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Züblin Immobilien Holding (ZUBN) Fair Value & Analysis

Real Estate · CH · Market cap CHF 172M

ZI Züblin Immobilien Holding ZUBN · SW
PriceCHF 51.60
Fair ValueCHF 19.29
Upside-62.6%
Quality61/100
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Weak Growth
Highly profitable · 76.4% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
2.42% dividend yield
Trails peers (5/15)
Moderate moat 63/100
Evidence: High Range CHF 14.47 – CHF 25.92 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 16, 2026

From 16 valuation models · updated 25 days ago

Share price −2.6% over the past month.

A solid business, but screening 63% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (CHF 25.92). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Solid but not exceptional quality (61/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
  • As a real-estate business, asset- and dividend-based methods carry more weight here than a standard DCF.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

CHF 64.69 CHF 20.02 Fair Value CHF 19.29 May 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 16, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range CHF 20.02 – CHF 64.69 · fair‑value band CHF 14.47 – CHF 25.92 · the CHF 51.60 price screens above the CHF 19.29 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 16, 2026.

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Analysis

Züblin Immobilien Holding (ZUBN) currently trades at CHF 51.60, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is CHF 19.29, implying the stock looks roughly 62.6% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 61/100 (solid quality), in the Real Estate sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Over the trailing twelve months, Züblin Immobilien Holding generated revenue of CHF 9.8M at a net margin of 76.4%. Revenue grew 1.5% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 5.2%. Net debt stands at CHF 58.9M. Fundamentals as of Jul 16, 2026

Our scenario range runs from CHF 14.47 (bear case) to CHF 25.92 (bull case); at CHF 51.60, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 24% below its 52-week high and 40% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Real Estate peers we cover trades at -2% fair-value upside, at -63%, ZUBN screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF CHF 7.78 CHF 10.95 CHF 15.67 80
Residual Income CHF 31.00 CHF 30.02 CHF 25.06 76
Rev-Margin DCF CHF 7.61 CHF 13.12 CHF 19.72 74
All 16 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF CHF 7.46 CHF 10.83 CHF 16.26 38
5Y Revenue Exit CHF 7.65 CHF 13.16 CHF 21.16 39
5Y EBITDA Exit CHF 12.43 CHF 21.42 CHF 33.33 41
10Y Revenue Exit CHF 7.20 CHF 10.82 CHF 14.63 36
10Y EBITDA Exit CHF 9.97 CHF 15.18 CHF 20.72 37
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM CHF 4.06 CHF 4.34 CHF 4.75 70
DDM Multi-Stage CHF 4.06 CHF 4.70 CHF 5.50 61
Multiples
P/S Multiple CHF 14.47 CHF 19.29 CHF 24.12 58
P/B Multiple CHF 28.92 CHF 38.56 CHF 48.20 55
EV/EBIT CHF 28.22 CHF 39.47 CHF 50.73 53
EV/EBITDA CHF 20.66 CHF 29.40 CHF 38.14 54
EV/Revenue CHF 9.00 CHF 15.23 CHF 21.46 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) CHF 22.54 CHF 30.21 CHF 45.08 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF CHF 7.78 CHF 10.95 CHF 15.67 80
Rev-Margin DCF CHF 7.61 CHF 13.12 CHF 19.72 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income CHF 31.00 CHF 30.02 CHF 25.06 76

Widest divergence: Asset-Based (CHF 30.21) versus Dividend Discount (CHF 4.34). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) CHF 9.8M
Revenue growth (YoY) +1.5%
Net margin 76.4%
Return on equity 5.2%
Free cash flow CHF 6.0M FY2026
P/E ratio 22.9
More key figures
Operating margin 68.3%
EPS (TTM) CHF 2.27
EPS growth (YoY) -49.1%
Net debt CHF 58.9M FY2026

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 16, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 61/100

Of which business quality 61 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 49

Profitability 34
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 37
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 80
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 54
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 90
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 60
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 48
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 36
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 82
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Züblin Immobilien Holding AG and its subsidiaries (together the Züblin Group) are focused on the management of the Group's real estate portfolio. As of 31 March 2025, the Züblin Group is solely operational in Switzerland and has employed four persons (31 March 2024: four persons).

Full company description

Züblin Immobilien Holding AG and its subsidiaries (together the Züblin Group) are focused on the management of the Group's real estate portfolio. As of 31 March 2025, the Züblin Group is solely operational in Switzerland and has employed four persons (31 March 2024: four persons). Züblin Immobilien Holding AG is a Swiss stock corporation domiciled at Hardturmstrasse 76, Zurich, Switzerland, and is the parent company of the Züblin Group. The company's shares are traded on the main segment of SIX Swiss Exchange.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2022 – FY2026 · reported fiscal years

Züblin Immobilien Holding reported revenue of CHF 9.8M in FY2026 versus CHF 8.6M in FY2022, a compound +3.4%/yr. Reported net income was CHF 7.5M in FY2026, compounding +5.9%/yr from FY2022.

Growth Quality 40/100
Revenue growth is weak, negative or inconsistent.
Latest Revenue (FY 2026)
CHF 9.8M
Latest YoY
+4.3%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+3.7%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+1.4%
Avg. growth/yr (24Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−8.5%
Revenue +3.4%/yr
FY22 CHF 8.6M
FY23 CHF 8.8M
FY24 CHF 9.0M
FY25 CHF 9.4M
FY26 CHF 9.8M
Net income +5.9%/yr
FY22 CHF 6.0M
FY23 CHF 5.3M
FY24 CHF 1.3M
FY25 CHF 8.7M
FY26 CHF 7.5M
Character of growth · EPS growth decomposed (2016-2026) +7.5 % p.a.
Revenue per share +1.2 pp

of which total revenue +2.0 pp · buybacks/dilution −0.8 pp

EBIT margin +9.1 pp
Tax rate −2.3 pp
Residual (interest, one-offs) −0.4 pp

Absolute contributions in percentage points per year; they sum to the EPS growth rate. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).

ZUBN screens 63% overvalued. Compare with Vingroup Joint Stock Company →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Züblin Immobilien Holding Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/ZUBN

Peer Group

Real Estate Services · 520 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 63 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside −63% · Bottom 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 5% · Above median
Return on assets 2% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) 76% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 68% · Top 25%
Revenue growth 2% · Below median
Dividend yield (TTM) 2.4% · Below median
Debt / equity 0.21× · Lower than median

Valuation Multiples vs Real Estate Services median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 22.9× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/B 1.43× · Pricier than median
P/S (TTM) 21.67× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/FCF 35.7× · Pricier than 75% of peers
EV/EBITDA 34.3× · Pricier than 75% of peers
PEG 527.69× · Pricier than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 · sector 37
FUTURE 8 · sector 10
PAST 21 · sector 16
HEALTH 89 · sector 85
DIVIDEND 48 · sector 49

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Insider activity: 40/100

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

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PT Metropolitan Kentjana Tbk MKPI 20,975 IDR 19,160 IDR -9%
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Frequently asked questions

Is Züblin Immobilien Holding (ZUBN) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 16, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of CHF 19.29 versus a price of CHF 51.60, about −63% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of ZUBN?
Our model-based fair value for Züblin Immobilien Holding is CHF 19.29 (as of Jul 16, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is CHF 51.60.
What is the quality score of ZUBN?
Züblin Immobilien Holding has a Quality Score of 61/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Züblin Immobilien Holding (ZUBN)?
Züblin Immobilien Holding reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about CHF 9.8M (latest available figure, as of Jul 16, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of ZUBN?
The net profit margin of Züblin Immobilien Holding is about 76.4%, meaning it keeps roughly 76.4% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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