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Data-driven stock valuation

Zorlu Enerji Elektrik Uretim AS (ZOREN) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Oct 30, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of Zorlu Enerji Elektrik Uretim AS stock TRY 2.33, price TRY 1.13, upside +106.2%, quality 16 out of 100. Rating: strongly undervalued. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

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Utilities TR · ISIN TRAZOREN91L8

ZE Zorlu Enerji Elektrik Uretim AS logo Thin data Oct 29, 2026

Zorlu Enerji Elektrik Uretim AS

ZOREN · IS
Cheap, value-trap risk

The stock costs 52% less than our calculation considers fair.

Fair value 2.33 TRY · Strongly undervalued (52%)
Even on cautious assumptions the value is 106% above the price (2.33 TRY).
Expensive Growth (revenue 5y +33.4 %/yr in TRY)
Moderate debt
Quality 16/100
Loss-making · -30.4% net margin (TTM)
Negative free cash flow
Trails peers (4/12)
Narrow moat 10/100 · thin data
Thin data

What runs behind every stock

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

7.01 TRY 0.8719 TRY Fair Value 2.33 TRY Aug 2021 Oct 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Oct 29, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range 0.8719 TRY – 7.01 TRY · fair‑value band 2.33 TRY – 5.48 TRY · the 1.13 TRY price screens below the 2.33 TRY fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). 1 fiscal year is left out: there the valuation rested on only a fraction of the usual models. As of Oct 29, 2026.

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Company profile

Zorlu Enerji Elektrik Üretim A.S., together with its subsidiaries, engages in the trading, distribution, retailing, and sales of electricity in Turkey and internationally.

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It is also involved in wholesale purchase of electrical energy and capacity and sales activities; engineering and consultancy activities for energy projects; operation and maintenance activities for energy projects and other; maintenance, repair, installation, and sale of charging stations; rental, leasing and other services of motorized light land vehicles and cars without adrives; aggregation, balancing service and other services; solar panel production and inverter sales; carbon selling; and panel production.

Zorlu Enerji Elektrik Üretim A.S. was founded in 1993 and is based in Istanbul, Turkey.

Stock analysis

Zorlu Enerji Elektrik Uretim AS (ZOREN) currently trades at 1.13 TRY, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 2.33 TRY, implying the stock looks roughly 51.5% undervalued today.

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Valuation

How firm this estimate is: it rests on 6 models at a data quality of 95/100, which puts the data coverage at low.

Scenario range: 2.33 TRY (bear) to 5.48 TRY (bull), the price of 1.13 TRY sits below it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 16/100 (below-average quality), in the Utilities sector.

Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.

Zorlu Enerji Elektrik Uretim AS reported revenue of 36.2B TRL in FY2025 versus 11.6B TRL in FY2021, a compound +32.8%/yr. Reported net income was −14.7B TRL in FY2025.

Key figures

Market cap 5.7B TRY (≈ $113M) Micro · P/S ratio 0.19 · EPS (TTM) −28.82 TRY · Net margin −40.6% · Return on equity −15.4% · Return on assets (EBIT) 4.2% · Operating margin −4.1% · Revenue (TTM) 31.9B TRY.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 10 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 69% below its 52-week high and at its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Utilities peers we cover trades at −35% fair-value upside, at 106%, ZOREN screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear 2.33 TRY Fair Value 2.33 TRY Bull 5.48 TRY
Price 1.13 TRY · Upside +106.2%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds. Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Best data coverage
EV/EBITDA n/a 2.33 TRY 5.48 TRY 62
NCAV (Graham) 3.63 TRY 4.87 TRY 7.26 TRY 54
All 2 models by family
Multiples
EV/EBITDA n/a 2.33 TRY 5.48 TRY 62
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) 3.63 TRY 4.87 TRY 7.26 TRY 54

Open the full fair value analysis →

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 16/100

It rates the business: profits, how they develop, real cash, balance sheet, investing and share count.

Profitability 3
How much profit the company makes from its sales and capital
Quality Growth 7
Are margins and returns getting better?
Cashflow 11
Do the profits arrive as real cash?
Financial strength 25
Debt, balance sheet and risk of trouble
Investment 30
Does it invest with discipline instead of growing at any price?
Low Volatility 73
How calm the share price moves, does not count
Momentum 1
Price trend of the last 3 to 12 months, does not count
Near the 52-week high 0
Distance to the 52-week high, does not count
New shares 47
Buys back shares or issues new ones?

