin of 3.5%. Revenue declined 37.3% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 2.8%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of ₹143M. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026

Our scenario range runs from ₹54.11 (bear case) to ₹90.18 (bull case); at ₹204.51, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 42% below its 52-week high and 18% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at -7% fair-value upside, at -65%, ZENITHEXPO screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF ₹133.03 ₹161.65 ₹205.99 80
Rev-Margin DCF ₹125.91 ₹169.29 ₹222.75 74
Growth-Adj P/E ₹49.36 ₹70.51 ₹91.67 68
All 19 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF ₹129.82 ₹160.00 ₹210.65 38
Owner Earnings ₹60.49 ₹69.62 ₹84.95 31
5Y Revenue Exit ₹125.91 ₹166.67 ₹225.86 39
5Y EBITDA Exit ₹75.07 ₹78.77 ₹83.72 41
5Y P/E Exit ₹107.70 ₹135.19 ₹168.27 38
10Y Revenue Exit ₹124.80 ₹153.20 ₹183.31 36
10Y EBITDA Exit ₹98.81 ₹103.57 ₹107.18 37
10Y P/E Exit ₹116.91 ₹135.43 ₹152.47 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd ₹28.86 ₹35.27 ₹39.68 54
Multiples
P/E Multiple ₹70.02 ₹93.36 ₹116.70 63
P/S Multiple ₹54.11 ₹72.14 ₹90.18 58
P/B Multiple ₹54.11 ₹72.14 ₹90.18 55
EV/EBITDA ₹32.58 ₹33.30 ₹34.02 54
EV/Revenue ₹131.09 ₹174.24 ₹217.39 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) ₹77.93 ₹104.43 ₹155.87 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF ₹133.03 ₹161.65 ₹205.99 80
Rev-Margin DCF ₹125.91 ₹169.29 ₹222.75 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income ₹105.17 ₹98.93 ₹75.38 61
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E ₹49.36 ₹70.51 ₹91.67 68

Widest divergence: Growth DCF (₹161.65) versus Earnings-Based (₹35.27). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) ₹647M
Revenue growth (YoY) -37.3%
Net margin 3.5%
Return on equity 2.8%
Free cash flow ₹66.1M FY2026
P/E ratio 48.2
More key figures
Operating margin -8.7%
EPS (TTM) ₹4.24
EPS growth (YoY) -75.0%
Net cash ₹143M FY2026

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 63/100

Of which business quality 66 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 33

Profitability 32
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 36
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 71
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 89
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 97
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 45
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 34
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 19
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 81
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Zenith Exports Limited engages in the leather goods and textile fabrics businesses for the home and apparel industries in India and internationally. It operates through Silk Fabrics & Made-ups; Industrial Leather H/Gloves & Made-Ups; Yarns; and Weavings Silk Fabrics (100% EOU) segments.

Full company description

Zenith Exports Limited engages in the leather goods and textile fabrics businesses for the home and apparel industries in India and internationally. It operates through Silk Fabrics & Made-ups; Industrial Leather H/Gloves & Made-Ups; Yarns; and Weavings Silk Fabrics (100% EOU) segments. The company offers silk, velvet, and cotton fabrics; industrial leather hand gloves; and made ups. It also trades in cotton, as well as export's its products. Zenith Exports Limited was incorporated in 1969 and is headquartered in Kolkata, India.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2022 – FY2026 · reported fiscal years

Zenith Exports Limited reported revenue of ₹647M in FY2026 versus ₹882M in FY2022, a compound −7.5%/yr. Reported net income was ₹22.9M in FY2026, compounding +22.8%/yr from FY2022.

Growth Quality 65/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Latest Revenue (FY 2026)
₹647M
Latest YoY
−10.3%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+2.5%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+5.9%
Avg. growth/yr (20Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−5.2%
Revenue −7.5%/yr
FY22 ₹882M
FY23 ₹601M
FY24 ₹785M
FY25 ₹721M
FY26 ₹647M
Net income +22.8%/yr
FY22 ₹10.1M
FY23 ₹15.8M
FY24 ₹3.0M
FY25 ₹17.1M
FY26 ₹22.9M

ZENITHEXPO screens 65% overvalued. Compare with Shenzhou International Group →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Zenith Exports Limited Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/ZENITHEXPO

Peer Group

Textile Manufacturing · 317 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 63 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside −65% · Bottom 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 3% · Below median
Return on assets -0% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) 4% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM) -9% · Bottom 25%
Revenue growth -37% · Bottom 25%

Valuation Multiples vs Textile Manufacturing median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 48.2× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/B 1.26× · Pricier than median
P/S (TTM) 1.64× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/FCF 0.2× · Cheaper than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 · sector 8
FUTURE 0 · sector 0
PAST 11 · sector 15
HEALTH 100 · sector 95
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 35

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Textile Manufacturing stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Shenzhou International Group 2313 HK$42.10 HK$68.24 +62%
Tongkun Group 601233 ¥22.67 ¥14.53 -36%
Inner Mongolia ERDOS Resources Co 600295 ¥12.79 ¥14.35 +12%
Far Eastern New Century Corporation 1402 27.55 TWD 25.64 TWD -7%
K.P.R. Mill Limited KPRMILL ₹1,089 ₹467.49 -57%
HMT (Xiamen) New Technical Materials Co 603306 ¥71.55 ¥11.85 -83%
Vardhman Textiles Limited VTL ₹591.90 ₹437.53 -26%
Isiklar Enerji ve Yapi Holding IEYHO 174.20 TRY 324.31 TRY +86%
Ruentex Industries Ltd 2915 54.10 TWD 133.24 TWD +146%
Welspun Living Limited WELSPUNLIV ₹165.23 ₹47.77 -71%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Zenith Exports Limited (ZENITHEXPO) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 13, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ₹72.14 versus a price of ₹204.51, about −65% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of ZENITHEXPO?
Our model-based fair value for Zenith Exports Limited is ₹72.14 (as of Aug 13, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is ₹204.51.
What is the quality score of ZENITHEXPO?
Zenith Exports Limited has a Quality Score of 63/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Zenith Exports Limited (ZENITHEXPO)?
Zenith Exports Limited reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about ₹647M (latest available figure, as of Aug 13, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of ZENITHEXPO?
The net profit margin of Zenith Exports Limited is about 3.5%, meaning it keeps roughly 3.5% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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