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ZENKOKU HOSHO Co (ZNKKY) Fair Value & Analysis

Financial Services · US · Market cap $2.3B

ZH ZENKOKU HOSHO Co logo ZENKOKU HOSHO Co ZNKKY · US
Price$9.49
Fair Value$10.80
Upside+13.8%
Quality70/100
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Healthy Growth
Highly profitable · 55.4% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
4.34% dividend yield
Ranks above peers (10/11)
Wide moat 72/100
Evidence: High Range $7.72 – $18.65 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 27, 2026

From 11 valuation models · updated 14 days ago

Fair value updated Jul 27, 2026, revised from $10.97 to $10.80 (−1.5%) since Jun 26, 2026. Share price +7.2% over the past month.

A solid business, screening 14% undervalued on our models.

What matters now

  • A fairly wide model range ($7.72 to $18.65) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
  • For a financial, book-value and earnings-based methods matter more than a cash-flow DCF, which fits banks and insurers poorly.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

$10.79 $5.12 Fair Value $10.80 May 2019 Jul 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 27, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $5.12 – $10.79 · fair‑value band $7.72 – $18.65 · the $9.49 price screens below the $10.80 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 27, 2026.

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Analysis

ZENKOKU HOSHO Co (ZNKKY) currently trades at $9.49, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $10.80, implying the stock looks roughly 13.8% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 70/100 (solid quality), in the Financial Services sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, ZENKOKU HOSHO Co generated revenue of $58.7B at a net margin of 55.4%. Revenue grew 1.9% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 13.5%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of $42.7B. Fundamentals as of Jul 27, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $7.72 (bear case) to $18.65 (bull case); at $9.49, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 11% below its 52-week high and 10% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Financial Services peers we cover trades at -41% fair-value upside, at 14%, ZNKKY screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF $1,611 $2,303 $3,266 80
Rev-Margin DCF $876.21 $1,135 $1,398 74
P/E Multiple $1,265 $1,687 $2,109 63
All 11 models by family
DCF Models
Owner Earnings $1,626 $2,439 $3,652 31
5Y P/E Exit $1,400 $2,115 $2,867 38
10Y P/E Exit $1,459 $2,088 $2,863 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd $882.55 $2,929 $3,920 54
Lynch FV $662.31 $946.15 $1,230 50
Multiples
P/E Multiple $1,265 $1,687 $2,109 63
P/B Multiple $972.90 $1,297 $1,622 55
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $463.28 $620.80 $926.57 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF $1,611 $2,303 $3,266 80
Rev-Margin DCF $876.21 $1,135 $1,398 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income $889.62 $1,107 $2,530 61

Widest divergence: DCF Models ($2,115) versus Asset-Based ($620.80). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) $58.7B
Revenue growth (YoY) +1.9%
Net margin 55.4%
Return on equity 13.5%
Free cash flow $34.7B FY2026
P/E ratio 11.5
More key figures
Operating margin 60.5%
EPS (TTM) $0.7500
Dividend yield 4.3%
EPS growth (YoY) +5.9%
Net cash $42.7B FY2026

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 27, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 70/100

Of which business quality 69 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 63

Profitability 45
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 31
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 84
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 78
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 83
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 82
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 59
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 50
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 95
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

ZENKOKU HOSHO Co.,Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, engages in the credit guarantee business in Japan. The company is also involved in non-life insurance agency and credit check operations; debt collection; clerical and other contracts; and agency operation services. The company was incorporated in 1981 and is headquartered in Tokyo, Japan.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2022 – FY2026 · reported fiscal years

ZENKOKU HOSHO Co reported revenue of $62.3B in FY2026 versus $48.8B in FY2022, a compound +6.3%/yr. Reported net income was $34.5B in FY2026, compounding +5.5%/yr from FY2022.

Growth Quality 80/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Latest Revenue (FY 2026)
$62.3B
Latest YoY
+9.3%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
+7.4%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
+5.4%
Avg. growth/yr (14Y)
+8.0%
Revenue +6.3%/yr
FY22 $48.8B
FY23 $50.3B
FY24 $51.6B
FY25 $57.0B
FY26 $62.3B
Net income +5.5%/yr
FY22 $27.8B
FY23 $28.6B
FY24 $28.8B
FY25 $32.1B
FY26 $34.5B

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "ZENKOKU HOSHO Co Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/ZNKKY

Peer Group

Credit Services · 333 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 72 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside +14% · Above median
Return on equity (TTM) 13% · Above median
Return on assets 5% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM) 55% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 61% · Top 25%
Revenue growth 2% · Below median
Dividend yield (TTM) 4.3% · Above median
Debt / equity 0.12× · Lower than 75% of peers

Valuation Multiples vs Credit Services median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 11.5× · Cheaper than median
P/FCF 0.1× · Cheaper than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 52 · sector 35
FUTURE 10 · sector 39
PAST 54 · sector 32
HEALTH 94 · sector 59
DIVIDEND 87 · sector 51

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Credit Services stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 27, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Visa Inc V $348.97 $204.19 -41%
Mastercard Incorporated MA $537.70 $221.87 -59%
American Express Company AXP $358.44 $206.40 -42%
Bajaj Finance Limited BAJFINANCE ₹1,056 ₹397.61 -62%
Shriram Finance Limited SHRIRAMFIN ₹1,024 ₹553.83 -46%
Cholamandalam Investment and Finance Company CHOLAFIN ₹1,808 ₹796.52 -56%
Tata Capital Limited TATACAP ₹360.60 ₹229.85 -36%
Power Finance Corporation PFC ₹405.10 ₹810.20 +100%
Muthoot Finance Limited MUTHOOTFIN ₹3,129 ₹3,463 +11%
Indian Railway Finance Corporation IRFC ₹88.41 ₹69.72 -21%

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Frequently asked questions

Is ZENKOKU HOSHO Co (ZNKKY) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 27, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $10.80 versus a price of $9.49, about +14% (undervalued).
What is the fair value of ZNKKY?
Our model-based fair value for ZENKOKU HOSHO Co is $10.80 (as of Jul 27, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is $9.49.
What is the quality score of ZNKKY?
ZENKOKU HOSHO Co has a Quality Score of 70/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of ZENKOKU HOSHO Co (ZNKKY)?
ZENKOKU HOSHO Co reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $58.7B (latest available figure, as of Jul 27, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of ZNKKY?
The net profit margin of ZENKOKU HOSHO Co is about 55.4%, meaning it keeps roughly 55.4% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does ZENKOKU HOSHO Co pay a dividend?
ZENKOKU HOSHO Co currently shows a dividend yield of about 4.34% relative to its recent price (as of Jul 27, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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