Open the full quality analysis →

Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 38/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Revenue growth 1 year
−6.8%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+6.4%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+33.4%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +51.3% a year
Revenue growth 22 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−31.9%
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
19.8% (2020) → 0.0% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Utilities - Renewable · 201 stocks

Beats the industry median on 4/11 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 16 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside +106.2% · Top 25%
Profitability
Return on assets −11.3% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (12 months) −30.4% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (12 months) −4.1% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY) −23.8% · Bottom 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 0.78× · Above median

Valuation Multiplesvs Utilities - Renewable median · lower = cheaper

P/B 0.10× · Cheapest 25%
P/S (12 months) 0.18× · Cheapest 25%
EV/EBITDA 11.0× · Pricier than median
PEG 0.30× · Cheapest 25%

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)100 · sector 21
FUTURE (revenue growth)0 · sector 8
PAST (return on equity)0 · sector 13
HEALTH (low debt)61 · sector 70
DIVIDEND (yield)0 · sector 47

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Utilities - Renewable stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value Compare
China Yangtze Power Co 600900 ¥29.83 ¥32.81 +10% vs ZOREN
SDIC Power Holdings 600886 ¥16.24 ¥17.86 +10% vs ZOREN
VERBUND AG VER €69.50 €66.45 −4% vs ZOREN
China Three Gorges Renewables (Group) Co 600905 ¥3.38 ¥2.40 −29% vs ZOREN
Fortum Oyj FORTUM €22.99 €14.83 −35% vs ZOREN
Huaneng Lancang River Hydropower Inc 600025 ¥10.44 ¥4.45 −57% vs ZOREN
Public Power Corporation PPC €22.60 €7.56 −67% vs ZOREN
EDP Renewables, S.A EDPR €12.57 €3.67 −71% vs ZOREN
Ørsted A/S ORSTED kr 131.90 kr 33.25 −75% vs ZOREN
Adani Green Energy Limited ADANIGREEN ₹1,289 ₹170.50 −87% vs ZOREN

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Zorlu Enerji Elektrik Uretim AS Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/ZOREN

Frequently asked questions

Is Zorlu Enerji Elektrik Uretim AS (ZOREN) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Oct 29, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 2.33 TRY versus a price of 1.13 TRY, about +106% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of ZOREN?
Our model-based fair value for Zorlu Enerji Elektrik Uretim AS is 2.33 TRY (as of Oct 29, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 1.13 TRY.
What is the quality score of ZOREN?
Zorlu Enerji Elektrik Uretim AS has a Quality Score of 16/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Zorlu Enerji Elektrik Uretim AS (ZOREN)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of 2.33 TRY (as of Oct 29, 2026) from 2 valuation models. Cautious scenario 2.33 TRY, optimistic scenario 5.48 TRY. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Zorlu Enerji Elektrik Uretim AS stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at 2.33 TRY, about +106% upside versus a price of 1.13 TRY (undervalued). Cautious scenario 2.33 TRY, optimistic scenario 5.48 TRY. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Zorlu Enerji Elektrik Uretim AS (ZOREN)?
Zorlu Enerji Elektrik Uretim AS reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 31.9B TRY (latest available figure, as of Oct 29, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Zorlu Enerji Elektrik Uretim AS (ZOREN)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Zorlu Enerji Elektrik Uretim AS it is 2.33 TRY per share (as of Oct 29, 2026), against a price of 1.13 TRY. It is the blended result of 2 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Zorlu Enerji Elektrik Uretim AS stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Oct 29, 2026, ZOREN trades below its calculated fair value: price 1.13 TRY, fair value 2.33 TRY, a gap of about +106% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of ZOREN?
No. The price is what the market pays today (1.13 TRY); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (2.33 TRY). For Zorlu Enerji Elektrik Uretim AS the two are 1.20 TRY per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Zorlu Enerji Elektrik Uretim AS worth?
The market values Zorlu Enerji Elektrik Uretim AS at about 5.7B TRY (market capitalisation, as of Oct 29, 2026). Per share that is 1.13 TRY; our models calculate a fair value of 2.33 TRY per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about ZOREN?
Our models span a range for Zorlu Enerji Elektrik Uretim AS: cautious scenario 2.33 TRY, base 2.33 TRY, optimistic 5.48 TRY per share (as of Oct 29, 2026, price 1.13 TRY). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the PEG ratio of ZOREN?
The PEG ratio of Zorlu Enerji Elektrik Uretim AS is 0.30 (P/E divided by earnings growth, as of Oct 29, 2026). That is below 1, so growth is priced more cheaply than the earnings multiple alone suggests.
How solid is the balance sheet of Zorlu Enerji Elektrik Uretim AS (ZOREN)?
Balance-sheet figures for Zorlu Enerji Elektrik Uretim AS (as of Oct 29, 2026): return on equity −15.4%, debt of 0.78 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 16/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is ZOREN from its 52-week high?
Zorlu Enerji Elektrik Uretim AS trades at 1.13 TRY, about 69% below its 52-week high of 3.69 TRY and at the low of 1.13 TRY (as of Oct 30, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of 2.33 TRY is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Zorlu Enerji Elektrik Uretim AS?
From the same area (Utilities) we also value China Yangtze Power Co, Huaneng Lancang River Hydropower Inc, VERBUND AG, Ørsted A/S, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Zorlu Enerji Elektrik Uretim AS stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Oct 29, 2026: price 1.13 TRY, calculated fair value 2.33 TRY (+106%), Quality Score 16/100, from 2 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of ZOREN calculated?
We run Zorlu Enerji Elektrik Uretim AS through 2 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of 2.33 TRY, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.4 % above its aggregate fair value. Zorlu Enerji Elektrik Uretim AS currently trades 52 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Zorlu Enerji Elektrik Uretim AS (ZOREN)?
The closing price on Oct 30, 2026 was 1.13 TRY. Our model-based fair value is 2.33 TRY, about +106% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Zorlu Enerji Elektrik Uretim AS right now?
The large discount to fair value meets weak quality (16/100). That raises the risk this is a value trap rather than a bargain. The price is below even our cautious bear case (2.33 TRY). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. A fairly wide model range (2.33 TRY to 5.48 TRY) leaves room in how you read the outcome.

Key figures of Zorlu Enerji Elektrik Uretim AS

How large is the market capitalisation of Zorlu Enerji Elektrik Uretim AS (ZOREN)?
The market capitalisation of Zorlu Enerji Elektrik Uretim AS is 5.7B TRY (≈ $113M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Zorlu Enerji Elektrik Uretim AS (ZOREN)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Zorlu Enerji Elektrik Uretim AS is 0.19 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Zorlu Enerji Elektrik Uretim AS (ZOREN)?
Earnings per share at Zorlu Enerji Elektrik Uretim AS are −28.82 TRY. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Zorlu Enerji Elektrik Uretim AS (ZOREN)?
The net margin of Zorlu Enerji Elektrik Uretim AS is −40.6% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Zorlu Enerji Elektrik Uretim AS (ZOREN)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Zorlu Enerji Elektrik Uretim AS is −15.4% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Zorlu Enerji Elektrik Uretim AS (ZOREN)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Zorlu Enerji Elektrik Uretim AS is 4.2% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Zorlu Enerji Elektrik Uretim AS (ZOREN)?
The operating margin of Zorlu Enerji Elektrik Uretim AS is −4.1% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Zorlu Enerji Elektrik Uretim AS (ZOREN)?
Revenue at Zorlu Enerji Elektrik Uretim AS is growing −23.8% versus a year earlier (3y avg +6.4%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Zorlu Enerji Elektrik Uretim AS (ZOREN)?
Earnings per share at Zorlu Enerji Elektrik Uretim AS are growing −57.2% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Zorlu Enerji Elektrik Uretim AS (ZOREN) generate?
The free cash flow of Zorlu Enerji Elektrik Uretim AS is −650M TRY (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Zorlu Enerji Elektrik Uretim AS (ZOREN) carry?
The net debt of Zorlu Enerji Elektrik Uretim AS is 51.4B TRY (fiscal year 2025). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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